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独家专访DWS全球研究主管Johannes Mueller:AI革命与投资大变局
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-11-21 02:17
Group 1: AI and Economic Impact - The current AI hype may be slightly overestimated in the short term, while its long-term benefits could be underestimated, particularly in relation to labor market changes and demographic shifts [2][3] - Historical evidence suggests that transformative technologies require time to develop supporting infrastructure and skills before realizing their full potential [1][2] - The key question remains whether AI can enhance global productivity to justify the substantial investments made, particularly by U.S. companies [2][3] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Valuation - Concerns exist regarding the high concentration of a few stocks in the U.S. market, which accounts for one-third of the total market share, raising questions about future market performance [4] - The current market has absorbed many positive expectations, leading to a cautious outlook on whether future conditions will meet these optimistic projections [4] - The valuation of U.S. stocks is considered high compared to historical averages, prompting investors to seek opportunities in markets like China and Europe [6][7] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Chinese and European markets are gaining attention as potential investment alternatives due to their relatively lower valuations compared to the U.S. market [6][7] - The "DeepSeek moment" highlights the emergence of competitive technology sectors in China, suggesting that significant investment opportunities may exist outside the U.S. [7][8] - European companies in sectors such as pharmaceuticals, defense, and luxury goods may offer attractive investment prospects despite the region not being a leader in AI technology [8] Group 4: Future Market Considerations - The market is expected to reflect fundamental economic performance over time, despite potential short-term volatility and panic [9][10] - Future market drivers will likely shift focus back to economic fundamentals, especially as inflation data does not yet show significant impacts from tariffs [9][10] - The potential for lower market returns in the coming years is acknowledged, as stock market gains have outpaced corporate profit growth in the early 2020s [10]
一组通信数据告诉你 天水这条“黄金大道”有多火爆
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-20 08:51
青年北路百货大楼至新华路十字路段,因道路两旁种满银杏树,每年11月份银杏树叶黄了的时候,道路 上铺撒银杏树叶,行走其间,头顶是金灿灿的"天空",脚下是软绵绵的"金色地毯",仿佛身处黄金般的 天地之间,成为很多摄影爱好者、"网红"和市民打卡拍照的地方。 除了接入人次之外,根据甘肃移动官方通信数据显示,近一周内,"黄金大道"移动网络流量也呈现爆发 式增长。周边站点日均流量达5294.6GB,环比增长69.7%;日均话务量为515.3Erl,增幅36.4%。这些数 字不仅反映出游客数量的激增,也体现出用户在拍照、直播、视频分享等高清内容传播方面的活跃度, 生动印证了"黄金大道"作为新晋网红地的超高人气与传播力。 为了确保"黄金大道"网络质量,甘肃移动天水分公司组建了网络保障团队,除了对该区域话务量、流 量、速率等18项指标进行毫秒级监测,动态调配资源,还针对秦腔展演、露天音乐会等夜间活动,实 行"错峰优化"策略,提前3小时预调度,采用载波聚合技术拓宽网络承载容量,利用超级上行提供高速 率和低时延,将上行速率提升40%,为现场直播、视频上传、语音通话等核心业务提供网络支撑。 据甘肃移动官方通信数据,近一周内,"黄金大 ...
政策护航技术攻坚 6G产业布局加速铺开
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-11-20 02:29
Core Insights - The development of 6G technology in China is accelerating, with over 300 key technology reserves established and significant capital investment in the 6G ecosystem, despite the network not being expected to deploy until 2030 [1][2][3] Group 1: Technological Advancements - The first multi-station multi-intelligent reconfigurable intelligent surface (RIS) network trial for 6G has been completed, providing innovative pathways for wide coverage and seamless connectivity [2] - 6G is expected to evolve towards stronger performance, higher intelligence, and broader coverage, integrating communication with AI, satellite internet, and other domains [2][3] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasizes the need for continuous research on core technologies and the integration of technology solutions to lay a solid foundation for 6G standardization and industrialization [3] Group 2: Terminal Innovation - Terminal innovation is seen as a core driver for the successful implementation of 6G, with expectations that future 6G devices will include AI capabilities and support for virtual-physical integration [4][5] - The market research firm Canalys predicts that AI smartphones will account for 16% of global smartphone shipments in 2024, increasing to 54% by 2028 [4] - 6G terminals are expected to evolve beyond smartphones to include various smart devices, with automotive terminals becoming increasingly important as mobile wireless hubs [5][6] Group 3: Market Development - Various regions in China are actively laying out plans for 6G technology innovation and industry cultivation, with significant investments and initiatives being launched [7] - Companies are focusing on integrating satellite technology with AI to enhance applications in smart cities, agriculture, and environmental monitoring [7] - The capital market is also rapidly positioning itself in the 6G industry, with frequent mergers and acquisitions among listed companies to accelerate industry consolidation [7]
触摸“十五五”产业脉搏丨政策护航技术攻坚 6G产业布局加速铺开
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-20 01:51
