Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a rebound driven by trading funds, with a notable increase in volatility expectations and a return to a "dumbbell" style focusing on dividends and small-cap stocks [1][2] - The margin trading balance reached a nearly 10-year high of 2 trillion yuan, indicating significant liquidity support for the market [2][3] - The number of public fund reports has shown signs of recovery, suggesting a potential shift of household savings into equity funds [2][3] Group 2 - The "anti-involution" policy is beginning to show results, with July's PPI year-on-year expected to rebound from its low point, although the extent of recovery will depend on policy effectiveness [3][4] - The macroeconomic indicators, such as improved profit margins for industrial enterprises and reduced accounts receivable turnover days, reflect positive impacts from the "anti-involution" measures [3][4] - Certain sectors, including wind power, automotive, logistics, and aquaculture, are experiencing a recovery in sentiment, indicating a broader improvement in economic conditions [3][4] Group 3 - External risks remain, particularly regarding tariff policies and Federal Reserve monetary policy, which could affect market sentiment and investment strategies [4][5] - The market is approaching a period of concentrated interim report disclosures, which may lead to increased volatility, but the downside risk is considered limited [5][6] - Tactical investment strategies are recommended to focus on sectors with improving sentiment and potential for rebound, such as storage, software, and certain chemical products [5][6]

上一轮A股牛市中白电的表现如何? 2024.3.12-2015.6.12牛市期间三大白电龙头的累计涨幅确实跑输沪深300和上证指数;但在指数快速上行 阶段白电龙头能跑出超额。和现在一样，14Q2-15H1的牛市期间白电也面临着景气度下行，且直到2015 年底才正式进入需求底部，但估值的触底反弹在2014年11月就已经开始，始于美的集团的估值下降至和 沪深300的估值持平之时，因此估值回归主要由资金面因素驱动，而非基本面触底信号。因此该行认为 在牛市思维下应该考虑资金面情况，而非完全出于基本面情况定价。该行认为考虑到三大白电龙头多轮 改革持续降低渠道库存，2026年在国补退坡背景下对白电出货量的影响应该好于2015年。而资金面来 看，当前美的集团的PE-TTM已经开始低于沪深300的估值。 提升估值的资金从何而来? 1)公募新规可能加强公募基金对于白电的偏好。公募基金在白电龙头的持股中占比10%以上，其中有 5%-6%为被动指数基金，其余为主动权益和增强指数等。《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》强化业 绩比较基准的约束作用、基金公司收入报酬与投资者回报绑定，并提升对于三年以上中长期业绩的考核 比重，有助于提升公 ...