月线（长线多） 支撑：3230 周线（中线多） 支撑：3750 日线（波段空） 阻力：4060 四小时（短期） 整体上短期价格于3886-4036区间震荡，打破区间后才会发力 关键分水岭3970-3980，价格昨日跌破则目前短线先看承压 原油 月线（长线空） 阻力：63.40 黄金 周线（中线多） 支撑：60.70 日线（波段多） 阻力：59.60 四小时（短期） 整体上目前处于59.60-61.50区间震荡，打破区间才会发力 ① 待定 第八届中国国际进口博览举办 ② 待定 美最高法院辩论"对等关税"合法性 ③ 09:45 中国10月RatingDog服务业PMI ④ 15:45 法国9月工业产出月率 ⑤ 16:50 法国10月服务业PMI终值 ⑥ 16:55 德国10月服务业PMI终值 ⑦ 17:00 欧元区10月服务业PMI终值 ⑧ 17:30 英国10月服务业PMI终值 关键发分水岭60.70-80，价格没有站上之前先看承压 【今日重点关注的财经数据与事件】2025年11月5日周三 ⑩ 21:15 美国10月ADP就业人数 ⑪ 22:45 美国10月标普全球服务业PMI终值 ⑫ 23:00 美国10月I ...

Group 1 - The European Political Community summit is scheduled to take place [1] - Switzerland's CPI for September will be released at 14:30 [1] - The Eurozone's unemployment rate for August will be revealed at 17:00 [1] Group 2 - The number of Challenger job cuts in the U.S. for September will be disclosed at 19:30 [1] - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending September 27 will be published at 20:30 [1] - The U.S. factory orders month-on-month for August will be released at 22:00 [1] Group 3 - EIA natural gas inventory for the week ending September 26 will be announced at 22:30 [1] - Federal Reserve's Logan will deliver a speech at 22:30 [1]

Group 1 - The article discusses various economic indicators and events scheduled for October, including employment data and consumer confidence indices in the US and Eurozone [2][3] - Key dates include the release of the US September ADP employment numbers and the unemployment rate, as well as the Eurozone's August unemployment rate [2] - The article highlights the importance of the US non-farm payroll data and the consumer confidence index for October, which are critical for assessing economic health [3] Group 2 - The article mentions the upcoming release of China's September industrial profits and the significance of these figures for understanding the country's economic performance [3] - It also notes the scheduled announcements from central banks, including the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank, which could impact market expectations [3] - The article emphasizes the relevance of oil inventory data and production numbers, which are crucial for the energy sector [2][3]

Group 1 - Key Point 1: A series of important financial data and events are scheduled for September 29, 2025, including the UK mortgage approvals and Eurozone industrial sentiment index [1][3] - Key Point 2: The Bank of England's mortgage approvals for August will be released at 16:30 [1][3] - Key Point 3: The Eurozone's industrial sentiment index and economic sentiment index for September will be announced at 17:00 [1][3] Group 2 - Key Point 1: Federal Reserve's Harker will participate in a panel discussion at 20:00 [1][3] - Key Point 2: The US pending home sales index for August will be published at 22:00 [1][3] - Key Point 3: The Dallas Fed's business activity index for September will be released at 22:30 [1][3] Group 3 - Key Point 1: Federal Reserve officials Williams and Moussalam will give speeches at 01:30 the next day [1][3] - Key Point 2: Federal Reserve's Bostic will engage in a dialogue at 06:00 [1][3]

Macroeconomic and Industry Insights - In August, the Ministry of Finance reported corporate income tax revenue of 31,477 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.3% [1] - Personal income tax revenue reached 10,547 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.9% [1] - Vehicle purchase tax revenue was 1,334 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 17.7% [1] - Stamp duty revenue totaled 2,844 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 27.4%, including securities transaction stamp duty revenue of 1,187 billion yuan, which surged by 81.7% year-on-year [1] Commodity Market Updates - Palm oil production in Malaysia is expected to decrease by 8.05% from September 1-15, 2025, with a yield drop of 6.94% and an oil extraction rate decline of 0.21% [1] - The expected export volume for palm oil is 404,688 tons, down 24.7% compared to the same period last month [1] - Coking coal auction prices in Linfen market showed mixed results, with 290,000 tons sold and an average price increase of 54 yuan/ton for 7 companies, while 4 companies experienced an average price drop of 20 yuan/ton [1] - Lithium carbonate prices continue to rise, with battery-grade lithium carbonate index price at 73,116 yuan/ton, up 281 yuan/ton; average price at 73,150 yuan/ton, up 300 yuan/ton [1] - The average transaction price for multi-crystalline silicon n-type raw materials was 53,200 yuan/ton, an increase of 8.57% [1] - The average price for n-type granular silicon was 49,500 yuan/ton, reflecting a 3.13% increase [1] Production Data - In August 2025, China's alumina production reached 7.925 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 7.5% [1] - Cumulative alumina production from January to August was 60.523 million tons, up 8.2% year-on-year [1] - China's electrolytic aluminum production in August was 3.800 million tons, a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.5% [1] - Cumulative electrolytic aluminum production from January to August was 30.138 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.2% [1] - In August, China's copper product production was 2.222 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 9.8% [1] - Cumulative refined copper production from January to August was 9.891 million tons, up 10.1% year-on-year [1] Market Predictions - Deutsche Bank has raised its gold price forecast for next year to $4,000 per ounce and silver price forecast to $45 per ounce [1] - As of September 15, total refined oil inventory at Fujairah Port in the UAE decreased to 13.089 million barrels, with reductions in light, medium, and heavy oil inventories [1] - Attention is drawn to the Canadian central bank's interest rate decision scheduled for the evening of September 17 [1]

