大家好啊，马上就要开盘了。下周很重要，因为特朗普设定的贸易协议最后期限将在7月9日到来。 一起看看周末大事以及券商分析师们的最新研判。 周末大事 利好！深圳出台10条举措促进半导体与集成电路产业高质量发展 美国总统特朗普签署"大而美"税收和支出法案 《深圳市关于促进半导体与集成电路产业高质量发展的若干措施》（以下简称《若干措施》）近日出台 实施，并设立总规模50亿元的"赛米产业私募基金"，以"政策+资本"组合拳，支持产业全链条优化提 质。据了解，《若干措施》围绕"强链、稳链、补链"核心目标，从高端芯片产品突破、加强芯片设计流 片支持、加快EDA工具推广应用、突破核心设备及配套零部件、突破关键制造封装材料、提升高端封 装测试水平、加速化合物半导体成熟等方面，提出了10条具体支持举措。 财政部：在政府采购活动中对自欧盟进口的医疗器械采取相关措施 根据有关法律法规，经批准，财政部决定在政府采购活动中对部分自欧盟进口的医疗器械采取相关措 施。现将有关事项通知如下： 一、采购人采购预算金额4500万元人民币以上的医疗器械（具体品目清单见附件）时，确需采购进口产 品的，在履行法定程序后，应当排除欧盟企业（不包括在华欧资企 ...

【导读】周末大事+十大券商最新研判 中国基金报记者 泰勒 大家好啊，马上就要开盘了。下周很重要，因为特朗普设定的贸易协议最后期限将在7月9日 到来。 周末大事 利好！深圳出台10条举措促进半导体与集成电路产业高质量发展 《深圳市关于促进半导体与集成电路产业高质量发展的若干措施》（以下简称《若干措 施》）近日出台实施，并设立总规模50亿元的"赛米产业私募基金"，以"政策+资本"组合 拳，支持产业全链条优化提质。据了解，《若干措施》围绕"强链、稳链、补链"核心目标， 从高端芯片产品突破、加强芯片设计流片支持、加快EDA工具推广应用、突破核心设备及配 套零部件、突破关键制造封装材料、提升高端封装测试水平、加速化合物半导体成熟等方 面，提出了10条具体支持举措。 财政部：在政府采购活动中对自欧盟进口的医疗器械采取相关措施 根据有关法律法规，经批准，财政部决定在政府采购活动中对部分自欧盟进口的医疗器械采 取相关措施。现将有关事项通知如下： 一、采购人采购预算金额4500万元人民币以上的医疗器械（具体品目清单见附件）时，确需 采购进口产品的，在履行法定程序后，应当排除欧盟企业（不包括在华欧资企业）参与。对 于参与的非欧盟 ...

Group 1 - The current A-share market is experiencing increased volatility, with significant fluctuations occurring within short time frames [1] - Historical analysis shows that the average gain during "valuation expansion" phases since 2005 is 21.9%, lasting an average of 53 trading days [1] - Factors leading to the end of valuation expansion include policy tightening, external negative shocks, and excessive valuation and sentiment [1] Group 2 - The recent "Big Beautiful Bill" signed by the US government aims to boost AI subsidies and promote domestic chip manufacturing, with a projected economic growth impact of 0%-0.6% by 2026 [8] - The bill's long-term effects may lead to a decrease in economic growth rates after 2028 [8] Group 3 - The Chinese government is focusing on stabilizing the real estate market by promoting the construction of safe, comfortable, and green housing [16] - Recent data indicates that the maximum electricity load in China reached a historical high of 1.465 billion kilowatts on July 4, 2025, driven by extreme heat [11] Group 4 - The semiconductor industry in Shenzhen is being promoted through ten measures aimed at high-quality development [15] - The aviation sector is seeing regulatory changes with the establishment of a leadership group to develop general aviation and low-altitude economy [12] Group 5 - The food delivery market is witnessing intense competition, with Meituan reporting over 1.2 billion orders in a single day [5][34] - The e-commerce platform Taobao is launching a significant subsidy campaign, aiming for a substantial increase in order volume [34] Group 6 - The latest industry trends indicate that the textile, light manufacturing, and media sectors are in a recession phase, while the computer, communication, and defense industries are expanding [27] - The pharmaceutical and food and beverage sectors are expected to see an increase in their economic outlook, while the construction materials and steel industries may experience a decline [28]

