Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [4]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated strong performance in Q1 FY25, with revenue reaching 700 million Swiss Francs, a year-on-year increase of 40% (currency neutral), while net profit decreased by 38% to 60 million Swiss Francs [1]. - The gross margin slightly increased to 60%, and the adjusted EBITDA margin rose by 1 percentage point to 17% year-on-year [1]. - The company has raised its full-year guidance, projecting revenue of 2.86 billion Swiss Francs, a year-on-year increase of 28%, up from the previous estimate of 27% [2]. - The company is benefiting from a strong multi-channel strategy and successful product launches, which have contributed to robust demand across all regions and product categories [1][2]. Financial Performance - For FY25, the company expects EPS of 3.4, 4.0, and 4.7 Yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to P/E ratios of 20, 17, and 14 times respectively [4]. - The company reported a year-on-year revenue growth of 33% in EMEA, 29% in the Americas, and a remarkable 129% in the Asia-Pacific region [1]. - The inventory as of March 25 was 400 million Swiss Francs, reflecting a 5% decrease quarter-on-quarter, indicating a potential need for replenishment [1]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has established a strong positioning with key clients, particularly ON, which has shown impressive performance and light inventory levels, positively impacting order expectations [2]. - The company is actively monitoring tariff developments and has prepared various response strategies while maintaining close communication with clients [3]. - The production capacity remains stable, with no significant changes planned in the short term, as the company continues to build factories in Vietnam and Indonesia according to established timelines [3].

公司报告 | 公司点评 华利集团（300979） 证券研究报告 On 业绩超预期，华利客户卡位优势显现 客户 On 发布业绩公告 FY25Q1 收入 7 亿瑞士法郎同比+40%（货币中性），净利 0.6 亿瑞士法郎同 比-38%； 毛利率 60%略有增长，调后 EBIDA 利润率 17%同比+1pct。 截止 25 年 3 月末，公司库存 4 亿瑞士法郎环比-5%；考虑上调指引，我们 预计有较多备库需求。 一季度表现超预期，品牌在所有渠道、地区和产品类别中彰显强劲势头。 得益于积极推动多渠道策略，成功推出 Cloudsurfer2 和 Cloud6；服装产品 强劲吸引力和以明星 Zendaya 为主角的品牌宣传。 On 上调全年指引，预计收入 28.6 亿瑞士法郎同比+28%（原值为 27%），毛 利率 60-60.5%（原值为 60.5%，主要系全球关税等不确定性），调后 EBITDA 利润率 16.5-17.5%（原值为 17-17.5%）。 我们认为 ON 作为华利重要增量客户之一，业绩靓丽表现且库存较轻，利 好公司订单预期；同时也反映公司具备较好的客户挖掘及卡位能力，伴随 On 规模持续成长，我们预计 ...

暗盘资金一眼洞悉庄家意图>> 纺织制造板块短线拉升，迎丰股份（605055）涨停，华纺股份（600448）、华升股份（600156）、欣龙 控股（000955）、富春染织（605189）、云中马（603130）等纷纷走高。 ...

轻工制造 GLO 日本试销推进，新型烟草趋势向上 投资要点： 【周观点】5 月 12 日日本 GLO 官网公布新品 HILO 信息，新品预期将于 6 月 9 日在日本宫城县试销限定发售，若日本市场试销良好，产品力进一 步验证，思摩尔 HNB 业务成长空间有望进一步打开；本周中美贸易冲突暂 缓，优质低估出口链、以及前期受外销业务担忧的包装龙头迎来布局窗口； 出口情绪好转带动包装纸企涨价潮，玖龙、山鹰、理文等集体发布提价函。 强于大市（维持评级） 一年内行业相对大盘走势 -0.30 -0.20 -0.10 0.00 0.10 0.20 5/20 7/31 10/11 12/22 3/4 5/15 轻工制造 沪深300 团队成员 | 分析师： | 李宏鹏(S0210524050017) | | --- | --- | | lhp30568@hfzq.com.cn | | | 分析师： | 汪浚哲(S0210524050024) | | wjz30579@hfzq.com.cn | | | 分析师： | 李含稚(S0210524060005) | | lhz30597@hfzq.com.cn | | 华福证券 轻工制 ...

