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PCE数据期强化降息预期,银价再创新高
1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report 2. Core Views of the Report - Last week, precious metal prices continued to rise. Concerns about the Fed's independence boosted risk - aversion sentiment, and the release of the US July PCE data further strengthened the market's interest - rate cut expectation. COMEX gold futures approached the historical high, and international silver prices reached a 14 - year high [3][6][7]. - The US economy remains resilient, but under Trump's pressure, the Fed's interest - rate cut expectation is intensifying. Many Fed officials have expressed support for interest - rate cuts, and the market expects a more than 86% probability of a 25 - basis - point cut in September [3][7]. - Market doubts about the Fed's independence, the weakening of the US dollar index, and the interest - rate cut expectation support the rise of precious metal prices. Technically, gold prices face pressure at the previous high, while silver prices are expected to be stronger in the short term [3][7]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Last Week's Trading Data | Contract | Closing Price | Change | Change Rate (%) | Total Volume (Lots) | Total Open Interest (Lots) | Price Unit | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SHFE Gold | 785.12 | 11.72 | 1.52 | 136691 | 178255 | Yuan/gram | | Shanghai Gold T + D | 781.70 | 4.87 | 0.63 | 27326 | 201542 | Yuan/gram | | COMEX Gold | 3516.10 | 98.90 | 2.89 | - | - | US dollars/ounce | | SHFE Silver | 9386 | 194 | 2.11 | 522479 | 634627 | Yuan/kilogram | | Shanghai Silver T + D | 9365 | 54 | 0.58 | 409046 | 3444504 | Yuan/kilogram | | COMEX Silver | 40.75 | 1.87 | 4.81 | - | - | US dollars/ounce | [4] 3.2 Market Analysis and Outlook - Precious metal prices rose last week. The US July PCE data strengthened the interest - rate cut expectation, pushing up gold and silver prices. COMEX gold futures neared the historical high, and silver prices hit a 14 - year high [3][6][7]. - The US economy shows resilience, but the Fed's interest - rate cut expectation is increasing due to Trump's pressure. Many Fed officials support interest - rate cuts, and the market expects an over 86% probability of a 25 - basis - point cut in September [3][7]. - Doubts about the Fed's independence, the weakening of the US dollar index, and the interest - rate cut expectation support the rise of precious metal prices. Technically, gold prices face pressure at the previous high, and short - term silver prices are expected to be stronger [3][7]. 3.3 Important Data Information - The annualized revised quarter - on - quarter growth rate of the US Q2 real GDP was 3.3%, higher than the expected 3.1% and the initial value of 3%. The annualized revised quarter - on - quarter growth rate of the Q2 core PCE price index was 2.5%, consistent with the initial value but lower than the expected 2.6% [10]. - The US July PCE price index was 2.6% year - on - year, in line with expectations and the previous value; the month - on - month growth was 0.2%, in line with expectations and lower than the previous 0.3%. The US July core PCE price index rose 2.9% year - on - year, the highest since February 2025, in line with expectations [10]. - US personal spending in July 2025 increased 0.5% month - on - month to $20.802 trillion, accelerating from the revised 0.4% in June and in line with market expectations [10]. - The number of initial jobless claims in the US last week was 229,000, lower than the expected 230,000, and the number of continued claims dropped to 1.954 million, both lower than expected [10]. 3.4 Related Data Charts - **ETF Holdings**: As of August 29, 2025, the total gold holdings of ETFs were 977.68 tons, an increase of 20.91 tons from last week; the silver holdings of ishare were 15310.00 tons, an increase of 21.18 tons from last week [11]. - **CFTC Non - commercial Positions**: For gold futures on August 26, 2025, non - commercial long positions were 275767, non - commercial short positions were 61456, and non - commercial net long positions were 214311, an increase of 1721 from last week. For silver futures on the same day, non - commercial long positions were 68227, non - commercial short positions were 21761, and non - commercial net long positions were 46466, a decrease of 83 from last week [14].
