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油船扣押地缘风险增大 白银td走势弱势震荡
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-11 08:07
Group 1 - Silver TD is currently trading above 14324, with an opening price of 14290 and a current price of 14405, reflecting a 1.32% increase. The highest price reached was 14649, while the lowest was 14062, indicating a short-term oscillating trend [1] - The daily chart shows that Silver TD experienced a sharp rise in the morning, currently remaining at a high level. The Bollinger Bands indicate a weakening bullish momentum, suggesting caution for potential pullbacks, while still maintaining a bullish sentiment. Key support levels are noted at 13500-14000, with resistance levels at 14500-15000 [3] Group 2 - U.S. President Trump announced the seizure of a large oil tanker off the coast of Venezuela, marking it as the largest tanker ever seized. The vessel was reportedly heading to Cuba but had been anchored near Venezuela since loading its cargo [2] - The U.S. has increased military pressure on Venezuelan President Maduro, with Trump stating that Maduro's time is running out and not ruling out the possibility of a ground invasion. The White House has initiated significant military deployments in the Caribbean and has controversially targeted vessels suspected of smuggling to the U.S. [2] - The ongoing crisis in Venezuela has heightened geopolitical risks and increased safe-haven sentiment in the market [2]
热点追踪:伦银大涨突破60美元,再创历史新高
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 05:56
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in London silver prices, surpassing $60 per ounce, is attributed to tight supply and low inventory levels, leading to a "short squeeze" scenario in the market [2][5]. Group 1: Silver Market Dynamics - Silver prices have significantly increased, breaking the $60 per ounce mark, while the gold-silver ratio has fallen below 70 [2][5]. - The high level of open interest in silver contracts indicates continued trading activity, driven by supply constraints and low inventory [2][5]. - The market is expected to remain strong until supply issues are resolved, but there is a risk of further price increases [2][5]. Group 2: Macroeconomic Indicators - The latest ADP report shows that the private sector added an average of 4,750 jobs per week for the four weeks ending November 22, ending a four-week trend of job losses [2][5]. - This positive labor market signal has led to a slight rebound in the US dollar index, which may suppress precious metal prices [2][5]. - The Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting is anticipated to result in a 25 basis point rate cut, which has largely been priced into the market; however, a hawkish tone from Powell could lead to selling pressure [2][5].
【黄金etf持仓量】11月28日黄金ETF较上一交易日持平
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-01 09:36
Group 1 - The largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, reported a holding of 1,045.43 tons of gold as of November 28, remaining unchanged from the previous trading day [1] - As of the market close on November 28, the spot gold price was $4,229.27 per ounce, reflecting a 1.73% increase, with an intraday high of $4,230.87 and a low of $4,156.46 [1] Group 2 - Silver's absence in the current rally has dampened overall investor interest in gold, as silver typically performs better in bull markets due to its higher volatility [3] - Silver closed last week above $56 per ounce, marking a remarkable 97% increase since January, while gold has struggled to maintain above the critical resistance level of $4,200, with a year-to-date increase of nearly 61% [3] - The gold-silver ratio, which previously reached 100, has now dropped to 74, breaking through a long-term support line, with some analysts predicting a return to a ratio of 50 [3] - If market predictions of gold reaching $5,000 per ounce by 2026 materialize, silver prices could potentially reach around $100 [3]
白银租借利率从峰值断崖式回落的背后:“白银挤压”退潮,流动性回归
智通财经网· 2025-10-27 08:51
Core Insights - The cost of borrowing silver in London has significantly decreased from a record high, indicating a recovery in liquidity within the silver trading market, which may lead to a short-term decline in silver prices [1][4][5] Group 1: Silver Borrowing Rates - The silver borrowing rate in London dropped from a peak of 34.9% on October 9 to 5.6% on October 27, reflecting a rapid decline in the "London physical squeeze" [5][6] - The decrease in borrowing costs suggests that the liquidity crisis in the London silver market is easing, which may reduce the upward momentum for silver prices [4][5] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Earlier this month, a liquidity shortage in the London silver market led to a global rush for silver, pushing prices to historic highs, breaking a 50-year record [4] - The recent price drop of silver, which fell by 1.7% on a particular day, continues a trend since reaching a high of $54.48 per ounce on October 17, with current prices around $48.26 per ounce [4][6] Group 3: Future Price Predictions - Analysts suggest that the recent decline in silver prices may present a buying opportunity, despite expectations of a short-term pullback due to profit-taking pressures [5][6] - BNP Paribas Fortis' chief strategist predicts that silver prices could potentially double from current levels, with a target of reaching $100, driven by psychological price levels attracting investors [6]
美联储降息预期明显升温 银价或挑战55美元关口
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-20 00:22
