12月19日，乌拉尔原油最低跌至33.17美元/桶，波罗的海地区成交价仅34.8美元，而布伦特原油还在61 美元附近晃荡。 两者价差足足近27美元。 这么一对比，不是便宜一点，是直接打骨折。 可机会背后从来不只是红利，更藏着刀锋。 中国作为全球最大石油进口国，面对这场史诗级降价，真能痛快囤油？ 一、拦不住的崩盘，含泪甩卖背后真相太扎心 别慌，一桶油不值几个钱了。 俄油这个曾撑起普京财政半壁江山的命根子，如今直接躺平。 别看俄油这波跳水多爽，但背后就是没人要。 2025年10月，美国搞了套组合拳，针对俄罗斯两大石油巨头下死手，制裁直接卡住日出口220万桶的大 动脉，导致70%的俄油陷入定价与结算瘫痪。 重点还在后头，他们设定了11月21日的购油死线，印度若敢继续沾俄，就别想拿半导体优惠。莫迪当然 不敢硬扛，在截日前抢了一波库存，就果断撤了。 而印度，可是俄油第二大买家，占出口总量的12%。这么一撤，市场瞬间塌了一角。 中国成了唯一还在买的活人。可俄油的供应端还在维持，买家却突然断崖，这玩法你搁谁哪都得爆仓。 于是我们看到了最淋漓尽致的含泪送，价格从前期的50-60美元一路被内卷到了30-35美元区间，直接跌 破 ...

Core Viewpoint - The energy cooperation between China and Russia, particularly in the natural gas sector, has deepened over the years, with both countries having significant interests in expanding their collaboration despite facing challenges in new pipeline projects [1][3]. Group 1: Historical Context and Existing Projects - China and Russia began discussions on natural gas pipelines in the early 2000s to efficiently transport Russian gas to meet China's growing energy demands [1]. - The "Power of Siberia" pipeline, which started operations in 2019, has a capacity of 38 billion cubic meters per year and has been a successful model of energy cooperation between the two nations [4]. Group 2: Challenges in New Pipeline Projects - The proposed "Power of Siberia 2" pipeline, intended to transport 50 billion cubic meters of gas annually, has faced significant obstacles, particularly due to Russia's insistence on routing the pipeline through Mongolia [3][6]. - China's refusal to accept the proposed route through Mongolia stems from concerns over geopolitical security, environmental impact, and increased economic costs associated with a longer pipeline [9][11][12]. Group 3: Economic and Strategic Considerations - Russia's strategic interest in routing the pipeline through Mongolia includes strengthening ties with Mongolia and diversifying its gas export markets, especially in light of reduced demand from the EU [7]. - The ongoing negotiations have been complicated by price disputes, with Russia seeking European market prices while China insists on domestic market rates, leading to a stalemate in discussions [14][16]. Group 4: Future Prospects - As of 2023, negotiations remain unresolved, with China demanding that Russia cover construction costs and maintain lower prices, while Russia may need to consider alternative routes or expand existing pipelines [16][17]. - The potential for Mongolia's involvement in the project appears increasingly unrealistic, and future energy cooperation will depend on resolving these ongoing disputes [17].

Group 1 - The core issue of the article revolves around the new battleground of energy security in the context of US-China relations, highlighting the shift from traditional economic conflicts to global energy dynamics [1][5] - US Treasury Secretary's statement about including China's oil imports from Russia and Iran in negotiations signifies a strategic move to leverage energy procurement as a bargaining chip in US-China talks [1][3] - China's significant reliance on Russian and Iranian oil, accounting for over 30% of its imports, poses a potential risk to its energy security if US sanctions are enforced [3][6] Group 2 - China is unlikely to compromise under US pressure, as energy security is a critical issue tied to national security and social stability [5][9] - The US aims to reshape the global energy landscape by targeting China's energy ties with Russia, seeking to weaken their cooperation and maintain US dominance in the energy market [5][9] - China is diversifying its energy sources, reducing dependence on any single supplier, and strengthening ties with oil-producing nations like Saudi Arabia and Iraq [6][8] Group 3 - The rise of BRICS nations, including Russia, India, and Brazil, indicates a collective response to US pressure, potentially leading to a new economic bloc that challenges US-led global economic order [8][9] - China's energy strategy is closely linked to its economic cooperation with BRICS countries, emphasizing a trend towards "de-dollarization" [8] - The long-term implications of US sanctions may inadvertently escalate tensions between the US and China, affecting global economic stability and the future energy landscape [9]

Group 1 - The core focus of the upcoming US-China trade talks in Sweden is on the broader implications for global trade and economic relations, moving beyond just tariff discussions [1][3] - The US is under pressure from its businesses, including major companies like Apple and Nvidia, to seek a resolution with China, as they face challenges in the current economic environment [1][3] - The US aims to expand the negotiation topics to include energy issues, particularly regarding China's purchases of oil from Iran and Russia, indicating a shift from traditional trade discussions to a more comprehensive negotiation strategy [3][4] Group 2 - The US Treasury Secretary has acknowledged the difficulty of containing Chinese products through tariffs, leading to a new approach that incorporates energy and geopolitical issues into trade discussions [3][6] - China maintains that its energy transactions with Russia and Iran are legitimate and opposes US attempts to impose sanctions or dictate its energy policy, emphasizing its commitment to energy security [7][9] - The ongoing negotiations are seen as a strategic maneuver by the US to leverage energy as a bargaining chip, potentially impacting China's energy supply chain and its economic stability [6][11] Group 3 - The talks are characterized as a "package deal" where the US seeks concessions across multiple areas, not limited to trade, which reflects a broader strategic competition between the two nations [4][6] - China's response to US pressure includes diversifying its energy sources and strengthening ties with other countries, indicating a robust strategy to counteract US influence [9][11] - The potential for increased cooperation among BRICS nations in response to US actions suggests a shift in global economic alliances, which could further complicate US-China relations [9][11]