公众号记得加星标⭐️，第一时间看推送不会错过。 来 源 ： 内容来自The chousun Daily 。 此前显著落后于台湾台积电（TSMC）的三星电子代工业务，目前正在确保技术竞争力并加速 追赶。三星早前因良率偏低，在先进 3 纳米（1 纳米为十亿分之一米）工艺的初期采用中遭遇 困难，但最近已稳定了 3 纳米技术，并正迈向在 2 纳米工艺上缩小与台积电的差距。业内观察 家预测，随着其位于美国得州泰勒工厂的晶圆厂开工率提高，三星代工业务有望从 2027 年开 始实现盈利，并开启全面追赶台积电的进程。 扩大 2 纳米产能 市场研究公司 Counterpoint Research 在 20 日预测，三星电子的 2 纳米产能将增加 163%，从 2024 年的每月 8,000 片晶圆，增加到明年年底的 21,000 片晶圆。此次扩产是在三星 2 纳米工 艺良率稳定之后进行的。Counterpoint Research 表示："随着三星在移动、超级计算和人工智 能等领域获得更多客户，其 2 纳米工艺的进步可能成为一个关键的转折点。如果良率持续改 善，并且泰勒工厂的量产顺利进行，三星可能在数代以来首次在尖端工艺上有意 ...

Group 1 - Samsung has secured significant orders for its 2nm chips from two major Chinese cryptocurrency mining companies, MicroBT and Canaan [1][3] - Both companies will utilize Samsung's 2nm Gate-All-Around (GAA) technology to produce Application-Specific Integrated Circuits (ASICs) for their mining equipment [3] - The total order volume from MicroBT and Canaan is approximately 2,000 12-inch wafers per month, which is estimated to generate around $480 million in annual revenue for Samsung [3] Group 2 - TSMC holds a dominant 71% market share in the global pure foundry market as of Q2 2025, while Samsung's foundry division ranks second with only 8% [3] - Due to TSMC's current capacity saturation, Chinese manufacturers are turning to Samsung as an alternative supplier [3] - MicroBT's orders have already commenced production at Samsung's S3 production line in Hwaseong, South Korea, while Canaan plans to start wafer production in early 2026 [3]

Group 1 - SMIC reported Q3 revenue of $2.382 billion, a 7.8% increase quarter-over-quarter and a 9.7% increase year-over-year, with a net profit of $315 million, reflecting a significant 115.1% quarter-over-quarter growth and a 41.3% year-over-year growth, driven by increased wafer sales and optimized product mix [1] - For Q4, despite being a traditional off-season, SMIC expects revenue to remain flat to grow by 2% quarter-over-quarter, with a gross margin guidance of 18% to 20% [1] - TSMC is actively expanding its AI capacity, planning to raise prices for advanced processes starting January 2026, with an average price increase of 3%-5% over four years, reflecting rising production costs and capital expenditures [1] Group 2 - The semiconductor industry is experiencing robust demand, particularly in AI, with companies like NVIDIA and AMD actively securing capacity for 2026 [1] - The demand for AI-related products is expected to drive significant growth in the ASIC market, with companies like Google, Amazon, Meta, OpenAI, and Microsoft anticipated to see explosive growth in ASIC quantities from 2026 to 2027 [1] - The PCB industry is also benefiting from strong AI demand, with many AI-PCB companies reporting robust orders and full production capacity, indicating high growth potential for Q4 and next year [1][2]

Core Insights - SMIC reported Q3 2025 revenue of 171.62 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 9.9%, and a net profit of 15.1 billion RMB, up 43.1% year-on-year [2] - For the first three quarters of 2025, SMIC's revenue reached 495.10 billion RMB, representing an 18.2% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 38.1 billion RMB, up 41.1% year-on-year [2] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 23.2%, an increase of 5.6 percentage points year-on-year, reinforcing its competitive position in the global semiconductor foundry market [3] Revenue Analysis - In Q3 2025, wafer sales volume reached 2,499,465 units, a year-on-year increase of 17.77% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.57% [5] - The capacity utilization rate for Q3 2025 was 95.8%, up 5.4 percentage points year-on-year and 3.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [5] - Revenue from consumer electronics, industrial, and enterprise sectors accounted for 43.4% and 11.9% of total revenue, respectively, with quarter-on-quarter increases of 2.4 and 1.3 percentage points [2] Product Segmentation - In Q3 2025, the revenue breakdown by application showed smartphones at 21.5%, computers and tablets at 15.2%, consumer electronics at 43.4%, and industrial and automotive at 11.9% [4] - The revenue from 8-inch wafers was 23.0%, while 12-inch wafers accounted for 77.0% in Q3 2025 [4] Other Key Metrics - Monthly production capacity in Q3 2025 was 1,022,750 wafers, compared to 991,250 in Q2 2025 and 884,250 in Q3 2024 [5] - Capital expenditure for Q3 2025 was 17,065 million RMB, significantly higher than 13,546 million RMB in Q2 2025 and 8,376 million RMB in Q3 2024 [5]

