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Core Insights - The 2025 precious metals market is expected to experience increased volatility due to factors such as geopolitical conflicts, policy shifts, and AI trading, leading traders to pursue "stable profits" [1] - Compliance platforms like Giant Gold Industry are offering MT4 demo accounts to guide ordinary investors from "blind exploration" to "systematic profitability" in spot gold trading [1] Group 1: MT4 Demo Trading Features - New users at Giant Gold Industry receive $200,000 in virtual funds for trading in international spot gold and silver markets, allowing risk-free strategy testing [2] - The demo trading environment shares real-time market data with live trading, ensuring consistency in price, spreads, and slippage rates, thus minimizing cognitive biases [2] - The platform supports 29 technical indicators and various charting tools, enabling traders to analyze market conditions and optimize their trading strategies [2] Group 2: Three-Stage Simulation Training - **Stage 1: Basic Entry (1-2 weeks)** - Focus on mastering trading operations such as placing orders and analyzing charts, with daily trading practice and performance reviews [3] - **Stage 2: Strategy Refinement (3-4 weeks)** - Utilize MT4's strategy testing features to backtest selected investment strategies, analyzing win rates and adjusting parameters for optimization [3] - **Stage 3: Psychological Training (1 month+)** - Establish strict trading rules and maintain a trading journal to assess the impact of emotions on decision-making [3] Group 3: Real Trading Challenges - **Psychological Transition** - Traders may find it easier to profit in demo trading but face fear during real trading losses; starting with a small investment can help mitigate this [4] - **Strategy Adaptation** - Real trading may present challenges such as slippage and unexpected news impacts; traders should adjust their strategies accordingly [4] Group 4: Continuous Improvement - Weekly reviews of real trading performance are essential for evaluating strategies and making necessary adjustments based on discrepancies between demo and real trading [4] - Educational resources provided by regulated trading firms like Giant Gold Industry can enhance traders' understanding and skills in precious metals trading [4]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing fluctuations, with a recent peak at 3352 and a focus on key support levels around 3320, indicating a cautious approach to trading strategies [1] Market Analysis - Gold prices showed a maximum of 3352, surpassing the previous day's high, followed by a downward trend [1] - The support level at 3320 is critical; if breached, it could lead to a test of the 3300 mark [1] - The market is currently observing a rebound after reaching the 3325 level, which is close to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level [1] Technical Indicators - Resistance is noted in the 3348-3352 range, with a potential breakout leading to further resistance at 3358-3360 [1] - The focus remains on the initial jobless claims data and key manufacturing metrics from the U.S. for further market direction [1] Trading Strategy - The recommended approach includes shorting at daily highs while considering long positions near the 3320-3325 support area [1] - A breakdown below the support could trigger a bearish outlook, targeting the 3120-3268 trend support and the 3300 level [1]

Group 1 - The ongoing negotiations between Russia and Ukraine have not yet started, with bilateral talks between Russia and the US facing challenges and mutual threats [1] - Trump has been pressuring Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to lower interest rates, suggesting potential legal action against him for poor management [3] - The upcoming US initial jobless claims and July PPI data are crucial, with a focus on PPI as an important reference for Fed rate adjustments [3] Group 2 - Gold has shown a pattern of slow rises followed by sharp declines, with both bulls and bears having valid arguments [5] - The current market outlook for gold suggests that any upward movement is likely for distribution, preparing for larger declines, with short-term targets set at 3330, 3315, and 3300 [6] - The market is at a critical juncture where it could either continue to rebound or face significant downward pressure, with the focus on whether the recent rebound will lead to a bullish trend or not [7] Group 3 - Short-term trading strategies for gold emphasize watching for rebounds, with key support levels identified at 3350-3352 and 3342, while 3330 is a critical level for potential further declines [8] - Resistance levels for gold are noted at 3375-3380, with strategies suggesting short positions if these levels hold [9] - Silver has shown stronger bullish momentum compared to gold, with expectations for further rebounds and potential testing of yearly highs [9]

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are significantly influenced by U.S. labor data and potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, which could lead to increased liquidity and a favorable environment for gold investments [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold prices experienced a notable increase on August 1, rising from 3281 to 3363, attributed to non-farm payroll data [1]. - The Federal Reserve's response to economic pressures may lead to a new cycle of interest rate cuts, which historically benefits both the stock market and gold prices [2]. - A recent decline in gold prices from 3405 to 3341 indicates market volatility, with a large bearish candle suggesting a potential shift in trading strategy towards short positions [2][3]. Group 2: Trading Strategy - The current trading strategy leans towards shorting gold unless significant conditions arise that push prices above 3390 [4]. - Investors are advised to consider the difference between price increases and corrections, emphasizing the importance of market conditions before making trading decisions [5]. - A rebound in gold prices is expected to occur around 3372, with a more favorable shorting opportunity if prices reach 3385 [5]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The long-term bullish trend in gold remains intact, with attention on whether August can break previous high points; failure to do so may limit upward potential [8]. - The analysis of monthly charts indicates ongoing bullish cycles, with historical patterns suggesting careful monitoring of price movements for future trading decisions [8].

