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中美“关税战”暂缓 外贸人又忙起来了
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-05-14 10:18
经济观察报 记者 张锐 中美贸易正在重新"活跃"起来。 "一部分客户立刻恢复了生产、出货,一部分还在观望,需要谈新的价格。"5月14日上午,鸿利达控股有限公司首席商务官蔡铭峰对经济观察报记者说。 同日,广东微电新能源有限公司董事长陈志勇亦向经济观察报记者表示,自今年4月以来美国大幅对华加征关税,公司暂停了出口美国的合作订单。"现在可 以重启了。"他说,当下第一步是清理库存。 罗宾升国际货运有限公司(C.H. Robinson)的预测认为,关税新政策实施迅速,但相关90天"暂停期"对海运而言非常短暂,中国始发货量或将在5月激 增,"我们预计客户将加速提交、加急运输订单,以赶在窗口期结束前完成清关"。 5月12日,商务部新闻发言人就《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》发表谈话时表示,本次中美经贸高层会谈取得实质性进展,大幅降低双边关税水平,美方 取消了共计91%的加征关税,中方相应取消了91%的反制关税;美方暂停实施24%的"对等关税"(暂停90天),中方也相应暂停实施24%的反制关税(暂停 90天)。这一举措符合两国生产者和消费者的期待,也符合两国利益和世界共同利益。 5月13日,中国国际金融股份有限公司(下称"中金 ...
多家央国企积极开展回购增持计划,国企共赢ETF(159719)、大湾区ETF(512970)配置机遇备受关注
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-14 02:28
Group 1 - The National Enterprise Win ETF (159719) has seen a slight decline of 0.13% as of May 14, 2025, with a latest price of 1.51 yuan, while it has accumulated a rise of 1.96% over the past week as of May 13, 2025 [1] - The liquidity of the National Enterprise Win ETF shows a turnover of 0.74% during the day, with a transaction volume of 895,000 yuan, and an average daily transaction of 24.76 million yuan over the past week [1] - The CSI Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index (931000) has decreased by 0.08% as of May 14, 2025, with component stocks showing mixed performance [1] Group 2 - Over 300 listed companies have publicly disclosed share repurchase and increase plans since April 2025, with a total amount exceeding 100 billion yuan, including both private enterprises and state-owned enterprises [2] - As of the end of April 2025, the proposed share repurchase loan amount disclosed by listed companies has surpassed 110 billion yuan, with financial institutions signing contracts for approximately 200 billion yuan [2] - Analysts predict that value cycle stocks represented by central state-owned enterprises will yield significant excess returns in the current policy environment aimed at expanding domestic demand and stabilizing assets [2] Group 3 - The National Enterprise Win ETF closely tracks the FTSE China National Enterprise Open Win Index, which reflects the performance of Chinese state-owned enterprises listed in mainland China and Hong Kong, focusing on globalization and sustainable development [2] - The FTSE China National Enterprise Open Win Index consists of 100 constituent stocks, including 80 A-share companies and 20 companies listed in Hong Kong [2] Group 4 - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index account for 53.26% of the index, with companies like BYD, China Ping An, and Midea Group among the leaders [5]
美线货代跌宕30天
Core Viewpoint - The recent U.S.-China trade negotiations have led to the cancellation of some tariffs, which is expected to revitalize the logistics market, particularly for freight forwarders involved in U.S. routes [1][2][17]. Group 1: Market Impact - Orders for logistics services have surged to more than double the pre-trade war daily average following the announcement of tariff cancellations [1]. - The logistics industry faced a significant downturn in April, with a drastic drop in cargo volumes due to high tariffs, leading to many freight forwarders experiencing severe financial strain [1][3][5]. - Shipping rates fluctuated significantly around the tariff implementation date, with rates dropping sharply after April 9, indicating a direct correlation between tariff policies and shipping demand [4][5]. Group 2: Trade Dynamics - The introduction of "transshipment trade" has increased as companies seek to navigate high tariffs, although regulatory scrutiny has intensified, making this option less viable [1][9][11]. - The U.S. is heavily reliant on Chinese imports, with China accounting for 65% of U.S. apparel imports and 52% of footwear imports, indicating the potential for significant supply chain disruptions due to tariff policies [6]. - The World Trade Organization (WTO) has predicted that the trade tensions could lead to an 80% reduction in trade volume between the U.S. and China [5]. Group 3: Future Opportunities - The recent tariff negotiations have created a sense of optimism among freight forwarders, who are now looking for new opportunities in the market as demand is expected to rebound [2][17]. - Companies are increasingly focusing on global supply chain strategies, with many considering relocating production to Southeast Asia to mitigate tariff impacts [13][14]. - The logistics sector is anticipated to undergo a reshuffling, with successful adaptation to the new trade environment potentially leading to growth opportunities for agile companies [14][19].
