Workflow
通胀危机
icon
Search documents
波黑《萨拉热窝时报》编译版:2025年通胀率超4%,民众艰难应对通胀危机
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2026-01-12 14:05
除了药品,公用事业费、木柴和电费也在持续上涨。自去年9月起,波黑联邦在实行新阶梯电价的同时 上调了居民电价;而在塞族共和国,由于电网费用增加,民众从2026年2月起电费账单上的价格又会进 一步上涨。 波黑《萨拉热窝时报》1月8日报道。波黑2025年底官方通胀率超过4%,但其对家庭预算的实际冲击远 超统计数据所示。 2025年底,以一个四口之家为标准的工会一篮子消费品价格已达3355马克,这意味着至少需要两份平均 工资才能覆盖一个家庭每月的基本开支。对于最低收入者和退休人员而言,2025年的退休金和最低工资 仅能勉强维持生存,许多人不得不依靠公共厨房解决三餐。由此可见,尽管官方通胀数据看似平缓,实 际上已给波黑大多数民众的日常生活刻下沉重烙印。(驻波黑使馆经商处) 波黑经济分析师佐兰·帕夫洛维奇警告称,以面包为例,与2021年相比,2025年的价格涨幅高达117%。 涨价潮还波及烘焙产品、肉类及基础食品,消费者不得不选择更廉价的替代品或减少购买量。养老金领 取者、最低工资收入者以及长期用药的慢性病患者受到的冲击尤为沉重。药房中,许多人购药的费用已 难以为继,部分民众坦言不得不自费购买原本医保覆盖的药物。 根据波 ...
美民众生活压力凸显 特朗普计划前往宾州宣传经济政策
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-07 03:46
美国总统特朗普计划于下周二前往宾夕法尼亚州,重点宣传其为降低通胀所做的努力。与此同时,就业 市场恶化的担忧日益加剧,且有迹象表明美国人仍在承受高物价带来的压力。 一位不愿具名的白宫官员表示,特朗普此次出行旨在讨论如何终结通胀危机,他称这场危机是从前总统 手中继承的。该官员未透露姓名是因为行程尚未正式宣布,目前也不清楚特朗普将访问宾夕法尼亚州的 具体地点。 上月的非大选年选举显示,随着美国公众对生活负担能力的担忧持续存在,选民开始疏远共和党。白宫 官员随后表示,国内公开活动相对较少的特朗普将更注重直接向公众宣传其经济政策。 "我们解决了通胀问题,而且几乎解决了所有问题,"特朗普在周二的内阁会议上表示。他称生活负担问 题是"民主党发起的骗局,而正是他们造成了物价上涨"。 特朗普去年以50.4%的得票率险胜宾夕法尼亚州,比民主党人卡玛拉・哈里斯多出约12万张选票。此次 胜利是他在关键摇摆州全面获胜的一部分,帮助他在2020年失利后重返白宫。 AP VoteCast对2024年选举选民的广泛调查显示,70%的宾夕法尼亚州选民"非常关注"食品和杂货价格, 约半数选民对医疗保健费用和汽油价格表达了同等程度的担忧。 尽管特 ...
美国薪资增速放缓国际银偏空
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-11-21 06:53
Group 1 - International silver is currently trading below $49.72, having opened at $50.68 and reaching a high of $50.84 and a low of $49.38, indicating a short-term sideways trend [1] - The recent non-farm payroll report from the U.S. Labor Department shows that average hourly earnings in the private sector rose by 0.2% month-over-month in September, a slowdown compared to the 0.3% increases in August and July, suggesting wage growth is below post-pandemic inflation levels [3] - The White House Press Secretary stated that the strong non-farm report demonstrates significant progress under President Trump's agenda, contrasting with wage declines attributed to the Democratic administration [3] Group 2 - International silver experienced volatility, rising to $52.5 earlier in the week before retreating to $49.5, indicating a potential trading range between $49.5 and $52.5, with opportunities for bullish positions if it falls to $49.5 [4] - The analysis suggests that the current trading pattern for silver indicates a period of consolidation, with resistance levels at $51 and $52.5, encouraging patience for potential rebounds [4]
特朗普要给每人发2000美元!“关税红包”恐成通胀炸弹
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-11-11 06:33
Core Points - President Trump announced a plan to distribute "at least $2000 per person" to all Americans except "high-income individuals," funded by tariff revenues [1][3] - The bipartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) warned that the proposed distribution could exceed potential tariff revenue [1][8] - Economic experts express concerns that this initiative may lead to inflation similar to that experienced during the pandemic stimulus payments [1][8] Group 1: Proposal Details - The proposed "tariff dividend" could cover approximately 85% of American adults, amounting to about 220 million people [7] - Individuals earning up to $75,000, families earning up to $112,500, and married couples earning up to $150,000 would receive the full amount [7] - The plan lacks specific details on implementation and the definition of "high-income individuals" [3] Group 2: Economic Implications - Historical data suggests that large cash distributions can lead to significant inflation, as seen during the pandemic [8] - The CRFB estimates the total cost of the proposed dividend could reach $600 billion, while current tariff revenues are only $195 billion [8][9] - Experts argue that the plan could exacerbate the national debt, which is nearing $40 trillion, and criticize the irresponsibility of using fiscal revenue for cash distributions [9]
乌克兰货币购买力持续蒸发,月内二次贬值,通胀危机一触即发
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-26 18:51
Core Points - The Ukrainian National Bank announced a devaluation of the hryvnia against the US dollar, adjusting the official exchange rate from 41.8970:1 to 41.9969:1, marking the second devaluation in October and the lowest rate in nearly a year [1][6][12] - The devaluation is seen as a necessary step to secure new financing from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which has made exchange rate adjustments a prerequisite for new loans [6][8] - The economic situation in Ukraine is dire, with inflation pressures leading to increased costs of living, particularly for essential goods, and a significant portion of the population relying on humanitarian aid [3][12][21] Economic Impact - The devaluation has resulted in a cumulative depreciation of 2.08% in October, with the hryvnia's value dropping significantly since earlier in the month [6][12] - Inflation rates have surged, with food prices increasing by 23.9% year-on-year as of August 2025, and basic items like eggs tripling in price over the past 18 months [3][17] - The unemployment rate exceeds 15%, and income disparities are stark, with average salaries in Kyiv around $983 compared to $473 in Kirovohrad [3][12] Shadow Economy - In response to economic pressures, a shadow economy has emerged, encompassing unreported cash transactions for services, which now account for 30% of GDP [4][21] Fiscal and Trade Deficits - Ukraine faces a budget deficit rate of 20% in 2025, heavily influenced by high defense spending, which constitutes 31% of GDP [12][14] - The trade deficit has reached historic levels, exacerbated by a reliance on imports for reconstruction and basic needs, while export capabilities are weakened due to ongoing conflict [14][21] Monetary Policy Challenges - The central bank has maintained a high benchmark interest rate of 15.5% to combat inflation, which remains above the target of 5% [19][21] - The balance between stimulating the economy and controlling inflation presents a significant challenge for the central bank, especially amid external pressures and market expectations of further devaluation [19][21] Conclusion - The situation in Ukraine reflects a complex interplay of currency devaluation, economic hardship, and the need for international support, with the potential for future challenges in achieving economic stability and addressing the needs of the population [21]
