Summary of Military Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The military industry in China has seen significant interest following military parades, with a notable 17% increase in the index after the announcement of the 2025 parade on June 24, 2025 [1][4] - The focus for the next five years will be on the development of new-generation traditional weapons and new combat forces, including unmanned intelligence, underwater operations, cyber-electronic warfare, and hypersonic technologies [1][4] Key Trends and Developments - The military industry is expected to enter a gradual upward development phase starting in 2025, influenced by significant events such as the India-Pakistan conflict and the 15th Five-Year Plan [2][19] - The military trade market is projected to have substantial growth potential during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a focus on radar, aerospace, and military technology companies [3][14] Market Sentiment and Investment Opportunities - In Q2 2025, there was a rebound in holdings of military-focused public funds, indicating improved market confidence in the military sector [3][11] - Investment opportunities are concentrated in new-generation traditional equipment and guided weaponry, with specific companies highlighted such as Inner Mongolia First Machinery Group and Optics Valley [3][13] Historical Context and Valuation Changes - Historical military parades have consistently led to increased market activity, with significant trading volumes and price increases observed in the months leading up to these events [6][7] - The military industry's valuation has fluctuated over the years, peaking in 2015-2016 due to state-owned enterprise restructuring, followed by a decline until 2020, when demand expectations began to rise again [9][10] Future Projections - The military industry is expected to continue its upward trajectory from 2025 to 2027, with key events such as the 93rd military parade and the 15th Five-Year Plan serving as critical milestones [19][20] - New combat forces, including unmanned systems and hypersonic technologies, will be prioritized in future developments [20] Recommended Companies and Sectors - Companies to watch in the military trade sector include Radar, Nanhua, Guorui Technology, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, and AVIC High-Tech [15][21] - In the new combat forces sector, companies involved in unmanned systems and underwater operations, such as Aerospace Electronics and Jintai Technology, are recommended for investment [16][17][18] Conclusion - The military industry is poised for growth, driven by technological advancements and strategic geopolitical events, making it a compelling area for investment in the coming years [2][19]

Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the strategic competition between China and the United States regarding rare earth supplies, with the U.S. making concessions on tariff trade to gain some relaxation of China's export controls on rare earths [1][9]. - China is accelerating its efforts to consolidate its leading position in the rare earth industry, achieving significant breakthroughs in hypersonic technology [3][11]. - A notable technological advancement is the development of a low-inertia, high-dynamic-response permanent magnet motor system for hypersonic vehicles, which utilizes rare earth materials to enhance performance [5][7]. Group 2 - The new permanent magnet motor, made from neodymium-iron-boron, is 40% lighter than traditional motors and can switch from stationary to full speed in 0.1 seconds, tripling dynamic response speed [7][9]. - This technology improves energy efficiency by 60% compared to traditional motors, allowing vehicles to travel further and faster, exemplified by the increase in range of the Dongfeng-17 hypersonic missile from 1,800 km to 2,500 km [7][9]. - China's control over the rare earth supply chain is significant, with 90% of global rare earth permanent magnet production capacity concentrated in China, particularly in Inner Mongolia [8][11]. Group 3 - The U.S. military's heavy reliance on Chinese rare earths has been highlighted, with 80% of the magnetic components in its intercontinental missiles sourced from China, exposing vulnerabilities in its supply chain [9][13]. - China's strategic response includes reinforcing export controls and accelerating the conversion of rare earth technologies, with 53 related technological achievements expected in 2024 [11][12]. - The U.S. faces a strategic dilemma as it attempts to rebuild its domestic rare earth supply chain, which could take at least 10 years and may only meet 30% of its needs by 2030, despite significant investment [13][15]. Group 4 - The technological gap in hypersonic capabilities is widening, with China reportedly leading the U.S. by at least five years in hypersonic glide vehicle technology, and this gap is increasing at a rate of 20% per year [15][17]. - The U.S. attempts to support its domestic rare earth industry through legislation have been hampered by environmental regulations and high costs, delaying production timelines [17][18]. - The outcome of this strategic competition is beginning to take shape, with China's advancements in rare earth technology and strategic control potentially reshaping the global military industrial landscape [17][20].

《美国优先投资政策》备忘录延续了特朗普政府加强外资审查力度的立场，核心在于建 立"差别化"的审查机制：一方面放宽盟国对美投资限制，另一方面严格管控与"外国对 手"国家的双向投资活动。 文：国金宏观宋雪涛/联系人厉梦颖 随着对等关税和对等反制的升级，市场担心贸易摩擦可能向其他领域蔓延，在此背景下，2月21日特朗 普政府出台的《美国优先投资政策》备忘录引发关注。 就在《美国优先投资政策》发布一个月前的1月20日，特朗普政府发布的《美国优先贸易政策》备忘录 已释放信号——将重新评估上届政府的对外投资法规。 《美国优先投资政策》备忘录延续了特朗普政府加强外资审查力度的立场，核心在于建立"差别化"的审 查机制： 一方面放宽盟国对美投资限制，另一方面严格管控与"外国对手"国家的双向投资活动 。 虽然目前公布的只是政策框架，但特朗普政府已明确要求相关政府部门启动配套法规制定程序，为后续 出台具体监管措施铺平道路。 特朗普第一任期和拜登政府时期，均颁布过一些对外投资限制命令。 比如特朗普第一任期的2020年11月12日第13959号行政命令，2021年6月3日第14032号行政命令 （对第13959号的修订），拜登政府时期的 ...