Workflow
行业兼并重组
icon
Search documents
热点思考 | 海外如何“反内卷”?——“反内卷”系列之五(申万宏观·赵伟团队)
赵伟宏观探索· 2025-07-22 09:32
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of learning from international experiences in addressing industrial disorder and overcapacity, suggesting that policies encouraging mergers and acquisitions, raising industry standards, and implementing market-based clearance alongside safety net policies could be effective [8][42]. Group 2 - Japan's experience highlights the formation of cross-shareholding and mergers to create an industrial network, which helps mitigate excessive competition and enhance economies of scale. The revision of the Antimonopoly Act in 1953 and the introduction of the "New Industrial Structure Theory" in 1963 were pivotal in promoting corporate mergers [2][49]. - The shareholding of financial institutions in Japanese companies increased from 30% in 1960 to 45% in 1990, and the average cross-shareholding ratio among Japan's six major groups rose from 12% in 1962 to 18% in 1998 [2][49]. - The establishment of "Keiretsu" groups, which consist of horizontal and vertical alliances, has stabilized supply chains and reduced price wars, thereby promoting industrial upgrades [3][50]. Group 3 - The UK and US experiences demonstrate the significance of market-based clearance while ensuring social safety nets. The UK government ceased financial subsidies and gradually exited the coal price protection system in the mid-1980s, leading to the closure of about one-third of coal mines [4][51]. - In the US, the steel industry faced similar challenges, with the government eliminating tax incentives and facilitating mergers in the 1980s, resulting in a reduction of crude steel capacity by approximately 52.8 million tons from 1998 to 2003 [4][25]. - Both countries implemented various employment support measures, such as the UK's "Enterprise Allowance Scheme" and the US's Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC), which provided safety nets for displaced workers [5][32]. Group 4 - Germany's approach emphasizes setting high industry standards to foster differentiated competition. The Beer Purity Law established in 1516 set strict quality standards for beer production, which helped protect local industries and enhance product quality [6][37]. - The German government encourages regional styles and has established detailed certification mechanisms to ensure product authenticity and quality, promoting a diverse and competitive market [6][39]. - By aligning with international beer classification standards, Germany has guided the market towards high-quality, non-price competition, facilitating innovation and cultural positioning among breweries [6][54].
热点思考 | 海外如何“反内卷”?——“反内卷”系列之五(申万宏观·赵伟团队)
申万宏源宏观· 2025-07-22 09:30
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of learning from overseas experiences in addressing industrial disorder and overcapacity, suggesting a combination of policies that encourage industry mergers and restructuring, improve industry standards, enhance market clearing, and implement corresponding support policies [8][42]. Group 2 - Japan's experience highlights the formation of cross-shareholding and mergers to create an industrial network, which helps avoid excessive competition and promotes economies of scale. The revision of the Antimonopoly Act in 1953 and the introduction of the "New Industrial Structure Theory" in 1963 were pivotal in encouraging mergers [2][49]. - The shareholding of financial institutions in Japanese companies increased from 30% in 1960 to 45% in 1990, and the average cross-shareholding ratio among Japan's six major groups rose from 12% in 1962 to 18% in 1998 [2][49]. - The establishment of "Keiretsu" groups in Japan, which consist of horizontal and vertical alliances, has stabilized supply chains and reduced excessive competition, thereby facilitating industrial upgrades [3][50]. Group 3 - The UK and US experiences focus on market-driven clearing while ensuring social safety nets. The UK government ceased financial subsidies and gradually exited the coal price protection system in the mid-1980s, leading to the closure of about one-third of coal mines between 1985 and 1986 [4][51]. - The US steel industry faced similar challenges, with the government eliminating tax incentives in 1986 and promoting mergers in the 1990s, resulting in a reduction of approximately 52.8 million tons of crude steel capacity from 1998 to 2003 [4][25]. - Both countries implemented support measures for displaced workers, such as the UK's "Enterprise Allowance Scheme" and the US's Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC), which provided retirement benefits to around 700,000 retirees by 2005 [5][32]. Group 4 - Germany's experience illustrates the establishment of high industry standards to foster differentiated competition. The Beer Purity Law of 1516 set strict quality standards for beer production, which helped protect local industries and enhance product quality [6][37]. - The German government encourages regional styles and has implemented detailed certification mechanisms to ensure product authenticity and quality, promoting a diverse competitive landscape [6][39]. - By aligning with international beer classification standards, Germany has guided the market towards high-quality, non-price competition, facilitating innovation and cultural positioning among breweries [6][54].
5月超百款车型降价!王侠:汽车行业不要把内卷风气带到海外
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-06-06 03:42
Core Insights - The automotive industry in China is experiencing significant price reductions, with over 200 models having their prices cut in 2024 and more than 60 models in the first four months of 2025 [1] - The price cuts are driven by leading automakers, with some reductions exceeding 50,000 yuan, and even prices dropping to the 30,000 yuan range [1] - The industry is facing challenges from excessive price wars and blind technological competition, which could harm profit margins and product quality in the long run [1] Industry Trends - The trend of price reductions is seen as a normal part of market evolution, but there is a warning against unrestrained price competition [1] - Companies are urged to adhere to three fundamental principles: maintaining quality and safety standards, practicing integrity and contract spirit, and focusing on long-term sustainable development through innovation [1] - The international market is less tolerant of low-quality, low-price strategies, and there is a concern that domestic competition could spill over into international markets, creating a "red ocean" scenario [2] Mergers and Acquisitions - The industry is entering a phase of mergers and acquisitions as a response to internal competition, which is viewed as a necessary step towards maturity [2] - Various strategies for consolidation are anticipated, including internal integration by large automotive groups, and the merging of strong fuel vehicle companies with weaker electric vehicle firms [2] - The consolidation may also involve strong international companies acquiring or partnering with weaker domestic electric vehicle firms [2]
破案了,原来是口嗨
猫笔刀· 2024-05-22 14:12
先更新一下昨天的热点,网络论坛神秘账号精确卡点预测涨停的事情破案了。深交所还专门为此发了一条公告。 字小如果你懒得放大图片看,我简单总结一下,肇事者叫陈果,他持有700股中通客车,上午的时候他把这700股挂在涨停价附近, 然后发帖称1点20分 涨停。结果后来真的涨起来了,他又反悔不想卖,把单子撤了。 由于他扰乱了市场,最后对他的处罚是禁止交易15天。 所以就是一个口嗨的散户碰巧蒙对了涨停的时间,不是操纵股价的游资大佬。也幸亏他不是游资大佬,否则操纵市场罪名落实,监管层就不会这么轻易的 放过他。 其实从我十几年前炒股起,股民在论坛里口嗨涨停就是一个传统娱乐节目,但以前就算偶尔蒙对也不至于发酵到舆情,大家哈哈一乐就完事。这次之所以 不同,是因为最近几天连续有焦点股票被蒙对(不是同一个网友),而且都是涨停跌停的极端行情,于是让股民开始担心背后有操纵股价的布局。监管层 出来调查澄清了也好,大家也不用再疑神疑鬼。 所以资金去拉中介服务板块是对的,只要成交量上来了,房价涨不涨中介就能抽佣,至于房地产板块这波底部起来已经反弹了29%,我觉得势能释放的差 不多了。 至于大盘走势,目前上证依然稳健向上,属于那种可以70分做多的 ...