Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for Adama (000553 CH) Core Insights - In Q1 2025, Adama achieved a net profit turnaround, with adjusted net income rebounding to $44 million compared to a net loss of $10 million in the same period in 2024 [2][4] - Sales for Q1 2025 were $1.0 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of approximately 5% in U.S. dollars, primarily due to flat volumes and a 4% decline in prices [2][4] - The North American business showed growth, driven by improved market demand and a favorable economic environment, particularly in the consumer and professional solutions segment [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 adjusted gross profit increased by 5% year-over-year to $303 million, with a gross margin of 30.3%, up from 27.2% in the same period last year [5] - Adjusted operating expenses decreased to $207 million from $216 million year-over-year, attributed to disciplined expense management and favorable currency movements [5] - Adjusted finance costs were reduced to $54 million from $70 million, mainly due to lower hedging costs and improved cash flow management [5] Regional Business Insights - The North American business experienced year-on-year growth, partly due to the recovery of channel inventories and increased consumer disposable income, which boosted demand in 2024 [6]

Core Viewpoint - Company is actively managing financial costs and currency risks while navigating uncertainties in global trade policies and market dynamics [1][2][3][4] Group 1: Financial Performance and Currency Management - Company reported a significant reduction in financial expenses in Q1 2025, attributed to one-time gains and foreign exchange profits [1] - Financial expenses include interest payments on debt and hedging costs, with improved cash flow in 2024 and Q1 2025 helping to lower debt levels [1] - Company utilizes hedging strategies to mitigate risks associated with currency fluctuations, particularly focusing on local currencies in over 50 countries [1] - The primary currency benefiting from hedging in Q1 2025 was the Israeli Shekel, which contributed to reduced financial expenses [1] Group 2: Impact of Tariffs and Market Dynamics - Company is closely monitoring the impact of US-China tariff policies, noting the uncertainty surrounding final tariff rates and their timing [2] - As a multinational corporation, company has production facilities in various countries, allowing it to balance risks and opportunities related to tariffs [2] - Company’s business in the US is relatively small, which may limit the impact of tariffs compared to larger competitors [2] - Delayed effects of tariffs may manifest in the latter half of the year due to existing inventory levels [2] Group 3: Market Trends and Pricing Pressure - Company anticipates potential indirect effects of tariffs on markets outside the US, with expectations of price increases in the US and possible price declines in other regions [3] - In Q1 2025, company experienced a significant decline in sales in the Latin American region, particularly in Brazil, but cautioned against drawing conclusions due to seasonal factors [3] - Overall market conditions in Brazil and Latin America reflect a trend of healthy sales volume but significant pricing pressure, with a decrease in overall market size in 2024 [3] - Company observed an oversupply of agricultural products from China, contributing to downward pricing pressure, but some raw material prices are stabilizing [4] - Company is focused on enhancing competitiveness through ongoing transformation efforts in response to current market conditions [4]

2025 年 05 月 08 日 晨会纪要 研究所： 证券分析师： 余春生 S0350513090001 yucs@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 晨会纪要 ——2025 年第 75 期 观点精粹: 最新报告摘要 核心产品持续涨价，2025Q1 业绩同比大幅改善--利民股份/农化制品(002734/212208) 公司点评 周期底部筑牢成本优势，阿拉善二期顺利推进中--远兴能源/化学原料(000683/212202) 公司动态研究 业绩保持增长，打造机器人第二增长曲线--雷赛智能/自动化设备(002979/216407) 公司动态研究 2025Q1 业绩超预期，有望逐步进入利润释放周期--福田汽车/商用车(600166/212806) 公司动态研究 多家车企发布 4 月销量，美国宣布豁免加拿大和墨西哥汽车零部件 25%关税--行业周报 价值型资金或仍为主要定价力量--资产配置报告 表活+油脂化学品双发力，2024 年归母净利润同比大增--赞宇科技/化学制品(002637/212203) 公司动态研究 定增加码智能芯片布局，迎接自主可控发展机遇--寒武纪/半导体(688256/212701) ...

