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海天味业:成本持续改善,利润目标达成-20250407
Dongxing Securities· 2025-04-07 10:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [2][5]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 26.901 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.53%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.344 billion yuan, up 12.75% year-on-year [3]. - The growth in revenue was slightly lower than expected, but the profit growth met the company's targets, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency [3][5]. - The company experienced stable growth in core products, with significant contributions from new products, particularly in the soy sauce, seasoning sauce, and oyster sauce categories [4][5]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - In 2024, the revenue breakdown by product was as follows: soy sauce 13.76 billion yuan (+8.87%), seasoning sauce 2.67 billion yuan (+9.97%), oyster sauce 4.62 billion yuan (+8.56%), and other products 4.09 billion yuan (+16.75%) [4]. - The sales growth was primarily driven by volume increases, despite a slight decline in unit prices for soy sauce and seasoning sauce [4]. - Online sales grew significantly, with a 39.78% increase, while offline sales rose by 8.93% [4]. Cost and Margin Improvement - The company's gross margin improved to 37% in 2024, an increase of 2.26 percentage points, attributed to lower raw material costs, particularly for soybeans [5]. - The average soybean cost is projected to decrease by approximately 12.6% year-on-year in 2024, further enhancing profit margins [5]. Future Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 1.29 yuan, 1.42 yuan, and 1.53 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 32, 29, and 27 times [5][7].
海天味业(603288):成本持续改善,利润目标达成
Dongxing Securities· 2025-04-07 08:29
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [2][5]. Core Insights - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 26.901 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.53%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.344 billion yuan, up 12.75% year-on-year [3]. - The growth in revenue was slightly lower than expected, but the profit growth met the company's targets [3]. - The company experienced stable growth in its core products, with significant contributions from new products, particularly in the soy sauce, seasoning sauce, and oyster sauce categories [4]. - The gross profit margin improved to 37% in 2024, an increase of 2.26 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a decrease in raw material costs [5]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 1.29 yuan, 1.42 yuan, and 1.53 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 32, 29, and 27 times [5]. - The projected revenue for 2025 is approximately 29.084 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.12% growth rate [7]. Product Performance - Revenue from soy sauce, seasoning sauce, oyster sauce, and other products in 2024 was 13.76 billion yuan, 2.67 billion yuan, 4.62 billion yuan, and 4.09 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 8.87%, 9.97%, 8.56%, and 16.75% [4]. - The sales growth was primarily driven by volume increases, despite a slight decline in unit prices for soy sauce and seasoning sauce [4]. Cost Structure - The company benefited from a reduction in raw material costs, particularly soybeans, which are expected to decrease by approximately 12.6% year-on-year in 2024 [5]. - Selling and administrative expense ratios were 6.05% and 2.09% respectively, reflecting a slight increase due to enhanced market share efforts [5]. Market Position - The company continues to optimize its internal operations, focusing on offline sales while leveraging technology to boost online transactions [4]. - The number of distributors increased by 116 to a total of 6,707 by the end of 2024, indicating a robust distribution network [4].
