周度报告—碳酸锂 盘面转入震荡整理，下游买盘陆续释放 | 走势评级: | | --- | 向后看，供应端整体压力有限：本轮反弹过程中矿价跟涨节奏较 快、对应锂盐加工环节利润窗口并未显著开启，7-8 月国内碳酸 锂产量或是环比小幅增长、整体压力可控；且智利及阿根廷发运 维持低位，近两个月进口压力较此前显著降低。市场博弈的焦点 仍在于需求端，需持续跟踪现货市场的成交情况。 整体而言，需求端淡季不淡、矿价跟随盘面快速调涨，叠加新仓 单生成速度偏慢，短期内碳酸锂预计仍是震荡偏强运行；待本轮 预期差充分完成计价后，盘面或在中长期过剩压力下重回下行通 道。策略方面，短期建议关注逢低试多及正套机会，中线空单建 议等待更适宜时机入场。 ★风险提示 下游消费不及预期，新增产能建设进度与企业预期有所出入。 | [T走ab势le_评R级an：k] | 碳酸锂：震荡 | 陈祎萱 CFA | 高级分析师（有色金属） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 报告日期： | 2025 年 7 月 13 日 | 从业资格号： | F3074710 | | [Table_Summary] | | 投资咨询号： | Z001 ...

Core Viewpoint - Hainan Mining has signed a lithium spodumene off-take agreement with its wholly-owned subsidiary LMLB, which will enhance the company's competitiveness and influence in the new energy sector [1] Group 1 - The agreement stipulates that starting from January 1, 2026, all lithium spodumene produced from the Buguni lithium mine project phase one will be sold to Hainan Mining [1] - The agreement employs a base price mechanism, with the annual base price determined by a mutually agreed formula [1] - This agreement is a significant step in the company's ongoing integration of lithium mining and lithium salt processing business [1]