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长线思维下的文明演变及体制韧性
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-12-13 02:28
长线主义的落实不可能一蹴而就。本文希望将探讨和弘扬长线思维作为推动长线主义的一个起点,以此呼吁更多具有远见卓识的决策者、对子孙后代及地球 可持续发展负责的仁人志士,运用长线思维更好地应对人类当前面临的重大挑战。 长线思维视角下的两希文明演进 德国哲学家雅思贝尔斯(KarlJaspers)在其1949年出版的《历史的起源与目标》中提出了"轴心时代"(TheAxialAge)的概念。这一时代大约从公元前800年 持续到公元前200年,期间,希腊、希伯来、印度和中国四大文明在全球不同地区独立发展,为人类文明奠定了坚实基础,形成了人类社会发展的"主轴 (Axis)"。因此,这个时代被称为人类"轴心时代",这一时期的文明则被称为"轴心文明"。 尽管希腊的理性、希伯来的神性、印度的空性和中国的心性各有特色,但它们共同构成了人类心灵的摇篮,体现了人们对生死问题的终极关怀,并实现了超 越性突破,其影响延续至今。 在四大轴心文明中,希腊和希伯来文明相融合形成的"两希文明"推动了欧洲的文艺复兴运动,引发了宗教改革,孕育了启蒙思想并催生了科学革命。这一系 列变革使人类从神学及教权(下称"教权")和王权的束缚中解放出来,催生了理性的 ...
健康,是投资最大的“本金”
Group 1 - The core message emphasizes that health is the most significant capital in investment, as exemplified by the recent passing of Wang Guobin, a respected figure in value investing [1][4] - The article highlights that longevity is crucial for investment success, with Warren Buffett's wealth growth illustrating that 99% of his fortune was accumulated after the age of 60, underscoring the importance of time in compounding returns [1][2] - It discusses the historical context of compounding, noting that the Industrial Revolution created conditions for exponential growth, allowing capital to be efficiently allocated to promising sectors, thus facilitating a departure from linear growth [2][3] Group 2 - The significance of time in investment is further elaborated, indicating that investors, as financial stakeholders, can benefit from the growth of companies they invest in, reinforcing the idea that holding investments long-term can yield substantial returns [3] - The article stresses the need for a robust investment framework and emotional stability to allow compounding to take effect, advocating for a long-term focus rather than seeking immediate gains [3] - Buffett's principle of preserving capital is reiterated, equating an investor's health to their primary capital, emphasizing the necessity of maintaining personal well-being to ensure successful investment practices [4]
反内卷:让竞争“恰到好处”,让创新“无忧无虑”
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-10-14 15:47
Group 1 - The core argument emphasizes the importance of understanding the relationship between competition, innovation, and economic growth, particularly in the context of China's current economic challenges [1][3] - The concept of "creative destruction" and the non-linear relationship between competition and innovation highlight that competition can be beneficial or detrimental depending on the economic stage and intensity of competition [1][2] - The article suggests that excessive competition can lead to a "Malthusian trap," where industries become trapped in low-quality competition and homogeneous offerings [2] Group 2 - The need for breakthrough innovations is presented as a remedy for the anxiety caused by low-quality competition, with the Nobel Prize serving as a recognition of this necessity [3] - Innovation is described as a luxury due to its stringent requirements for institutional environments, which are essential for fostering effective technological advancements [4] - The article argues that traditional industries and some emerging sectors are caught in a vicious cycle of sacrificing profits for scale, which is detrimental to long-term growth [4] Group 3 - Innovation is portrayed as a long-term strategy that creates demand through technological, knowledge, and institutional advancements, which in turn fosters new markets [5] - The article emphasizes that aligning supply and demand effectively is crucial for enhancing innovation in the current Chinese context [5] - The narrative concludes that growth should be viewed as a series of competitive challenges that connect continuous innovation efforts [5]
花式催生30年,日本年轻人心态彻底崩了
3 6 Ke· 2025-07-15 01:22
Group 1 - Japan is implementing a new system called "Child and Childcare Support Fund" starting in April 2024, requiring all insured citizens to pay up to 12,000 yen annually based on their income to fund childcare subsidies for eligible families [3][4][5] - The new policy is seen as a "single tax" that pressures single and childless individuals to contribute financially to support families, amidst a declining birth rate and aging population [4][6][16] - Japan's birth rate has been declining for 44 consecutive years, with the total fertility rate dropping to a historic low of 1.15, raising concerns about the country's future [5][22] Group 2 - The policy requires all individuals earning over 2 million yen annually to pay additional fees, regardless of their family status, which has sparked significant public backlash [7][8][19] - Critics argue that the subsidies disproportionately benefit wealthier families who can afford to have more children, while lower-income families struggle to make ends meet [10][13][50] - The controversy surrounding the "single tax" has led to widespread public dissatisfaction with the government's approach to addressing the declining birth rate, highlighting a disconnect between policy intentions and public sentiment [19][49] Group 3 - The government has spent over 66 trillion yen in the past 20 years on various initiatives to combat declining birth rates, yet the effectiveness of these measures remains questionable [50][51] - The recent backlash against the "single tax" reflects a culmination of frustrations regarding the government's long-standing failure to effectively address the root causes of low birth rates, such as housing and employment pressures [51][52] - The ongoing debate around Japan's population crisis is not only a national issue but part of a broader global trend of declining birth rates, influenced by various socio-economic factors [54][55]
兴利权臣还是被遗忘的先知:王安石变法的现代经济学解释
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 03:51
Group 1 - The article discusses the significant political and economic reforms initiated by Wang Anshi during the Song Dynasty, particularly the New Policies aimed at strengthening the state and addressing fiscal crises [1][14][25] - Wang Anshi's reforms, including the Qingmiao Law, were designed to provide low-interest loans to farmers, thereby stabilizing agricultural production and increasing government revenue without raising taxes [19][20][25] - The article highlights the historical context of Wang Anshi's reforms, noting that they were responses to the fiscal challenges faced by the Song Dynasty, particularly in the face of military expenditures and agricultural crises [1][14][25] Group 2 - Wang Anshi is portrayed as a controversial figure whose policies sparked significant debate, with supporters acknowledging his attempts to address economic issues while critics pointed out the potential pitfalls of his reforms [2][19][25] - The Qingmiao Law is emphasized as a key aspect of Wang Anshi's financial strategy, aiming to curb usury and support small farmers, but it also faced criticism for potentially creating a monopolistic financial system [19][20][21] - The article suggests that despite the initial success of Wang Anshi's reforms in addressing short-term fiscal crises, they ultimately failed to change the underlying weaknesses of the Song Dynasty's economy, leading to long-term consequences [25][26]