张尧浠：金价反弹目标如期触及、3500阻力转支撑 上交易日周二(9月2日)：国际黄金得益于避险情绪和降息预期的持续升温，继续强势反弹收阳，如期触及给出的扩展线阻力目标位，并连续第6日收取阳 线，再度刷新历史高点，多头动力持稳，后市来看仍有继续走强的空间和趋势，但目前触及目标阻力，也需警惕回调的风险，那么在进一步反弹突破周二 高点之前，留意遇阻回撤至3450或3400美元附近支撑的再度入场看涨机会。 具体走势上，金价自亚市开于3475.85美元/盎司，先行走强触及3508美元附近后，遇阻回落，延续至欧盘初触及日内低点3470.17美元，之后止跌震荡回 升，并到美盘开盘，多头再度发力，持续拉升，延续至盘尾如期触及看涨目标，刷历史高点，录得日内高点3539.59美元，最终有所遇阻回撤，收于 3533.15美元，日振幅69.42美元，收涨57.3美元，涨幅1.65%。 展望今日周三(9月3日)：国际黄金开盘延续昨日尾盘的阻力压制产生的获利了结和阻力看空需求，而先行表现走弱，并且也是反弹冲出布林带上轨之外的 正常回落调整； 同时多头也受到昨日美元指数昨日止跌强势反弹收阳，和今日早盘的偏强运行，限制了金价多头。令金价在阻 ...

张尧浠：基本面因素利好交织、金价看涨新高前景加强 上交易日周四(8月28日)：国际黄金如期触及给出的看涨支撑位以及5日均线支撑后，再度反弹走强收阳，随着美联储理事库克正式起诉特朗普，市场继续 评估美联储独立性面临的威胁，再加上美联储理事沃勒表示支持美联储9月会议降息25个基点，预计未来3—6个月将进一步降息。继续推动金价走强。 目前稳于60日等众多均线支撑上方，多头动力加大，短期则有望进一步触及3348美元附近阻力目标； 虽然，现在多头动力有所减弱，有维持震荡模式走回落的行情，但就算遇阻回落，鉴于低点在不断上移，所以，如回落走低，下方60日或100日均线支 撑，也是再度看涨入场的机会，仍将等待向上攀升刷新历史高点； 如有走低或维持震荡调整格局继续震荡，下方支撑关注之前数周震荡区间的底部支撑3270美元附近，以及30周均线支撑位置3220美元附近。也是入场看涨 的机会。 具体走势上，金价自亚市开于3398.17美元/盎司，先行走低于10点时段触及日内低点3384.45美元，之后走势转回升反弹，震荡上行，一直延续到美盘尾录 得日内高点3422.69美元，最终多头有所遇阻回撤，收于3416.65美元，日振幅38.2 ...

张尧浠：金价看涨前景加强、周尾留意数据短线调整风险 上交易日周三(8月27日)：国际黄金先跌后反弹，随着美联储独立性危机加剧和触及日内支撑的再度看涨入场，多头再度发力最终垂线收涨，维持着近期 的反弹趋势和多头动力，虽然ZZ指标显示触顶，但下方均线支撑众多，近几个月的走势前景依然处于看涨形态，故此，操作上，仍还是保持低多看涨不 变，等待阻力的突破，和刷新历史新高。 具体走势上，金价自亚市开于3393.50美元/盎司，先行走低，于午间及欧盘时段触及日内低点3373.48美元，并维持在此上方进行12美元左右的区间震荡， 到美盘时段，多头力量再度加大，连续反弹回升，并转强，录得日内高点3398.30美元，最终持稳于日开盘价上方盘整，收于3396.82美元，日振幅24.82美 元，收涨3.32美元，涨幅0.098%。 展望今日周四(8月28日)：国际黄金亚市早盘先行窄幅波动，交易清淡，将陆续等待时间的推移，加大波动，其走势上，整体处于近几个月的震荡三角形 态趋势之内，且前景上，仍偏向向上突破； 基本面上，在美国总统特朗普试图解雇一名美联储理事之后，市场对美联储独立性的担忧挥之不去支撑金价；并且贝森特称肯定会在秋季知晓特 ...