Goheal:上市公司资本运作≠财技秀!拆解真正有效的价值创造公式
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-13 09:07
"夫巧言令色,鲜矣仁。"放在今天的资本市场,有些上市公司看似披着"精致财技"的外衣,实则早已背离了价值创造的正道。财报"魔术"、估值"体操"、并 购"花活"层出不穷,堪称"现代版九阴白骨爪",只为博得市场一时欢心,却往往换来估值坍塌、信任崩塌。 美国更好并购集团 但资本运作不应是表演秀,它本应是一场价值的雕刻。美国更好并购集团(Goheal)始终认为,真正有效的资本运作,绝不是"数字游戏",而是以长期主义 为核心、以战略协同为落点、以市场信任为护城河的一套价值创造公式。 那么,这套公式究竟长啥样?我们今天不妨一探究竟。 一、财技秀≠价值创造:故事讲得再好,也敌不过业绩"骨感" 近几年,资本市场上某些公司似乎患上了"讲故事上瘾症":今天吹新能源,明天蹭AI,后天喊出"科技出海"。一套精妙的资本操作组合拳下来,市值迅速暴 涨,仿佛天要变蓝了。但一查财报,收入增长停滞、净利润原地踏步,现金流更是捉襟见肘。 我们称这种现象为"资本皮影戏"——看起来光鲜,实则空洞。比如,有公司明明主业增长乏力,却频频通过高溢价并购讲述"转型"新故事;又或者靠股权激 励拉拢核心团队,实则掩盖主业滑坡的真相。这种套路,看似在玩"资本创新" ...
海尔集团荣获国家广告研究院品牌实验室AAA级品牌发展力评级
转自:新华财经 的品牌工作情况,客观总结了海尔集团过去一年的品牌发展成果和经验。报告编制依据主要来自国家市 场监督管理总局(国家标准化管理委员会)发布的2020年第28号国家标准——GB/T39654-2020《品牌 评价 原则与基础》,以及国家广告研究院2024年发布的《中国企业品牌发展评价(GBMC)指标体 系》。 当前,品牌发展报告正逐渐成为企业除财务报告和社会责任报告之外,向各利益相关方沟通与展示的新 方式。它为企业提供了一个从品牌视角展示自身实力和成就的窗口,有助于加强企业与公众之间的交 流,提升品牌的透明度和影响力。 海尔集团在品牌建设过程中所展现的创新思维与实践成果,成功地为同行业企业打造了一个极具参考价 值的"海尔范本"。这一范本不仅体现了海尔在全球化背景下对品牌内涵的深度挖掘,还彰显了其在生态 化、科技化、全球化以及ESG实践等方面的成果。海尔集团也明确表示,将以这份荣誉为契机,开启品 牌建设的新篇章,不断为全球用户创造最佳体验,持续为社会经济高质量发展贡献力量。(张震) 编辑:湛玮琦 图为海尔集团品牌发展力评价证书 品牌发展力评价AAA级(最高等级)评价是国家广告研究院品牌实验室基于科学严 ...
