资金跷跷板效应
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宏观与大宗商品周报:冠通期货研究报告-20251117
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2025-11-17 11:48
冠通期货研究报告-- 宏观与大宗商品周报 冠通期货研究咨询部王静 执业资格证书编号:F0235424/Z0000771 发布时间:2025年11月17日 投资有风险,入市需谨慎,本公司具备期货交易咨询业务资格,请务必阅读最后一页免责声明。 分析师王静:F0235424/Z0000771 投资有风险,入市需谨慎。 分析师王静:F0235424/Z0000771 投资有风险,入市需谨慎。 市场综述 最近,美国政府结束停摆,市场心态各异,资产走势分化。AI泡沫化的争议再起,避险资产黄金与比特币的高位回落引发 市场担忧,投资者风险偏好下行,波动率VIX指数小幅抬升。全球主要股市涨跌互现,A股高位回落领跌,恒生指数涨幅居前, BDI指数上扬,美债收益率走升而美元指数小幅回落,非美货币多数走强。大宗商品多数上涨,贵金属企稳反弹后高位震荡, 铜价与油价小幅反弹。 国内债市多数收跌近弱远强、股指多数收跌,商品大类板块涨跌互现多数收涨;股市多数收跌,成长型风格表现相对更弱, 上证50表现抗跌逆势收平;国内商品大类板块涨跌互现普遍收涨,Wind商品指数周度涨跌幅3.92%,10个商品大类板块指数中6 个收涨4个收跌。具体商品大类 ...
指数猛跌猛拉 追涨杀跌都需谨慎
Chang Sha Wan Bao· 2025-09-23 13:26
Market Performance - A-shares experienced wide fluctuations on September 23, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.18% to 3821.83 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.29% to 13119.82 points, and the ChiNext Index up 0.21% to 3114.55 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 24.944 trillion yuan, an increase of 372.9 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Most industry sectors declined, with banking, shipping ports, and semiconductor sectors showing the highest gains, while tourism, real estate services, small metals, medical services, software development, and automotive services faced the largest declines [1] Investor Sentiment - Analysts suggest that the early drop in the market was influenced by the upcoming National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, leading to profit-taking behavior, especially among leveraged funds [2] - The rebound in the afternoon indicates that some investors remain optimistic about the future of A-shares, willing to buy the dip despite the earlier declines [2] - The significant increase in trading volume suggests that major funds may be creating panic to shake out weaker hands before the holiday [2] Company Insights - Xiangdian Co., Ltd. (湘电股份) saw its stock hit the daily limit, with only 24 out of 147 stocks in Hunan province rising [3] - The company specializes in the development, production, and sales of large and medium-sized AC and DC motors, as well as electric vehicles and related systems [3] - For the first half of 2025, the company reported earnings per share of 0.14 yuan and a net profit of 188.4351 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 12.98% [3] - Xiangdian is the sole producer and supplier of all-electric propulsion systems for naval vessels and electromagnetic catapult systems for aircraft carriers in China, holding a 100% market share domestically [3]
开盘,有资金似乎跑了,为何A股还意外飘红?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-23 08:54
Core Viewpoint - The market opened lower today, which was unexpected given the previous Friday's positive close in Hong Kong stocks, indicating a potential upward trend that did not materialize [1] Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index opened down by 1%, while the Shanghai Composite Index was down approximately 0.3% [1] - Despite the initial low opening, the Hang Seng Index turned positive, rising by 0.27% after 11:14 AM, and the Shanghai Composite Index also showed gains, with over 3,600 stocks rising [2][4] Investor Sentiment - The initial low opening was attributed to fears stemming from the escalation of conflict between Israel and Iran, particularly the U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, which raised concerns about potential global market impacts [1][2] - Some investors appeared to have exited the market during pre-opening trading due to these geopolitical tensions, reflecting a cautious sentiment [2][4] A-Share Resilience - Despite the external uncertainties, A-shares managed to remain in the green, suggesting an increasing attractiveness of the A-share market compared to the previously high-performing Hong Kong stocks [4][5] - The current market dynamics indicate a potential shift of funds back to A-shares as investors seek stability amid external volatility [4] Sector Focus - The technology sector is highlighted as a strong performer, with expectations that it will not be absent from any upcoming market rallies, given its prolonged adjustment period [6]