碧桂园服务(06098.HK)12月1日耗资442.5万港元回购68.7万股 碧桂园服务(06098.HK)11月28日耗资640万 港元回购100万股 相关事件 格隆汇12月1日丨碧桂园服务(06098.HK)发布公告，2025年12月1日耗资442.5万港元回购68.7万股，回购 价格每股6.43-6.46港元。 ...

专题：2025分析师大会：资本市场"奥斯卡"启幕 【相关阅读】第七届新浪财经金麒麟最佳分析师荣誉榜 第七届新浪财经金麒麟最佳分析师荣誉榜出炉，海外市场研究第一名为兴业证券张忆东团队。 新浪财经整理张忆东最新观点如下： 张忆东最新观点：震荡不改长牛逻辑 "'4000点'只是行情逻辑的短期成果，既不是起点，更不是终点，甚至都不应该是思考中长期行情的重 点。" "往后看20年，到本世纪中叶，中国市场的这轮'长牛'立足于中国综合实力的提升，可以理解为'金融强 国牛'或'社会主义现代化强国牛'。我们不排除未来出现大幅调整的可能，但关键的大逻辑是中国经济增 长方式在转变，综合国力在提升。" "AI浪潮才刚刚开始，与90年代互联网浪潮'形似而神不似'，相似之处都是资本开支驱动，核心差异在 于时代背景不同，现在的科技是中美大国博弈的主阵地和必争之地。" "宏观层面看，新旧动能切换确实还没完全实现在经济数据上，但从资本市场的角度已经显现出新动能 跑赢旧动能的切换趋势。" "中国服务消费为核心的新消费浪潮已经启动，新消费的成长时代已经来临，未来的消费市场将呈现'总 量稳、新消费活'的格局。" "人形机器人目前还处于产业生命周期的 ...

Core Viewpoint - 康桥悦生活服务集团 is actively exploring the creation of a "second curve" for business growth in response to the current macroeconomic environment and industry development status [1][3] Group 1: Business Strategy and Expansion - The company plans to leverage its service advantages by enhancing AI and digital infrastructure, innovating new technologies, and developing new businesses to ensure steady growth over the next 3-5 years [3][5] - A new subsidiary will be established in North America, aiming to capitalize on the mature real estate market and vibrant tech ecosystem, creating a dual-driven business model of "service + technology" [3][5] - The North American subsidiary will focus on property services and office services for tech enterprises, targeting residential, office, and industrial property sectors [6] Group 2: Service Offerings and Technology Integration - The company will provide customized services for various real estate projects, including daily operations, security, maintenance, and community culture development, while adopting advanced technologies like cleaning robots and AI-driven smart detection [6] - Initial offerings for tech enterprises will include front desk reception, shared office spaces, and high-speed internet, with plans to expand into business support and market expansion services for startups [6] Group 3: Investment and Innovation - 康桥悦生活 aims to build digital technology infrastructure and enhance digital asset management capabilities, exploring the application of real-world asset tokenization [7][8] - The company will invest in tech firms with significant barriers to entry and commercial potential, fostering deep integration between industry and technology [7] - There is a focus on blockchain technology and digital asset management, integrating into the Web3.0 ecosystem to lay a foundation for long-term development [8] Group 4: Management Vision - The management emphasizes the significance of the North American real estate market's scale and vitality, viewing the establishment of the subsidiary as a milestone in the company's globalization strategy [9] - The initial focus will be on the San Francisco Bay Area and the New York metropolitan area, with a goal to serve hundreds of tech enterprises within three years [9]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the earnings forecast for Poly Property (06049) and keeps the "outperform" rating with a target price of HKD 42.7, corresponding to a 13x P/E for 2026 and a 22% upside potential [1] Group 1: Strategic Layout and Growth - The "big property" strategic layout has achieved breadth, with the "14th Five-Year Plan" focusing on operational focus and industrial upgrades [2] - During the "14th Five-Year Plan," the company has proactively laid out the "big property" strategy, achieving over 25% compound growth in property management revenue from public services and commercial office sectors from 2021 to 2024 [2] - By 2024, the managed area for non-residential properties is expected to reach 510 million square meters, with non-residential property management revenue accounting for over 40% of total property management revenue [2] - The company's market-oriented external expansion capability and industry coverage are leading, with an annualized contract amount for non-residential external expansion expected to be RMB 2.75 billion in 2024, covering over 40 non-residential sectors [2] - The company has essentially achieved the layout and external expansion capability at the "big property" level, with future development transitioning from breadth and width to deep operations, aiming for further elevation in revenue structure, profitability, and operational capability [2] Group 2: Scenic Area Operations - Scenic area operations present good growth potential and financial models, with property management companies expected to upgrade from traditional management fees to operational revenue sharing through integrated management and operations [2] - The tourism industry is expected to continue its strong growth, with the China Tourism Research Institute predicting that cultural and tourism-related consumption will exceed RMB 10 trillion by 2030, with an average annual growth rate of 8%-10% during the "15th Five-Year Plan" [2] - For example, in the Shenzhen Xichong project, property management fee revenue is around RMB 10 million, with relatively low gross margins; however, integrating ticket revenue sharing and secondary consumption from tourists is expected to significantly enhance project gross margins [2] - By the end of 2024, Poly Property is expected to have served over 100 A-level scenic area projects, including three operational management projects, with ongoing development of benchmark projects providing a solid foundation for further acquisition of scenic area operation projects and creating an integrated service system for scenic area operations and urban management [2]