汽车之家被海尔收购后发首份1季报 营收净利双降约1成
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-05-13 06:18
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the financial performance and strategic developments of Autohome, including a decline in revenue and profit in Q1 2025, as well as a significant acquisition by Haier [1][2] Group 2 - In Q1 2025, Autohome reported total net revenue of RMB 1,453.8 million (USD 200.3 million), a year-on-year decrease of 9.65% compared to RMB 1,609.1 million in Q1 2024 [1] - The net profit attributable to Autohome was RMB 356.6 million (USD 49.1 million) in Q1 2025, down 9.61% from RMB 394.5 million in the same period of 2024 [1] - Adjusted net profit (non-GAAP) for Q1 2025 was RMB 420.8 million (USD 58.0 million), reflecting a 14.80% decline from RMB 493.9 million in Q1 2024 [1] - On February 20, 2025, Autohome confirmed its acquisition by Haier during an all-hands meeting, with the current Senior Vice President Yang Song set to become CEO post-acquisition [2] - Haier's subsidiary, Katai Chi, announced a strategic investment in Autohome, planning to acquire shares from Cloud Capital (a platform under Ping An) for approximately USD 1.8 billion, resulting in Katai Chi holding about 41.91% of Autohome's shares [2] - Ping An Property & Casualty will continue to be a major shareholder in Autohome through its indirect holdings via Cloud Capital [2]
2025年一季度,康佳集团营收微增、利润暴增的背后,并不是公司主营
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-13 02:43
主营业务已经连亏14年的康佳集团,进入2025年一季度,仍然没有扭转主业继续亏损的局面。在2025 年,迎来了新股东华润的康佳集团,又能否改变主业亏损的局面? 2025年一季度,康佳集团财报显示:公司营业总收入为25.44亿元,较上年同期的24.63亿元增长 3.32%;归母净利润为9481.07万元,而上年同期为亏损5.10亿元,同比增长118.59%,成功实现扭亏为 盈。 2025年一季度,康佳集团营收微增、利润暴增的背后,并不是公司主营业务的经营质量得到了显著改 善,而是继续通过变更会计政策的方式赚了5.35亿元,避免公司归母净利润继续亏损的尴尬。问题是, 以周彬为首的康佳集团管理层,还有多少资产可卖、多少会计政策可变更,来弥补公司主营业务持续亏 损的尴尬? 孙力||撰稿 相对于2024年财报,2025年一季度,康佳集团似乎实现了经营业绩的快速、大幅度改善。不过,家电圈 却看到:今年一季度康佳集团的扭亏为盈,凭借的不是主营业务赚钱了,而是继续进行公司的投资资产 运营,即非经常性损益。对于企业来说,这种操作存在很大的不确定性,毕竟可以腾挪的资产毕竟是有 限的,主业如果迟迟找不到扭亏的方向和手段,公司是难以 ...
中金:中美关税“降级”的资产含义
中金点睛· 2025-05-12 23:51
Core Viewpoint - The recent US-China trade talks resulted in a significant reduction of tariffs, with the effective tariff rate dropping from 145% to 30%, which exceeded market expectations and positively impacted market sentiment [1][2][7]. Tariff Reduction Details - The US reduced tariffs on China from 145% to 30%, including a 90-day exemption on 24% of the tariffs [2][6]. - China reciprocated by canceling 91% of its retaliatory tariffs against the US [2][3]. Market Impact - Following the announcement, the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index rose by over 3% and 5% respectively, while US stock futures surged by 3-4% [1]. - The Brent crude oil price increased by 3.6% to $66 per barrel, and gold prices fell by 3% to around $3200 per ounce due to reduced risk aversion [1]. Economic Implications - The reduction in tariffs is expected to alleviate supply shocks in the US and demand shocks in China, potentially easing inflationary pressures in the US [7][12]. - The effective tax rate in the US is projected to decrease from 17-20% to 16-17% as a result of the tariff changes [10][25]. Future Negotiations - The success of future negotiations remains critical, as the current 30% tariff level still imposes additional costs on businesses and may suppress demand [8][18]. - The second quarter is deemed crucial for observing progress in tariff negotiations, tax reductions, and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [12][20]. Asset Market Reactions - US and Hong Kong stock markets have recovered to pre-tariff levels, with the S&P 500 index currently valued at 20.6 times earnings, up from 19.4 times in early April [21][28]. - The Hang Seng Index has rebounded significantly, reflecting improved market sentiment, but future performance will depend on the outcomes of ongoing trade discussions [28][29]. Inflation and Growth Projections - The tariffs are estimated to raise US inflation by 1.4-1.5 percentage points, with potential GDP growth impacts of 0.8 percentage points due to increased tariff revenues [12][19]. - If tariffs are further reduced, the Federal Reserve may have opportunities to lower interest rates later in the year to support economic growth [17][25].