市场消息:伊朗面包价格暴涨50%,通胀危机加深。
news flash· 2025-07-30 13:10
Core Insights - Iran's bread prices have surged by 50%, indicating a deepening inflation crisis in the country [1] Economic Impact - The significant increase in bread prices reflects broader economic challenges and rising costs of living for consumers in Iran [1] - This inflationary pressure may lead to increased social unrest and dissatisfaction among the population [1] Industry Implications - The surge in bread prices could impact the food industry, particularly bakeries and suppliers, as they adjust to rising costs [1] - Potential shifts in consumer behavior may occur as individuals seek alternative food sources or reduce consumption [1]
美国最大港口货物量骤减35%,航运业受创初显
Hu Xiu· 2025-05-09 06:33
Group 1: Impact of Tariffs on Shipping Industry - The first batch of ships carrying goods subject to a 145% tariff is arriving in the U.S., indicating a significant impact on the shipping industry [1] - The Port of Los Angeles, which relies heavily on trade with China, has seen a 35% decrease in business volume compared to the same period last year, affecting truck drivers and dock workers [1][2] - The decline in imports is expected to lead to product shortages and rising prices, exacerbating inflation in the U.S. economy [1][2] Group 2: Economic Consequences - The shipping slowdown is anticipated to affect the broader economy, leading to empty store shelves and a halt in hiring and investment [2] - The U.S. consumer price index (CPI) has risen from 257.97 in January 2020 to 308.41 by December 2024, reflecting ongoing inflationary pressures [2] Group 3: Customs Warehousing Trends - Customs warehouses near ports are experiencing increased activity as U.S. importers store goods there to potentially avoid high tariffs in the short term [3] - These warehouses, typically used for transshipment or duty-free stores, are now being utilized to navigate the uncertainties of U.S. trade policies [3] Group 4: Shipbuilding Industry Developments - The U.S. is attempting to revitalize its nearly non-existent shipbuilding industry, with Hanwha Marine acquiring the Philly Shipyard for $100 million [4] - Hanwha plans to build LNG carriers in the U.S., marking the first such construction in American shipyards since the 1970s [5] Group 5: Challenges in LNG Shipbuilding - Building LNG carriers is considered one of the most complex and technically demanding projects in shipbuilding, requiring significant investment and long-term industry experience [6] - The U.S. currently lacks any compliant LNG carriers, and the construction of such vessels is projected to take decades and substantial capital [6] - The cost of building LNG ships in the U.S. is significantly higher than in countries like South Korea or China, posing profitability challenges for projects [6]
自由党赢得加拿大大选,如何应对美国的“吞并威胁”?|国际识局
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-04-29 07:09
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the Canadian Liberal Party, led by Carney, won the federal election held on April 28, reversing a significant deficit in public support against the Conservative Party [1] - The election was characterized as the "shortest and most significant" in Canadian history, lasting only 36 days, which is the minimum required by Canadian election law [1] - The Liberal Party's long-standing position as a dominant political force in Canada, having governed for nearly 90 years since 1896, contributed to its ability to recover from a previous decline in public support [2] Group 2 - Carney, who succeeded Trudeau as Prime Minister, is viewed as a suitable leader for the current political climate in Canada, with a strong background in finance and economics, which reassured voters concerned about inflation [3] - Carney's relatively loose ties to the previous Trudeau administration allowed him to distance himself from its economic failures, while his commitment to more conservative economic policies resonated with voters seeking change [3] - The pressure from the United States, particularly following Trump's remarks about Canada, sparked a surge in patriotic sentiment among Canadian voters, leading to a recovery in support for the Liberal Party [4][6] Group 3 - The deterioration of U.S.-Canada relations under Trump's presidency, marked by his comments about Canada being the "51st state," galvanized Canadian voters to support the Liberal Party's strong stance against such threats [5][6] - The Conservative Party, led by Poilievre, faced challenges due to its alignment with Trump's right-leaning rhetoric, which alienated it from mainstream Canadian public opinion [3][6] - The election is seen as pivotal for Canada's future, with the winning party needing to address U.S. tariffs and threats while ensuring Canada remains a strong and free nation [6]