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黑色金属冶炼和压延加工业
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核心CPI连续3个月回升—— 消费领域价格呈现积极变化
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-08-09 21:55
Group 1: Consumer Price Index (CPI) Insights - In July, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.4% month-on-month, reversing a previous decline of 0.1% in June, while year-on-year it remained flat [1] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.8% year-on-year, marking the highest increase since March 2024, with significant price increases in gold and platinum jewelry at 37.1% and 27.3% respectively [2] - Service prices contributed to the CPI increase, rising by 0.6% month-on-month, accounting for over 60% of the total CPI increase [1][2] Group 2: Producer Price Index (PPI) Trends - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 0.2% month-on-month, but the decline was narrower by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month, indicating a potential stabilization in prices [1][2] - Year-on-year, the PPI fell by 3.6%, consistent with the previous month, reflecting ongoing challenges in certain industries due to seasonal factors and international trade uncertainties [1][2] - Specific sectors such as non-metallic mineral products, black metal smelting, and coal mining experienced price declines, influenced by seasonal weather conditions and reduced demand for electricity [2] Group 3: Economic Policy and Market Dynamics - The ongoing macroeconomic policies are showing positive effects, with improvements in supply-demand relationships across various industries, leading to price increases in some sectors [3] - The implementation of consumption-boosting policies is contributing to a healthier consumer market, with an increase in demand for upgraded consumer goods driving price rises [3] - The concept of "anti-involution" is expected to be a key focus for policies in the second half of the year, aiming to reshape supply-demand structures and enhance overall efficiency in industries facing overcapacity [3]
PPI同比或开启第二轮回升周期——7月通胀数据点评
一瑜中的· 2025-08-09 14:56
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the July inflation data, highlighting the unexpected performance of PPI and CPI, and suggests that PPI may have reached its bottom with potential for recovery in the coming months [3][6][11]. Group 1: PPI Analysis - PPI in July decreased by 3.6% year-on-year, which was below market expectations, primarily due to the impact of "anti-involution" policies and a lag in response to high-frequency price increases [3][11]. - The decline in PPI was influenced by seasonal factors and international trade uncertainties, which affected prices in several industries, leading to a 0.24 percentage point drag on PPI [5][34]. - The article anticipates that the PPI year-on-year decline cycle, which began in October 2021, may have ended, with a potential second recovery phase starting next month due to favorable low base effects from last year [6][16][18]. Group 2: CPI Insights - CPI showed a year-on-year growth of 0% in July, aligning with the five-year average, while core CPI increased by 0.8% [4][22]. - Key contributors to CPI included a seasonal increase in housing rental demand, with rents rising by 0.1%, and improvements in durable goods prices, particularly in transportation and household appliances [4][25]. - The core service prices rose approximately 1.1%, driven by increased travel and medical service costs during the summer season [4][27]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - The economic cycle indicator, "the difference in growth rates between corporate and household deposits," has been rising for six consecutive months, suggesting improved consumer sentiment and economic recovery, which may positively influence PPI [7][17]. - The article notes that while PPI may not turn positive this year, the ongoing "anti-involution" policies are expected to gradually improve market conditions and pricing [8][19]. Group 4: Price Trends and Market Dynamics - The proportion of CPI items experiencing price increases rose seasonally, indicating a recovery in price dynamics [38]. - The proportion of industries with rising PPI prices slightly increased, reflecting a gradual improvement in market conditions [39][42]. - The article emphasizes that the ongoing optimization of domestic market competition is contributing to a narrowing of price declines in several sectors, including coal, steel, and solar energy [5][35].
