每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 东海证券指出，电子行业需求持续复苏，供给有效出清，存储芯片价格上涨，我国国产化力度超预 期。英伟达发布三季度财报，营收同比增长62%，环比增长22%，超越市场预期，数据中心营收同比增 长66%，主要由GB300加速推广推动，四季度预计营收650亿美元，同样大超市场预期。谷歌发布 Gemini 3，由谷歌TPU训练，具备最先进的推理能力，各项基准测试远超上一代表现。当前行业结构性 机会包括AI算力、AIOT、半导体设备、关键零部件和存储涨价等领域。 科创芯片ETF国泰（589100）跟踪的是科创芯片指数（000685），单日涨跌幅达20%，该指数从科 创板市场中选取涉及半导体材料、设备、设计及制造等全产业链环节的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以 反映科创板半导体芯片领域相关上市公司证券的整体表现。指数成分聚焦国产替代与高研发投 ...

每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 东海证券指出，电子行业需求持续复苏，供给有效出清，存储芯片价格上涨，我国国产化力度超预 期。英伟达三季度财报显示，数据中心营收同比增长66%，主要由GB300加速推广推动，四季度预计营 收650亿美元，大超市场预期。谷歌发布Gemini 3，由自研TPU训练，各项基准测试表现远超上一代， 展现了最先进的推理能力和多模态理解技术。当前行业结构性机会集中在AI算力、AIOT、半导体设 备、关键零部件及存储涨价等领域。北美云厂商资本开支持续增长，高通进军AI芯片市场，进一步印 证行业高景气度。 信创ETF（159537）跟踪的是国证信创指数（CN5075），该指数从沪深市场中选取涉及半导体、 软件开发、计算机设备等信息技术创新领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映信息技术创新相关上 市公司证券的整体表现。成分股侧重于信息技术创 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2025年11月25日 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 刘思佳 S0630516080002 liusj@longone.com.cn 联系人： 邓尧天 dytian@longone.com.cn [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20251125 [table_summary] 重点推荐 财经要闻 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 晨会纪要 晨 会 纪 要 ➢ 1.中金开启汇金系券商合并进程，人身险产品费用分摊指引出台——非银金融行业周报 （20251117-20251123） ➢ 2.英伟达Q3业绩与Q4指引超市场预期，谷歌发布Gemini 3——电子行业周报2025/11/17- 2025/11/23 ➢ 1.国家发改委发布《关于印发乡村振兴（和美乡村建设方向）中央预算内投资专项管理办 法的通知》 ➢ 2.央行公告11月MLF加量续作 ➢ 3.李强会见南非副总统马沙蒂莱 ➢ 4.国家主席习近平同美国总统特朗普通电话 | 1.1. 中金开启汇金系券商合并进程，人身险产品费用分 ...

集成电路ETF（159546）跟踪的是集成电路指数（932087），该指数从市场中选取涉及集成电路设计、 制造、封装测试及相关材料设备等业务的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映集成电路相关上市公司证 券的整体表现。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 东海证券指出，电子行业需求持续复苏，供给有效出清，存储芯片价格上涨，我国国产化力度超预期。 国产晶圆代工厂华虹半导体2025Q3营收创历史新高，同比增长20.7%，产能利用率高达109.5%，毛利率 13.5%优于指引，主要得益于闪存、逻辑及模拟产品的强劲需求。谷歌宣布其最新一代TPU芯片即将上 市，性能较前代提升超过四倍，成为公司迄今性能最强、能效最高的定制AI芯片。当前电子行业结构 性机会集中在AI算力、AIOT、半导体设备、关键零部件和存储涨价等领域。 ...

