1月9日：上交易日周四（1月8日）：国际黄金触底回升垂线收阳，仍处于中轨及短期均线之上，显示仍 有再度走强的前景，但日内周期处于调整走盘，短期或陷入震荡波动，但那方向仍看好继续刷新高点的 观点不变。 具体走势上，金价自亚市开于4459.68美元/盎司，先行偏强运行后转回落走低，延续到亚盘尾及美盘初 处于持续震荡行情，并在欧盘尾录得日内低点4407.55美元，最终触底回升，并到美盘尾再度拉升刷新 日高点录得4479.20美元，并持稳收于4477.11美元，日振幅71.65美元，收涨17.43美元，涨幅0.39%。 影响上，日内受到周三遇阻回落压力，以及芝商所近期第三次上调贵金属期货保证金，以及美盘初数据 好于预期等利空压力，打压金价持续走低，但由于支撑买盘推动，以及周初请数据仍高于前值，美国10 月批发销售月率疲软利好，再加上美联储理事呼吁今年降息150个基点，美国大使馆警告：未来几天乌 克兰或遭受一次大规模空袭等，金价触底回升转强收阳。 展望今日周五（1月9日）：国际黄金开盘先行窄幅偏弱波动，受到连续走强的美元指数，以及市场对于 非农就业数据预期利空的忧虑，还有本周将启动的彭博商品指数年度调整，预计将对金价构 ...

张尧浠：非农及指数调整来袭、金价多头风险与机会并存 上交易日周四(1月8日)：国际黄金触底回升垂线收阳，仍处于中轨及短期均线之上，显示仍有再度走强的前景，但日内周期处于调整走盘，短期或陷入震 荡波动，但那方向仍看好继续刷新高点的观点不变。 具体走势上，金价自亚市开于4459.68美元/盎司，先行偏强运行后转回落走低，延续到亚盘尾及美盘初处于持续震荡行情，并在欧盘尾录得日内低点 4407.55美元，最终触底回升，并到美盘尾再度拉升刷新日高点录得4479.20美元，并持稳收于4477.11美元，日振幅71.65美元，收涨17.43美元，涨幅 0.39%。 影响上，日内受到周三遇阻回落压力，以及芝商所近期第三次上调贵金属期货保证金，以及美盘初数据好于预期等利空压力，打压金价持续走低，但由于 支撑买盘推动，以及周初请数据仍高于前值，美国10月批发销售月率疲软利好，再加上美联储理事呼吁今年降息150个基点，美国大使馆警告：未来几天 乌克兰或遭受一次大规模空袭等，金价触底回升转强收阳。 展望今日周五(1月9日)：国际黄金开盘先行窄幅偏弱波动，受到连续走强的美元指数，以及市场对于非农就业数据预期利空的忧虑，还有本周将启动的 ...

从消息面看 展望黄金后市操作： 下方多单：激进者依托 4150 美元/盎司支撑位，企稳后在 4165-4175 美元/盎司附近参与做多； 稳妥者依托 4000 美元/盎司支撑位，在 4025-4035 美元/盎司再参与做多； 上方空单：激进者依托 4350 美元/盎司压制，承压后在 4340-4330 美元/盎司参与做空； 稳妥者依托 4400 美元/盎司压力位，在 4385-4375 美元/盎司再参与做空； 美联储美联储降息扩表提供流动性支撑，美国 CPI 数据低于预期推升降息预期，叠加俄乌冲突避险需求，支撑金价高位运行。多家投行看多 2026 年金价至 5000 美元，但短期需警惕超买回调与股市波动引发的流动性抛售风险。 从技术面来上看： ❶：日线级别上:国际黄金日线级别呈多头排列，金价站稳 4300 关口，5/10/20 日均线支撑强劲。RSI 中性偏强，MACD 零轴上方金叉，多头动能犹在但需 防超买回调。 ❷：4小时级别上:国际黄金 4 小时级别呈高位震荡，均线多头排列，布林带收口运行。MACD 零轴上方死叉运行中，RSI 超买回落，警惕金价超买回落需 求。 ❸：1小时级别上:国际黄金 1 小时级别 ...