2025年7月CPI和PPI数据解读:7月通胀:物价表现总体趋稳
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-08-09 12:01
Inflation Overview - July CPI remained flat year-on-year at 0.0%, better than the market expectation of -0.1% and consistent with prior predictions[1] - Month-on-month CPI increased by 0.4%, compared to a previous value of -0.1%, aligning with seasonal trends[1] - July PPI recorded a year-on-year decline of -3.6%, matching the previous value and falling short of the market expectation of -3.4%[1] CPI Components - Service prices rose by 0.6% month-on-month, contributing approximately 0.26 percentage points to the CPI increase[2] - Industrial consumer goods prices increased by 0.5% month-on-month, contributing about 0.17 percentage points to the CPI[2] - Food prices decreased by 1.6% year-on-year, primarily due to a high base effect from the previous year, impacting CPI by approximately -0.29 percentage points[5] PPI Insights - PPI's month-on-month decline of 0.2% was influenced by seasonal factors, including high temperatures and increased rainfall affecting construction demand[7] - Prices in the non-metallic mineral products sector fell by 1.4%, while coal mining prices decreased by 1.5%[7] - The prices of high-tech products, such as aircraft manufacturing, rose by 3.0%, indicating a shift towards high-end industrial development[9] Market Outlook - The market is expected to exhibit a dual bull structure in equities and bonds in the second half of the year, supported by a potential easing of US-China trade relations[1] - A-shares are anticipated to experience a structural rally characterized by alternating low-volatility dividends and technology growth[1] - The 10-year government bond yield is projected to decline to around 1.5% amid low probability of large-scale domestic demand stimulus[1]
“反内卷”政策效果初显 7月煤炭、光伏等行业价格环比降幅收窄
经济观察报· 2025-08-09 08:56
Core Viewpoint - The "anti-involution" policy has shown effects, contributing to the improvement of the PPI month-on-month in July, addressing the core issue of low-price competition caused by supply-demand imbalance [1][3]. Group 1: PPI Data and Trends - In July, the PPI decreased by 0.2% month-on-month, with the decline narrowing by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month, marking the first month-on-month narrowing since March this year [2]. - Key industries such as coal mining, black metal smelting, photovoltaic equipment manufacturing, cement manufacturing, and lithium-ion battery manufacturing saw a reduction in price decline, contributing less to the PPI drop [2]. - Year-on-year, the PPI fell by 3.6% in July, maintaining the same decline as the previous month, with the PPI growth rate remaining in negative territory for 34 consecutive months [3]. Group 2: Impact of Policies - The "anti-involution" policies are believed to have driven the price recovery in cyclical industries, as indicated by the price trends in futures markets for coal, steel, and cement [2][3]. - The central government's emphasis on promoting a unified national market and optimizing market competition order is expected to continue influencing PPI trends positively [3][4]. - The ongoing "anti-involution" policies are likely to favor leading enterprises, while the exit of outdated and excess capacities may cause short-term market pain [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Continuous observation is needed to assess the extent of PPI improvement and whether the year-on-year growth rate can turn positive, as the balance of supply and demand requires time to correct [4]. - The need for effective counter-cyclical policies to stimulate domestic demand is highlighted as crucial for sustaining the effects of the "anti-involution" policies and alleviating competitive pressures among enterprises [5].
【新华解读】宏观政策“组合拳”持续显效 7月份多项物价指标改善
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-09 08:49
国内需求继续修复 7月份物价运行边际改善 国家统计局8月9日发布的数据显示,7月份,我国CPI环比由上月下降0.1%转为上涨0.4%,涨幅高于季 节性水平0.1个百分点,同比持平;扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨0.8%,涨幅连续3个月扩 大,为2024年3月以来最高。"这表明国内需求继续修复。"广开首席产业研究院首席金融研究员王运金 说。 物价是反映市场供需情况的重要指标。上半年,我国CPI同比下降0.1%,意味着国内消费仍然有待提 振。"这也给下半年我国宏观政策,特别是货币政策提出了新要求。"中国人民大学经济学院教授范志勇 说,预计下半年货币政策还会进一步发力。 事实上,从中央到各有关部门对当前价格和内需形势都有着深刻认识和共识。宏观政策部署更为超前。 今年6月24日,中国人民银行、国家发展改革委、财政部、商务部等6部门就联合对外发布了《关于金融 支持提振和扩大消费的指导意见》,从支持增强消费能力、扩大消费领域金融供给、挖掘释放居民消费 潜力、促进提升消费供给效能、优化消费环境和政策支撑保障等六个方面提出19项重点举措。 7月1日召开的中央财经委员会第六次会议强调,纵深推进全国统一大市场建设,要聚焦 ...