Core Viewpoint - Samsung Electronics aims to achieve profitability in its semiconductor foundry business by 2027, focusing on securing orders from major tech companies like Tesla and Apple, and leveraging its new Taylor wafer fab in the U.S. [2][3] Group 1: Business Goals and Strategies - Samsung has set a management goal to achieve breakeven by 2027 and aims for a 20% market share based on sales in the foundry sector [2][3] - The company is sharing its management goals with partners and discussing future investment plans to ensure stable operations and necessary materials [2][3] - Samsung's foundry business has been characterized as an order-based model, necessitating advance preparation of raw materials and equipment [2] Group 2: Current Performance and Market Position - Since 2022, Samsung's foundry business has been operating at a loss, estimated at 1 trillion to 2 trillion KRW per quarter [3] - Despite significant investments in advanced processes, Samsung has struggled to secure a large number of orders, leading to its foundry being referred to as a "bottomless pit" [3] - In 2023, Samsung has secured contracts from major North American tech giants, indicating a shift in its ability to attract clients due to improved yield rates [3] Group 3: Future Developments - Samsung plans to begin production at its Taylor factory in 2024, with equipment installation expected to be completed by Q2 and full production by Q3 [5] - The company is also preparing a second production line at the Taylor factory, which will be larger than the first [5] - Analysts suggest that Samsung's recovery in the foundry business will depend on its ability to secure next-generation process technologies and maintain stable yields [5]

Core Insights - TSMC reported record revenue for October 2025, with sales reaching NT$367.47 billion, marking an 11.0% increase from September and a 16.9% increase year-over-year, setting a new monthly and annual record [1] - Cumulative sales from January to October reached NT$3.13 trillion, a 33.8% increase compared to the same period in 2024, also a record high [2] - The company's performance is driven by advancements in process technology and increased orders from key clients, alongside long-term benefits from global AI computing demand [3] Revenue Trends - Despite the strong performance, TSMC's monthly sales growth is showing signs of slowing down, with a year-over-year growth of 31.4% in September [4] - TSMC's stock has risen over 46% this year, although recent global market concerns have put pressure on tech stocks [5] Future Outlook - TSMC's CEO emphasized that both revenue and profit are expected to reach record highs this year and in the future, with a focus on the continuation of 3nm expansion and advanced packaging orders [6] - For Q4, TSMC projects sales between $32.2 billion and $33.4 billion, with a gross margin forecast of 59% to 61% [11] Market Position - TSMC's market share in the pure foundry market has increased from 63% in Q1 2024 to 71% in Q2 2025, driven by enhanced 3nm capacity and high utilization of AI GPUs [9] - Advanced technologies (7nm and above) account for 74% of TSMC's total wafer revenue, highlighting the company's strength in advanced processes [9] Sector Contributions - The recovery in consumer electronics and automotive chip markets is also supporting TSMC's revenue growth, with significant orders from Apple and Qualcomm [13] - In the automotive sector, TSMC has seen nearly a 20% year-over-year increase in orders for specialized 28nm/16nm chips for autonomous driving and AI applications [14] Expansion Plans - TSMC is actively expanding its overseas presence, with the construction of a second wafer fab in Japan and plans to accelerate capacity expansion at its Arizona facility [15][16]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8] Core Insights - The company reported Q3 revenue of $635.2 million, a year-over-year increase of 20.7% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 12.2%, exceeding expectations [5] - Gross margin for Q3 was 13.5%, surpassing the expected range of 10%-12% [5] - The company achieved a net profit of $25.7 million in Q3 [5] - The overall capacity utilization rate remained high at 109.5%, with wafer deliveries reaching 1,400K, a year-over-year increase of 16.7% [8] - The company is accelerating its capacity expansion, with a new capacity addition of 21K/M for 8-inch equivalent capacity in Q3 [8] - Positive guidance for Q4 indicates expected sales revenue of $650-660 million, with a gross margin of approximately 12-14% [8] - The report adjusts profit forecasts for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of $721 million, $1.366 billion, and $1.584 billion respectively [8] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 17,366 million, with a year-over-year growth rate of 20.7% [7] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 721 million, reflecting an 89.5% year-over-year increase [7] - The report anticipates a PE ratio of 303 for 2025 [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huahong Semiconductor with a target price of HKD 119 [5][11]. Core Insights - The company reported Q3 2025 revenue of USD 635.2 million, a year-on-year increase of 20.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.2%, aligning with company guidance [1]. - Gross margin reached 13.5%, exceeding the company's previous guidance of 10%-12%, primarily driven by high capacity utilization and a 5.2% increase in average selling price (ASP) [2][3]. - The company expects Q4 2025 revenue to be between USD 650 million and USD 660 million, with a gross margin guidance of 12%-14% [1]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - Q3 2025 revenue was USD 635.2 million, with a gross margin of 13.5%, up 1.3 percentage points year-on-year and 2.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The revenue from analog and power management increased by 32.8% year-on-year to USD 164.8 million, driven by rising demand for power management products [1]. - Standalone non-volatile memory revenue surged by 106.6% year-on-year to USD 60.6 million, attributed to increased demand for flash products [1]. Capacity and Efficiency - The company achieved a capacity utilization rate of 109.5% in Q3, up 1.2 percentage points from the previous quarter, allowing for flexible production prioritizing high-margin products [3]. - Huahong plans to invest approximately USD 2 billion in capital expenditures for Fab 9A in 2025, with expectations to ramp up monthly capacity to 60,000-65,000 wafers by mid-next year [3]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates continued ASP growth and improved overall profitability, supported by strong demand in AI-related power management and storage sectors [1][2]. - The company has raised its net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 by 24%, 15%, and 23% respectively, reflecting the positive impact of ASP and operational efficiency improvements [4].