Industry Overview - Taiwan's NOR Flash storage manufacturer Winbond indicated a 50% increase in NOR Flash usage due to the rising demand from AI servers transitioning from HBM3E to HBM4, with plans to raise NOR Flash prices by up to 30% in Q1 next year [3] - The AIOT sector is experiencing rapid growth, as evidenced by the performance of major domestic listed companies, indicating a clear upward trend in storage demand over the next two years [3] Advanced Manufacturing - CATL has made significant supply chain moves, including a framework agreement with Jiangyuan Technology to secure a minimum capacity of 626,000 tons and strategic investments in Tianhua New Energy to ensure lithium salt supply [7] - In October, battery production increased by 22.4% month-on-month, with utilization rates nearing 90%. CATL reported a saturated energy storage capacity with a production of approximately 180 GWh in Q3, maintaining a utilization rate above 90% [7] - The asset expenditure growth for CATL and other companies in the sector indicates a strong commitment to expanding capacity and innovation, suggesting a new cycle of prosperity for lithium batteries and related industries [7] Consumer Sector - On Running reported a Q2 net sales of 749.2 million Swiss francs, a 32% year-on-year increase, with a gross margin of 61.5% [9] - The company adjusted its full-year sales guidance to 2.91 billion Swiss francs, expecting a growth of at least 31% year-on-year [9] - Brooks, a professional running brand, achieved a 17% sales growth in Q3, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of growth, supported by strong overseas market expansion [9] Precious Metals - Precious metal prices are expected to continue their upward trend, with silver showing stronger rebounds than gold due to easing market liquidity and a decline in the US dollar index [11][12] - The increasing proportion of gold reserves held by global central banks and the net inflow of funds into physical gold ETFs reflect growing concerns over dollar credit and geopolitical uncertainties [12] - Silver's recent strong performance is attributed to its relatively low gold-silver ratio and low COMEX exchange inventories, suggesting continued strength in the silver market [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][11]. Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in profitability and operational efficiency, with a diversified business matrix that enhances growth resilience [8]. - The revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 17.877 billion, a year-on-year increase of 34.96%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 733 million, up 105.65% year-on-year [7]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the global cellular IoT module market, with a strong product matrix and market share [8]. Financial Performance Summary - The company forecasts revenue growth from 13.861 billion in 2023 to 36.375 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 22% [6]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow from 91 million in 2023 to 1.511 billion by 2027, reflecting a significant increase in profitability [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to rise from 0.34 in 2023 to 5.78 by 2027 [6]. Business Growth Drivers - The automotive and wireless gateway segments are identified as key growth engines, with a complete product ecosystem covering smart cockpits, 4G/5G, and high-precision positioning [8]. - The company has established partnerships with over 60 Tier 1 suppliers and more than 40 vehicle manufacturers, indicating strong market penetration [8]. - The ODM business is also experiencing rapid growth, providing solutions for various industries including payment and smart mobility [8]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the company will continue to benefit from its production layout and operational efficiencies, with adjusted profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [8]. - The expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 949 million, 1.198 billion, and 1.511 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.63, 4.58, and 5.78 [8].

Core Insights - Qualcomm announced the launch of two AI acceleration chips, AI200 and AI250, entering the high-end AI data center chip market, introducing new competition and changes to the market landscape dominated by Nvidia [1] Industry Summary - The electronic industry is experiencing a sustained recovery in demand, effective supply clearance, and rising prices for storage chips, with domestic production efforts exceeding expectations [1] - Structural opportunities exist in areas such as AI computing power, AIOT, semiconductor equipment, key components, and rising prices of storage [1] Company Summary - The Xinchang ETF (159537) tracks the Guozhen Xinchang Index, which selects 50 listed companies involved in the information technology innovation sector from the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, covering semiconductor and software development businesses [1] - This index has a large-cap focus and emphasizes the theme of information technology innovation, exhibiting high growth potential and volatility [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Beijing Junzheng is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue remains relatively stable, but profit has declined mainly due to fluctuations in gross margin. The gross margin for Q3 2025 is 31.63%, down 5.57 percentage points year-on-year and 3.13 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to the impact of the Taiwan dollar exchange rate and increased costs of storage chip products. However, with rising storage prices and the launch of new process products, significant growth opportunities are expected in the coming years [5][6] - For Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 11.87 billion yuan, an increase of 8.50% year-on-year, but a slight decrease of 0.13% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 410 million yuan, down 61.48% year-on-year and 68.12% quarter-on-quarter [4][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 34.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.35%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.44 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 19.75%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.90 billion yuan, down 40.29% year-on-year [4][5] - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 3.6 billion, 7.0 billion, and 10.4 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.75, 1.44, and 2.16 yuan per share [7] Business Segments - Revenue from computing chips in Q3 2025 was 3.04 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.9% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.0%. The demand for AIOT chip products is showing good growth, although sales of intelligent visual products have slightly declined due to increased market competition [5] - Revenue from storage products in Q3 2025 was 7.46 billion yuan, up 11.2% year-on-year and 3.3% quarter-on-quarter, driven by recovery in the automotive and industrial medical sectors [6] - Revenue from analog and interconnect chips in Q3 2025 was 1.30 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.4%, supported by market demand recovery [6]