张尧浠：9月大幅降息预期突转缩减、金价短期难逃调整区间 上交易日周四(8月14日)：国际黄金反弹遇阻回落收跌，多头未能持稳，其普京暗示或会与美国达成新的军备协议，减弱了避险情绪，以及美联储官员反驳9 月大幅降息的预期，美国7月PPI环比大增0.9%！创三年来最大增幅，或暗示未来几个月通胀将普遍上升，减弱9月降息前景，令金价再度跌至中轨及60日均 线下方，空头力量加大，有望觊觎再度回踩100日均线支撑后再去看涨反弹。 具体走势上，金价自亚市开于3356.68美元/盎司，先行走强于8点半时段录得日内高点3374.58美元，之后遇阻并保持震荡下行模式发展，延续到美盘尾时段 录得日内低点3329.84美元，最终有所止跌，收于3335.26美元，日振幅44.74美元，收跌21.42美元，跌幅0.64%。 展望今日周五(8月15日)：国际黄金开盘先行表现偏弱，昨日的回落压力和利好因素的减弱，对其金价产生卖盘打压； 另外，美元指数，日图走势昨日反弹收涨，收复本周跌幅，未能持稳跌破近期的回升趋势支撑，使得后市仍有再度反弹走强的预期，周图走势虽运行在中轨 下方，但布林带处于缩口之际，附图指标维持较大空间的看涨信号和前景来看，后 ...

张尧浠：美联储决议携手非农、金价偏震荡或走强为主 上交易日周二(7月29日)：国际黄金受到周一的止跌形态，以及回踩上升趋势线支撑的买盘入场，而反弹收阳，但仍处于中轨等均线阻力下方，空头仍占 据优势，后市需进一步走强收阳至中轨上方才能加大看涨预期，否则将有再度回落触及100日均线的风险。 具体走势上，金价自亚市开于3314.51美元/盎司，日内整体保持震荡上行的模式发展，于亚盘时段录得日内低点3307.89美元，于美盘时段录得日内高点 3333.88美元，最终收于3326.33美元，日振幅25.99美元，收涨11.82美元，涨幅0.36%。 影响上，一方面受到技术支撑的买盘推动，另一方面，中美也在继续推动交流，未有结果，美国与其主要贸易伙伴之间的贸易战正在减弱持乐观态度。以 及美国总统特朗普就乌克兰战争向俄罗斯施加更大压力，增加了避险情绪，再加上美联储传声筒"：美联储最终将需要继续降息，巩固了降息前景等等， 助力金价止跌。 故此，日内操作偏向高空看回落，或者是震荡走盘为主。 基本面上，美国贸易协定8月1日即将到期，但目前美国与部分各国已达成协议，中美谈判也在继续推进，即便是达成，对于金价来说，由于已经消化了乐 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing volatility due to rumors about the potential dismissal of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, which has led to fluctuations in gold prices, with expectations of further adjustments and potential upward movement towards the $3400 mark [1][3][5]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - On July 16, gold prices opened at $3324.52 per ounce, initially supported by buying pressure but later faced resistance, leading to a low of $3319.51 and a high of $3376.99 during the day [3][5]. - The final closing price for gold was $3347.41, reflecting a daily increase of $22.89, or 0.69%, with a trading range of $57.48 [3][5]. - The market is currently influenced by various economic indicators, including a surprising drop in the PPI, which has reduced inflationary pressures and bolstered expectations for interest rate cuts [5][6]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - Technically, gold prices have not broken below the 10-week moving average, indicating potential support and a possible entry point for bullish positions if prices decline further [8][10]. - The daily chart shows that gold is maintaining a triangular consolidation pattern, suggesting that after this period of volatility, there may be an upward movement, with key resistance levels at $3355 and $3366 [10]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - Upcoming economic data to watch includes initial jobless claims, retail sales, and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index, with expectations that most of these will exert downward pressure on gold prices [5]. - The market's reaction to Trump's denial of Powell's dismissal adds uncertainty, which may increase the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the fluctuations in gold prices influenced by geopolitical tensions, U.S. monetary policy, and market sentiment, indicating a potential bullish trend in the long term despite short-term volatility [1][3][5]. Group 1: Gold Price Movements - On June 23, gold opened over $20 higher but later fell, reaching a low of $3347.10 before recovering slightly to close at $3368.96, reflecting a daily fluctuation of $48.78 [1][3]. - The price was initially supported by geopolitical tensions but faced resistance due to profit-taking and comments from President Trump regarding a ceasefire between Israel and Iran [1][3]. - The outlook for June 24 suggests continued volatility, with gold prices expected to test previous lows while being supported by a declining U.S. dollar index [3][5]. Group 2: Economic Indicators and Central Bank Policies - Upcoming economic data releases, including the U.S. current account and consumer confidence index, are anticipated to positively impact gold prices [5]. - The article highlights that the market's focus is shifting back to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and the economic impact of tariffs, with expectations of potential interest rate cuts later in the year [5][6]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook for Gold - Despite short-term fluctuations, the long-term outlook for gold remains bullish, with expectations of prices potentially exceeding $4000 in the next year due to ongoing geopolitical risks and central bank gold purchases [6][7]. - The technical analysis indicates that gold prices are in a bullish trend, supported by moving averages, although there are concerns about a potential peak in the near term [9][11].