Core Viewpoint - Huahong Semiconductor Company has seen a significant stock increase of 5.87%, reaching a price of 134.99 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 234.27 billion CNY as of October 27 [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Huahong Semiconductor, established on January 21, 2005, is primarily engaged in specialty process wafer foundry services, focusing on embedded/non-volatile memory, power devices, analog and power management, logic, and RF [1] - The company's revenue composition includes 94.60% from integrated circuit wafer foundry, 4.78% from other services, and 0.62% from leasing income [1] Group 2: Fund Holdings - According to data, one fund under Caitong Securities Asset Management holds Huahong Semiconductor as a top ten position, specifically the Caitong Ziyuan Xinyi Mixed A Fund (004888), which held 5,104 shares, accounting for 0.74% of the fund's net value [2] - The fund has achieved a year-to-date return of 22.7% and a one-year return of 24.51%, ranking 4057 out of 8226 and 3540 out of 8099 respectively in its category [2] Group 3: Fund Manager Performance - The fund manager, Li Jing, has a tenure of 3 years and 361 days, with a total asset size of 230 million CNY, achieving a best return of 101.08% during his tenure [3] - Co-manager Shi Yushan has been in position for 3 years and 177 days, managing assets of 2.89 billion CNY, with a best return of 21.76% [3]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline, particularly in the technology sector, with the Hang Seng Tech ETF (513130) recording a trading volume of 6.271 billion HKD and a turnover rate of 15.88% as of 14:21 on October 17, 2025 [1] - Despite the volatile international situation since October 2025, there has been a significant net inflow of southbound funds, amounting to 38.786 billion HKD for the week of October 13-16, 2025, with technology stocks being a key focus for investment [1] - Year-to-date, the net inflow of southbound funds has exceeded 1.2 trillion HKD, setting a new annual record and providing strong momentum for the Hong Kong stock market [1] Group 2 - A leading global semiconductor foundry reported better-than-expected revenue and net profit for Q3 2025, raising its full-year capital expenditure target, which has boosted market optimism regarding the surge in demand for AI chips [1] - Domestic technology companies are actively investing in hard technology and AI, with a reported 380 billion HKD investment in AI infrastructure and a deep collaboration with Nvidia in the Physical AI sector [2] - The Hang Seng Tech ETF (513130) closely tracks the Hang Seng Tech Index, which includes various sectors such as internet platforms, software development, and semiconductor design, positioning it well to capture opportunities in the AI industry [2] Group 3 - The Hang Seng Tech ETF (513130) is recognized as a preferred investment tool for the Hong Kong technology sector, with over 220,000 account holders as of the latest mid-year report [3] - The ETF offers advantages such as large scale, good liquidity, T+0 trading support, and low fees, making it a valuable instrument for investors looking to allocate to core technology assets in Hong Kong [3]