证券研究报告 2025 年 05 月 14 日 | 市场数据 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | 收盘 | 涨跌% | | 上证指数 | 3374.87 | 0.17 | | 深证成指 | 10288.08 | -0.13 | | 创业板指 | 2062.26 | -0.12 | | 科创 50 | 1009.68 | -0.15 | | 北证 50 | 1405.80 | -0.94 | | 沪深 300 | 3896.26 | 0.15 | A 股市场概览 | 类别 | 总市值 | 流通市 | 市盈率 | 市净率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (亿元) | 值(亿元) | PE | PB | | 上证指数 | 648305 | 507200 | 11.89 | 1.23 | | 深证成指 | 218426 | 185004 | 20.09 | 2.12 | | 创业板指 | 58061 | 45930 | 26.95 | 3.76 | | 科创 50 | 34795 | 22753 | 55.19 | 4.20 | | 北证 ...

宠物食品 4 月线上数据解读及它博会见闻分享 20250513 摘要 • 2025 年 Q1，乖宝宠物营收增长约 35%，国内市场增长 40%，海外增长 15%，利润同比增长 38%至 2.04 亿元。线上销售占比高，数据准确性强。 毛利率略低于预期，受鸡肉价格下降和固定资产摊销影响。 • 中宠股份 2025 年 Q1 营收增长约 25%，国内市场增长 40%，海外增长 15%，利润同比增长 62%至 0.91 亿元。美国工厂技改后订单充足，利润 贡献显著，加拿大第二工厂下半年投产将提升产能。 • 佩蒂股份 2025 年 Q1 营收和利润略低于预期，受海外出口订单影响。国 内业务表现优秀，爵宴品牌突出，好世家调整期，下半年有望放量。新西 兰品牌 Smart Balance 预计 7 月底上市。 • 宠物食品行业景气度维持良好，电商平台扶持力度加大，中美关税政策缓 和利好国产品牌。产品创新集中在配方和科学营养方面，原料和工艺升级 空间有限。 • 2025 年宠物行业线上 GMV 在天猫、京东和抖音平台增速为 16%，1-4 月累计增速 18%，显示新消费市场韧性。国产中高端品牌表现优于中低端， 进口品牌转向跨境 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Outperform" for Gambol Pet Group, indicating an expected total return over the next 12-18 months that exceeds the return of its relevant broad market benchmark [20][22]. Core Insights - Gambol Pet Group demonstrated remarkable growth in both revenue and profit, with operating revenue reaching 5.244 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 21.22%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 625 million yuan, up 45.68% year-on-year [2][9]. - The company's own brands are the primary drivers of revenue growth, contributing 3.545 billion yuan, which is 67.59% of total revenue, and growing by 29.14% year-on-year [2][9]. - The company is expanding its operations in Thailand, with a factory expansion project expected to double its capacity by June 2025, alongside the establishment of a research and development center [3][11]. Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported an operating revenue of 1.573 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 26.41% [2][9]. - The net cash flow from operating activities for 2024 was 719 million yuan, marking a 16.60% year-on-year increase [2][9]. - For Q1 2025, the company continued its positive trend with operating revenue of 1.479 billion yuan, a 34.82% year-on-year increase, and a profit of 204 million yuan, up 37.68% year-on-year [2][9]. Business Strategy - The company is actively mitigating tariff pressures from Sino-US trade frictions by shifting some production to its Thailand factory, which has alleviated some cost burdens [3][10]. - Gambol Pet Group is committed to enhancing its digital transformation efforts to improve operational efficiency and support its premiumization strategy [4][12]. - The company has outlined clear funding usage plans, with nearly 700 million yuan in cash and cash equivalents, and a stable dividend policy that includes two dividends totaling over 200 million yuan in 2024 [5][13]. Research and Development - The company invested over 85 million yuan in R&D in 2024, a 16% increase year-on-year, and has obtained 329 patents, focusing on innovations in fresh meat processing and functional formula reserves [4][12]. - The planned R&D center in Thailand is expected to play a crucial role in the company's global R&D system, enhancing its international competitiveness [3][11].

