Group 1 - The article analyzes the market trends of gold and silver products based on international pricing, indicating that the domestic gold price is approximately calculated using the international gold price divided by 4.368 [1] - The overall market sentiment suggests a continued downward trend for gold prices, with expectations of breaking through the current range and moving towards a more defined direction [1][3] - Key support levels for gold are identified at 3886 and 4040, with caution advised if these levels are breached, indicating potential for further declines [3][4] Group 2 - The analysis highlights that as long as gold prices remain below the 4100 USD mark, bearish sentiment will prevail, while a rise above this level could lead to short-term strength and testing of higher resistance levels [3] - A significant focus is placed on geopolitical factors, including the U.S., Venezuela, Russia-Ukraine negotiations, and Japan's influence in the Asia-Pacific region, which could impact market dynamics [1] - The article emphasizes the importance of monitoring comments from Federal Reserve officials, as their statements may influence market movements [1]

Core Insights - The 2025 precious metals market is expected to experience increased volatility due to factors such as geopolitical conflicts, policy shifts, and AI trading, leading traders to pursue "stable profits" [1] - Compliance platforms like Giant Gold Industry are offering MT4 demo accounts to guide ordinary investors from "blind exploration" to "systematic profitability" in spot gold trading [1] Group 1: MT4 Demo Trading Features - New users at Giant Gold Industry receive $200,000 in virtual funds for trading in international spot gold and silver markets, allowing risk-free strategy testing [2] - The demo trading environment shares real-time market data with live trading, ensuring consistency in price, spreads, and slippage rates, thus minimizing cognitive biases [2] - The platform supports 29 technical indicators and various charting tools, enabling traders to analyze market conditions and optimize their trading strategies [2] Group 2: Three-Stage Simulation Training - **Stage 1: Basic Entry (1-2 weeks)** - Focus on mastering trading operations such as placing orders and analyzing charts, with daily trading practice and performance reviews [3] - **Stage 2: Strategy Refinement (3-4 weeks)** - Utilize MT4's strategy testing features to backtest selected investment strategies, analyzing win rates and adjusting parameters for optimization [3] - **Stage 3: Psychological Training (1 month+)** - Establish strict trading rules and maintain a trading journal to assess the impact of emotions on decision-making [3] Group 3: Real Trading Challenges - **Psychological Transition** - Traders may find it easier to profit in demo trading but face fear during real trading losses; starting with a small investment can help mitigate this [4] - **Strategy Adaptation** - Real trading may present challenges such as slippage and unexpected news impacts; traders should adjust their strategies accordingly [4] Group 4: Continuous Improvement - Weekly reviews of real trading performance are essential for evaluating strategies and making necessary adjustments based on discrepancies between demo and real trading [4] - Educational resources provided by regulated trading firms like Giant Gold Industry can enhance traders' understanding and skills in precious metals trading [4]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing fluctuations, with a recent peak at 3352 and a focus on key support levels around 3320, indicating a cautious approach to trading strategies [1] Market Analysis - Gold prices showed a maximum of 3352, surpassing the previous day's high, followed by a downward trend [1] - The support level at 3320 is critical; if breached, it could lead to a test of the 3300 mark [1] - The market is currently observing a rebound after reaching the 3325 level, which is close to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level [1] Technical Indicators - Resistance is noted in the 3348-3352 range, with a potential breakout leading to further resistance at 3358-3360 [1] - The focus remains on the initial jobless claims data and key manufacturing metrics from the U.S. for further market direction [1] Trading Strategy - The recommended approach includes shorting at daily highs while considering long positions near the 3320-3325 support area [1] - A breakdown below the support could trigger a bearish outlook, targeting the 3120-3268 trend support and the 3300 level [1]

Group 1 - The ongoing negotiations between Russia and Ukraine have not yet started, with bilateral talks between Russia and the US facing challenges and mutual threats [1] - Trump has been pressuring Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to lower interest rates, suggesting potential legal action against him for poor management [3] - The upcoming US initial jobless claims and July PPI data are crucial, with a focus on PPI as an important reference for Fed rate adjustments [3] Group 2 - Gold has shown a pattern of slow rises followed by sharp declines, with both bulls and bears having valid arguments [5] - The current market outlook for gold suggests that any upward movement is likely for distribution, preparing for larger declines, with short-term targets set at 3330, 3315, and 3300 [6] - The market is at a critical juncture where it could either continue to rebound or face significant downward pressure, with the focus on whether the recent rebound will lead to a bullish trend or not [7] Group 3 - Short-term trading strategies for gold emphasize watching for rebounds, with key support levels identified at 3350-3352 and 3342, while 3330 is a critical level for potential further declines [8] - Resistance levels for gold are noted at 3375-3380, with strategies suggesting short positions if these levels hold [9] - Silver has shown stronger bullish momentum compared to gold, with expectations for further rebounds and potential testing of yearly highs [9]

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are significantly influenced by U.S. labor data and potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, which could lead to increased liquidity and a favorable environment for gold investments [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold prices experienced a notable increase on August 1, rising from 3281 to 3363, attributed to non-farm payroll data [1]. - The Federal Reserve's response to economic pressures may lead to a new cycle of interest rate cuts, which historically benefits both the stock market and gold prices [2]. - A recent decline in gold prices from 3405 to 3341 indicates market volatility, with a large bearish candle suggesting a potential shift in trading strategy towards short positions [2][3]. Group 2: Trading Strategy - The current trading strategy leans towards shorting gold unless significant conditions arise that push prices above 3390 [4]. - Investors are advised to consider the difference between price increases and corrections, emphasizing the importance of market conditions before making trading decisions [5]. - A rebound in gold prices is expected to occur around 3372, with a more favorable shorting opportunity if prices reach 3385 [5]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The long-term bullish trend in gold remains intact, with attention on whether August can break previous high points; failure to do so may limit upward potential [8]. - The analysis of monthly charts indicates ongoing bullish cycles, with historical patterns suggesting careful monitoring of price movements for future trading decisions [8].

