生猪养殖
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天康生物20251113
2025-11-14 03:48
Summary of JinKang Biological Conference Call Company Overview - JinKang Biological is a comprehensive agricultural enterprise involved in oil processing, corn procurement, pig farming, feed production, and veterinary biological products [2][3] - Established in 2000, the company has over 50 large-scale breeding bases across China and ranks among the top 20 in the domestic pig farming industry [3] Key Financial Metrics - In 2024, JinKang is expected to have a pig output of 3.03 million heads, with feed sales of 2.83 million tons and veterinary business revenue of 990 million yuan [2] - The gross profit contributions for 2024 are as follows: - Pig farming: 900 million yuan (46%) - Feed business: 580 million yuan (30%) - Veterinary business: 620 million yuan (24%) [2][5] - The company reported a net loss of 1.363 billion yuan in 2023 due to pig price fluctuations, but performance is expected to improve in 2024 [2][5] - The projected net profit for 2024 is approximately 600 million yuan, with an expected decrease to 500 million yuan in 2025 [4][9] Industry Context - The industry is currently at the bottom of the cycle, expected to last until mid-2026, with a recovery anticipated in the second half of 2026 [2][8] - The duration of industry losses and the degree of capacity reduction are key indicators for recovery [8] Competitive Advantages - JinKang Biological has three core competitive advantages: 1. Integrated operational model leading to stable performance and a lighter asset-liability structure [6][7] 2. Geographic advantages with production concentrated in Xinjiang, Gansu, and Henan, providing low-density farming environments and biosecurity [7] 3. Strong cost control, with total comprehensive costs expected to decrease from 15 yuan per kg to 13.5 yuan by the end of 2024, and further to 12 yuan by Q3 2025 [7] Valuation and Investment Potential - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is approximately 17, significantly lower than the industry average of 33, indicating potential for value investment [4][9] - Factors supporting investment in JinKang include the upcoming industry recovery, stable operational model, core competitive advantages, and undervalued market position [9]
大猪价格走弱,猪企出栏节奏缓慢,年末行情或有隐患?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 02:11
来源:市场资讯 (来源:大佑农饲料) 当所有养殖户都在期待腌腊季拉动猪价上涨时,市场潜藏的风险已然加剧。当前的压栏、观望与进度分 化,正为年末的价格埋下隐患。提醒大家,需警惕一致预期下的"旺季不旺"陷阱,并强烈建议锁定利 润,规避风险。 中大猪开始走弱 据反馈当前大猪价格开始走弱,或引发养殖端大猪增量出栏,从而使猪价大跌的风险陡增。特别是近期 局地养殖户也有爆料,随着天气越来越冷,当地生猪疫病数量呈上升态势,小飞也零星偶发,虽尚在可 控范围,但是在情绪的影响下,或导致生猪提前出栏。综合来看,11月中下旬生猪出栏仍面临较大压 力。钢联最新数据显示,11月上旬重点省份养殖企业生猪出栏计划完成率为31.64%,整体进度稳中偏 慢。这也就意味着生猪压力后移。 规模场出栏节奏偏慢 | | | Mysteel农产品重点省份养殖企业生猪计划出栏完成情况(20251111) | | --- | --- | --- | | 省份 | 11月10日计划完成度 | 具体情况 | | 黑宝 | 34.00% | 整体月度计划稳中推进,部分企业计划管少进度略快。 | | 辽内 | 32. 25% | 上旬部分企业扛价情绪较浓,整体月度 ...
华统股份:公司目前拥有全资及参股饲料加工企业5家,饲料年产能接近80万吨
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-13 08:17
(记者 曾健辉) 华统股份(002840.SZ)11月13日在投资者互动平台表示,您好,公司目前拥有全资及参股饲料加工企 业5家,饲料年产能接近80万吨,主要用于供应内部养殖公司使用,少量用于出售。未来公司将依据生 猪出栏规划,布局饲料产能,同时加大研发投入,不断优化饲料配方,来降低生猪养殖成本。 每经AI快讯,有投资者在投资者互动平台提问:你好,公司是否有考虑收购优质饲料生产公司,提高 饲料自给率,从而更好降低生猪养殖成本。同时通过销售饲料,提高公司营收及利润? ...
猪价10月创新低,猪企盈利告急,行业可持续发展路在何方?