海天味业(603288):Q4保持稳健,完成“四五”开局
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Outperform" [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 26.901 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.53%, and a net profit of 6.344 billion yuan, up 12.75% year-on-year. The Q4 revenue was 6.502 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 10.03% and a net profit of 1.529 billion yuan, growing 17.82% year-on-year [6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 4.773 billion yuan, with a dividend payout ratio of 75.24% [6] - The company is expected to continue its diversified development strategy, enhancing its capabilities in product categories, channels, and international markets to support its long-term goals [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The projected total revenue for the company from 2023 to 2027 is as follows: - 2023: 24.559 billion yuan - 2024: 26.901 billion yuan - 2025E: 29.367 billion yuan - 2026E: 31.803 billion yuan - 2027E: 34.132 billion yuan - The year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected to be -4.1% in 2023, 9.5% in 2024, 9.2% in 2025, 8.3% in 2026, and 7.3% in 2027 [5] - The net profit forecast for the same period is: - 2023: 5.627 billion yuan - 2024: 6.344 billion yuan - 2025E: 6.952 billion yuan - 2026E: 7.620 billion yuan - 2027E: 8.387 billion yuan - The projected year-on-year growth rates for net profit are -9.2% in 2023, 12.8% in 2024, 9.6% in 2025, 9.6% in 2026, and 10.1% in 2027 [5][6] - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve from 34.7% in 2023 to 38.0% in 2027, driven by cost reductions [5][6] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the revenue from different product categories was as follows: - Soy sauce: 13.758 billion yuan (up 8.87%) - Seasoning sauce: 2.669 billion yuan (up 9.97%) - Oyster sauce: 4.615 billion yuan (up 8.56%) - Other products: 4.086 billion yuan (up 16.75%) [6] - The company’s sales volume for soy sauce, seasoning sauce, and oyster sauce increased by 11.63%, 13.47%, and 8.1% respectively in 2024 [6] - Revenue growth was primarily driven by volume increases, with the company increasing market investments to gain market share [6] Cost and Profitability - The company’s gross margin improved to 37% in 2024, up 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to cost reductions across major product categories [6] - The sales and management expense ratios were 6.05% and 2.19% respectively in 2024, indicating an increase in sales expenses by 25% year-on-year [6]
食品饮料周报:关税加码,关注内需主线
Ping An Securities· 2025-04-07 01:30
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic demand in light of increased tariffs, highlighting the need for policies to support growth in the domestic market [6] - The report recommends focusing on three main lines of investment: high-end liquor with strong demand, national expansion of mid-range liquor, and real estate liquor products [6] - The food index showed a cumulative increase of 1.32%, with specific recommendations for snack and restaurant industry investments due to expected recovery [6] Summary by Sections Liquor Industry - Moutai's 2024 revenue is projected at 174.1 billion yuan, a 15.7% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 86.2 billion yuan, up 15.4% [6][7] - The report recommends Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao for high-end liquor, Shanxi Fenjiu for mid-range liquor, and Yingjia Gongjiu and others for real estate liquor [6] - The liquor index showed a cumulative decline of 0.74% this week, with Moutai's stock down 1.03% [6][7] Food Industry - The food index increased by 1.32%, with top gainers including Yanjinpuzi (+19.64%) and Zunming Co. (+9.66%) [6][12] - The report suggests focusing on the snack sector and the restaurant industry chain, anticipating a slight recovery in the restaurant sector [6] - Recommendations include Three Squirrels and Yanjinpuzi for snacks, and Yanjing Beer, Haitian Flavoring, and Anjui Foods for the restaurant supply chain [6] Key Company Insights - Guizhou Moutai aims for a revenue growth of about 9% in 2025, with a fixed asset investment of 4.711 billion yuan [7] - Wuliangye plans to maintain a cash dividend of at least 70% of net profit for 2024-2026, ensuring stable shareholder returns [7] - Luzhou Laojiao and Shanxi Fenjiu are also recommended for their strong market positions and growth strategies [7][8] Market Trends - The report notes that the overall food and beverage industry has shown resilience, with many companies meeting performance expectations [6] - The macroeconomic environment remains a concern, but the report highlights opportunities in high-demand sectors [6][9]
海天味业多品类协同发展净利63亿 毛利率回升至37%拟派现47.7亿
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-04-07 01:03
长江商报消息 ●长江商报记者 江楚雅 "酱油茅"海天味业(603288.SH)业绩重返增长快车道。 4月3日,海天味业发布2024年年度报告。报告显示,公司2024年实现营收269.01亿元,同比增长 9.53%;归母净利润63.44亿元,同比增长12.75%;扣除非经常性损益后,净利润为60.69亿元,同比增 长12.51%。 值得一提的是,受材料采购成本下降、精益管理及科技驱动成本控制等多重因素影响,海天味业2024年 毛利率达37%,较上年同期提升2.26个百分点,出现明显回暖。 海天味业将业绩的提升归因于内部变革、研发投入、多品类布局及线上渠道协同等多方面因素。为进一 步提升企业的综合实力及国际影响力,公司正积极推进国际化战略,筹划H股上市,加速布局海外市 场。随着海外市场的逐步开拓,海天味业有望在全球调味品市场中占据重要地位,进一步提升公司的盈 利能力和市场竞争力。 在销售渠道方面,海天味业继续深化渠道下沉和市场拓展策略。线下渠道实现营业收入248.18亿元,同 比增长8.26%;线上渠道实现营业收入20.83亿元,同比增长29.17%。线上渠道的快速增长,体现了公司 在数字化营销和电商平台布局方面 ...
