Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][7] Core Insights - The company's Q3 performance shows improvement in wind conditions year-on-year, with a rich pipeline of projects driving growth [7] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 10,035 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.29%, while net profit attributable to the parent company was 1,989 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.17%, aligning with expectations [7] - The company has a strong project pipeline, including multiple ongoing projects that are expected to enhance growth potential [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025 are 14,428 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -0.9% [3] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted at 3,047 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 9.1% [3] - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.10 yuan in 2025, with a projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 9 [3] - The company’s gross margin is projected to be 29.6% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 11.1% [3] Operational Highlights - Wind power generation for the first three quarters reached 39.22 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 7.09%, with Q3 wind power generation at 10.55 billion kWh, up 3.76% year-on-year [7] - The company’s thermal power generation decreased by 5.50% year-on-year to 131.53 billion kWh in the first three quarters, but lower coal prices have improved profitability [7] - The company is actively investing in new projects, including a 656 MW offshore wind project and a 1.2 million kW pumped storage power station, which will enhance its clean energy portfolio [7]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese real estate market has entered a downward trend since the second half of 2021, affecting cities from lower-tier to major cities like Beijing and Shanghai, with significant price adjustments observed [1][9]. Real Estate Market Trends - The real estate market in China has seen a notable decline, with prices in first-tier cities like Shanghai dropping from over 100,000 yuan per square meter to around 70,000 yuan [1]. - Lower-tier cities are facing severe challenges due to population outflow and economic structure issues, leading to potential oversupply and value depreciation in the next decade [9]. Bank Deposit Rates - Bank deposit rates have been on a continuous decline since 2021, with three-year deposit rates dropping from over 4% to below 3% in 2023, reaching historical lows [3]. - The decreasing deposit rates raise concerns about the relative value of real estate versus bank deposits over a ten-year horizon [5]. Investment Considerations - Investing 1 million yuan in first-tier cities may only cover a down payment, leading to long-term loan burdens and risks of significant asset depreciation due to potential market corrections [8]. - In contrast, holding 1 million yuan in bank deposits offers more security, as the principal and interest are less likely to suffer losses compared to high-priced real estate [11]. Liquidity Comparison - The liquidity of bank deposits is significantly higher than that of real estate, as evidenced by the surge in second-hand housing listings in major cities, indicating investor caution and a desire to liquidate assets [11]. - The ability to quickly convert real estate into cash is limited, especially in a declining market, making bank deposits a more favorable option for liquidity [11].