7月中国PPI环比降幅收窄
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-09 08:34
Group 1 - In July, China's Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 0.2% month-on-month, marking the first narrowing of the decline since March [1] - Seasonal factors and uncertainties in the international trade environment contributed to price declines in certain industries, with high temperatures and increased rainfall affecting construction demand and reducing electricity coal demand [1] - The optimization of domestic market competition has led to a reduction in the month-on-month price decline in industries such as coal, steel, photovoltaic, cement, and lithium batteries, collectively reducing the downward impact on PPI by 0.14 percentage points [1] Group 2 - Year-on-year, the PPI in July decreased by 3.6%, consistent with the previous month, indicating improvements in supply-demand relationships in certain industries due to ongoing macroeconomic policies [1] - Traditional industry upgrades and the growth of emerging industries have led to price increases in specific sectors, such as aircraft manufacturing (up 3.0%), wearable smart devices (up 1.6%), and microwave communication equipment (up 0.9%) [2] - The implementation of consumer stimulus actions has positively impacted the consumption market, resulting in year-on-year price increases in sectors like arts and crafts (up 13.1%), sports balls (up 5.3%), and nutritional food manufacturing (up 1.3%) [2]
马钢申请一种热轧超高强汽车用钢及其制造和成形方法专利,生产成本低
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-09 06:57
专利摘要显示,本发明公开了一种热轧超高强汽车用钢、其制造方法及热成形方法和冷成形方法;属于 汽车用钢技术领域,所述汽车用钢包括以下重量百分比的化学成分:C:0.22~0.27%,Si:1.2~1.8%, Cr:2.2~2.6%,Mn:1.0~1.4%,Nb:0.02~0.03%,Al:0.02‑0.05%,P≤0.020%,S≤0.010%, H≤0.0003%,余量为Fe及不可避免杂质;所述汽车用钢既可以直接冷成形也可以进行热成形,冷成形时 其抗拉强度可达到1500MPa以上,热成形后抗拉强度达到1800MPa级以上,同时不添加贵重金属,生产 成本低。 天眼查资料显示,马鞍山钢铁有限公司,成立于2024年,位于马鞍山市,是一家以从事黑色金属冶炼和 压延加工业为主的企业。企业注册资本126618.037069万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析,马鞍山钢铁 有限公司共对外投资了14家企业,参与招投标项目466次,专利信息65条,此外企业还拥有行政许可34 个。 金融界2025年8月9日消息,国家知识产权局信息显示,马鞍山钢铁有限公司申请一项名为"一种热轧超 高强汽车用钢、其制造方法及热成形方法和冷成形方法"的专利, ...
首钢冷轧申请处理热镀锌产线锌灰泵卡阻专利,有效避免锌灰泵的卡阻问题
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-09 06:56
金融界2025年8月9日消息,国家知识产权局信息显示,北京首钢冷轧薄板有限公司申请一项名为"一种 处理热镀锌产线锌灰泵卡阻的方法及相关设备"的专利,公开号CN120438346A,申请日期为2025年05 月。 专利摘要显示,本申请公开一种处理热镀锌产线锌灰泵卡阻的方法及相关设备,涉及热镀锌带钢生产技 术领域,该方法包括基于卡阻信号向锌灰泵内部吹入氮气;其中,所述卡阻信号用于表征所述锌灰泵在 出现卡阻状态时发出的信号;通过所述氮气清除附着于所述锌灰泵内壁上的锌灰锌渣,并实时监控所述 锌灰泵的运行状态;基于所述锌灰泵的运行状态和预设阈值调整所述氮气的流量和压力,直至所述氮气 的清除效果达到预设目标,则解除所述锌灰泵的卡阻状态。本申请通过氮气的吹扫作用,清除锌灰泵内 的锌灰锌渣沉积,从而有效避免锌灰泵的卡阻问题,以改善带钢镀层质量,为后道产线的正常生成提高 保障。 天眼查资料显示,北京首钢冷轧薄板有限公司,成立于2008年,位于北京市,是一家以从事黑色金属冶 炼和压延加工业为主的企业。企业注册资本260000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析,北京首钢冷轧薄 板有限公司参与招投标项目398次,财产线索方面有商标信息1 ...