Financial Performance - The management expenses for 2024 and Q1 2025 have significantly increased due to the "Advancement" plan, which is expected to have a diminishing impact on management costs over time [1] - In Q1 2025, the company experienced a notable reduction in financial expenses, including one-time gains and foreign exchange gains, primarily benefiting from improved cash flow and reduced debt levels [1][2] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 saw a significant increase attributed to the digestion of high-cost inventory, with current inventory costs being relatively low [4] Market and Competitive Landscape - The sales in the Latin American region, particularly Brazil, experienced a substantial decline in Q1 2025 due to intensified competition, although the overall market dynamics are expected to improve in the third and fourth quarters [5][6] - The impact of US-China tariff policies on the company's operations is uncertain, but the company is actively assessing the situation and believes it can find balance amid potential risks [2][3] Strategic Initiatives - The "Advancement" plan, which spans from 2024 to 2026, includes multiple projects aimed at cost optimization and operational efficiency, with early signs of success already visible [11] - The company is focused on enhancing its product portfolio and regional layout, having eliminated several low-margin products to improve profitability [10] - A new Chief Commercial Officer has been appointed to enhance the sales team's capabilities and improve the competitiveness of differentiated products [10] Future Outlook - The company is committed to ongoing transformation efforts, with expectations for further positive outcomes as the "Advancement" plan continues to unfold [11] - The overall market for agricultural chemicals remains uncertain, with indications that supply may exceed demand, particularly for products from China [6][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company turned profitable in Q1 2025, with a net profit of 1.51 billion yuan, marking a significant recovery from previous losses [1][2]. - The overall gross margin improved significantly due to the reduction in inventory costs, with a year-on-year increase of 2.9 percentage points to 27.2% [2]. - The company's cash flow from operating activities showed a net inflow of -2.07 billion yuan, an improvement of 5.28 billion yuan year-on-year, representing the best level since 2019 [2]. Sales Performance - North America saw a 15% year-on-year increase in sales, driven by strong performance in consumer and professional solutions [3]. - Sales in the Asia-Pacific region decreased by 7%, while China experienced an 8% growth due to recovering global demand [3]. - The Latin America region faced a 23% decline in sales, attributed to intensified competition and unfavorable currency exchange rates [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upwards, with expected net profits of 4.17 billion yuan, 7.09 billion yuan, and 10.28 billion yuan respectively [4]. - The report highlights that the improvement in gross margin and cash flow is expected to continue benefiting from the company's operational enhancements and the recovery of certain product prices [4]. - The estimated P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 35, 20, and 14 respectively, indicating a positive outlook for the company's valuation [5][12].

Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 2.419 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 1.68% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -26 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 75.14% [1] - The company achieved a net profit of 22 million yuan in Q1 2025, marking a turnaround from losses [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company generated a revenue of 526 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.93% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 15.14% [1] - The net profit for Q4 2024 was -32 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 72.02% but a significant quarter-on-quarter decline of 3072.19% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 543 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.78% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.10% [1] Group 2: Product Performance - The sales volume of the core product, Acetochlor, increased significantly, with exports rising by 88% in 2024 [2] - The total sales of Acetochlor reached 11,600 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 56.9% [2] - In Q1 2025, Acetochlor sales continued to grow, reaching 2,326 tons, a year-on-year increase of 32.1% [2] Group 3: Innovation and Development - The company focuses on high-end herbicide product development, holding 58 invention patents as of December 31, 2024 [3] - The first innovative herbicide product, Quizalofop, was launched in 2021, and the second product, Pyrazolyl, was approved for registration in September 2024 [3] - The company aims to develop and commercialize a new innovative compound every two years [3] Group 4: Market Expansion and Projects - The company has successfully registered core products in key markets such as Brazil, the USA, and Argentina [4] - New production projects, including an annual capacity of 18,000 tons of pesticide raw materials, have been completed and are in trial production [4] - The company is enhancing its production capabilities to meet the growing domestic market demand [4] Group 5: Investment Outlook - The company is expected to maintain rapid growth in performance with new product launches and ongoing project developments [4] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 102 million, 161 million, and 256 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 495.98%, 57.23%, and 58.66% respectively [4]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The chemical sector is currently in a bottoming phase, influenced by macroeconomic factors and overcapacity, with performance fluctuating within a range of ±10% year-on-year. Certain sub-sectors like refrigerants, pesticides, fertilizers, and modified plastics are performing well, showing resilience against macroeconomic impacts [2][47]. Company-Specific Insights Zhenhua Co., Ltd. - Zhenhua's net profit for Q1 2025 was 117 million yuan, a 37% year-on-year increase. The company is expected to see significant growth in Q2 due to strong demand for metallic chromium and high-temperature alloys, with annual profits potentially reaching 1.5 to 1.6 billion yuan following capacity expansion [1][3][4][7]. Refrigerant Industry - The refrigerant market has outperformed expectations, with leading companies like Juhua and Sanmei reporting substantial profit increases (Juhua's net profit grew by 108% and Sanmei by 178% in 2024). The average price of refrigerants has risen significantly, with some products like R32 exceeding 50,000 yuan per ton [1][8][9][10][11]. Agricultural Chemicals - The agricultural chemicals sector has shown strong performance, driven by cost support and export demand. Companies like Yangnong Chemical have increased operational loads to boost profits. The focus is on the impact of export policies on phosphate fertilizers [1][15][16][17]. Polyester Filament Industry - The polyester filament industry had a good Q1 but faces pressures from falling oil prices and uncertain tariff policies. As oil prices stabilize, market elasticity may increase [1][21][22][23]. Refining Sector - Companies like Rongsheng and Hengli in the refining sector saw significant profit improvements in Q1 due to a rebound in crude oil cracking margins. The low oil prices positively impacted downstream demand, helping to reduce costs and increase profits [1][24][25]. Future Trends and Strategies - The chemical sector is advised to focus on sub-sectors with low correlation to trade wars, such as refrigerants and new materials. Investors are encouraged to wait for low oil price points to optimize investment opportunities [2][5][6]. Additional Insights - The refrigerant industry is characterized by stable demand and pricing power held by leading companies, making it less sensitive to economic downturns. The potential for significant price increases remains, with a long cycle expected [9][10][11]. - The agricultural sector is expected to maintain growth, particularly in the phosphate fertilizer market, contingent on favorable export policies [17][40]. - The tire industry faces challenges from tariffs and is adapting through price increases and strategic market positioning [44][45]. Conclusion - The chemical industry presents various investment opportunities, particularly in sectors with strong fundamentals and less exposure to macroeconomic volatility. Companies with independent growth narratives, like Zhenhua, are highlighted as having significant profit potential [2][6][7].