Core Insights - The report highlights concerns regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve, particularly in light of political pressures, which may impact the macroeconomic narrative and the valuation of the US dollar [2] - The report provides a detailed analysis of various companies, focusing on their financial performance and strategic initiatives [3][4][5][6][7][8][10][11][12][17][19][20][22][24][25][26][27][28][30][31] Company Summaries - **Lihigh Food (300973 CH, Buy)**: The company reported revenue of 3.14 billion and net profit of 250 million for the first three quarters of 2025, showing year-on-year growth of 15.7% and 22.0% respectively. Despite pressure on gross margins due to rising palm oil prices, effective cost control has helped maintain profitability [3] - **Red Flag Chain (002697 CH, Accumulate)**: The company achieved revenue of 7.11 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 8.5%. The net profit was 383 million, down 1.9% year-on-year. The company is focusing on internal management and cost reduction to improve profitability [4] - **Kanglong Chemical (300759 CH, Buy)**: The company reported revenue of 10.086 billion and adjusted net profit of 1.227 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting year-on-year growth of 14.4% and 10.8% respectively. The company has raised its revenue growth guidance for 2025 from 10-15% to 12-16% [5] - **Zhou Dasheng (002867 CH, Buy)**: The company reported revenue of 6.772 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, a decline of 37.3% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 3.1%. The growth in net profit is attributed to a higher proportion of high-margin products [6] - **Aimeike (300896 CH, Buy)**: The company reported revenue of 566 million in Q3 2025, down 21.3% year-on-year, with a net profit of 304 million, down 34.6%. The company is focusing on expanding its product pipeline and international market presence [7] - **Leixin Technology (688018 CH, Accumulate)**: The company achieved revenue of 1.912 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 30.97%. Despite a slight decline in Q3 revenue, the company is expanding its market presence in high-performance SoC [8] - **Zhongke Chuangda (300496 CH, Buy)**: The company reported revenue of 5.148 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 39.34%. The growth is driven by the AIOT sector [9] - **Yihua (301029 CH, Buy)**: The company reported revenue of 736 million in Q3 2025, up 17.52% year-on-year, with a net profit of 136 million, up 28.59%. The growth is attributed to the continued demand in lithium battery and automotive sectors [10] - **Huazhi Technology (688281 CH, Buy)**: The company reported revenue of 285 million in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.85%. The company is focusing on its leading position in stealth materials [11] - **Chengdu Bank (601838 CH, Buy)**: The bank reported a net profit of 5.0% and revenue growth of 3.0% for the first nine months of 2025, indicating stable performance despite non-interest income fluctuations [12] - **Yun Tianhua (600096 CH, Buy)**: The company reported revenue of 12.6 billion in Q3 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 14%, but net profit increased by 24%. The company benefits from strong export demand for phosphate products [13] - **Funi Co., Ltd. (600483 CH, Buy)**: The company reported revenue of 3.666 billion in Q3 2025, down 4.04% year-on-year, but net profit increased by 11.53%. The company is focusing on its project reserves and renewable energy contributions [14] - **Hongcheng Environment (600461 CH, Buy)**: The company reported revenue of 1.738 billion in Q3 2025, up 2.41% year-on-year, with net profit of 324 million, reflecting stable operational performance [15] - **Op Lighting (603515 CH, Accumulate)**: The company reported revenue of 1.692 billion in Q3 2025, down 0.59% year-on-year, with net profit of 208 million, down 12.22%. The company is expected to recover as the housing market stabilizes [16] Industry Insights - The macroeconomic environment is influenced by political pressures on the Federal Reserve, which may affect market confidence and asset valuations [2] - The food and beverage sector is experiencing mixed performance, with some companies managing to maintain profitability through cost control and strategic initiatives [3][4][5][6] - The healthcare and pharmaceutical sectors are showing resilience, with companies reporting steady revenue growth and improved cash flow [7][8][9] - The technology sector, particularly in AI and IoT, is witnessing significant growth, driven by increased demand for advanced solutions [10][11][12] - The banking sector is showing stable performance, with banks managing to maintain profitability despite fluctuations in non-interest income [13][14] - The energy sector is focusing on renewable energy projects, with companies looking to expand their project reserves and improve operational efficiency [15][16]

Core Viewpoint - TSMC's Q3 2025 revenue reached $33.1 billion, exceeding guidance, with a year-on-year growth of 40.8% and a net profit increase of 39.1% [1][2][3] Industry Summary - The electronic sector is experiencing a moderate recovery, with a focus on structural opportunities in AI computing, AIOT, semiconductor equipment, key components, and rising storage prices [2][6] - Global smartphone shipments in Q3 2025 reached 323 million units, a 2.6% year-on-year increase, driven by high-end models, while China's smartphone shipments declined to 68 million units, down 0.6% year-on-year [1][4][5] Company Performance - TSMC's Q3 2025 revenue was $33.1 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 40.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.1%. The net profit was 452.3 billion NTD, up 39.1% year-on-year [3] - The revenue growth was primarily driven by AI and high-performance computing (HPC) demand, contributing 57% to total revenue, while smartphone, IoT, automotive electronics, and consumer electronics accounted for 30%, 5%, 5%, and 1% respectively [3] - TSMC's revenue guidance for Q4 2025 is between $32.2 billion and $33.4 billion, with a gross margin expected between 59% and 61% [3] Market Dynamics - The global smartphone market is recovering moderately, with high-end innovations and emerging regions driving growth, while the Chinese market faces challenges of weak demand and structural transformation [5][6] - Domestic brands like Xiaomi, Transsion, and Vivo have shown growth in the global smartphone market, while Chinese brands are experiencing varying degrees of decline due to seasonal factors and limited new products [4][5] Investment Recommendations - The industry is advised to focus on companies benefiting from strong domestic and international demand in the AIOT sector, as well as those involved in AI innovation and upstream supply chain domestic substitution [6]