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-13 07:40
Core Viewpoint - The price of live pigs has dropped significantly, falling below 12 yuan/kg for the first time this year, with a year-on-year decline exceeding 30% [1][2] Group 1: Price Trends - In October, the average price of live pigs in the national market also fell below 12 yuan/kg, showing no clear signs of recovery [1] - The continuous decline in pig prices is primarily due to an oversupply in the market [1] Group 2: Cost and Production - Advances in large-scale production, breeding technology, and refined management have led to a decrease in overall pig farming costs [1] - Some companies have reported that their total breeding costs have fallen below 12 yuan/kg, with the best-performing farms achieving costs below 11 yuan/kg [1] Group 3: Financial Impact on Companies - The ongoing decline in pig prices has started to significantly erode the revenue and profits of related pig farming companies, with many facing substantial drops in profitability [2] - Among 12 A-share listed companies in the pig farming sector, 6 reported a year-on-year decline in revenue for the first three quarters, while 9 saw a drop in net profit, with over half experiencing a profit cut by 50% or more [2] Group 4: Industry Outlook - If pig prices continue to decline sharply, widespread losses among pig farming companies may occur, negatively impacting sustainable operations and the overall industry [2] - There is a need for government guidance and for companies to enhance technology and management to ensure quality and cost control, promoting high-quality industry development [2]
建信期货生猪日报-20251113
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-13 02:28
Group 1: Report Information - Report Type: Pig Daily Report [1] - Date: November 13, 2025 [2] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions Futures Market - On the 12th, the main 2601 contract of live pigs opened slightly lower and then fluctuated higher, closing in the positive territory. The highest price was 11,845 yuan/ton, the lowest was 11,720 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 11,795 yuan/ton, down 0.55% from the previous day. The total open interest of the index decreased by 8,615 lots to 359,930 lots [6]. Spot Market - On the 12th, the average price of ternary pigs nationwide was 11.75 yuan/kg, down 0.12 yuan/kg from the previous day [6]. Market Analysis - Supply side: In the long term, pig slaughter is expected to maintain a slight increase until the first half of next year. The concentrated second - fattening and pig holding in October increased the supply pressure before the Spring Festival. In the short term, according to Yongyi sample data, the planned sales volume in November was 26.66 million heads, a month - on - month decrease of 3.27% compared with the actual sales volume in October, and the daily average was flat. Currently, farmers are slaughtering at a normal pace [7]. - Demand side: With the rebound of spot prices and the high utilization rate of pigsties, second - fattening is mainly in a wait - and - see state. As the weather continues to cool, terminal consumer demand continues to rise, but the continuous increase is insufficient. The orders of slaughtering enterprises are average, and the operating rate and slaughter volume of slaughtering enterprises fluctuate slightly. Mid - to - late November may see a slight increase in bacon curing and sausage making. On November 12th, the slaughter volume of sample slaughtering enterprises was 164,100 heads, an increase of 17,000 heads from the previous day, a week - on - week increase of 5,000 heads, and a month - on - month increase of 5,000 heads [7]. - Overall: In the spot market, supply is stable and demand increases slightly, but with second - fattening in a wait - and - see state, the support for prices is weak, and the market is expected to fluctuate. In the futures market, the supply of live pigs before the Spring Festival is expected to increase slightly. The demand elasticity of the 2601 contract still exists, but the relatively concentrated second - fattening and pig holding in October, along with farmers' reluctance to sell and the continuous release of production capacity, may form double supply pressure before the Spring Festival, and the market is expected to be weak in the medium - to - long - term [7]. Group 3: Industry News - As of October 30th, the average profit per self - breeding and self - raising pig was - 34.5 yuan/head, a month - on - month increase of 20 yuan/head; the profit of purchasing piglets for fattening was - 258 yuan/head, a month - on - month increase of 50 yuan/head [8][10] Group 4: Data Overview - As of October 31st, the utilization rate of fattening pigsties was 55.5%, a month - on - month increase of 21.2 percentage points, and the same as the previous year [15]. - As of the end of October, the price difference between 175 - kg fat pigs and standard pigs was 0.71 yuan/jin, a month - on - month increase of 0.36 yuan/jin [15]. - As of the end of October, the cost of fattening 110 - kg pigs to 140 kg was 12.18 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.58 yuan/kg from the previous month; the cost of fattening 125 - kg pigs to 150 kg was 12.63 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.44 yuan/kg from the previous month [15]. - In October, the average slaughter weight of pigs nationwide was 128.1 kg, a decrease of 0.3 kg from September, a month - on - month decrease of 0.23%, and an increase of 2.2 kg compared with the same period last year, a year - on - year increase of 1.75% [15]. - In September, the slaughter volume of large - scale designated pig slaughtering enterprises nationwide was 35.84 million heads, a month - on - month increase of 7% and a year - on - year increase of 28.5% [15].