Core Viewpoint - The international gold price is expected to experience a period of adjustment and potential upward movement in the coming month, with current market conditions indicating a possible recovery after recent declines [1][5][6]. Price Movement Summary - On October 22, gold opened at $4124.66 per ounce, reached a low of $4004.11, and then rebounded to a high of $4161.10 before closing at $4098.24, resulting in a daily decline of $26.42 or 0.64% [1][3]. - The price volatility for the day was $156.99, indicating significant market fluctuations [1]. Market Influences - Investor profit-taking ahead of key U.S. inflation data and optimism regarding U.S.-China trade negotiations contributed to downward pressure on gold prices, which found support near the $4000 mark [3]. - Ongoing U.S. government shutdown concerns and geopolitical tensions have created a mixed market environment, leading to cautious investor behavior [3][6]. Future Outlook - Short-term expectations suggest that gold prices will remain in a range-bound adjustment phase, with a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut of 25 basis points anticipated on October 30 [5][6]. - If the government shutdown is resolved before the rate decision, gold prices may stabilize and begin to recover by November [5]. Technical Analysis - On a monthly chart, gold prices are currently facing resistance near the upper Bollinger Band and may test support levels around $3945 [7]. - Weekly analysis indicates potential further declines towards $3800, but any drop could present a buying opportunity due to nearby support levels [8]. - Daily charts show a bullish reversal pattern, suggesting a possible rebound, although prices remain below the 5-10 day moving averages, indicating prevailing bearish sentiment [10]. Support and Resistance Levels - Key support levels for gold are identified at $4040 and $3940, while resistance levels are at $4166 and $4220 [10]. - For silver, support is noted at $47.30 and $46.60, with resistance at $49.00 and $49.80 [10].

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices reached a new historical high of 4180, followed by a significant drop to 4090, which is a critical support level for future movements [1] Group 1: Price Movements - The recent surge in gold prices was approximately 240 dollars, moving from a support level of 3944 to a peak of 4180 [1] - The current key level is 4090, which serves as both a support point and the upper boundary of the ascending channel [1][2] - If prices fall below 4090, the next focus will be on the 4065 level, followed by the critical 4035 area [1][2] Group 2: Support and Resistance Levels - The 4090 area is highlighted as a significant point due to its role as a recent support and the upper line of the ascending channel [2] - The dual resistance lines on the hourly chart are crucial, with the upper line currently at 4035, which is near the four-hour life line [2][3] - The 4140 level is identified as a key resistance; if prices can stay above this level, further upward movement towards 4180 is possible [3] Group 3: Trading Strategy - A strategy is suggested to short positions if prices fall below 4140, with specific entry points identified around 4135-4137 and 4128 [3] - The importance of timing in trading is emphasized, with a potential price movement of 80-100 dollars expected upon initiation [2] - If prices stabilize above 4145, a more cautious approach is recommended, as further upward movement may occur [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold prices are experiencing a rebound due to support from the 5-day moving average and a halt in the previous day's decline, while the dollar index's bullish momentum is slowing down, providing some support for gold prices [1][3] - The dollar index has shown a strong rebound, breaking through the mid-band resistance, which suggests that short-term bullish momentum may continue, potentially exerting downward pressure on gold prices [3] - Gold prices are expected to face resistance around $3780, and until they close above this level, a period of consolidation or pullback is anticipated, with potential support from the 10-day or 30-day moving averages [3] Group 2 - Key economic data to watch includes initial jobless claims for the week ending September 20, the final value of the core PCE price index for Q2, August durable goods orders, and the annualized total of existing home sales for August, with a general market expectation leaning towards a favorable outlook for gold prices [3] - Despite the overall positive expectations for gold, the anticipated impact is expected to be limited, and gold prices are likely to encounter resistance near $3780 unless jobless claims data indicates a stronger-than-expected labor market [3] - Technical indicators suggest that gold prices are facing overbought conditions and weakening momentum, indicating potential for a pullback, although the main trend remains above the 5-10 day moving averages, suggesting a possibility for upward movement [3]