资质、风控、服务三重认证保障!金荣中国成为值得信赖的优质贵金属交易平台
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 01:45
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that gold and silver, as precious metals, are popular choices for investors due to their value preservation and investment appreciation, making it essential to choose a reliable trading platform for investment [1] Group 2 - The company, Jinrong China, has been operating under strict regulations from the Hong Kong financial market since its establishment in 2010, obtaining the highest level AA class trading license from the Hong Kong Gold Exchange [2][3] - Jinrong China provides unique transaction codes issued by the Hong Kong Gold Exchange for each trade, allowing investors to verify transaction details and protect their investment rights [2] Group 3 - Jinrong China emphasizes a robust risk control system to ensure the safety of customer transactions, implementing strict identity verification and secure fund management practices [5] - The company stores customer data in an encrypted database and restricts access to sensitive information through confidentiality agreements [5] Group 4 - Jinrong China prioritizes customer service, offering professional support and utilizing advanced trading platforms like MT4 and MT5 to enhance the trading experience [7] - The company has received accolades such as "Best Customer Support Award" and "Best Trading Experience Award" from international evaluation agencies, reflecting its commitment to customer satisfaction [7] - Jinrong China aims to continuously optimize its service system to maximize investment returns for its clients [7]
2025伦敦金行情创新高,正规交易平台助力投资行稳致远!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 17:07
Core Insights - The price of London gold has surged by 26% in 2025, reaching a record closing price of $3,371.51 per ounce on August 22, driven by global economic fluctuations and increased demand for safe-haven assets [1][3] - Central banks, particularly the People's Bank of China, have been increasing their gold reserves, with China's holdings reaching 73.9 million ounces by the end of June, further encouraging individual investors to enter the market [3] - The safety and reliability of trading platforms have become a primary concern for investors, with questions about which London gold investment platforms are trustworthy becoming prevalent [3] Regulatory Standards - The primary criterion for a legitimate gold trading platform is regulatory qualification, ensuring compliance and transparency in transactions [4] - Gold Sheng Precious Metals, a member of the Hong Kong Gold and Silver Exchange Society, meets international regulatory standards, providing a secure trading environment [4] Financial Security Measures - A robust financial security system is essential for trading platforms, including mechanisms for fund segregation to prevent the mixing of client and operational funds [5] - Gold Sheng Precious Metals employs bank-level SSL encryption for transaction data protection and ensures withdrawals are processed to the same-name accounts within two hours, enhancing control over fund movements [5] Technological Capabilities - The stability of trading platforms is crucial in a market with daily trading volumes reaching $126 billion, as it directly impacts profitability [6] - Gold Sheng Precious Metals supports both MT4 and MT5 platforms, allowing for millisecond-level transaction execution even during high volatility, thus minimizing slippage losses [6] Investment Guidelines for Newcomers - New investors are advised to verify the regulatory qualifications of platforms, ensuring they are overseen by reputable authorities like the Hong Kong Gold and Silver Exchange Society or ASIC [7] - Transparency in trading is vital, with platforms required to provide transaction codes for traceability [7] - Investors should choose platforms with segregated fund management and be wary of platforms promising guaranteed high returns, as these are often scams [7]
现货黄金涨超0.7%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 00:07
