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轮胎行业专题报告(2025年6月):橡胶等原料价格继续下降,赛轮发布液体黄金轮胎时尚系
Xinda Securities· 2025-07-04 14:46
Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook for the tire industry, particularly highlighting the stability in demand and the introduction of new products by key players like Sailun [5][6]. Core Insights - The tire industry is experiencing a decline in raw material prices, which is expected to benefit manufacturers [5][8]. - Sailun has launched a new product line, the Liquid Gold tire fashion series, which includes innovative features [5][6]. - The U.S. tire retail sales remain robust, with a year-on-year increase of 3.53% in May 2025 [5][67]. - The import demand for tires in the U.S. shows a mixed performance, with semi-steel tire imports decreasing while full-steel tire imports are increasing significantly [5][76]. Summary by Sections Raw Materials - The tire raw material price index decreased to 152.76 in June 2025, down 2.63% month-on-month and 11.82% year-on-year [5][9]. - Natural rubber averaged 14,257 CNY/ton, down 4.67% month-on-month and 3.99% year-on-year [5][9]. - Styrene-butadiene rubber averaged 12,005 CNY/ton, down 3.64% month-on-month and 21.53% year-on-year [5][9]. Production and Export - In June 2025, the average operating rate for full-steel tires in China was 63.96%, up 5.61 percentage points year-on-year [5][26]. - The production of new inflatable rubber tires in China reached 101.99 million units in May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.20% [5][28]. Consumption - The replacement market for tires shows resilience, with stable demand in the U.S. [5][38]. - In June 2025, China's heavy truck sales were approximately 92,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 28.85% [5][55]. Shipping Costs - Shipping costs showed significant fluctuations in June 2025, impacting the overall cost structure for tire imports and exports [5][6]. Industry News - Sailun's participation in the Nürburgring endurance race resulted in a podium finish, showcasing the performance of their tires under challenging conditions [5][6].