北京时间8月27日晚间消息，美联储理事丽莎·库克最早将于美东时间27日（就美国总统特朗普解雇一事）提起诉讼。特朗普此前宣布，解除丽莎·库克职务。 有报道称，特朗普政府正在研究对美联储12家地区银行施加更多影响的方案，尤其是审查美联储地区银行行长的遴选过程。有分析人士警告称，特朗普的一 系列举动可能标志着美联储自1951年以来享有的政治独立性走向终结，这将给全球金融市场带来巨大的风险。 据智通财经报道，美国前财政部长珍妮特·耶伦撰文称，美国总统特朗普宣布解雇美联储理事丽莎·库克，这一做法不仅违法，更是极其危险。现年79岁的耶 伦于2021年1月至2025年1月担任美国财政部长，她还在2014年2月至2018年2月期间任职美联储主席。耶伦是美国历史上第二位同时担任过美联储主席与财政 部长的人员；第一位是威廉·米勒，他在1978年3月8日至1979年8月6日，任美联储主席；1979年至1981年1月20日，任美国财政部长。 耶伦表示，特朗普试图将美联储政治化，恐吓其领导层，并迫使货币政策服从总统意志。此举威胁到美联储的独立性，也将危及美国在国内外的货币政策信 誉。耶伦警告道，特朗普坚持要求美联储降息，以降低美国37 ...

黄金行情，我们观点明确，中期就是看空，坚定看空。中短期则行情扫荡，目前已经扫荡将近4个交易月，本周也是反复扫荡。估计今晚讲话也难以打破这 种大震荡格局，毕竟指望一次讲话很难改变或者走出趋势性行情。 技术面上，我们关注冲高回落，重点还是3350区域，突破前冲高就是空，当然短期3333-5区域也要关注；上方意外突破3350区域，多头反弹可延伸至3370- 75区域，然后关注可能开启波段下跌，目标3330--3310破位剑指3280-70区域。 黄金目前为止，日内最高3340附近，最低刺破3325，就是个弱势震荡回落行情；但是呢，空头也并不顺畅。今晚10点钟美联储主席鲍威尔在全球央行年会讲 话，市场寄予厚望，因为距离9月美联储利率决议时间很近，并且很大可能是利率决议前鲍威尔最后一次讲话。 如果没有冲高，而是先跌，则重点关注3120--3268构成的趋势支撑，然后是3280区域，这两个位置都是做多的地方，探底回升！我们手里3400以上布局的空 单继续持有，经过多次锁定利润，持仓成本基本拉高值3500附近，轻松持有。参考制定交易策略，盘中有变及时跟进。 现货白银，早间文章分析观点不变，继续参考，中期看调整，短期看扫荡。 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. Department of Justice is planning to investigate Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, with a senior official urging Fed Chair Powell to remove her from the board [1] - Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester stated that inflation remains high and on an upward trend, indicating no reason for a rate cut if a meeting were held tomorrow [1] - Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic believes that only one rate cut this year is appropriate, but the labor market's direction is concerning and warrants close monitoring [1] Group 2 - Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee noted that while some recent inflation data shows signs of easing, a surprising surge in service prices poses a "danger signal" [3] - According to CME's FedWatch tool, there is a 25% probability that the Fed will maintain rates in September, while a 75% probability exists for a 25 basis point cut [3] - The global central bank annual meeting commenced in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, with market participants closely watching Fed Chair Powell's speech for insights on future monetary policy [3] Group 3 - The U.S. reported an increase in the August composite PMI to 55.4, the highest in eight months, while initial jobless claims rose by 11,000 to 235,000, marking the largest increase since late May [4] - The market is experiencing mixed signals due to the conflicting economic data, contributing to fluctuations in trading [4] Group 4 - The current outlook for gold remains bearish, with expectations of further declines towards key support levels [6] - The market is observing resistance at the 3350 area, with potential downward movements if this level is not sustained [8] - Key support levels are identified at 3325-20, with further critical support at 3300 and 3280 [10]