广发证券:猪价步入周期底部区间 产能去化节奏有望加快
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 01:40
行业亏损叠加政策调控,关注左侧布局机会 当前肥猪、仔猪销售均已陷入亏损状态,行业已经具备亏损去产能的前期条件,预计行业产能去化有望 加速,关注猪周期左侧布局机会。除亏损去产能外,行业政策、冬季疫病等是影响后续母猪产能的重要 催化因素。考虑母猪产能、效率等因素,该行预计26年上半年猪价整体低位震荡,下半年供需有望逐步 改善,对应猪价或震荡上行。全年维度看,预计2026年生猪出栏量同比保持温和增长,对应全年生猪均 价同比小幅下滑,优质养殖企业在26年全年仍有望保持盈利。 风险提示 广发证券主要观点如下: 猪价跌破成本线,肥猪、仔猪均陷入亏损 猪价旺季上涨预期落空,9月下旬以来猪价开始加速下行,国庆假期过后猪价一度跌破11元/公斤,价格 达到年内低点。当前全国生猪均价已经跌破大部分企业现金成本线,行业陷入全面亏损状态。近期猪价 超预期下跌主要由于前期行业扩产效应显现以及行业效率提升,使得25年下半年供应压力较大。此外, 9月份仔猪价格也加速下行,仔猪销售也陷入深度亏损,预计仔猪头均亏损超100元/头。当前仔猪价格 跌幅已经超过合理的季节性回落,反映当前养殖户对于后续猪价的悲观预期。 当前猪周期筑底,26年上半年供给 ...
养猪的河南首富,要和茅台、宁德时代掰手腕?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-12 23:13
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant role of Muyuan Foods in the global pork market, claiming that it is a leading player, with a substantial portion of the world's pork supply coming from the company, although the claim of "one in ten pigs" is slightly exaggerated [2][3]. Company Performance - Muyuan Foods is projected to have a pig output of 66 million to 72 million heads in 2024, accounting for approximately 4.8% of the global pork supply [2]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, Muyuan Foods reported revenue of 111.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.52%, and a net profit of 14.779 billion yuan, up 41.01% [3]. - The company experienced a remarkable performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue of 76.46 billion yuan, a 34.46% increase, and net profit soaring to 10.53 billion yuan, a staggering 1170% increase compared to the same period last year [3]. Market Position - Despite a less favorable third quarter in 2025, where revenue fell by 11.48% to 35.327 billion yuan and net profit dropped by 55.98% to 4.249 billion yuan, Muyuan Foods' stock price increased by 40% from the beginning of 2025 to November 10, 2025, with a market capitalization of 282.3 billion yuan [4]. - Among A-share listed companies, only 77 are expected to achieve over 10 billion yuan in revenue and 1 billion yuan in net profit in 2024, with Muyuan Foods being one of the standout companies in this group [4]. Industry Insights - The article discusses the profitability of pig farming compared to technology companies, indicating a growing interest in the sector [5]. - Muyuan Foods has established itself as a leader in the industry, with a focus on technological innovation and cost control, achieving the lowest production costs among major competitors at 5.8 yuan per kilogram [13][15]. - The company has integrated the entire pork production chain, from feed processing to breeding and slaughtering, enhancing efficiency and reducing costs [9][10]. Challenges and Future Outlook - The pork market is influenced by supply and demand dynamics, with commodity prices affecting profitability. In October 2025, the price of commodity pigs fell below 12 yuan per kilogram, impacting the overall performance of the industry [11][16]. - Despite the challenges, Muyuan Foods has maintained profitability due to its effective cost control measures, even as other companies in the sector face significant losses [11][13]. - The company is positioned to continue leading the market, but it must navigate the cyclical nature of the industry and potential price declines [16].