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have reached a new historical high of 3703, with market participants awaiting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision to influence further movements [1] Technical Analysis - The gold price continued its upward trend after breaking through the previous resistance level of 3660-3620, establishing a new support level at 3685 [1] - The price fluctuated around 3680 before making a further push towards 3698-3699, with a trading range of approximately 20 dollars [1] - The current price is at 3695, indicating potential for adjustment as it approaches the significant 3700 level [1] Market Sentiment - The market is anticipating the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and subsequent comments from Chairman Jerome Powell, which are expected to have a substantial impact on gold prices [1] - There is a cautious approach as the price nears the 3700 mark, with emphasis on risk management and stop-loss strategies [1] Future Outlook - If the price maintains above 3700, the next resistance levels to watch are 3715-3720 and then 3740 [1] - Should the price face downward pressure below 3700, the focus will shift to the 10-day moving average at 3668 as a potential support level [1] - The strategy involves waiting for a breakout above 3700 while maintaining a defensive position at the early low [1]

Core Viewpoint - The international gold market shows signs of limited pullback despite a weakening bullish momentum, with expectations for a rebound remaining strong, particularly if prices drop to support levels around $3500 or $3450 [1][3]. Price Movement - On September 4, gold opened at $3560.94 per ounce, reached a high of $3563.88, then fell to a low of $3511.28 before closing at $3545.57, marking a daily fluctuation of $52.6 and a decline of $15.37 or 0.43% [3][5]. - The price movement was influenced by a stabilizing dollar index, technical adjustments, and profit-taking at historical highs, but was supported by buying on dips and positive economic data [3][5]. Economic Indicators - Key economic indicators to watch include the U.S. unemployment rate, adjusted non-farm payrolls for August, and average hourly wage growth, which are expected to be favorable for gold prices [5]. - The market anticipates that if these indicators are positive, gold may initially decline before rebounding [5]. Technical Analysis - The weekly chart indicates that gold has tested the mid-band support for the fourth time since last year's rise, with an overall upward trend remaining intact despite potential pullbacks [7]. - The daily chart suggests that as long as gold does not close below the 5-day moving average, bullish momentum is expected to continue, with key support levels at $3535 or $3524 and resistance at $3573 or $3590 [9]. Future Outlook - The outlook for gold remains bullish, with potential targets of $3700 and $4000 in sight, contingent on market conditions and economic data [7][9].

Core Viewpoint - The outlook for gold prices is bullish, supported by fundamental factors and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][6]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - On August 28, international gold prices rebounded after reaching key support levels, with a closing price of $3,416.65 per ounce, reflecting a daily increase of $18.48, or 0.54% [4]. - The gold price is expected to test resistance around $3,348 in the short term, with strong support from various moving averages [2]. - Despite some weakening in bullish momentum, the overall trend remains upward, with potential for new highs [4][11]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - The dollar index has declined, which typically supports gold prices, as the market anticipates further weakness in the dollar [6]. - Upcoming economic data releases, including the U.S. core PCE price index and consumer confidence index, are expected to influence market sentiment, although the overall expectation leans towards a bearish impact on gold [7]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The gold price has maintained stability above the 60-day and 100-day moving averages, indicating a strong bullish trend [11]. - Key support levels to watch include $3,397 and $3,380, while resistance is noted at $3,431 and $3,449 [12]. - Historical patterns suggest that after a period of adjustment, gold prices are likely to rise again, with significant support at $3,270 and $3,220 [9].

Group 1 - The international gold price opened at $3373.95, with a daily fluctuation of $64.39, closing at $3351.92, reflecting a slight decline of 0.59% [1] - The gold price remains in a consolidation phase around the $3400 level, indicating strong resistance above this point [3][4] - The recent ADP employment data and initial jobless claims suggest a weakening labor market, contributing to the ongoing sideways movement of gold prices as the market awaits non-farm payroll data [3] Group 2 - Silver prices have surged past the $35 mark, reaching a 13-year high of $36.07, indicating a strong upward trend following a month of consolidation [6] - The breakout above $35 is expected to open further upward movement towards the $40 target, with current support levels at $35.3 and $35 [6] - Key resistance levels for gold are identified at $3368 and $3400, while silver faces resistance at $36 and potential further gains if it breaks above this level [6]