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新房、二手房成交继续放缓,政策出台必要性提升
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-07-13 08:51
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Buy" [1] Core Views - New and second-hand housing transactions continue to face downward pressure, highlighting the necessity for policy intervention [4][5] - The Beijing government has emphasized optimizing housing supply and enhancing consumption through a new action plan, focusing on land supply and housing fund policies [3][8] - The report anticipates that July will be a critical period for policy announcements, with the real estate sector entering a phase of policy-driven market dynamics [10] Summary by Sections Policy Tracking - The Beijing government issued a plan to boost consumption, aligning with previous housing policies, focusing on optimizing land supply and enhancing the housing supply system [3][8] - The plan includes measures to support housing fund withdrawals for down payments and promote smart community developments [3][8] Weekly Data Tracking - New housing transactions in 30 major cities reached 1.37 million square meters in the week ending July 11, down 20% year-on-year and 48% month-on-month [4][9] - Second-hand housing transactions in 13 cities were 1.43 million square meters, reflecting a 12.8% year-on-year decline [4][9] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading real estate companies with strong land acquisition capabilities and well-structured land reserves, such as Poly Developments [6][21] - It also recommends monitoring top intermediary firms benefiting from active second-hand housing transactions, like I Love My Home [6][21]