Core Insights - The gold market remains in a downward channel, indicating that the core factors driving this weakness may continue to evolve [1] - There is a focus on optimizing trading strategies in response to the current market conditions [1] Market Analysis - The ongoing analysis suggests that the bearish trend in gold prices has not yet been broken, prompting discussions on potential future movements [1] - The live analysis aims to dissect both bullish and bearish logic to provide a comprehensive understanding of the market dynamics [1]

Group 1 - Current spot gold trading is around $3364.89, with a slight decline of 0.05% as of the latest report, indicating a short-term sideways trend [1] - On July 24, gold prices faced resistance at 3393, entering a downward channel, with a low of 3351 reached during the trading session [4] - The overall structure shows that the upward channel initiated on June 26 remains valid, with key support levels at 3339 and 3324, while resistance is significantly higher at around 3450 [4][5] Group 2 - Mexican President is working to avoid a 30% tariff on exports to the U.S. starting August 1, following President Trump's announcement on July 12 [3] - The potential for negotiations with Trump is being considered if an agreement is not reached [3]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is currently experiencing a range-bound consolidation between $3300 and $3400, with specific resistance and support levels identified for trading strategies [3][4]. Group 1: Market Analysis - The international gold price has shown a rebound, breaking through the morning high of $3342, with a cautionary note that a drop below $3300 would signal the end of the bearish trend [3]. - The weekly adjustment phase appears to be nearing its conclusion, with the gold price returning to the original range, facing resistance at $3355-$3360 and support at $3328, $3320/$3315 [3][4]. Group 2: Trading Strategy - The trading strategy suggests buying near the support level of $3328, and if it breaks, to focus on the $3320-$3315 range for potential upward movement towards $3333-$3348 [4]. - A short position is recommended near the resistance level of $3355, with a targeted profit range of $10-$15 [4]. - Emphasis is placed on maintaining a disciplined trading approach, avoiding over-leveraging, and adhering to a well-defined strategy for sustained profitability [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold prices are under pressure from hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve and a strengthening dollar, while geopolitical risks and inflation expectations provide support [1] - Short-term dynamics suggest that the escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict may drive safe-haven buying, but the long-term trend will be dominated by the Federal Reserve's policy path and the actual effects of trade policies [1] - Key factors to monitor include U.S. policy movements towards Iran, progress in nuclear negotiations, and the Federal Reserve's stance on inflation response [1] Group 2 - Current trading strategy for gold suggests maintaining a bearish outlook, with resistance at 3385 and support in the 3330-3320 range [3] - The strategy emphasizes short positions on rebounds in the 3360-3365 area, with a stop-loss at 3388 and a target of 3340-3320 [4] - The analysis focuses on practical trading strategies rather than motivational content, aiming to provide concrete insights for traders [4]

Core Insights - The report outlines a "three-step" strategy for trading gold, focusing on long-term trends, strategic asset allocation, and short-term volatility management [6][9][11] - It emphasizes that the weakening of US dollar credit and the economic cycle in the US being in a "recession to recovery" phase could lead to a maximum drawdown of 15%-20% for gold prices [6][11] - If both long-term and strategic views on gold are bullish, short-term negative factors could result in a maximum drawdown of 0%-5% within one month, while multiple negative factors could lead to a 5%-10% drawdown over 100 days [6][11] Group 1: Trading Strategy - The trading strategy consists of three goals: determining the long-term trend of gold, analyzing its strategic allocation value, and managing short-term disturbances to control maximum drawdown [6][11] - The report suggests that the long-term trend of gold prices is influenced by US dollar credit and inflation expectations, with a bullish outlook if dollar credit weakens and inflation remains above 2% [11][14] - The asset allocation perspective indicates that stagflation is favorable for gold, while recovery phases may exert downward pressure on gold prices [11][20] Group 2: Market Conditions and Impacts - The report identifies that periods of "overheating to stagflation" are generally bullish for gold, while "recession to recovery" phases tend to be bearish [20][21] - It highlights that unexpected crises can significantly impact gold prices, with fiscal policies leading to different price movements compared to monetary policies [23][24] - The analysis shows that short-term fiscal expansion may lead to a temporary decline in gold prices, reflecting reduced short-term debt repayment pressures [24][25] Group 3: Risk Management and Investment Timing - The report provides a framework for assessing the safety margin for investing in gold, suggesting that investors should consider maximum drawdown levels before entering positions [30][31] - It outlines specific scenarios for maximum drawdowns based on various economic conditions, indicating that drawdowns could exceed 20% under aggressive rate hikes or significant fiscal expansion [32][35] - The report advises investors to wait for drawdowns of around 15% to consider building or increasing positions in gold [35][43]