高估值风险
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获美政府持股后Lithium Americas(LAC.US)狂飙175%,分析师警告高估值与股权稀释风险
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-07 14:07
这对市场而言早已是耳熟能详的"经典剧本"——寻觅一家陷入困境的公司,待其与美国政府达成协议并 获美国总统特朗普批准,静候股价飙升。然而在不到两周时间里,Lithium Americas(LAC.US)股价飙升 175%后,分析师开始质疑其高估值及交易条款对这家加拿大矿业公司股东的不利影响。 丰业银行分析师本.艾萨克森在报告中直言"我们当时没料到市场会这么疯狂地解读特朗普对关键主题商 品的'魔力'",并将评级从"与行业持平"下调至"跑输行业"。他指出,这份"魔法"最终还是会稀释股东权 益,并建议投资者获利了结并等待回调后重新入场。 据统计,自该协议宣布以来,已有四位分析师下调评级,这成为市场狂热下的时代缩影——尽管追踪市 场狂热的指标已发出警告,但美国股市持续攀至新高,市场基本忽略了这些预测。尽管周一股价下跌 6.5%,该股仍接近两年高点,且比分析师平均目标价高出40%以上。 根据协议条款,美国将持有温哥华总部公司5%股权及其内华达州Thacker Pass采矿项目5%股权, Lithium Americas将从美国能源部获得4.35亿美元贷款,其中1.82亿美元债务头五年内可延期偿还。 这堪称本届政府自7月向 ...
美股财报季陷“零容忍”困局:达标仅算及格,高估值成华尔街“紧箍咒”
智通财经网· 2025-07-21 03:36
Group 1 - The core message from Wall Street is that merely "performing well" is no longer sufficient for companies, as evidenced by the limited stock price increases despite strong earnings reports from major banks like JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America [1] - Netflix reported revenue and profit that exceeded expectations and raised its full-year guidance, yet its stock price fell by 5%, indicating a disconnect between performance and market reaction [1][2] - Analysts have noted that even strong earnings may not justify current high stock valuations, with concerns about the premium investors are paying for these fundamentals [2][3] Group 2 - As of now, 83% of S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings exceeded expectations, which is above the five-year average of 78%, but the average earnings beat margin of 7.9% is below the five-year average of 9.1% [2] - The earnings growth expectation for the S&P 500 for the second quarter has increased from slightly below 5% to 5.6%, but this remains the slowest growth rate since Q4 2023 [2] - Investors are expected to show less patience for companies that fail to meet expectations, leading to increased volatility in the market [3]