Group 1 - The article discusses Trump's influence on the Federal Reserve, particularly his call for the resignation of Fed Governor Cook, indicating potential legal implications for Cook [1] - The minutes from the Federal Reserve's July meeting reveal that inflation risks have overshadowed concerns about the labor market, leading to internal divisions regarding interest rate policies [1] - NATO member countries reaffirmed their support for Ukraine during a recent video conference, emphasizing the importance of achieving a just and lasting peace [1] Group 2 - Gold prices experienced a significant increase, rising from around 3311 to a peak of 3351, driven by Trump's demands regarding the Federal Reserve [2] - The market's reaction to the Fed's meeting minutes was anticipated, with gold showing a bullish engulfing pattern on the daily chart [2] - Despite the recent bullish trend, the medium-term outlook for gold remains bearish, with targets set at 3245 and potentially down to 3000-2950 [5] Group 3 - Upcoming economic data releases, including initial jobless claims and manufacturing statistics for August, are expected to influence market sentiment [6] - The market is at a critical juncture, with potential resistance levels identified at 3358-60 and 3370-75, while support is seen at 3330 and 3320 [7] - The overall market behavior suggests a pattern of initial declines followed by recoveries, with traders preparing for potential volatility as the September Fed meeting approaches [9]

据央视消息，美国总统特朗普19日接受福克斯新闻台采访时说，美方将帮助乌克兰进行防卫，但不会向乌克兰派出地面部队，"这一点我可以保证"。 黄金中期思路，我们维持近阶段观点不变，月线天线宝宝4胞胎之下，一切拉高都是为了出货，都是为更大的下跌做准备。对于空头目标，短期则看3330以 及3315和3300以及3270区域下破情况，终极目标还是3245及3150~3120破位去3000~2950之间，对等关税起涨位置。 短期而言，黄金最近几周下跌并不顺利，每次都伴随强劲的反弹，但最终是下跌了。昨天亚洲盘探底上涨，欧盘震荡，美盘破低3324区域后抵达我们提示的 第一支撑3315区域。这个3315~13区域我们需要引起重视，这里是非农当天多头突破口，也是突破这里之后黄金迎来了大涨，当日暴涨80余美金。 所以，首次触及这个区域必定会引来多头的抵抗；如果下破3315~13区域，进一步关注3295~3300大关区域，这里是整数关口，同时也是0.618和100%位置； 破位3300大关则跌向3280即前期次低点3268区域。另外，3120和3268连线趋势支撑区域则位于3308~06区域。 特朗普18日在白宫首先会晤乌克兰总统泽连 ...

美俄总统会晤已经结束，从目前公开消息来看应该没有达成实质性的协议；今天开始关注美乌会谈，以及接下来可能的多方会谈。 美国数据方面，上周cpi数据和ppi数据相互矛盾，美联储9月降息增加了很大的不确定性；基本面的纷纷扰扰，利多和利空交织决定了当前黄金大扫荡的走 势。本周美联储会议纪要，下周美国pce物价数据需要重点关注，这个数据也是美联储如何调整利率的主要参考数据之一。 行情回顾 上周黄金整体而言是大跌的一周，在上上周黄金慢牛大涨之后，上周一开盘大跌，当日大跌60余美元；虽然周二周三小幅反弹，但周四再次大阴线，周五小 区间震荡运行，周线最终以大阴线收盘，直接形成大阴吞没形态。 当前行情 黄金中期思路，我们维持近阶段观点不变，月线天线宝宝4胞胎之下，一切拉高都是为了出货，都是为更大的下跌做准备。对于空头目标，短期则看3330以 及3315和3300以及3270区域下破情况，终极目标还是3245及3150~3120破位去3000~2950之间，对等关税起涨位置。 但是，短线又到了多空关键区域；所以，短线反弹后再跌还是下破关键支撑区域直接跌，是当前的焦点。在周末的视频分析当中，我们也重点强调了这方 面。今天早盘，黄金 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent PPI data release in the U.S. has significantly altered market expectations regarding potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, leading to a decrease in the likelihood of a substantial rate cut in September [2][4][6]. Group 1: PPI Data Impact - The U.S. July PPI year-on-year rate was reported at 3.3%, significantly higher than the previous value of 2.4% and market expectations of 2.5% [2]. - The month-on-month PPI for July was 0.9%, also exceeding the previous value of 0.00% and market expectations of 0.20% [2]. - Experts noted that the impact of PPI data is more significant than that of CPI data, as PPI reflects price pressures at the production level [2]. Group 2: Federal Reserve Response - Following the PPI data release, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September dropped to around 85%, down from 100% [4]. - Comments from Federal Reserve officials indicated a shift in sentiment, with concerns about the necessity of a 50 basis point cut being dismissed [4]. - The core PCE inflation rate, a favored inflation measure by the Fed, is expected to rise from 2.8% to 2.9%, influenced by tariffs [4]. Group 3: Political Reactions - President Trump, who had previously pressured Fed Chair Powell for rate cuts, has remained silent following the PPI data release, indicating a shift in the political narrative [6]. - Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has also begun to find excuses for previous statements regarding rate cuts, suggesting a retreat from aggressive rhetoric [6]. Group 4: Market Reactions - The gold market experienced significant volatility, with prices reaching a high of 3374.9 and a low of 3329.8, ultimately closing at 3334.9 [8]. - The market sentiment remains bearish, with expectations of further declines in gold prices, targeting levels around 3330 and potentially lower [9][11].

