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【有色】钨:罕见供给收缩金属 上游矿企持续受益——钨行业深度报告(王招华/戴默/马俊/方驭涛/王秋琪/张寅帅)
光大证券研究· 2026-01-04 11:33
Core Viewpoint - Tungsten is a strategic resource for China, with significant global production and reserves, but the industry faces challenges due to low concentration and regulatory controls [4][5]. Group 1: Supply Dynamics - In 2023, China's tungsten concentrate production accounted for 80.77% of global output, with reserves at 52.27%, both ranking first in the world [4]. - The industry concentration is low, with a CR4 of 43.94% and a CR6 of 55.87%, indicating a need for consolidation [4]. - Future tungsten supply is expected to tighten due to three main factors: ongoing regulatory controls, a decrease in over-extraction, and declining ore grades over time [5]. Group 2: Demand Drivers - The domestic demand for tungsten in 2024 is projected to be split among hard alloys (58.51%), tungsten materials (22.61%), tungsten special steel (15.05%), and tungsten chemicals (3.83%) [6]. - The demand for tungsten in the military sector is anticipated to grow due to increased defense spending amid ongoing global conflicts [6]. - The photovoltaic sector is also a growth area, with tungsten wire usage expected to increase despite its smaller volume [6]. Group 3: Price and Market Impact - Short-term price increases in tungsten may lead to some substitution, but the overall demand impact is expected to be minimal [7]. - The supply-demand balance for tungsten is projected to remain tight, with supply deficits expected in the coming years: -3.78% in 2025, -4.61% in 2026, and -1.46% in 2027 for China [8]. - Global supply-demand gaps are also forecasted, indicating a sustained high price environment due to rising mining costs and environmental pressures [8].
钨价呈现暂稳横盘态势 废钨市场出现波动
人民财讯12月25日电,据"中钨在线"消息,钨价呈现暂稳横盘态势。元旦将至,资金面压力渐增,市场 购销活动随之减少。在此背景下,供应商获利回吐情绪有所抬头,废钨市场率先出现恐慌性波动,原生 料市场则多持观望态度。而中间贸易商与下游用户心态犹豫,既忧虑原料成本持续高企,又担心成为高 位接盘者,因而谨慎避险情绪为主。 钨废料市场上,获利套现引发的恐慌情绪逐步扩散,部分回收商开始压价或暂停收购,市场秩序出现一 定混乱。废钨棒材价格报650元/公斤,较年初涨195.5%;废钨钻头价格报620元/公斤,较年初涨 171.9%。 钨精矿市场上,持货商看涨预期依然坚定,尽管局部存在套现行为,但报价并未松动,整体行情保持稳 固。65%黑钨精矿价格报46.2万元/标吨,较年初涨223.1%;65%白钨精矿价格报46.1万元/标吨,较年初 涨224.7%。 ...
中钨高新(000657)2025年中报简析:营收净利润同比双双增长,盈利能力上升
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-28 14:20
Core Viewpoint - The recent financial report of Zhongtung High-tech (000657) shows a positive trend in revenue and profit growth, indicating improved profitability and operational efficiency [1][3]. Financial Performance - The total revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 7.849 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.09% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 510 million yuan, up 8.7% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, revenue was 4.457 billion yuan, reflecting a 2.76% increase compared to the same quarter last year [1]. - The gross profit margin improved to 21.18%, an increase of 5.03% year-on-year, while the net profit margin rose to 7.15%, up 8.07% year-on-year [1]. Cost and Expense Management - Total selling, administrative, and financial expenses amounted to 569 million yuan, accounting for 7.25% of revenue, a decrease of 5.33% year-on-year [1]. - The company reported a significant reduction in financial expenses by 42.34%, attributed to changes in the RMB exchange rate [4]. Cash Flow and Assets - Cash and cash equivalents increased significantly by 1128.46%, primarily due to the receipt of approximately 1.8 billion yuan in raised funds [4]. - The company’s cash flow from operating activities showed a negative value of -0.17 yuan per share, but improved by 35.22% year-on-year [1]. Market and Industry Insights - Tungsten prices have reached a historical high of 165,000 yuan per ton, supported by supply-demand dynamics and regulatory factors [7]. - The company has adjusted prices for some cutting tool products by 5-8%, affecting over 50% of overall sales, to balance costs and market conditions [8]. Investment and Shareholder Information - Major funds holding Zhongtung High-tech shares include E Fund Enhanced Return Bond A, with a holding of 10.5263 million shares [6]. - Analysts expect the company's performance in 2025 to reach 1.085 billion yuan, with an average earnings per share of 0.48 yuan [5].
中钨高新2025年中报简析:营收净利润同比双双增长,盈利能力上升
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-27 22:28
Core Viewpoint - The financial performance of Zhongtung High-tech (000657) shows positive growth in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating improved profitability and operational efficiency [1] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 7.849 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.09% compared to 7.614 billion yuan in 2024 [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 510 million yuan, up 8.7% from 470 million yuan in the previous year [1] - The gross margin improved to 21.18%, reflecting a 5.03% increase, while the net margin rose to 7.15%, an 8.07% increase [1] - The total of selling, administrative, and financial expenses was 569 million yuan, accounting for 7.25% of revenue, down 5.33% year-on-year [1] - Earnings per share increased to 0.24 yuan, a 3.97% rise from 0.23 yuan [1] Cash Flow and Debt Analysis - Cash and cash equivalents increased significantly by 1128.46%, primarily due to the receipt of approximately 1.8 billion yuan in raised funds [3] - The net cash flow from investing activities decreased by 240.4%, attributed to payments for acquiring equity and increased cash outflows for project construction [3] - The company’s interest-bearing debt rose to 4.044 billion yuan, a 5.43% increase from the previous year [1] Market and Industry Insights - Tungsten prices have reached a historical high of 165,000 yuan per ton, supported by supply-demand dynamics and regulatory factors [6] - The company benefits from high tungsten prices due to its ownership of quality mining resources and a focus on high-value-added products in its hard alloy segment [6] - The company has adjusted prices for some cutting tool products by 5-8%, affecting over 50% of its overall sales, to balance costs and market conditions [7] Fund Holdings - The largest fund holding Zhongtung High-tech is E Fund Enhanced Return Bond A, with 10.5263 million shares held [5] - Other notable funds include Guotai Junan Jinlong Industry Mixed Fund and Dachen Shengshi Selected Mixed A, which have recently increased their positions [5] Future Outlook - Analysts expect the company's performance in 2025 to reach 1.085 billion yuan in net profit, with an average earnings per share forecast of 0.48 yuan [4]