Group 1 - Key Point 1: Japan's unemployment rate for June will be released at 07:30 [1] - Key Point 2: China's July S&P Global Manufacturing PMI will be announced at 09:45 [1] - Key Point 3: The National Development and Reform Commission will hold a press conference at 10:00 [1] Group 2 - Key Point 1: The UK Nationwide House Price Index for July will be published at 14:00 [1] - Key Point 2: France's July Manufacturing PMI final value will be available at 15:50 [1] - Key Point 3: Germany's July Manufacturing PMI final value will be released at 15:55 [1] - Key Point 4: Eurozone's July Manufacturing PMI final value will be announced at 16:00 [1] - Key Point 5: The UK's July Manufacturing PMI final value will be published at 16:30 [1] Group 3 - Key Point 1: Eurozone's July CPI year-on-year preliminary value will be released at 17:00 [1] - Key Point 2: Eurozone's July CPI month-on-month preliminary value will be available at 17:00 [1] Group 4 - Key Point 1: The US unemployment rate for July will be announced at 20:30 [1] - Key Point 2: The US seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls for July will be released at 20:30 [1] - Key Point 3: The US average hourly earnings year-on-year for July will be published at 20:30 [1] - Key Point 4: The US average hourly earnings month-on-month for July will be available at 20:30 [1] - Key Point 5: The US July S&P Global Manufacturing PMI final value will be announced at 21:45 [1] - Key Point 6: The US July ISM Manufacturing PMI will be released at 22:00 [1] - Key Point 7: The US July University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index final value will be available at 22:00 [1] - Key Point 8: The US one-year inflation expectations final value for July will be published at 22:00 [1] - Key Point 9: The US June construction spending month-on-month will be released at 22:00 [1] Group 5 - Key Point 1: The total number of oil rigs in the US for the week ending August 1 will be announced at 01:00 the next day [1]

Group 1 - The article highlights the upcoming release of the US July ADP employment data, which is a key indicator of employment trends in the economy [1] - The Federal Reserve is set to announce its interest rate decision early tomorrow morning, which could have significant implications for financial markets and economic conditions [1]

Group 1 - The article highlights the upcoming release of important economic data, including the FHFA House Price Index for May and the S&P/CS 20-City Composite Home Price Index year-over-year [1] - Additionally, the June JOLTs Job Openings data will also be published, which is crucial for understanding labor market dynamics [1]

Group 1 - Key Point 1: China's foreign exchange reserves for June are pending release, which may impact market sentiment and currency stability [1] - Key Point 2: Germany's industrial production for May is scheduled for release, with potential implications for the Eurozone's economic outlook [1] - Key Point 3: The UK Halifax house price index for June will be published, providing insights into the housing market trends [1] Group 2 - Key Point 1: The Eurozone's Sentix investor confidence index for July will be released, which could indicate investor sentiment and economic expectations [1] - Key Point 2: Eurozone retail sales for May are set to be announced, reflecting consumer spending trends [1] - Key Point 3: The global supply chain pressure index for June in the US will be published, which may highlight supply chain challenges affecting various industries [1]

Group 1 - Key Point 1: The total number of oil rigs in the US as of July 4 is a significant indicator for the energy sector [1] - Key Point 2: France's industrial production month-on-month change for May will provide insights into the manufacturing sector's performance [1] - Key Point 3: Switzerland's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for June is crucial for understanding labor market trends [1] Group 2 - Key Point 1: The regular policy briefing by the State Council may influence market expectations regarding economic policies [1] - Key Point 2: The month-on-month change in the Eurozone's Producer Price Index (PPI) for May is essential for assessing inflationary pressures in the region [1]