Group 1 - The silver market is currently closed on Sundays, with prices having reached the $54 mark after a short-term upward trend, although there are signs of overbought conditions limiting further increases [1] - The recent Federal Reserve Beige Book has intensified pressure on the US dollar, warning of economic slowdown risks, with consumer spending showing signs of fatigue and businesses expressing concerns over economic uncertainty and high tariffs [2] - The ongoing government shutdown, now in its 16th day, is negatively impacting market confidence, as Congress has failed to reach consensus on a temporary funding bill, delaying the release of key economic data [2] Group 2 - Analysts indicate that fiscal uncertainty is diminishing the short-term attractiveness of the US dollar, with expectations for interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve increasing significantly [2] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has suggested that the US job growth is slowing and risks of economic downturn are rising, hinting at the possibility of two more rate cuts this year [2] - Technical analysis of silver indicates that after forming a temporary top near $54.80, there are signs of adjustment, with key support at $53.50; a drop below this level could lead to further declines, while stability above $54 could reignite upward momentum [4]
伦敦白银市场现流动性危机,交易员担忧特朗普政府酝酿另一大招
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-10-12 03:05
Core Insights - The current price of silver has surged above $50 per ounce, leading to chaos in the London silver market due to a massive short squeeze and nearly complete liquidity depletion [1] - Traders are struggling to find available silver for short positions, resulting in high borrowing costs and some traders booking transatlantic flights to transport large silver bars, a method typically reserved for more valuable gold [1] - The premium of London silver over New York has increased from the usual 3 cents to over 20 cents, with banks reluctant to quote prices to each other, exacerbating the liquidity issue [1] Group 1 - Silver inventories have been steadily declining in recent years, with mine production failing to meet demand from investors and industrial applications like solar panels, leading to a persistent supply shortage [2] - Since mid-2021, London silver inventories have decreased by one-third, with a significant portion held by ETFs, and the remaining freely circulating silver in London has dropped to only 200 million ounces, a 75% decline from over 850 million ounces in mid-2019 [2] - The overnight borrowing cost for silver in London has increased by over 100% year-on-year, surpassing all records from the 1980 squeeze period [2] Group 2 - If the U.S. government does not impose tariffs on silver, the influx of silver from New York could alleviate the liquidity crisis in London; however, if tariffs are enacted, the issues in the London market will worsen, potentially driving silver prices even higher [3]
金十图示:2025年07月31日(周四)上海黄金交易所市场行情
news flash· 2025-07-31 09:03
Group 1 - The opening price for Au99.95 was 765.50, with a closing price of 765.46, reflecting a decrease of 1 yuan or -0.51% [2] - Au99.99 opened at 770.00 and closed at 767.36, showing a decline of 2.32 yuan or -0.30% [2] - The trading volume for Au99.95 was 14, with a transaction amount of 10,714,600 yuan [2] Group 2 - Au(T+D) opened at 770.80, reached a high of 770.80, and closed at 766.58, with a decrease of 2.85 yuan or -0.37% [3] - The trading volume for Au(T+D) was 32,458, with a transaction amount of 24,857,899,940 yuan [3] - Pt99.95 opened at 330.00, closed at 316.74, reflecting a decrease of 14.12 yuan or -4.27% [3] Group 3 - NYAuTN06 opened at 768.40, reached a high of 770.05, and closed at 769.70, with an increase of 1.43 yuan or -0.56% [4] - The trading volume for NYAuTN06 was 32.2, with a transaction amount of 24,742,240 yuan [4] - PGC30g opened and closed at 764.80, with a decrease of 5.2 yuan or -0.68% [4]
金十图示:2025年07月07日(周一)上海黄金交易所市场行情
news flash· 2025-07-07 09:03
Group 1 - The opening price for Au99.95 was 766.50, with a closing price of 767.24, reflecting a decrease of 4.06 yuan or -0.53% [2] - Au100g opened at 769.00 and closed at 768.29, showing a decline of 4.51 yuan or -0.58% [2] - Au(T+D) had an opening price of 771.50 and a closing price of 767.80, resulting in a decrease of 3.47 yuan or -0.45% [3] Group 2 - The average price for Au99.95 was 767.24 with a transaction volume of 10, resulting in a transaction amount of 7,672,400 yuan [2] - Au(T+N1) had a closing price of 767.80 with a transaction volume of 38,836, leading to a transaction amount of 29,808,888,020 yuan [3] - The market holding for Au99.95 was not specified, while Au(T+D) had a market holding of 22,4846 [3] Group 3 - The opening price for NYAuTN06 was 774.35, closing at 770.25, with a decrease of 3.75 yuan or -0.48% [4] - NYAuTN12 opened at 768.90 and closed at 768.15, reflecting a decline of 4.4 yuan or -0.57% [4] - The transaction amount for NYAuTN06 was 10,939,440 yuan with a market holding of 1,060 [4]
韩贸易新政对接美国 伦敦银超跌反弹
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-06-30 02:26
Group 1 - The current trading price of London silver is above $35.39, with a recent high of $36.06 and a low of $35.39, indicating a short-term bullish trend [1] - The new South Korean Trade Minister Yeo Han-koo is advocating for a "mutually beneficial" trade agreement with the U.S. during his visit to Washington, emphasizing the need for cooperation beyond tariff issues [3] - The silver price has shown a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern, suggesting potential testing of lower prices, but a weekly close above $36.00 could provide strong support [3] Group 2 - To regain an upward trend, silver bulls need to reclaim the peak of $36.83 from June 26, with the next targets being $37.00 and the yearly peak of $37.31 [4] - If silver prices fall below $36.50, a test of the $36.00 support level is expected, with further declines targeting the daily low of $35.68 from June 24 and the latest cycle low of $35.29 [4]
现货白银短线走高0.13美元,现报36.49美元/盎司;纽约期银日内涨超1.00%,现报36.48美元/盎司。
news flash· 2025-06-26 08:57
Group 1 - Spot silver has increased by $0.13, currently priced at $36.49 per ounce [1] - New York silver futures have risen over 1.00%, currently priced at $36.48 per ounce [1]