- The report introduces a "Total Heat Index" for monitoring market sentiment, which aggregates the browsing, self-selection, and click counts of individual stocks, normalized by their market share on the same day, and then multiplied by 10,000, with a value range of [0,10000][7] - The "Total Heat Index" is used as a proxy variable for "emotional heat" to track the sentiment of broad-based indices, industries, and concepts[7] - The report constructs a simple rotation strategy based on the weekly heat change rate (MA2) of broad-based indices, buying the index with the highest heat change rate at the end of each week, and staying out of the market if the highest change rate is in the "others" group[13][15] - The rotation strategy based on the heat change rate (MA2) of broad-based indices has an annualized return of 8.74% since 2017, with a maximum drawdown of 23.5%, and a return of 8.32% since 2025[16] - The report also constructs two simple portfolios based on the heat change rate of concepts, selecting the top 5 concepts with the highest heat change rate at the end of each week, and forming a "TOP" portfolio with the top 10 stocks by total heat in each concept, and a "BOTTOM" portfolio with the bottom 10 stocks by total heat in each concept[31] - The "BOTTOM" portfolio of high-heat concepts has historically achieved significant excess returns, with an annualized return of 15.71% and a maximum drawdown of 28.89%, and a return of 18% since 2025[33] - The "Total Heat Index" for individual stocks is defined as the sum of browsing, self-selection, and click counts, normalized by their market share on the same day, and then multiplied by 10,000, with a value range of [0,10000][7] - The "Total Heat Index" for broad-based indices is obtained by summing the total heat indices of the constituent stocks of the indices, including CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and CSI 2000, as well as an "others" group for stocks not included in these indices[8] - The weekly heat change rate (MA2) for broad-based indices is calculated and used to construct a rotation strategy, buying the index with the highest heat change rate at the end of each week, and staying out of the market if the highest change rate is in the "others" group[13][15] - The weekly heat change rate (MA2) for industries is calculated similarly, with the report listing the top 5 industries with the highest positive and negative heat change rates for both primary and secondary industries[20][27] - The weekly heat change rate for concepts is calculated similarly, with the report listing the top 30 concepts with the highest heat change rates[28][30] - Two simple portfolios are constructed based on the heat change rate of concepts, selecting the top 5 concepts with the highest heat change rate at the end of each week, and forming a "TOP" portfolio with the top 10 stocks by total heat in each concept, and a "BOTTOM" portfolio with the bottom 10 stocks by total heat in each concept[31] - The rotation strategy based on the heat change rate (MA2) of broad-based indices has an annualized return of 8.74% since 2017, with a maximum drawdown of 23.5%, and a return of 8.32% since 2025[16] - The "BOTTOM" portfolio of high-heat concepts has an annualized return of 15.71% and a maximum drawdown of 28.89%, and a return of 18% since 2025[33]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [5] Core Insights - The recent US-China Geneva trade talks resulted in a better-than-expected outcome, with a 90-day suspension of 24% tariffs and retention of the remaining 10% [4] - The textile and apparel industry is experiencing mixed performance, with some companies reporting lower-than-expected earnings due to various operational challenges [15][16][17] Company Summaries Yuanyuan Group - For Q1 2025, Yuanyuan Group reported revenues of $202.9 million and a net profit of $7.6 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.3% and a decline of 24.2% respectively, which was below market expectations [15] Under Armour - Under Armour's FY25 revenue was $5.2 billion, down 9% year-on-year, with an operating loss of $185 million. Adjusted operating profit was $198 million, with a net loss of $201 million [16] - The company expects Q1 2026 revenue to decline by 4% to 5% compared to the same period in FY25, although gross margins are projected to improve [16] On - On reported a record Q1 sales of 727 million Swiss Francs, a 43% increase year-on-year, driven by a successful multi-channel strategy [17] - The company raised its full-year sales forecast for 2025, expecting at least a 28% increase, with gross margins projected between 60.0% and 60.5% [17] Market Trends - The textile and apparel sector saw a 1.28% increase, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.52% [19] - The overall retail sales in China for the first four months of 2025 grew by 4.1%, with online retail sales increasing by 11.5% [23] Material Data - As of May 16, 2025, the China Cotton 3128B Index was 14,577 RMB/ton, with a year-to-date decline of 0.9% [34][9] - The USDA forecasts a 2.7% year-on-year decrease in global cotton production for the 2025/2026 season [45]

纺织制造板块盘初走低，华纺股份（600448）跌超8%，迎丰股份（605055）、凤竹纺织（600493）跌 超6%，浔兴股份（002098）、华茂股份（000850）纷纷下挫。 ...

纺织制造板块震荡走高，迎丰股份（605055）、凤竹纺织（600493）触及涨停，华纺股份（600448）、 金春股份（300877）、华茂股份（000850）跟涨。 ...

纺织制造板块午后回升，迎丰股份（605055）直线涨停，华纺股份（600448）涨超8%，云中马 （603130）、万事利（301066）、富春染织（605189）跟涨。 暗盘资金正涌入这些股票，点击速看>>> ...

摘要 真话白话说财经，理财不说违心话 --这是第1349 篇白话财经- - 今天，在港股表现不佳的背景下，A股出现震荡，最终仅有沪指收红。 （图片来源：东方财富APP，统计截至2025/5/13，不作投资推荐） 两市成交额为1.29万亿元，盘面上，航运港口、光伏、银行板块逆势上涨。 分析人士认为，关税的转机、国内政策对冲都是市场重新加速上行的关键因素，有望带动市场风险偏好重新上行，看好内需、贸易恢复、科技三大主线。 港股大跌原因，还能涨12%？ 虽然昨天中美发布《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》大超预期，但今天，港股市场出现下跌，恒生指数下跌1.87%，恒生科技指数下跌3.26%。 1、今天，A股三大指数震荡分化，港股大跌，航运板块逆势上涨，关税缓和信号下，利好哪些板块？ 2、外资集体看好中国市场，花旗集团将预计到2026年上半年恒生指数将达到26000点，距离现在还有12%的上涨空间。 3、 上天天基金APP搜索【777】开户即可 领98元券包 ，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ （图片来源：东方财富APP，统计截至2025/5/13，不作投资推荐） 首先，是利好兑现后的获利回吐。 分析人士认为，关税谈 ...