海天味业(603288):2024年领先行业增长,来年稳增可期
Tai Ping Yang· 2025-04-06 13:40
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 47.88, compared to the last closing price of 40.67 [1][9]. Core Views - The company is expected to lead industry growth in 2024, with stable growth anticipated in the coming year [1][11]. - The company reported a revenue of 269.01 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 63.44 billion yuan, up 12.8% year-on-year [5][6]. - The company has successfully returned to double-digit growth in revenue and profit, with a significant increase in online sales, which grew by 39.8% year-on-year [6][7]. Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 65.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.03%, and a net profit of 15.29 billion yuan, up 17.82% year-on-year [5][6]. - The company’s gross margin improved by 2.3 percentage points to 37.0% due to lower raw material costs and improved internal efficiencies [7]. - The net profit margin for 2024 increased by 0.7 percentage points to 23.6%, indicating a steady improvement in profitability [7]. Product and Regional Performance - Revenue from various product lines in 2024 included soy sauce (137.58 billion yuan, +8.9%), seasoning sauce (26.69 billion yuan, +10.0%), oyster sauce (46.15 billion yuan, +8.6%), and other products (40.86 billion yuan, +16.8%) [6]. - The company expanded its distribution network, adding 116 new distributors, bringing the total to 6,707 [6]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 295.6 billion yuan, 323.4 billion yuan, and 353.4 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 70.2 billion yuan, 77.4 billion yuan, and 84.6 billion yuan [10]. - The company aims to maintain a double-digit growth trend in both revenue and profit through 2025 [7][9].
海天味业(603288):2024年年报点评:24年顺利收官,25年势能延续
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-06 11:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company achieved an operating revenue of 26.9 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.53%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.34 billion yuan, up 12.8% year-on-year [1][2]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 6.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.0% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 1.53 billion yuan, which is a 17.8% increase year-on-year [1][2]. - The company is expected to continue its growth momentum into 2025, with projected revenues of 29.6 billion yuan, representing a 10.0% increase [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 37.0%, an increase of 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to lower raw material prices and improved operational efficiency [3]. - The company’s sales expenses in Q4 2024 were 6.6% of revenue, up 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, indicating increased investment in market share [3]. Product and Channel Performance - Revenue from soy sauce reached 13.76 billion yuan, with a volume increase of 11.6% but a price decline of 2.5% [2]. - Online sales grew by 39.8% year-on-year, while offline sales increased by 8.9% [2]. Strategic Outlook - The company is advancing its "Four-Five Plan" aimed at enhancing product, channel, and terminal development, with expectations for increased market share in a competitive landscape [3]. - The report highlights the importance of multi-category development and leveraging technological advantages to meet diverse consumer demands [3].
海天味业(603288):2024年领先行业增长 来年稳增可期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-06 09:18
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong financial performance for 2024, with revenue and net profit showing significant year-on-year growth, indicating a successful recovery and positive outlook for future growth [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 26.901 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.344 billion yuan, up 12.8% year-on-year [1]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw revenue of 6.502 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.03% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.529 billion yuan, which is a 17.82% increase year-on-year [1]. Product Performance - Revenue from various product categories in 2024 included soy sauce (13.758 billion yuan, +8.9%), seasoning sauce (2.669 billion yuan, +10.0%), oyster sauce (4.615 billion yuan, +8.6%), and other products (4.086 billion yuan, +16.8%) [2]. - The company experienced a slight decline in prices for soy sauce (-2.5%) and seasoning sauce (-3.1%), while oyster sauce prices increased by 0.4% [2]. Cost and Efficiency - The company's gross margin improved by 2.3 percentage points to 37.0% in 2024, primarily due to lower raw material costs and ongoing internal efficiency improvements [3]. - The net profit margin increased by 0.7 percentage points to 23.6% for the year, with the fourth quarter net profit margin rising by 1.6 percentage points to 23.5% [3]. Future Outlook - The company aims to maintain double-digit growth in revenue and profit for 2025, with projected revenues of 29.56 billion yuan, 32.34 billion yuan, and 35.34 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 9.9%, 9.4%, and 9.3% respectively [4]. - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is 7.02 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.6% year-on-year increase, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 32 [4].