24 年公司To C 转型持续深化，欧盟、北美业务占比快速提升，持续加码全球布局。根据公告数据披 露，24年以来公司To C 业务快速成长，全年实现营收50.06 亿元（YoY+29%），业务占比由2023 年的 33.82%提升至37.65%，实现毛利率28.99%，同比+0.09pct；而Model A+Model B 营收82.90 亿元 （YoY+9%），毛利率14.23%，同比-3.01pct。具体分产品看，除草剂营收97.32 亿元（YoY+16%），毛 利率17.76%，同比-0.70pct；杀虫剂营收21.05 亿元（YoY+36%），毛利率26.91%，同比-5.97pct；杀菌 剂营收13.13亿元（YoY-4%），毛利率22.05%，同比-0.14pct；杀虫、杀菌产品收入占比稳步提升至 25.71%。此外，重点拓展区域欧盟、北美业务营收占比由2023 年的5.69%上升到9.75%；同时生物制剂 业务快速拓展，全球生物制品销售额首年营收即达成约1000 万美金目标。在全球营销网络构建以及登 记布局方面，公司持续加码，24 年新获得登记1000 余项，截止2024 年12 月31 日公司 ...

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural chemical industry is experiencing a recovery in the first quarter of 2024, with most companies reporting improved performance after a period of destocking in 2023 [1][5][6]. Group 1: Company Performance - As of April 28, 29 agricultural chemical companies have disclosed their Q1 reports, with 27 companies reporting profits and 16 showing year-on-year profit growth [1]. - Companies such as Lianhua Technology, Hunan Haili, and Lier Chemical reported net profit increases exceeding 100% year-on-year [2][3]. - Lianhua Technology's Q1 net profit grew over tenfold to 4971.56 million yuan, with a revenue of 15.1 billion yuan, marking a 3.02% increase [2]. - Hunan Haili achieved a revenue of 4.31 billion yuan, up 25.44%, and a net profit of 5661.02 million yuan, up 483.78% [3]. - Lier Chemical reported total revenue of 20.86 billion yuan, a 49.99% increase, and a net profit of 1.53 billion yuan, up 219.9% [3]. - Companies like Xianda Co. and Limin Co. turned losses into profits in Q1 due to increased sales and prices [4]. Group 2: Market Trends - The agricultural chemical market is entering its traditional peak season, with significant destocking observed since the beginning of the year [5][6]. - The market is showing signs of recovery, with an increase in terminal demand and replenishment in both domestic and foreign markets [6]. - The raw material price index for agricultural chemicals rose to 73.11 points, reflecting a 0.29% increase from the previous month [6]. - Industry experts express optimism for 2025, anticipating a stable recovery in the agricultural chemical sector [7].

Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's profit for 2024 is projected to be over negative 500 million, a significant drop from over 1 billion in 2022, indicating instability in operations [5] - The decline in profit is attributed to a combination of a downturn in the agricultural chemical industry and asset impairment losses [5] - The company aims to achieve profitability in 2025, with a positive trend observed in the first quarter [5][6] Group 2: Market Position and Product Range - The company produces over a hundred high-quality products across three main categories: herbicides, fungicides, and insecticides, with strong market competitiveness in certain herbicide classes [4] - The company has established a stable partnership with well-known domestic and international agricultural enterprises, which enhances its market position [6] Group 3: Risk Management and Financial Strategy - The company has implemented a comprehensive customer credit management system to mitigate accounts receivable risks, maintaining a low historical bad debt loss [5][6] - The company is actively adjusting its financing structure to control debt ratios and ensure stable cash flow, with sufficient bank credit available [6] Group 4: Industry Outlook - The agricultural chemical industry is expected to stabilize due to its weak cyclical nature and the rigid demand for agricultural production [10] - The company anticipates that the optimization of product structure and expansion into new application areas will create growth opportunities in the long term [10]