业绩小幅增长，费用管控能力提升 智通财经APP获悉，中泰证券发布研报称，维持中海物业(02669)"买入"评级，公司2025年上半年核心物 业管理业务实现稳健增长，外拓业态持续丰富，毛利率改善，展现出了较强的韧性能力，该行预计公司 未来仍可以维持一定增速的规模与业绩增长，持续看好公司能够实现长期高质量发展。 中泰证券主要观点如下： 中海物业发布2025年半年报 公司上半年实现营收70.9亿，同比增长3.7%，权益股东应占净利润7.7亿，同比增长4.3%。 2025年上半年公司实现营收70.9亿，同比+3.7%，权益股东应占净利润为7.7亿元，同比+4.3%，净利润 增速高于营收增速。公司总体毛利率17.0%，同比上升0.2pct。核心业务物业管理服务营收较2024年同 期增加8.3%，毛利率15.5%，同比上升0.1pct。销售及行政费用同比下降18.6%，总体费用下降17.8%， 费用率2.2%，同比下降0.6pct，费用管控能力有所提升，公司整体盈利能力有所提升。 外拓能力优秀，新合约构成合理 2025年上半年，公司新增订单0.3亿平方米，当中84.0%来自第三方。公司新签合约总额约达人民币22.6 亿元 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhongtai Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for China Overseas Property (02669), highlighting the company's resilient performance and expected long-term high-quality development, with a projected steady growth in scale and performance in the future [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 7.09 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%, and a net profit attributable to equity shareholders of 770 million, up 4.3% year-on-year [2] - The overall gross margin was 17.0%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the core property management service revenue grew by 8.3% compared to the same period in 2024, with a gross margin of 15.5%, up 0.1 percentage points [2] - Sales and administrative expenses decreased by 18.6% year-on-year, leading to an overall expense reduction of 17.8%, with an expense ratio of 2.2%, down 0.6 percentage points, indicating improved cost control and enhanced overall profitability [2] Business Expansion - In the first half of 2025, the company added 0.3 billion square meters of new orders, with 84.0% coming from third parties, and the total new contract amount reached approximately 2.26 billion [3] - The company optimized its business structure and project governance, resulting in a slight increase in managed area to 4.4 billion square meters compared to the end of 2024, with residential and non-residential project areas accounting for 41.0% and 59.0% of new contracts, respectively, enhancing the company's risk resilience [3] Shareholder Returns - The company declared an interim dividend of 0.09 HKD per share, along with a special dividend of 0.01 HKD per share to celebrate its 10th anniversary, totaling 39.2% of net profit attributable to equity shareholders, with an overall increase of 0.015 HKD per share compared to the same period last year [4] - The stable dividend amidst operational improvements is expected to enhance shareholder returns and attract investors [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongfang Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Country Garden Services (06098) with a target price of HKD 6.83, highlighting the company's active expansion into community value-added services and its collaboration with Keda Nengtong in the electric vehicle charging business, aiming to cultivate new growth points and enhance future competitiveness through technology empowerment [1][2]. Group 1: Community Value-Added Services - The company is focusing on developing community value-added services, particularly in sectors such as automotive, home, retail, and services, with notable growth in community wine culture, achieving over 88% year-on-year growth in six trial regions for its wine business, generating revenue of HKD 190 million [2]. - The company is advancing its community charging business, providing a one-stop service for charging station equipment and an independently developed operational management platform, primarily targeting two-wheeled electric vehicles. As of mid-2025, the company operates approximately 600,000 charging sockets across over 5,000 communities, with more than 5.5 million registered users and over 200 million monthly active users [2]. Group 2: Clean Robot Deployment - The company has accelerated the deployment of its self-developed "Zero Resident" cleaning robots, which are now operational in 17 projects across cities like Guangzhou, Beijing, Shanghai, and Dalian, with over 130 units deployed. The plan is to expand this to 1,000 units within the year, aiming for standardized and large-scale applications in property management to achieve significant efficiency improvements and cost savings [3]. - The company intends to increase R&D investment to enhance the application capabilities of robots in complex scenarios, which is expected to create new competitive advantages in efficiency, quality, and cost control [3].