Group 1: Research Basic Information - The research object is GuaiBao Pet, and the reception time is May 13, 2025. The listed company's reception staff includes the Chief Financial Officer Yuan Xue, the Board Secretary Wang Peng, the Independent Director Zhai Yueling, and the Sponsoring Representatives Chen Fenghua and Sun Xiyun [16] Group 2: Detailed Research Institutions - The reception object is investors who participated in the online performance briefing of GuaiBao Pet in 2024 via online and telephone, and the type is others [19] Group 3: Main Content Company's Operating Performance in 2024 - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 5.245 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.22%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 625 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45.68%. The self-owned brand business revenue was 3.545 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.14% [23] Company's Performance in Q1 2025 - In Q1 2025, the company achieved an operating income of 1.48 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.82%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company of 204 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.68% [23] Company's Dividend Plan - In 2024, the company conducted two dividends, with a cumulative cash dividend of over 200 million yuan, accounting for 32.02% of the company's net profit attributable to the parent company in 2024. The Second Board Meeting of the Ninth Session has reviewed and approved the proposal to authorize the board to formulate the mid - year dividend matters for 2025 [23] Thailand Factory's Situation - The original factory in Thailand is currently at full capacity. The new factory project in Thailand will cost about 200 million yuan and is expected to be put into production in June this year, doubling the production capacity in Thailand. The company is also planning to build a research and development center in Thailand, and the budget for this part is being calculated [23][25] Company's Internal Optimization - The company will focus on two aspects: accelerating digital transformation to improve operational efficiency and implementing continuous incubation of strategic organizational capabilities and talent echelons and optimizing the incentive mechanism [25]

景顺称，美国当地政策波动导致的市场紧张情绪推动近期市场对美国资产降级。该行现在可能会看到这 些资金流动逆转。关税不确定性减少也降低了经济衰退的可能性。因此，虽然美国经济可能仍会放缓， 因为"硬"经济数据追上疲弱的"软"数据，但投资者可能会看穿低迷期，而开始预期美国经济和资产的复 苏。美国政府似乎正转变政策方向，缓和关税政策，同时专注于推出更多推动增长的政策，例如减税。 中美经贸谈判迅速达成进展令市场感到意外。加上上周达成的美英贸易协议，显然白宫希望以比预期更 快的速度缓解贸易紧张局势。由于投资者对关税的担忧开始减少，美国、印度和日本的股市在过去几周 都有上涨。 他称，从中国经济角度来看，这种显著的缓和可能会推动未来几个月出口激增。尽管如此，对中国进口 到美国的商品征收30%额外关税可能会产生影响，这意味着未来90天内所有人都将关注这些关税对中美 经济活动的影响。此外，电子和半导体等行业的关税不确定性仍然存在。 景顺亚太区(日本除外)环球市场策略师赵耀庭认为，最近的关税政策缓和、贸易政策趋向正常化以及美 国目前专注于减税，可能会推动市场回到2025年之前的状态。该行看好美国股票，尤其是小型和中型股 票，也看好欧 ...

以下文章来源于价值星球Planet ，作者竹铭 价值星球Planet . 透视内容本质，解锁商业价值 将投中网设为"星标⭐"，第一时间收获最新推送 作者丨 竹铭 作者丨 计然 来源丨 价值星球Planet 杭州，深夜，28岁的程序员张晨刚结束加班，便匆匆跑进24小时宠物店。他熟练地抓起三罐冻干鹌 鹑放入购物车——这是为家里银渐层"元宝"囤的粮食。"去年双十一还给它囤了2000元的主粮，快 接近我一个月的房租了。虽然贵，但是值得"，他脸上的疲惫此刻已一扫而光。 这个场景折射出中国宠物经济的火爆，《2025年中国宠物行业白皮书》（以下简称"白皮书"）显 示，宠物主和宠物数量越来越多，催生出3000亿元的消费市场，几乎是2024年全国婴幼儿奶粉市场 的两倍。 网上流传这样一个家庭消费排行榜：少女>儿童>少妇>老人>宠物>男人，可见宠物的消费能力相当 强。 当宠物主自嘲"活得不如猫狗"，他们的消费选择正影响着商业世界的运行。自4月底以来，翻阅中宠 股份、佩蒂股份、乖宝宠物等宠物企业最近发布的财报，几乎清一色的亮眼业绩。在这场商业热潮 中，谁能读懂人与宠物的情感契约以及商业世界的运行规律，谁就能握住下一个消费时代的钥匙 ...

