➢ 投资建议：公司三重护城河逐步形成，我们看好公司在中高端市场凭借品牌 力占据稳固的市场份额，并维持高盈利能力；逐步在纯电基础建设及智能化能力 方面加大投入强化优势，驱动销量的稳步提升。我们预计公司 2025-2027 年收 入分别为 1,583.0/1,930.2/2,269.8 亿元，归母净利润为 101.2/145.7/184.1 亿 元，对应 2025 年 6 月 19 日收盘价 101.9 港元/股（港元兑人民币汇率 1:0.92）， PE 分别为 20/14/11 倍，维持"推荐"评级。 ➢ 风险提示：车市下行风险；新车型销量、需求不及预期；行业竞争加剧风险； 出海进度不及预期。 [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] | 单位 / 百万人民币 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 144,460 | 158,301 | 193,015 | 226,982 | | 增长率（%） | 16.6 | 9.6 | 21.9 | 17.6 | | 归属母公司股东净利润（百万 ...

► 规模化、高端化、全球化、智能化，多重成长向上 我们看好公司：1）智能化：引领智驾平权，再度占据领先优势；2）规模化：凭借Dm-i 5.0、纯电4.0技术+成本优势夯实龙头地位；3）高端化：技术赋能高端， 腾势、仰望、方程豹新车密集投放；4）全球化，出口销量高增，全球化建厂加速； 本篇报告为比亚迪深度报告系列四，重点研究公司智能化布局及智驾平权落 地。 ► e4.0平台发布高端化、出海可期 ► L2+渗透率提升消费者认知AI加速平价智驾落地 近年智驾整体渗透率提升且 L2 以上级别高阶智驾增速较快；从供需匹配角度看，消费者对智能驾驶接受度不断提升；从供给角度看，DeepSeek 正以强大的技 术实力革新智能驾驶行业，在技术层面，它通过独特算法大幅提升算力利用效率，显著降低训练成本，如在高通 8650 处理器上，其推理反应时间从 20ms降至9- 10ms，让智驾的反应更迅速、决策更高效。依托DeepSeek R1大模型的算力革命，高阶智驾系统有望加速向10-15万元主力价格带渗透，实现"技术普惠+商业闭 环"双重突破。 1）e4.0平台：电池能量密度、电驱系统集成度方面进一步提升，夯实领先地位。2）高端化： ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - On April 28, 2025, the company launched the "Smart Assisted Driving Assurance Service" priced at 239 HKD per year, offering up to 1 million HKD in compensation, highlighting four key advantages: comprehensive coverage, wide insurance company participation, unlimited claims, and availability across all vehicle models [2][8]. - The company is expected to see steady sales growth due to the launch of new models such as MONA M03 and P7+, alongside improvements in its marketing system and channel transformation [2][8]. - The company anticipates a revenue of 150-157 billion HKD for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 129.1%-139.8%, with Q4 2024 revenue reaching 161.1 billion HKD, marking its best quarterly performance [8]. - The company has a robust cash reserve of 419.6 billion HKD as of Q4 2024, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.4% [8]. - The company is positioned for a strong sales cycle in 2025, with multiple new models expected to launch, enhancing its revenue potential [8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has launched a unique service that allows users to enjoy benefits even 5 seconds after exiting the NGP, which is expected to significantly enhance user trust in its smart driving systems [2][8]. Financial Performance - The company reported a gross margin of 10.0% in Q4 2024, an increase of 5.9 percentage points year-on-year, achieving six consecutive quarters of growth [8]. - The projected revenue for the company in 2025 is 991 billion HKD, corresponding to a price-to-sales ratio of 1.4X [8]. Market Position - The company is leveraging its AI capabilities to maintain a competitive edge in the smart driving sector, with a monthly active user penetration rate of 86% for its XNGP urban driving feature as of March 2025 [8].