智通港股解盘 | 中美会谈超预期 短期估值修复是主旋律
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-12 12:32
Market Overview - The recent US-China talks exceeded market expectations, leading to a significant surge in the Hang Seng Index by 2.98% with trading volume reaching 322.4 billion [1] - The ceasefire agreement between India and Pakistan has positively impacted both countries' stock markets, with Pakistan's KSE-30 index soaring by 9.2%, marking its largest increase since 2008 [1] US-China Trade Relations - The US announced a suspension of a 24% tariff set to take effect on April 2, 2025, while maintaining a 10% tariff, effectively reducing the overall tariff on Chinese goods from 145% to 30% [2] - This significant concession from the US is attributed to several factors, including the need to replenish dwindling inventories and the urgency to achieve results ahead of the upcoming elections [3] Sector Performance - The consumer electronics sector, particularly companies within Apple's supply chain, benefited the most from the tariff reductions, with stocks like Highway Electronics and AAC Technologies rising over 13% [4] - Automotive parts suppliers with significant North American business exposure, such as Minth Group and Quanfeng Holdings, saw stock increases of nearly 10% [4] Financial Sector Response - Major financial institutions, including Hongye Futures and CITIC Securities, experienced stock price increases of over 6%, reflecting positive market sentiment following the trade talks [5] Individual Company Highlights - Midea Group reported a record revenue of 128.4 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a 20.61% year-on-year increase, and plans to enhance its overseas presence through strategic partnerships [10] - The company is also making strides in the commercial air conditioning sector and aims to expand its robotics division with new product testing scheduled for May [11] International Relations and Infrastructure - Brazilian President Lula's visit to China aims to strengthen bilateral relations and discuss infrastructure projects, including a railway connecting Brazil to China, which could reshape international trade logistics [8]
港股、中概股大爆发!黄金跌超3%,避险情绪降温,最新解读来了
5月12日,中美资产双双大涨,避险资产出现回落。 消息面上,《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》今日发布。 中泰国际策略分析师颜招骏在接受南财快讯记者采访时表示,中美双方关税税率短时间内的大幅下调超 出了市场预期,对港股、美股及全球资产均会产生积极影响。此举可能会降低美国通胀反弹风险,为美 联储六月降息创造空间,进一步利好中国资产。 具体来看,恒生科技指数一度涨超6%,恒生指数、恒生国企指数也一度涨超3.5%。截至收盘,香港恒 生指数涨2.98%,恒生国企指数涨3.01%,恒生科技指数涨5.16%。 港股科技股巨头涨幅持续扩大,阿里巴巴-W(09988.HK)、京东集团(09618.HK)涨超6%,腾讯控股 (00700.HK)涨超4.5%。 港股苹果指数也直线拉升,收涨13.40%。成分股份中高伟电子(01415.HK)涨超18%,瑞声科技 (02018.HK)涨超15%,比亚迪电子(00285.HK)、舜宇光学科技(02382.HK)、丘钛科技 美股期货走高,纳指期货涨超3.4%,道指期货涨近2%,标普500指数期货也涨超2.5%。 美股盘前热门中概股普涨,万国数据(GDS)涨超10%,小鹏汽车(XPEV)涨超 ...