Core Insights - The current trend in the pet food industry is focused on baked grain products, but there is a significant shift towards more refined product offerings that cater to evolving consumer demands [1][2][3] - The fifth Pet Expo held in Shanghai showcased an increase in exhibition space and participating brands, indicating sustained high demand in the pet sector [1][2] Industry Trends - The pet food market is experiencing a concentration trend, with fewer new brands emerging, primarily from overseas, as leading companies leverage their advantages in product development, funding, and brand strength [1][2] - Baked grain products remain a key focus, with sales on platforms like Tmall showing a significant increase, reaching 1.258 billion in Q1 2025, a 94% year-on-year growth [2] Product Innovation - Leading companies are intensifying their innovation efforts in baked grain products to differentiate themselves in a competitive market, with new product launches emphasizing unique nutritional benefits [3][4] - Beyond baked grains, companies are introducing a variety of functional and concept products, such as fresh meal boxes and specialized cat food targeting longevity and health [4] Marketing Strategies - The industry is witnessing a shift towards online marketing, with major brands using offline exhibitions as key marketing and sales opportunities, while smaller brands still rely on distributors for brand visibility [5] - The trend towards online sales channels is expected to continue, with companies that excel in online operations likely to capture a larger market share [5]

证券研究报告 | 行业点评 | 食品加工 食品加工 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 12 日 宠物食品系列（4）：25 年它博会中的产业趋势 ——宠物食品行业点评报告 投资要点 ❑ 5 月 7 日-11 日第五届它博会在上海举办，本届它博会展览面积 10 万平，相比 24 年增加超过 3 万平，参展品牌数量超 8000，较 24 年翻倍，预估专业观众参 展人数 8 万，较 24 年提升 2 万人，宠物赛道高景气延续。 ❑ 本届它博会展现出如下趋势： 1）格局延续集中趋势：在展区面积扩容下，我们依然感受到相比 24 年亚宠展， 它博会参展品牌相似，新品牌出现频率大幅降低，主要新增品牌更多集中在海外 品牌在国内市场的布局如蓝挚、星益生趣等。我们认为这背后是是行业增速放缓 下，龙头企业在产品、研发、资金储备、品牌势能等方面优势持续显现。 4）在烘焙粮之外进一步强化产品创新和功能细分：本届它博会烘焙粮之外，产 业内企业较为敏锐，在产品侧已经显现精细化的趋势，不同功能与概念产品快速 推出，包括鲜能说推出"早 C 晚 A"餐盒，卫仕推出主打"长寿"概念的关键营养鲜 肉猫粮，高爷家推出 GLAB 系列，产品功能包括清齿、 ...

证券研究报告 农林牧渔 行业定期报告 李冉 liran02@huayuanstock.com hyzqdatemark 2025 年 05 月 12 日 投资评级： 看好（维持） 雷轶 SAC：S1350524110001 leiyi@huayuanstock.com 冯佳文 SAC：S1350524120003 fengjiawen@huayuanstock.com 顾超 SAC：S1350524110005 guchao@huayuanstock.com 生猪一季度业绩高增，持续推荐低估 ——农林牧渔行业周报（20250506-20250509） 证券分析师 投资要点： 生猪：猪价短期维持震荡，4 月第三方产能震荡略增。 联系人 板块表现： 短期猪价震荡，关注二育入场情况。本周涌益数据最新猪价为 14.79 元/kg，出栏均 重为 129.71kg，15Kg 仔猪报价 647 元/头，175kg 标肥价差降至 0.38 元/kg。近期 猪价表现强于市场预期，但二育群体进场成本也随之上升，压制补栏情绪，短期猪 价或维持震荡；中长期看全年总体供给偏多，猪价弱势较为确定。产能方面，3 月统 计局全国能繁母猪存栏 ...

证券研究报告：食品饮料|深度报告 发布时间：2025-05-12 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:蔡雪昱 SAC 登记编号:S1340522070001 Email:caixueyu@cnpsec.com 分析师:张子健 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050001 Email:zhangzijian@cnpsec.com 分析师:杨逸文 SAC 登记编号:S1340522120002 Email:yangyiwen@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《关注内需，建议积极布局（附重点标 的一季度预测）》 - 2025.04.14 行业投资评级 强于大市 |维持 行业基本情况 | 收盘点位 | | 18019.54 | | --- | --- | --- | | 52 | 周最高 | 19832.49 | | 52 周最低 | | 14118.56 | 行业相对指数表现（相对值） 2024-05 2024-07 2024-10 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 -28% -24% -20% -16% -12% -8% -4% 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 食品饮料 沪深30 ...