建信期货生猪日报-20251112
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-12 07:07
Group 1: Report Overview - Report title: Pig Daily Report [1] - Report date: November 12, 2025 [2] Group 2: Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. Group 3: Core Viewpoints - The spot market is expected to fluctuate as supply stabilizes and demand increases slightly, but the support from second - round fattening is weak. The futures market, specifically the 2601 contract, may show a long - term weakening trend due to increased supply and concentrated second - round fattening and pressure - barring in October [9]. Group 4: Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market conditions**: On November 11, the main 2601 futures contract of live pigs opened slightly lower, fluctuated downward, and closed with a negative line. The highest was 11,995 yuan/ton, the lowest was 11,750 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 11,755 yuan/ton, down 1.80% from the previous day. The total index positions increased by 16,981 lots to 368,545 lots. The national average price of external ternary pigs was 11.87 yuan/kg, down 0.06 yuan/kg from the previous day [8]. - **Analysis**: In the long - term, pig slaughter is expected to increase slightly until the first half of next year. The concentrated second - round fattening and pressure - barring in October increased the supply pressure before the Spring Festival. In the short - term, the planned sales volume in November decreased by 3.27% compared to the actual sales volume in October. The demand side shows that second - round fattening is mainly in a wait - and - see state. Terminal consumption is rising but with insufficient incremental growth. The slaughter volume of sample slaughtering enterprises on November 11 was 162,400 heads, an increase of 100 heads from the previous day, 4,400 heads week - on - week, and 6,600 heads month - on - month [9]. 2. Industry News - There is no specific content about industry news in the report, only the titles of some related data charts are given. 3. Data Overview - As of October 30, the average profit per self - bred and self - raised pig was - 34.5 yuan/head, a monthly increase of 20 yuan/head; the profit per pig from purchasing piglets was - 258 yuan/head, a monthly increase of 50 yuan/head [13]. - As of October 31, the utilization rate of fattening pens was 55.5%, a monthly increase of 21.2 percentage points, the same as the previous year [13]. - As of the end of October, the price difference between 175 - kg fat pigs and standard pigs was 0.71 yuan/jin, a monthly increase of 0.36 yuan/jin [13]. - As of the end of October, the cost of fattening a 110 - kg pig to 140 kg was 12.18 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.58 yuan/kg from the previous month; the cost of fattening a 125 - kg pig to 150 kg was 12.63 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.44 yuan/kg from the previous month [13]. - The average slaughter weight of pigs in October was 128.1 kg, a decrease of 0.3 kg from September, a monthly decrease of 0.23%, and an increase of 2.2 kg compared to the same period last year, a year - on - year increase of 1.75% [13]. - In September, the slaughter volume of large - scale pig slaughtering enterprises nationwide was 35.84 million heads, a month - on - month increase of 7% and a year - on - year increase of 28.5% [13].
京基智农跌2.02%,成交额1.69亿元,主力资金净流出614.49万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-12 05:35
Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Jingji Zhino has experienced a decline, with a current trading price of 16.46 yuan per share, reflecting a year-to-date decrease of 4.78% and a recent drop in trading activity [1][2]. Company Overview - Jingji Zhino, established on January 1, 1979, and listed on November 1, 1994, is located in Shenzhen, Guangdong Province. The company operates in modern agriculture and real estate, focusing on pig and chicken breeding, feed production, and real estate development [2]. - The revenue composition of Jingji Zhino includes: pig products (79.38%), feed products (11.67%), real estate (5.38%), rental income (1.36%), poultry products (1.29%), hotel business (0.83%), and other sources (0.07%) [2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Jingji Zhino reported a revenue of 3.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.12%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 298 million yuan, down 50.50% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 2.73 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.10 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Jingji Zhino increased by 2.44% to 16,500, with an average of 31,879 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 2.38% [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 10.32 million shares, an increase of 6.33 million shares from the previous period [3].
邦基科技连跌2日后公告终止收购 上演提前涨停提前下跌
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-11-12 05:33
Core Viewpoint - The company, Bangji Technology, has announced the termination of a significant asset restructuring plan involving the acquisition of multiple agricultural companies from Riverstone Farm Pte. Ltd. [1][2] Group 1: Termination of Asset Restructuring - The board of directors approved the termination of the asset restructuring plan on November 11, 2025, which involved acquiring 100% stakes in several companies and 80% of another [1] - The transaction was expected to constitute a related party transaction and a significant asset restructuring under the Shanghai Stock Exchange regulations [2] Group 2: Stock Performance - The company's stock was suspended from trading starting June 5, 2025, during the restructuring process [2] - Prior to the announcement of the termination, the stock experienced a significant drop, with declines of 8.91% on November 10 and 7.54% on November 11 [3] Group 3: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 4.149 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 155.40%, and a net profit of 106 million yuan, up 148.64% [3] - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.542 billion yuan, a 54.36% increase, but the net profit decreased by 40.24% to 50.13 million yuan [4] - The net cash flow from operating activities for the first three quarters of 2025 was -672 million yuan, compared to -185 million yuan in the same period the previous year [3]