Core Insights - The gold market remains in a downward channel, indicating that the core factors driving this weakness may continue to evolve [1] - There is a focus on optimizing trading strategies in response to the current market conditions [1] Market Analysis - The ongoing analysis suggests that the bearish trend in gold prices has not yet been broken, prompting discussions on potential future movements [1] - The live analysis aims to dissect both bullish and bearish logic to provide a comprehensive understanding of the market dynamics [1]

Group 1 - Current spot gold trading is around $3364.89, with a slight decline of 0.05% as of the latest report, indicating a short-term sideways trend [1] - On July 24, gold prices faced resistance at 3393, entering a downward channel, with a low of 3351 reached during the trading session [4] - The overall structure shows that the upward channel initiated on June 26 remains valid, with key support levels at 3339 and 3324, while resistance is significantly higher at around 3450 [4][5] Group 2 - Mexican President is working to avoid a 30% tariff on exports to the U.S. starting August 1, following President Trump's announcement on July 12 [3] - The potential for negotiations with Trump is being considered if an agreement is not reached [3]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is currently experiencing a range-bound consolidation between $3300 and $3400, with specific resistance and support levels identified for trading strategies [3][4]. Group 1: Market Analysis - The international gold price has shown a rebound, breaking through the morning high of $3342, with a cautionary note that a drop below $3300 would signal the end of the bearish trend [3]. - The weekly adjustment phase appears to be nearing its conclusion, with the gold price returning to the original range, facing resistance at $3355-$3360 and support at $3328, $3320/$3315 [3][4]. Group 2: Trading Strategy - The trading strategy suggests buying near the support level of $3328, and if it breaks, to focus on the $3320-$3315 range for potential upward movement towards $3333-$3348 [4]. - A short position is recommended near the resistance level of $3355, with a targeted profit range of $10-$15 [4]. - Emphasis is placed on maintaining a disciplined trading approach, avoiding over-leveraging, and adhering to a well-defined strategy for sustained profitability [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold prices are under pressure from hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve and a strengthening dollar, while geopolitical risks and inflation expectations provide support [1] - Short-term dynamics suggest that the escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict may drive safe-haven buying, but the long-term trend will be dominated by the Federal Reserve's policy path and the actual effects of trade policies [1] - Key factors to monitor include U.S. policy movements towards Iran, progress in nuclear negotiations, and the Federal Reserve's stance on inflation response [1] Group 2 - Current trading strategy for gold suggests maintaining a bearish outlook, with resistance at 3385 and support in the 3330-3320 range [3] - The strategy emphasizes short positions on rebounds in the 3360-3365 area, with a stop-loss at 3388 and a target of 3340-3320 [4] - The analysis focuses on practical trading strategies rather than motivational content, aiming to provide concrete insights for traders [4]

Core Insights - The report outlines a "three-step" strategy for trading gold, focusing on long-term trends, strategic asset allocation, and short-term volatility management [6][9][11] - It emphasizes that the weakening of US dollar credit and the economic cycle in the US being in a "recession to recovery" phase could lead to a maximum drawdown of 15%-20% for gold prices [6][11] - If both long-term and strategic views on gold are bullish, short-term negative factors could result in a maximum drawdown of 0%-5% within one month, while multiple negative factors could lead to a 5%-10% drawdown over 100 days [6][11] Group 1: Trading Strategy - The trading strategy consists of three goals: determining the long-term trend of gold, analyzing its strategic allocation value, and managing short-term disturbances to control maximum drawdown [6][11] - The report suggests that the long-term trend of gold prices is influenced by US dollar credit and inflation expectations, with a bullish outlook if dollar credit weakens and inflation remains above 2% [11][14] - The asset allocation perspective indicates that stagflation is favorable for gold, while recovery phases may exert downward pressure on gold prices [11][20] Group 2: Market Conditions and Impacts - The report identifies that periods of "overheating to stagflation" are generally bullish for gold, while "recession to recovery" phases tend to be bearish [20][21] - It highlights that unexpected crises can significantly impact gold prices, with fiscal policies leading to different price movements compared to monetary policies [23][24] - The analysis shows that short-term fiscal expansion may lead to a temporary decline in gold prices, reflecting reduced short-term debt repayment pressures [24][25] Group 3: Risk Management and Investment Timing - The report provides a framework for assessing the safety margin for investing in gold, suggesting that investors should consider maximum drawdown levels before entering positions [30][31] - It outlines specific scenarios for maximum drawdowns based on various economic conditions, indicating that drawdowns could exceed 20% under aggressive rate hikes or significant fiscal expansion [32][35] - The report advises investors to wait for drawdowns of around 15% to consider building or increasing positions in gold [35][43]