“反内卷”政策效果初显 7月煤炭、光伏等行业价格环比降幅收窄
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-08-09 06:41
8月9日,国家统计局公布的数据显示,7月PPI(全国工业生产者出厂价格指数)环比下降0.2%,降幅较上 月收窄0.2个百分点,这是今年3月以来环比降幅首次收窄。 具体来看,7月,煤炭开采和洗选业、黑色金属冶炼和压延加工业、光伏设备及元器件制造、水泥制 造、锂离子电池制造,价格环比降幅比上月分别收窄1.9、1.5、0.8、0.3和0.1个百分点,合计对PPI环比 的下拉影响较上月减少0.14个百分点。 国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟发文解读称,7月国内市场竞争秩序持续优化带动相关行业价格降 幅收窄。全国统一大市场建设纵深推进,煤炭、钢材、光伏、水泥和锂电等行业市场竞争秩序持续优 化。 启铼研究院首席经济学家潘向东表示,7月PPI环比降幅收窄,主要影响因素是一系列"反内卷"政策推动 了周期性行业的产品价格回升,这一点在此前煤炭、钢材、水泥等产品的期货价格走势中已有所体现。 接下来,"反内卷"政策预计会继续推进,但相关行业产品价格后续的波动幅度可能不会像7月这么大, 更多还是受市场供需影响。 张林同时提醒,"反内卷"政策可能更利好头部企业。在落后产能和尾部产能退出过程中,市场会经历产 能出清的阵痛,这些承担政策调 ...
重要数据公布,积极信号显现
第一财经· 2025-08-09 05:59
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trends in China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), highlighting the impact of seasonal factors and international trade uncertainties on these indices. It notes a shift in CPI from a decline to an increase, while PPI continues to show a decrease but at a reduced rate. CPI Analysis - In July, the CPI increased by 0.4% month-on-month, reversing a previous decline of 0.1%, with year-on-year growth remaining flat [2] - The year-on-year CPI was primarily influenced by lower food prices, which fell by 1.6%, a decline that widened by 1.3 percentage points compared to the previous month, contributing approximately 0.29 percentage points to the CPI's year-on-year decline [2] - Non-food prices rose by 0.3% year-on-year, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month [2] - Seasonal factors, particularly the summer travel season, led to significant increases in service prices, with airfares, tourism, and accommodation costs rising by 17.9%, 9.1%, and 6.9% respectively [5] PPI Analysis - The PPI decreased by 0.2% month-on-month in July, but the rate of decline narrowed by 0.2 percentage points, marking the first reduction in the rate of decline since March [7] - The decline in PPI was attributed to seasonal factors and uncertainties in the international trade environment, which affected prices in several industries [7] - Specific industries such as non-metallic mineral products, black metal smelting, and coal mining saw price declines of 1.4%, 0.3%, and 1.5% respectively [7] - The competitive market environment has improved, leading to a reduction in the rate of price decline in several sectors, including coal and steel [8] Future Price Trends - The National Bureau of Statistics anticipates a moderate recovery in prices in the second half of the year, supported by stable economic performance, effective domestic demand policies, and reduced low-price competition among enterprises [9]