Core Viewpoint - The China Logistics and Purchasing Federation announced that the logistics industry prosperity index for June is 50.8%, reflecting a 0.2 percentage point increase from the previous month [1] Investment Situation - In June, logistics infrastructure investment maintained steady growth, with the fixed asset investment completion index rising to 54.5%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points month-on-month [1] - Since February, the fixed asset investment completion index has shown a continuous upward trend month by month [1] - All sectors, except for warehousing, have shown recovery, with key projects in transportation logistics hubs progressing smoothly [1] Sector Performance - Fixed asset investment completion index for water transport, air transport, and postal express industries increased by 0.5, 0.4, and 0.3 percentage points respectively [1] - The business activity expectation index has remained above 55% for four consecutive months, indicating a high prosperity level [1] - The business activity expectation indices for railway transport, air transport, and postal express are 55.3%, 58.7%, and 57.4% respectively [1]

Core Insights - The China Logistics and Purchasing Federation reported that the logistics industry prosperity index for May is 50.6%, indicating continued expansion in the sector [1] - There is a notable increase in consumer logistics demand driven by various factors such as trade-in programs, holiday consumption, and inter-regional travel [1][2] - The logistics sector is experiencing a recovery in business activity, with significant growth in specific regions and industries [1][2] Regional Performance - The central and western regions have business volume indices above the national average, with strong demand in equipment manufacturing, automotive parts, coal logistics, and chemical products logistics [1] - E-commerce platforms reported a year-on-year increase of 10%-15% in logistics order volume for home appliances and communication products in May [1] Industry Activity - The postal and express delivery industry business volume index reached 69.4%, showing a month-on-month increase of 0.8 percentage points [1] - The road transport industry maintained an expansion trend with a business volume index of 51.3%, while the railway transport industry index was at 54.2%, indicating stable demand for bulk transportation [1] Business Operations - The operating vitality of logistics companies is improving, with the enterprise fund turnover rate index remaining above 50% for nine consecutive months [2] - In May, the fund turnover rate index increased by 0.3 percentage points, and the inventory turnover index rose by 0.2 percentage points [2] - Small and micro enterprises showed better improvement in main business profit indices compared to larger enterprises [2] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment in the logistics sector continues to recover, with indices for road transport, postal and express delivery, air transport, and water transport all showing month-on-month increases [2] - The logistics industry is expected to maintain a positive outlook due to accelerated infrastructure development and investment progress, with business activity expectation indices remaining above 55% for three consecutive months [2]

Core Viewpoint - The logistics industry in China shows signs of continued expansion, with the logistics prosperity index for May 2025 at 50.6%, indicating stable demand in both consumer and industrial logistics sectors [1] Group 1: Logistics Prosperity Index - The logistics prosperity index for May 2025 is 50.6%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points from April [1] - The total business volume index remains in the expansion range at 50.6%, with all three major regions showing expansion [1] - The central region's business volume index is 51.1%, and the western region's is 52.8%, both above the national level [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - The postal and express delivery industry has a business volume index of 69.4%, up 0.8 percentage points month-on-month [2] - Road transportation maintains an expansion trend with a business volume index of 51.3%, while inventory turnover for road transport is at 43.6%, up 0.2 percentage points [2] - The railway transportation index is at 54.2%, indicating stable demand for bulk energy transport [2] Group 3: Microeconomic Indicators - The enterprise fund turnover rate index has remained above 50% for nine consecutive months, averaging 50.7% in the first five months of the year, which is 0.5 percentage points higher than the same period last year [3] - In May, the fund turnover rate index increased by 0.3 percentage points, with small and micro enterprises seeing a 0.4 percentage point rise [3] Group 4: Investment and Market Outlook - Fixed asset investment completion index rose by over 0.5 percentage points in May, with specific increases in road transport, postal delivery, aviation, and water transport sectors [4] - The business activity expectation index has remained above 55% for three consecutive months, indicating a generally optimistic market outlook [4] - Companies are optimistic about future logistics infrastructure investments and key sectors such as intermodal transport and high-end manufacturing logistics services [4]

Core Points - The average annual salary for urban private sector employees in 2024 is reported to be 69,476 yuan, reflecting a nominal growth rate of 1.7% and a comparable growth of 4.0% [2] - Despite the overall increase in national income, the average salary for couriers in the express delivery industry has decreased, highlighting the competitive environment within the sector [2][4] - The express delivery industry has seen a significant increase in business volume, with a growth rate exceeding 20%, yet the income for couriers has not kept pace, leading to dissatisfaction among workers [4][7] Industry Overview - The express delivery industry is experiencing a decline in average wages, with a reported drop of 0.1% in the average annual salary for couriers, which is now 67,973 yuan [1][2] - The average salary in the express delivery sector is lower compared to other high-tech industries, such as information technology services, which saw a decline of 4.7% in average wages [4] - The average price per delivery has decreased significantly from 28.5 yuan in 2007 to 8.0 yuan in 2024, indicating intense price competition within the industry [7] Employment Conditions - The workload for couriers has increased dramatically, with the number of deliveries rising from 9.2 billion in 2013 to 175 billion in 2024, while the number of couriers has only increased from 3 million to 4 million [7] - Couriers report that their income has not increased despite the higher volume of work, with many earning as little as 0.8 yuan per delivery, leading to a situation where even high workloads yield minimal earnings [7][9] - The competitive labor market allows companies to maintain low wages, as there are many individuals willing to work in the industry despite declining pay [5][9]