Core Viewpoint - Dongfang Securities maintains a "Buy" rating and a target price of HKD 6.83 for Country Garden Services (06098), highlighting the company's active expansion into community value-added services and its collaboration with Keda Nengtong in the electric vehicle charging business, aiming to cultivate new growth points and enhance future competitiveness through technology empowerment [1][2]. Group 1: Community Value-Added Services - The company is focusing on developing community value-added services, particularly in sectors such as automotive, home, retail, and services, with notable growth in community wine culture, achieving over 88% year-on-year growth in six trial regions, generating revenue of CNY 190 million [2]. - The company is advancing its community charging business, providing a one-stop service for charging station equipment and an independently developed operational management platform, with over 5000 communities operating approximately 600,000 charging sockets and a registered user base exceeding 5.5 million [2]. Group 2: Clean Robot Deployment - The company has accelerated the deployment of its self-developed "Zero Resident" cleaning robots, with over 130 units operational across 17 projects in cities like Guangzhou, Beijing, and Shanghai, and plans to expand to 1000 units within the year, aiming for standardized and large-scale applications in property management [3]. - Increased R&D investment is planned to enhance the robots' capabilities in complex scenarios, potentially creating new competitive advantages in efficiency, quality, and cost control [3].

Policy Basis - The notification from the Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation outlines the timing for VAT tax obligations, which occur when the taxpayer engages in taxable activities and receives payment or obtains a receipt for the payment on the same day; if an invoice is issued first, the obligation arises on the day the invoice is issued [4]. Property Management Financial Practices - Property management companies typically expect to receive property fees from owners by the 10th of each month, which is when they are required to pay VAT [5]. - If property fees are not received by the 10th, the company still has the right to collect payment on the contractually agreed date, which triggers the VAT tax obligation [7]. - The term "receipt" refers to the written contract stipulating the payment date, and it also includes the settlement time agreed upon after the taxable service is completed [10]. Tax Reporting and Compliance - It is essential for property management companies to report accurately during tax declarations, even if all property fees have not been collected; they must declare any unbilled income and maintain proper documentation such as contracts and collection records for verification [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors [4][38]. Core Views - The report highlights two major opportunities: the rise of favorable policies for quality housing and the potential revaluation of consumer-oriented commercial real estate assets due to the current monetary easing cycle [4][38]. - It suggests that while the real estate market continues to stabilize, core cities are expected to recover sooner [4][38]. Industry Data Summary New Housing Transaction Volume - In the week of November 22-28, 2025, 34 key cities saw a total new housing transaction volume of 2.52 million square meters, a decrease of 1.7% week-on-week [6][9]. - Year-on-year, November transactions in these cities dropped by 35%, with first and second-tier cities down by 33.4% and third and fourth-tier cities down by 51.4% [9][10]. Second-hand Housing Transaction Volume - In the same week, 13 cities recorded a total second-hand housing transaction volume of 1.16 million square meters, an increase of 4.2% week-on-week [14][15]. - Year-to-date, the total transaction volume for second-hand housing is 5.37 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.7% [14][15]. Inventory and Supply - In the week of November 22-28, 2025, 15 cities had a total of 1.37 million square meters of new housing launched, with a transaction volume of 1.03 million square meters, resulting in a transaction-to-launch ratio of 0.75 [24][30]. - The total available residential area in these cities was 89.846 million square meters, a 0.4% increase week-on-week [24][30]. Policy and News Tracking Real Estate Industry - The National Development and Reform Commission is promoting the expansion of REITs to include hotels and commercial offices [33][34]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has initiated a pilot program for commercial real estate REITs [33][35]. Company Announcements - New City Holdings successfully issued a private REIT with a scale of 616 million yuan [38][41]. - China Jinmao announced plans to sell 100% equity of its Sanya tourism business for 2.27 billion yuan [38][41].