风险收益平衡

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广发基金宋倩倩:在严控风险基础上追求每一份收益的确定性
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-05-11 14:09
Core Viewpoint - The investment strategy emphasizes risk control while pursuing stable returns for investors, particularly in fixed income products [1][4]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The primary goal is to provide relatively stable returns for investors with a low to medium risk appetite, ensuring a strong focus on risk management [1]. - The investment approach combines macro perspectives with trading strategies, focusing on a core position in pure bonds to provide beta returns, while using interest rate fluctuations and convertible bonds to enhance alpha returns [4][5]. Group 2: Investment Strategy and Performance - The investment manager, Song Qianqian, has a background as a trader, which has ingrained a strong risk awareness and liquidity management skills [2]. - The performance of the managed products shows a high success rate, with 12 out of 14 quarters achieving positive returns, resulting in a quarterly success rate of 86% [1][3]. - The strategy involves dynamic adjustments based on market conditions, focusing on the relative value of assets, such as credit spreads and yield curves [5]. Group 3: Product Management - The managed products include a variety of fixed income funds, such as short-term and medium-term bond funds, with a focus on different risk profiles [1][2]. - The pure bond fund, favored by fund of funds (FOF), has a market value held by 42 FOFs amounting to 613 million yuan [3]. - The investment team employs a comprehensive research approach for convertible bonds, ensuring strict credit quality control and providing a curated pool for flexible allocation [6].
高收益债2025年一季度回顾及下阶段展望:高息资产稀缺性凸显,聚焦风险收益平衡精细化择券
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji· 2025-04-28 11:38
Core Insights - The high-yield bond market is experiencing a significant contraction, with a notable scarcity of high-interest assets, emphasizing the need for a refined balance between risk and return in bond selection [2][4][9] - The overall performance of high-yield bonds has been mixed, with net price indices generally declining, yet the wealth index shows a return that outperforms government and credit bonds [6][7][11] Market Performance - In the first quarter, the issuance of high-yield bonds was limited, with only 3 bonds issued totaling 1.41 billion, marking a year-on-year decrease of 86.36% [28][29] - The trading volume of high-yield bonds decreased by 39.55% to 58.72 billion, indicating a cooling market sentiment [33][39] - The net price index for high-yield bonds fell by 0.92%, reflecting the impact of market volatility and tightening monetary policy [12][21] Sector Analysis - The real estate sector is still in a recovery phase, with demand remaining weak and market confidence low, leading to significant valuation fluctuations in high-yield real estate bonds [21][26] - The coal industry is currently stable, with high-yield bonds primarily from state-owned enterprises showing relatively stable credit conditions, suggesting a cautious investment approach [5][21] - The chemical industry presents short-term opportunities with a safety margin, while the construction and real estate sectors lag in risk-adjusted returns [21][26] Regional Insights - Key regions such as Chongqing, Shandong, and Guangxi have shown relatively better risk-adjusted returns in high-yield bonds, while regions like Zhejiang and Jiangsu have underperformed [16][19] - The net price index for high-yield city investment bonds has generally declined, with significant drops in regions like Tianjin and Hunan [16][19] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to focus on high-yield city investment bonds with a good safety margin, particularly in areas where debt resolution progress is swift [5][11] - The strategy should include careful selection of bonds based on fundamental support, while maintaining a cautious stance towards longer-duration bonds in the real estate sector [5][21]
一个很特别的真实故事
猫笔刀· 2024-09-28 14:14
老婆昨天和我说,之前投城投债2年期的产品到期了,本金1000加利息(6.7%)已收到,暂时买了个3% 的理财过十一,节后我就要重新规划这笔钱的去向。 之前零星的聊过我有给家庭做财务配置规划,很多读者好奇,那今天正好说说这个。 我们家房产的比例不高,一共就北京一套,临海一套,不算投资,纯自住 , 现在房价跌了,加起来也 不到2000。剩下资产都是金融资产,股票、债券、期货、港美、股权、信托、黄金、加密货币,甚至还 投了一点非标玩票。 看似种类不少,但本质上还是可以根据风险级别来划分。比如年化预期收益在6%以下的算低风险资 产,6-15%的算中风险资产,15%以上的算高风险资产。 行情好的时候策略比较积极,按照1:3:6配置,行情不好的时候就保守一下,改为2:4:4,或者2:5:3。资 金会在同一个风险级别的不同项目里互通,但不会随意跨风险级别流动,比如a股减仓了可以加仓美 股,但债券赎回来的钱不会买股票。 所以最近赎回来的这笔钱也肯定是找债券类的标的,不会说看到a股行情好就往里加仓,只是这几年债 券资产收益率跌的很厉害,现在只能买到5%左右的,所以我会从这笔钱里抽出一部分去增持链上资 产,以提升整体的收益率。 ...