丨证券研究报告丨 联合研究丨公司点评丨中国船舶（600150.SH） [Table_Title] 中国船舶：吸收合并中国重工获审核通过，业绩 有望加速释放 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 近日中国船舶发布公告，公司换股吸收合并中国重工的申请已经获得上交所并购重组审核委员 会审核通过，合并落地在即。合并后中国船舶将成为全球最大造船上市公司，提升影响力的同 时减少造船板块同业竞争，优化船舶制造板块产业布局。公司有望发挥协同效应，提升船厂接 单效率和造船产能，进一步提升盈利能力。与重工合并重组落地后，集团其他优质资产整合有 望拉开序幕。2025 年公司交付高价船型订单占比持续提升，业绩有望持续释放。深海科技推 进，公司作为船舶海工龙头有望重点受益。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵智勇 韩轶超 王贺嘉 臧雄 屈奇 SAC：S0490517110001 SAC：S0490512020001 SAC：S0490520110004 SAC：S0490518070005 SAC：S0490524070003 SFC：BRP550 SFC：BQK468 SFC：BUX462 SFC：BVO790 请 ...

Group 1: Regulatory Changes - The Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock exchanges announced the implementation of new rules for algorithmic trading to enhance market regulation and fairness, effective from July 7, 2025, allowing a transition period for market participants [1][6][7] - The new rules specify four types of abnormal trading behaviors, including rapid order submission, frequent order cancellations, price manipulation, and large transactions in a short time, aiming to mitigate market volatility [6][7] Group 2: Economic and Market Trends - The maximum electricity load in China reached a historical high of 1.465 billion kilowatts on July 4, 2023, an increase of approximately 200 million kilowatts since late June and nearly 150 million kilowatts year-on-year [5] - The domestic smartphone market saw a year-on-year decline of 21.8% in May 2023, with total shipments of 23.716 million units, of which 21.19 million were 5G smartphones, accounting for 89.3% of total shipments [2][3] Group 3: Corporate Developments - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation received approval for the absorption and merger with China State Shipbuilding Corporation, pending further regulatory approvals [13] - Major platforms like Meituan and Alibaba launched aggressive promotional campaigns to stimulate consumer spending during the summer season, offering significant discounts [14] Group 4: Investment Strategies - CITIC Securities reported that the current market environment resembles the end of 2014, with signs of recovery in investor sentiment and potential policy shifts aimed at boosting domestic demand [18]

Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing a significant surge in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activity, with a 100% approval rate for M&A projects reviewed by the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges this year [1][3] - The underlying logic for this M&A enthusiasm includes leveraging advantageous financing channels for rapid development and addressing poor operational conditions, particularly during economic downturns [3][4] - Global trends show a 15% increase in M&A transaction value to $1.5 trillion in the first half of 2025, with large transactions over $1 billion rising by 19%, indicating a concentration of funds towards larger enterprises [3][4] Group 2 - Various policies have been introduced by the Chinese government to adapt to the changing global political and economic landscape, promoting high-quality economic development through M&A [4] - Examples of strong mergers include the restructuring of Haiguang Information with Zhongke Shuguang, and the merger of Guotai Junan with Haitong Securities, which aim to leverage capital strength during economic difficulties [4] - The number of M&A projects approved in the first half of this year has already reached 86.67% of the total from the previous year, with over 600 asset restructuring plans disclosed, a 1.4 times increase from the same period last year [6]