特朗普发文称：鲍威尔现在必须降低利率。他总是做得太晚，造成的伤害是无法估量的。我正在考虑允许对鲍威尔提起重大诉讼，因为他在管理美联储大楼 建设方面所做的工作糟糕透顶，而且非常不称职。 今日美国将公布初请失业金数据和7月ppi月率，我们重点关注ppi数据结果，这个数据是美联储调整利率的重要参考之一。 俄乌和谈还没有开始，二普双边会谈正在紧锣密鼓的进行。不过呢，也并不顺利，俄美双方互相威胁，最终能谈成什么样，还真不好说。缺少乌克兰的谈 判，也并不理直气壮。 特朗普就像一个怨妇一样，在美联储降息之前，美国总统几乎是天天威胁美联储主席鲍威尔，天天找茬，鸡蛋里挑骨头。昨日特朗普催促鲍威尔立即降息， 考虑对其提起诉讼。 上方目前也很明显，3375~80区域依然是压力，首先就是冲高3375~80压制看跌；这里不能阻挡多头，则3400大关区域压制再看跌。操作上，逢高空为主， 第一3375~80压制高空，这里不成功，则3400大关区域压制高空，下方依托关键支撑短多辅助。上周的3400以上空单，我们经过几次做多锁定利润，基本相 当于把空单成本抬高至3450以上了，目前继续持有，关键位继续对冲。参考制定交易策略，盘中我们及时跟进。 ...

当前行情 金融市场最大的魅力就是不确定性，没有人能够准确知道下一步将出现什么样的行情；所有的预测都是概率，在走出来之前都是盲人摸象，只是每个人的成 功率不同罢了。黄金最近的走势很好的证明了这一点，我们一直强调是走大震荡，截止目前为止，黄金确实震荡了几个月了；但是，震荡的节奏，说实话确 实难以精准把握；我们也只是看对了一部分行情，能够把看对的行情拿到利润，看错的行情风险控制好亏损降到最低，就是成功的交易者。 行情回顾 昨天周一，黄金最高3405，最低3341，单日大跌64美元，日线大阴线，上周一周的震荡上行周一一天灭掉。黄金市场仿佛是在戏耍多头，上周震荡慢爬，并 且刺破3400大关，周五周线收盘更是接近3400附近，给人一种多头回归的假象；然而所有的一切在昨日戛然而止，大跌60多美元，将多头虐到没脾气。 阴阳变换一瞬间，这就是超级大扫荡的特点；最近扫荡太厉害了，我们认为还要继续扫荡。昨天的行情走势，按之前操作方式，在3375-80下破后会反弹加 仓空单；但是，担心反复折腾就采取对冲上周3407和3400以上空单的策略。得益于我们对冲多单入场点位很好，要么提损后入场价附近损，要么减仓后损， 昨天多单没亏，甚至还赚 ...

Group 1 - The gold market experienced a significant drop after a brief rise to 3405, breaking through the support level of 3375-3380, indicating a potential shift to a bearish trend [1] - Key support levels for gold are identified at 3350-3345, with the 10-day moving average at 3352 and the 10-week moving average at 3355, suggesting a critical point for potential rebounds [1] - The current market sentiment indicates a strong battle between bulls and bears, with short-term oversold conditions suggesting a possible rebound [1] Group 2 - The strategy involves holding short positions established above 3400, while also considering long positions near the 3350-3345 area to mitigate losses [3] - Key resistance levels are noted at 3380 and 3400-3410, while support remains at 3350-3345; a break below 3330 could lead to further declines [3] - The market is characterized by complex movements, with adjustments made to positions based on real-time analysis [5] Group 3 - In the silver market, a bearish outlook is maintained with resistance at 38.5 and a current low of 37.6, indicating a potential for a rebound before further declines [6] - The critical levels for silver remain at 38.5 for resistance and the potential for a breakout to annual highs if surpassed [6]