Core Viewpoint - The article reports a significant increase in precious metal prices, particularly gold, with notable movements in both spot and futures markets [1] Gold Market - Spot gold rose by 0.76% to $3,391.35 per ounce, experiencing a notable surge from around $3,350 to above $3,385 [1] - COMEX gold futures increased by 0.65%, reaching $3,439.60 per ounce, trading within a range of $3,396.10 to $3,440.80 during the day [1] - The Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index closed up by 1.94%, marking a record high at 244.06 points [1] Silver Market - Spot silver saw a slight increase of 0.07%, priced at $38.6079 per ounce, while COMEX silver futures fell by 0.10% to $38.665 per ounce [1] Other Precious Metals - COMEX copper futures decreased by 0.16%, settling at $4.4705 per pound [1] - Spot platinum rose by 0.52% to $1,353.07 per ounce, and spot palladium increased by 0.57% to $1,103.12 per ounce [1]
鸽派信号引爆降息预期银价拉高回落
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-25 05:18
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole meeting indicated a cautious yet dovish approach to future monetary policy, acknowledging increasing downside risks in the labor market [3] - Powell described the current labor market as a "strange balance," with both supply and demand for workers slowing down, which could lead to evolving risks [3] - Market expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut in September surged from 75% to 85% following Powell's remarks, with the anticipated total cut for the year increasing from 48 to 54 basis points [3] Group 2 - The silver market opened at $37.937 last week, experienced a strong rebound, and closed the week at $38.895, indicating a bullish trend [5] - The highest price reached during the week was $39.058, while the lowest was $36.93, showing significant volatility [5] - Current trading for silver is around $38.77, with a slight decline of 0.14%, suggesting a short-term bearish outlook [1]
富格林:明确安全计策预防欺诈
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 03:55
交易策略的规范性同样重要。投资者应避免盲目跟风,需建立独立的行情分析体系。可结合技术面与基 本面分析,例如通过黄金分割线判断趋势反转点,同时关注美元指数、美联储政策等宏观因素。在交易 执行层面,需确认平台报价是否与国际市场实时同步,部分欺诈平台会通过延迟报价或人为制造断线现 象,干扰投资者判断。例如,当重大经济数据公布时,若平台频繁出现"系统维护"提示,需警惕其操纵 价格的可能性。 富格林指出,在现货黄金市场中,安全交易计策的构建是保障资金安全与预防欺诈的核心环节。安全的 交易计策不仅关乎盈利出金,更是预防欺诈、保障资金安全的核心手段。富格林认为,构建稳健的交易 环境是每一位投资者实现长期收益的基础,而防范欺诈风险则是其中不可或缺的一环。以下是富格林结 合十五年实战经验,给大家分享的交易计策。 投资者需保持理性交易心态。欺诈行为往往利用人性贪婪,通过"稳赚不赔"等话术诱导。建议建立交易 日志,记录每笔交易的决策依据与结果,定期复盘以识别潜在风险。当遭遇异常交易结果时,应第一时 间通过官方渠道联系平台。安全交易环境的构建需要投资者与合规平台的共同努力,将风险防范意识贯 穿交易全流程,在黄金市场中实现稳健收益。 ...
领峰贵金属:现货黄金如何投资?0基础小白炒金技巧大揭秘!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 09:22
Core Viewpoint - The rising interest among young people in "spot gold investment" is attributed to increased online searches and discussions, indicating a growing trend in this investment area [1]. Group 1: Investment Platform - Choosing a quality platform is crucial for safe and transparent trading, with Lingfeng Precious Metals being a preferred choice due to its strong technical support and low spread advantages [4]. - It is essential to select a platform with proper qualifications and transparent pricing to ensure a secure trading environment [4]. Group 2: Accessibility and Flexibility - Spot gold trading has a low entry threshold, allowing participation with minimal investment, comparable to the cost of a few cups of tea [5]. - Client funds are securely managed and regularly audited, which is particularly important for young investors during volatile market conditions [6]. Group 3: Trading Process - The trading process is simplified, allowing users to place orders easily through an app with real-time price updates [7]. - The platform offers 24-hour trading, enabling users to engage in the market even after regular working hours [8]. - Users can benefit from both upward and downward price movements, with a low capital requirement to participate in significant market trends [8]. Group 4: Technical Tools and Planning - Various technical indicators such as MACD, Bollinger Bands, and RSI can assist in analyzing gold price trends without needing to memorize complex formulas [9]. - Keeping track of economic events like non-farm payrolls and CPI is vital, as they directly impact gold prices, and setting stop-loss and take-profit orders can automate trading decisions [9]. Group 5: Cautionary Tips for New Investors - New investors should avoid over-leveraging by limiting individual trade sizes to 10% of their account balance to mitigate risks from sudden market movements [10]. - Monitoring the market during peak trading hours, particularly from 20:00 to 24:00 Beijing time, can enhance trading efficiency [10]. - Practicing with a demo account can provide valuable experience without financial risk, allowing investors to learn from simulated market conditions [10].