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the accelerated development of the 6G industry in China, highlighting the completion of the first phase of 6G technology trials and the formation of over 300 key technology reserves, indicating a shift from laboratory concepts to industrial implementation [1][2][3] Group 1: Technological Advancements - The first multi-site, multi-intelligent reconfigurable intelligent surface (RIS) network trial for 6G has been completed, providing innovative pathways for wide coverage and seamless connectivity [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has initiated systematic promotion of 6G system design, network architecture, and key technology innovations, engaging over a hundred domestic and international entities in collaborative trials [3] - 6G is expected to evolve towards stronger performance, higher intelligence, and broader coverage, integrating communication with AI, satellite internet, and other domains [2][3] Group 2: Terminal Innovation - Terminal innovation is identified as a core driver for the successful implementation of 6G, with expectations for AI-integrated smartphones and other smart devices to emerge [4][5] - The global market for AI smartphones is projected to grow from 16% of total smartphone shipments in 2024 to 54% by 2028, indicating a significant shift in consumer technology [4] - 6G terminals will encompass a variety of smart devices, including glasses, headphones, and vehicles, transforming them into intelligent hubs with AI capabilities [5][6] Group 3: Market Development - Various regions in China are actively laying out plans for 6G technology and industry cultivation, with local governments promoting initiatives to foster a 6G ecosystem [7] - The integration of satellite technology with 6G is seen as a major opportunity, with companies focusing on making satellites smarter and more reliable to support applications in smart cities and agriculture [7] - The capital market is increasingly involved in the 6G industry, with listed companies engaging in mergers and acquisitions to accelerate industry consolidation [7]
独家专访DWS全球研究主管:AI革命与投资大变局
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-11-19 23:40
南方财经 21世纪经济报道记者吴斌 上海报道 "计算机时代随处可见,唯独在生产率的统计数据中不见踪影。"1987年,诺贝尔经济学奖得主罗伯特· 索洛(Robert Solow)如是感慨。 历史不会简单重复,但总是押着相同的韵脚,这一次的主角是人工智能。索洛的文章发表近40年后,如 今人们对AI泡沫的担忧挥之不去。 德国万亿欧元资产管理机构DWS全球研究主管Johannes Mueller近日在2025外滩年会上接受21世纪经济 报道记者独家专访时表示,技术革命在长期内往往被低估,而在短期内则被高估。人们目前可能稍微高 估了人工智能带来的益处。从长远来看,考虑到劳动力市场和人口结构的变化,人工智能将有利于全球 经济。 历史已经无数次证明,即使是最具变革性的技术,也必须等到配套的基础设施、技能和产品发展起来 后,才能最大限度地发挥效用,而这可能是一个漫长的过程。 对于投资者而言,警钟已然敲响。过早播下的种子等不到收获,仓促建起的高塔难抵风雨。每一次技术 狂欢的背后,都是对耐心的考验。对泡沫保持敬畏,方能在狂热中全身而退。 人工智能短期高估、长期低估 《 21 世纪》: AI 是推动多国股市狂欢的重要力量,你更倾向 ...
全球瞭望丨阿根廷媒体:中国是阿根廷关键贸易伙伴
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-19 07:36
Core Insights - China is a key trade partner for Argentina, with significant opportunities arising from this relationship [1] Trade Relations - China is Argentina's second-largest trading partner, importing key products such as soybeans and beef [1] - The emphasis on technological independence and food security in China presents opportunities for Argentina, a major global food producer [1] Technological Advancements - China's advancements in artificial intelligence are notable, with examples including efficient management of container cranes and automated production lines [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" in China highlights key areas of focus such as quantum technology, biomanufacturing, and sixth-generation mobile communications [1] Market Dynamics - Argentine visitors to China observe that Chinese products are of high quality and competitively priced, with excellent customer service [1] - The rapid delivery of customized products, such as tailored suits within 24 hours, reflects the efficiency of Chinese businesses [1]
阿根廷媒体:中国是阿根廷关键贸易伙伴
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-19 07:24
Core Insights - China is a key trade partner for Argentina, with significant opportunities arising from this relationship [1] Trade Relations - China is Argentina's second-largest trading partner, importing key products such as soybeans and beef [1] - The focus on technological independence and food security in China presents opportunities for Argentina, a major global food producer [1] Technological Advancements - China's advancements in artificial intelligence are notable, with applications in logistics and manufacturing, enhancing operational efficiency [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" in China emphasizes key areas such as quantum technology, biomanufacturing, and sixth-generation mobile communications [1] Market Dynamics - Argentine visitors to China observe that Chinese products are of high quality and competitively priced, with excellent customer service [1] - The rapid delivery services in China, such as custom suits delivered within 24 hours, highlight the efficiency of Chinese businesses [1]
中国6G技术试验进入新阶段,将与AI及卫星互联网跨域融合
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 13:12