A股开盘怎么走?抗风险潜力股来了!
券商中国· 2025-04-06 02:20
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of companies with high return on equity (ROE) in the A-share market, especially in the context of increasing external risks and market volatility. It highlights that companies maintaining a high ROE are likely to attract investment due to their stability and profitability [1][2]. Group 1: High ROE Companies - Seven A-share companies have maintained a net asset return rate (ROE) of over 15% for the past ten years, with foreign income accounting for less than 10% of their revenue [2][4]. - These companies are recognized for their strong market positions and competitive advantages, including excellent management, patented technologies, and industry leadership [2][4]. Group 2: Company Performance and Market Position - Guizhou Moutai and Haitian Flavoring are the leading companies in their respective industries, with market capitalizations exceeding 200 billion yuan [5]. - Tonghuashun, Shuanghui Development, and AVIC Optoelectronics also have significant market capitalizations, each exceeding 50 billion yuan, indicating their strong market presence [5]. - The net profit compound growth rates for companies like Enhua Pharmaceutical and Morning Glory have exceeded 10% over the past decade, showcasing their growth potential [5]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Tonghuashun reported a revenue of 4.187 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 17.47%, with a net profit of 1.823 billion yuan, up 30% [6]. - Guizhou Moutai is projected to achieve a revenue of 174.144 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 86.228 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 15.66% and 15.38% respectively [9]. Group 4: Institutional Investment - Guizhou Moutai has attracted significant institutional investment, with a net buy amounting to 1.317 billion yuan, indicating strong market confidence [9]. - Enhua Pharmaceutical also saw institutional net buying of 60.138 million yuan, reflecting positive market sentiment towards its growth strategy [10].
海天味业业绩重回增长,面临国际化与“零添加”新规两大挑战
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-04-04 13:56
Core Viewpoint - Haitai Flavor Industry reported a revenue of 26.901 billion yuan and a net profit of 6.344 billion yuan for 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 9.53% and 12.75% respectively, indicating a return to growth despite facing challenges [1][2]. Revenue and Profit Growth - In contrast to the decline in 2023, Haitai Flavor achieved a revenue of 26.901 billion yuan and a net profit of 6.344 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.53% and 12.75% [2]. - The company set a target of 27.51 billion yuan in revenue for 2024, which was not met, while the net profit exceeded expectations [2]. - The main business segments, including soy sauce, seasoning sauce, oyster sauce, and others, reported revenues of 13.758 billion yuan, 2.669 billion yuan, 4.615 billion yuan, and 4.086 billion yuan respectively, with growth rates of 8.87%, 9.97%, 8.56%, and 16.75% [2]. Sales Channels - Offline sales channels generated 23.885 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.93%, while online sales reached 1.243 billion yuan, growing by 39.78% [3]. - The company enhanced its sales network and market competitiveness, leading to balanced revenue growth across regions [3]. International Market Strategy - Haitai Flavor aims to expand its international presence, with plans for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global brand image [4][5]. - The company has established subsidiaries in Hong Kong and Indonesia to facilitate its international operations [4]. Challenges in International Expansion - Despite plans for international growth, Haitai Flavor's overseas revenue remains below 10%, with the majority of its income generated from domestic markets [5]. - The company faces challenges in brand internationalization and product localization compared to global competitors [5][6]. Impact of New Regulations - New regulations prohibiting "zero additives" labeling may impact Haitai Flavor's rapidly growing "zero additives" product line, which saw over 60% sales growth in 2024 [7][8]. - The industry is expected to shift focus back to quality competition, with companies needing to find new differentiating factors in health-oriented products [8].