Core Viewpoint - The market is closely watching the upcoming US CPI data, with gold prices experiencing fluctuations and adjustments while maintaining a bullish outlook for the year [1][4][9]. Market Performance - On June 10, gold opened at $3325.40 per ounce, reached a low of $3301.75, and later peaked at $3348.78 before closing at $3322.33, reflecting a daily fluctuation of $47.03 and a slight decline of 0.092% [1]. - The market sentiment is cautious, influenced by strong US non-farm payroll data, which has bolstered the dollar and pressured gold prices [4][8]. Economic Indicators - The US CPI data is anticipated to rise, which may reduce interest rate cut expectations, potentially leading to a temporary decline in gold prices. However, this could also enhance gold's appeal as an inflation hedge [6][9]. - Current market conditions reflect a strong expectation for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, with a probability close to 60% [9]. Technical Analysis - Gold prices are currently in a bullish trend, supported by the upward trend line established since March, despite recent volatility [11][15]. - The monthly chart indicates that gold remains above the 5-month moving average, maintaining a bullish trend, while the weekly chart shows potential support at the middle band [13][15]. Future Outlook - The overall outlook for gold remains positive, with expectations of reaching $3500 or higher within the year, despite short-term fluctuations [6][9][15]. - The market is advised to look for buying opportunities during pullbacks, as the long-term trend remains bullish [11][15].

Core Viewpoint - The geopolitical situation is increasing demand for safe-haven assets, leading to a bullish outlook for gold prices, which have shown strong rebounds recently [1][3][8]. Market Performance - On May 20, gold prices opened at $3,230.66 per ounce, dipped to a low of $3,204.50, and then surged to a high of $3,295.52, closing at $3,289.70, marking a daily increase of $59.04 or 1.83% [1][3]. - The daily trading range was $91.02, indicating significant volatility and bullish momentum [1]. Geopolitical Influences - The announcement of new sanctions against Russia by the EU and the UK, along with tensions surrounding Iran, have heightened market concerns, driving up gold prices [3][8]. - Ongoing geopolitical risks, particularly in the Middle East, are expected to provide long-term support for gold prices [8]. Economic Indicators - The U.S. dollar index has fallen below short-term moving averages, which may provide further support for gold prices [3][8]. - Moody's downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating and IMF's forecast of slower U.S. economic growth compared to global growth are contributing to a decline in the dollar's attractiveness [8]. Technical Analysis - Gold prices are currently above the 5-10 month moving averages and are showing signs of a potential upward trend, with a focus on the $2,900 to $3,500 range for future movements [10][12]. - The daily chart indicates a rebound from key support levels, suggesting a bullish outlook for the near term [12][13]. Trading Strategy - Suggested trading levels include support at $3,275 or $3,255 and resistance at $3,330 or $3,350 for gold [12]. - For silver, support is noted at $32.90 or $32.75, with resistance at $33.35 or $33.70 [12].

Core Viewpoint - The international gold market is experiencing fluctuations due to geopolitical tensions and trade risks, with prices currently stabilizing around key support levels while awaiting a stronger upward movement [1][4][9]. Price Movement - On May 19, gold opened at $3218 per ounce, reached a low of $3206.49, and a high of $3249.60, closing at $3230.09, marking a daily increase of $12.09 or 0.38% [1]. - Compared to the previous week's closing price of $3198.78, gold rose by $31.31, reflecting a 0.98% increase [2]. Geopolitical and Economic Influences - The market is influenced by escalating geopolitical tensions and President Trump's comments on the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies, alongside Moody's downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating, which has heightened market risk aversion [4][9]. - The potential for renewed negotiations between Russia and Ukraine has reduced immediate demand for gold as a safe haven, contributing to price volatility [4][9]. Technical Analysis - The monthly chart indicates a strong resistance level, with the price remaining above the 5-10 month moving averages and a significant trendline support [6][11]. - The weekly chart shows that gold has not breached the 10-week moving average, suggesting a potential for a wide-ranging consolidation phase, with a focus on the $3100-$3440 range [13]. - The daily chart indicates that gold has rebounded from the ascending trendline and 60-day moving average support, with expectations for further upward movement as long as these support levels hold [15]. Market Outlook - The overall sentiment remains cautiously optimistic for gold prices to strengthen in the future, despite the current lack of strong bullish catalysts [8][9]. - The market will continue to be influenced by trade agreements and geopolitical developments, with gold expected to maintain a volatile trading pattern [6][9].