Group 1 - The global economic landscape is shifting towards the ocean, with the recent Central Financial Committee meeting emphasizing the importance of high-quality development in the marine economy [1] - The marine economy is a significant part of the national economy, showing strong growth, with a reported 5.7% year-on-year increase in marine GDP in Q1 of this year [1] - The government is prioritizing the development of the marine economy, aiming to establish national marine economic development demonstration zones by 2025 [1] Group 2 - Technological innovation is identified as the core driving force for the development of the marine economy, with a need to enhance independent innovation capabilities in marine technology [2] - Efficient collaboration and industrial upgrading are crucial for high-quality development, requiring improved policy guidance and coordination across sectors [2] - The integration of marine fisheries with land-based food processing is essential for extending industrial chains and increasing added value [2] Group 3 - Harmonious human-ocean relationships are fundamental for sustainable marine economic development, necessitating the protection of marine ecosystems [3] - The construction of a strong marine nation is a strategic task for national rejuvenation, requiring a focus on innovation, collaboration, industrial upgrading, and ecological friendliness [3] - A comprehensive resource allocation through top-level design is necessary to enhance the vitality of the marine economy and contribute to global marine economic development [3]

中国经济网北京7月6日讯据上交所网站消息，上海证券交易所并购重组审核委员会2025年第8次审议会 议于2025年7月4日召开，审议结果显示，中国船舶工业股份有限公司(证券代码：600150，证券简称： 中国船舶)发行股份购买资产符合重组条件和信息披露要求。 重组委会议现场问询的主要问题 2025年6月28日，中国船舶发布的换股吸收合并中国船舶重工股份有限公司(证券代码：601989，证券简 称：中国重工)暨关联交易报告书(草案)(上会稿)显示，本次交易通过换股吸收合并的方式对中国船舶和 中国重工进行重组整合。本次交易的具体方式为：中国船舶以向中国重工全体换股股东发行A股股票的 方式换股吸收合并中国重工。 中国船舶为吸收合并方，中国重工为被吸收合并方，即中国船舶向中国重工的全体换股股东发行A股股 票，交换该等股东所持有的中国重工股票。本次合并完成后，中国重工终止上市并注销法人资格，中国 船舶将承继及承接中国重工的全部资产、负债、业务、人员、合同及其他一切权利与义务。中国船舶因 本次换股吸收合并所发行的A股股票将申请在上交所主板上市流通。 吸并方中国船舶的独立财务顾问是中信证券，财务顾问主办人是张明慧、胡锺峻、李 ...

Core Points - Japan is set to export six second-hand naval destroyers to the Philippines to counter China's maritime expansion [1][3] - The agreement was reached between Japanese Defense Minister Nobuo Kishi and Philippine Defense Secretary Delfin Lorenzana last month in Singapore, with inspections of the vessels to begin this summer [3] - The "Abukuma" class escort destroyers have been in service for over 30 years and have a standard displacement of 2,000 tons, equipped with anti-submarine and anti-ship missiles, torpedo launchers, and artillery [3] Industry Implications - The strengthening of military cooperation between Japan and the Philippines indicates a shift in regional defense strategies, particularly in response to perceived threats from China [1][3] - The Philippines currently has a limited naval capability, primarily consisting of smaller and less armed vessels, highlighting a potential opportunity for defense contractors and military suppliers in the region [3] - China's response to the military cooperation emphasizes the geopolitical tensions in the Asia-Pacific region, suggesting that any further military alliances may lead to increased regional instability [1][4]

Group 1: Energy Sector Breakthroughs - The largest thermal power plant in construction, Zhejiang Beilun Power Plant's Unit 8, has successfully commenced operation after 168 hours of full-load trial operation, with an annual power generation capacity of 6 billion kWh [1] - The first domestically built methanol dual-fuel container ship, "COSCO Shipping Yangpu," has completed its maiden voyage and the first domestic green methanol refueling at Yangpu International Container Terminal [3][6] - The world's first 500 MW impulse turbine runner, with a maximum diameter of 6.23 meters, has been successfully developed and will be applied at the Zhala Hydropower Station in Tibet, showcasing significant advancements in hydraulic performance and pressure capacity [8][11] Group 2: Natural Gas and Renewable Energy Developments - China's first full-chain multi-condition deep cold processing plant for natural gas has been fully operational in Sichuan, utilizing low-temperature technology for high-efficiency separation and liquefaction of natural gas, capable of processing 2 billion cubic meters annually [12][13][15] - The first floating photovoltaic project in a full seawater environment has been completed and put into operation in Qingdao, Shandong, covering an area of approximately 60,000 square meters with an installed capacity of 7.5 MW, expected to generate 16.7 million kWh of green electricity annually [15][17][19]