Core Insights - 6G technology is expected to be over 10 times faster than 5G, supporting integrated networks across air, land, sea, and space [1][2] - China has been conducting 6G technology trials for four consecutive years, completing the first phase and establishing over 300 key technology reserves [1] - The deployment of 6G networks is anticipated around 2030, with projections of over 5 billion connections by 2040, accounting for half of global mobile connections [1] Group 1: 6G Development and Features - 6G will evolve from mobile communication technology to a comprehensive digital information infrastructure, integrating communication, AI, sensing, computing, and security [1][2] - Key features of 6G include peak rates of 1 Tbps, latency below 0.1 ms, and a connection density exceeding 10 million devices per square kilometer [1][2] - The development of 6G is structured in three phases: key technology trials, technical solution trials, and system networking trials [4] Group 2: Industrial and Societal Impact - 6G is expected to drive deep intelligence in Industry 4.0, enabling fully automated factories and immersive communication in education and healthcare [2][3] - The integration of 6G with AI will enhance mobile information services, creating new operational systems and user experiences [6][7] - Different regions will focus on varying digital needs, such as smart manufacturing in China and industrial internet in Europe [3] Group 3: Policy and Ecosystem Development - The Chinese government has emphasized the cultivation of future industries, including 6G, in its 2025 work report [2][8] - Various cities, including Beijing and Shanghai, are implementing policies to accelerate 6G technology and industry development, establishing experimental platforms and fostering industry ecosystems [7][8] - The IMT-2030 (6G) promotion group is enhancing research capabilities and fostering collaboration across the industry to support 6G development [7]
多场景“试验场”就是6G技术最好的“练兵场”
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-11-14 16:24
Core Insights - The 2025 6G Development Conference highlighted that the global development of sixth-generation mobile communication technology (6G) has entered a critical phase of technical convergence and industry collaboration [1] - The current state of 6G development shows a dual trend of "technical deepening" and "emerging ecosystem," with key technologies transitioning from theory to prototype validation and increasing global competition in standard formulation [1] - China has made significant progress in 6G, completing the first phase of key technology testing and accumulating over 300 key technology reserves, demonstrating its determination and capability to seize future development opportunities [1] Group 1: Application-Driven Development - Emphasizing the importance of application, the industry should bind R&D efforts closely with real-world demands, establishing "end-to-end" testbeds in various sectors such as smart manufacturing and telemedicine [2] - The goal is to transform pain points from the industry into focal points for technological breakthroughs, ensuring that R&D outcomes are practical and market-oriented, thereby establishing a first-mover advantage in 6G application standards [2] Group 2: Collaborative Ecosystem - The 6G industry chain is extensive and complex, necessitating collaboration among various players; measures should be taken to support leading companies in the telecommunications and equipment manufacturing sectors to act as "chain leaders" [3] - Encouraging collaboration among terminal manufacturers, chip developers, and content providers is essential to foster innovation and enhance the resilience of the entire industry chain [3] - New technologies such as AI smartphones and industrial smart modules are seen as critical components of the future 6G ecosystem, serving as platforms for new applications and business models [3] Group 3: Global Innovation Framework - 6G is a global technology, and sustainable development cannot be achieved through closed self-research; China should leverage platforms like IMT-2030 to attract international participation in technology trials and standard-setting [4] - Deepening international cooperation and shared development of 6G test networks will enhance China's influence in global 6G governance and industry ecosystems [4] - The industry must shift from pursuing isolated technical achievements to building a comprehensive ecosystem that integrates technology, industry, application, and governance to support high-quality economic development [4]
我国形成300余项6G关键技术储备
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-13 16:16
Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China is making significant progress in promoting the innovation and development of 6G technology, with over 300 key technology reserves established [1][2] Group 1: 6G Development Progress - The 6G development initiative includes systematic promotion of system design, network architecture, and key technology research [1] - A collaborative effort involving over a hundred domestic and international entities is underway to advance 6G technology trials [1] - The year marks the full launch of 6G standardization research, indicating a critical phase of accelerated technological innovation and clearer industry direction [1] Group 2: Future Directions and Strategies - There is a call for continuous strengthening of core technology research and the integration of technology solutions to lay a solid foundation for 6G standardization and industrialization [2] - Emphasis is placed on the need for collaboration across different countries and regions to form a consensus on new business models and scenarios for 6G development [2] - The importance of coordinating on key issues such as technology, standards, and spectrum is highlighted to enhance cooperation in standard formulation and industry advancement [2]