铂金价格出现复苏迹象,中国支撑行情
日经中文网· 2025-08-21 08:00
Core Viewpoint - The price of platinum is rising significantly, driven by increased demand in China and a shift in investor interest towards undervalued assets like platinum, which has outperformed gold and the S&P 500 index [2][6]. Group 1: Price Trends - Platinum prices have surged to around $1360 per ounce, representing a 50% increase compared to the end of 2024, significantly outpacing gold's 30% rise and the S&P 500's 10% increase [6]. - In Japan, the price of platinum is approximately 6846 yen per gram (around 333.3 RMB), with a notable increase in sales, reportedly rising sevenfold since January [4][6]. - The global platinum supply for 2024 is projected at 180 tons, with China's imports from April to June accounting for about 20% of this total [9]. Group 2: Demand Drivers - The demand for platinum is being bolstered by younger consumers in China, who are increasingly favoring platinum jewelry over gold [9]. - In Japan, the sales of platinum bars have surged, with reports indicating a sevenfold increase in sales compared to earlier in the year [4]. - The industrial demand for platinum remains significant, with approximately 70% of its usage in automotive catalytic converters [9]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The recent price increase is attributed to a combination of factors, including a shift in investor focus towards platinum as a low-valued asset amid a backdrop of high gold prices [6][10]. - South Africa, the largest platinum producer, experienced a production decrease due to early-year flooding, which may impact supply through September [10]. - Financial institutions have raised their price forecasts for platinum, with predictions suggesting it could reach $1600 per ounce by the second half of 2025 [10].
特朗普干预央行独立性引发担忧 贵金属市场多空力量交织
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-21 07:55
【要闻速递】 上个月美国批发价格的上涨和 7 月份零售销售报告的强劲增长使美联储大幅降息 50 个基点 (bps) 的 前景黯淡。然而,投资者仍预计今年会降息。 俄罗斯外交部长谢尔盖·拉夫罗夫周三警告说,在没有莫斯科参与的情况下试图解决与乌克兰有关的安 全问题是一条无路可走的道路。拉夫罗夫还指责欧洲领导人笨拙地试图改变特朗普在乌克兰问题上的立 场。这使地缘政治风险继续发挥作用,并有助于限制黄金/美元货币对的损失。 在8月21日的欧洲交易时段,黄金未能延续前一日自三周低点开启的良好反弹态势,反而引来了新的卖 方力量。当日公布的7月底联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)政策会议纪要彰显出鹰派立场,与会官员们 对通胀问题的关切程度超过了劳动力市场状况。这一信号进一步削弱了市场对于美联储将于9月大幅降 息的预期,进而助推美元走强,同时给不产生利息收益的黄金带来下行压力。与此同时,白银价格攀升 至37.85美元附近;铂金则受市场预期美联储可能在9月会议上降息的影响获得支撑。另外,美国总统特 朗普基于未经证实的抵押贷款欺诈指控要求美联储理事丽莎·库克辞职的事件,引发了投资者对央行独 立性的担忧。加之特朗普多次公开批评美联储主席 ...
贺利氏预计黄金价格短期在3200-3600美元/盎司区间波动
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 06:04
Core Viewpoint - The gold price is expected to fluctuate between $3200 and $3600 per ounce in the short term, with current trading around $3300 to $3400 per ounce, influenced by geopolitical factors and U.S. monetary policy [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The recent gold market has shown slight fluctuations, with London gold prices experiencing minor movements within the $3300 to $3400 range [1]. - The easing of the global tariff war has led to U.S. gold imports not being subjected to tariffs, contributing to the price stability [1]. - After reaching $3400 per ounce, gold prices retreated, and the premium of New York over London decreased from $100 to $55 per ounce [1]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - Following disappointing non-farm payroll data, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has continued to meet expectations, although the credibility of the data is perceived to be declining [1]. - The market still anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, despite cautious statements from the Fed and increasing internal divisions among officials [1]. Group 3: Central Bank Activity - High gold prices are suppressing physical consumption and dampening investment enthusiasm, yet central banks continue to increase their gold holdings [2]. - The People's Bank of China added 60,000 ounces of gold in July, marking the ninth consecutive month of increases, which may provide ongoing support for gold prices if this trend continues [2].