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近300家上市公司预喜,如何抓住“预增”主题投资机会?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 07:11
出品|公司研究室 å文|雪岩 据不完全统计,截至1月21日收盘时,A股共有587家上市公司披露了2025年度业绩预告。从净利润增幅上限来看,超五成上市公司业绩预喜(包括预增、略 增、续盈、扭亏)。 二级市场对个股业绩关注度升温,但 不少投资者不知道如何参与。目前,参与预喜机会的高效工具当属买进对应主题的投资基金。究竟哪些行业预喜公司 较为集中?哪些基金值得关注?应该如何买入? 业绩预喜公司 主要集中在哪些行业? 根据沪深两市业绩预告(尤其是2025年三季度及全年预告),A股预喜公司数量排名前五的行业是:电子、基础化工、汽车、医药生物、机械设备。这五大 行业的预喜公司合计数量,占目前已披露预喜公司总数的近56.6%。这主要反映了上述行业上市公司基数大、景气面广的特点。 从预喜率看,有色金属、钢铁、汽车、家用电器、基础化工这五大行业非常高。 此外,随着国家电网"十五五"期间投资4万亿更新设备的消息发布,电力设备&电网/核电相关公司成为市场热点。除了国家电网"十五五"投资预期升温,AI 数据中心高耗电推动核电采购(谷歌、微软、Meta布局),特高压、柔性直流输电项目落地也是重要原因。 业内人士分析,眼下正处于年报季 ...
【高端制造】同比高基数效应消退及海外季节性补库需求旺盛带动十一月出口同比改善——行业海关总署出口月报(十八)(黄帅斌/庄晓波等)
光大证券研究· 2025-12-24 23:03
Group 1: Consumer Products - The export growth rates for electric tools, hand tools, and lawn mowers from January to November 2025 are -1%, -6%, and 34% respectively, with November showing a month-on-month increase due to the fading high base effect and strong seasonal demand for replenishment in overseas markets [4] - Exports of electric tools, hand tools, and lawn mowers to North America from January to November 2025 have seen significant declines of -21%, -10%, and -14% respectively, with November figures showing a year-on-year drop of -40%, -17%, and -44% [4] - Lawn mower exports are primarily directed towards Europe, with 63% of exports in 2024 and 71% in January to November 2025, showing a year-on-year growth of 20% in the same period [5] Group 2: Capital Goods - Industrial sewing machines have the highest export market in Asia, accounting for 67% of total exports from January to November 2025, with major markets including Vietnam, India, and Indonesia [6] - Forklift exports are primarily to Europe (34%), Asia (30%), and Latin America (15%), with a notable decline in the European market share due to the situation in Russia [6][7] - Machine tool exports are mainly directed towards Asia, with a 50% share in January to November 2025, while exports to Russia have fluctuated significantly, dropping from 22% in 2023 to 10% in 2025 [7] - Mining machinery exports are led by Asia, Africa, and Europe, with cumulative export growth rates of +23%, +33%, and +19% respectively from January to November 2025 [7] - Emerging markets in Africa, Asia, and Latin America have shown strong growth, with forklift exports to these regions increasing by 36%, 16%, and 12% respectively [7]