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华尔街到陆家嘴精选丨全球长债逃不过季节性下跌?外资主导日本再通胀交易 日本散户却观望?特斯拉未来约8成价值来自机器人?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 01:12
Group 1: Global Bond Market Trends - September is historically a challenging month for long-term bonds, with a median loss of 2% for government bonds with maturities over 10 years over the past decade, primarily due to increased issuance [1] - Year-to-date, global ultra-long bonds have recorded a decline of 2.6%, with the increase in yields for short-term bonds reaching 7.9% [1] - The shift in pricing logic for the bond market has moved from being anchored by central banks to being influenced by fiscal policies, indicating a systemic rise in duration risk for investors [1] Group 2: Japanese Market Dynamics - Foreign investment is driving the re-inflation trade in Japan, with inflows reaching the strongest level in nearly a decade, pushing the Tokyo stock market to historical highs while selling off Japanese government bonds [3] - Japanese retail investors have withdrawn approximately $23 billion this year, reflecting a cautious stance, although recent positive sentiment may lead to increased participation [3][4] - The sustainability of the current market dynamics hinges on the return of domestic funds, as the Bank of Japan maintains low interest rates while U.S. Treasury yields remain high [3] Group 3: Tesla's Strategic Shift - Tesla's "Master Plan" fourth chapter emphasizes AI and robotics, with a significant focus on the production of the Optimus robot, which is projected to account for 80% of Tesla's future value [5] - The company aims to produce 5,000 units of Optimus by 2025, scaling up to 100,000 units by 2029, leveraging automotive production techniques [5] - The narrative shift from an automotive manufacturer to an AI-centric company may support higher valuation multiples, but the lack of a clear timeline for deliverables poses risks [5][6]
首程控股追投人形机器人研发企业松延动力,首家机器人4S店将于年内正式开放
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-03 01:09
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strategic investment by Shoucheng Holdings in humanoid robotics, particularly in the company Songyan Power, to support technological advancements and commercialization in the industry [1][2] - Shoucheng Holdings has made a significant additional investment in Songyan Power, following an initial investment in March 2024, to enhance the development of humanoid robots and bionic facial technology [1] - Songyan Power has established a competitive advantage in various sectors such as research, education, and services, with its bionic facial products being recognized for their realism and interaction capabilities [1] Group 2 - The investment reflects Shoucheng Holdings' intent to transition humanoid robotics from technological breakthroughs to large-scale applications, indicating a comprehensive strategy across the robotics industry [2] - Shoucheng Holdings is building an ecosystem that integrates capital, application scenarios, and operations, with plans to open the first "robot 4S" store in Beijing during the National Day holiday, and aims to establish 3-10 stores by the end of the year [2] - As the humanoid robotics industry matures, continued capital investment in companies with technological and commercial capabilities is expected to accelerate industry integration and breakthroughs in large-scale applications [2]
AI与机器人盘前速递丨宇树科技将在四季度提交IPO申请;Anthropic完成新一轮融资,估值飙升至1830亿美元
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-03 01:03
【市场复盘】 国金证券表示,预计大的主线预计还是集中在AI产业链相关方向,宏观背景上,有人工智能+行动鼓励 AI与科学技术、产业、社会治理等结合落地;中观角度,三季度进入国内外头部大模型厂商密集更新 迭代周期,AI落地应用进展持续;微观角度,今年半年度相关上市公司AI落地陆续披露相关进展,进 展喜人,下半年预计环比有积极增长,明后年预期收入占比进一步提高,有望提供更多的业绩和估值弹 性。 本周二(9月2日),A股主要指数集体调整,沪指跌0.45%报3858点,光模块(CPO)、光芯片、光通 信、AI算力等概念遭遇大幅回撤,午后机器人产业链获AI溢出资金抄底,逆大盘强势反弹。截至收 盘,科创人工智能ETF华夏(589010)收跌3.52%,拉长时间线来看,经过连续大涨后一根大阴线"探 底"未必为忧,当前虽跌落五日均线但仍稳居十日均线之上,攻守以据静待催化。持仓股方面,凌云光 逆势领涨4.50%;乐鑫科技领跌12.39%,澜起科技、复旦微电跌幅超7%。机器人ETF(562500)收涨 0.39%,午后开启"大反攻",暴力拉升一举收复盘中超3%的跌幅,实现翻红再向上,盘中向上振幅达 4.69%,将机器人板块的高弹性 ...
机构力证“牛市早期”,融资首回落,隔夜四大关注点
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 00:59
Group 1 - Northbound trading volume has increased, indicating a low-buying action from institutions, suggesting a stable market despite retail fluctuations [2][4] - The CPO thematic communication ETF has seen a significant drop but has attracted substantial low-buying interest, while sectors like internet, chemicals, and robotics have received long-term capital inflows [4][11] - A-shares saw 2.65 million new accounts opened in August, a year-on-year increase of 165% and a month-on-month increase of 35%, indicating a growing interest from retail investors [4][6] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley views the current market as a "water buffalo" phase, where liquidity is gradually increasing, but the pace remains moderate [4][6] - The overall market sentiment is leaning towards a "buy on dips" strategy, with more inflows than outflows, suggesting a positive outlook for September [4][6] - The performance of Chinese concept stocks has been strong, particularly with NIO's delivery numbers showing a year-on-year increase of 25.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 71.2% [11] Group 3 - The robotics sector is gaining momentum, with several companies announcing significant developments, including IPO plans and strategic orders for AI robots [12] - Apple is focusing on automation technology as a prerequisite for supplier contracts, indicating a trend towards advanced manufacturing in the tech industry [12][14] - The market is expected to maintain a structural slow bull trend in September, with a cautious approach towards speculative investments in technology [16]
申万宏源研究晨会报告-20250903
涨跌 (%) 收盘 指数 1月 名称 (点) 1日 5日 -0.45 8.38 -0.26 上证指数 3828 | 风格指数 (%) | FEE | 近1个月 近6个月 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 大盘指数 | -0.57 | 11.37 | 16 | | 中盘指数 | -2.13 | 13.14 | 17.92 | | 小盘指数 | -2.48 | 9.84 | 16.95 | | 涨幅居前 行业(%) | 바람들 | 近1个月 近6个月 | | | 衣商行II | 2.54 | 0.41 | 14.95 | | 国有大型银行II | 2.11 | 2.82 | 13.82 | | 股份制银行II | 1.95 | -2.3 | 7.84 | | 白色家电 | 1.78 | 2.14 | 2.45 | | 饰品 | 1.66 | 6.96 | 34.32 | | 跌幅居前 行业(%) | MEE | 近1个月 近6个月 | | | 通信设备 | -6.71 | 46.84 | 94.07 | | 其他电源设备Ⅱ | -5.71 | 14.99 | 22.82 | | 元件 ...
9月3日证券之星早间消息汇总:宇树科技将在四季度提交IPO申请
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-09-03 00:33
宏观要闻: 1.近日,国务院国资委与中国科学院联合举办中央企业生物科技产业高级研修班。国务院国资委副主任谭作钧强调,加快发展中央企业生物医药 产业,加快打造生物医药领域的国家队,推动我国生物医药产业高质量发展。 2.财政部、税务总局发布关于划转充实社保基金国有股权及现金收益运作管理税收政策的通知。其中提到,对承接主体在运用划转的国有股权和 现金收益投资过程中,贷款服务取得的全部利息及利息性质的收入和金融商品转让收入,免征增值税;将转让划转的国有股权及现金收益投资取 得的收入,作为企业所得税不征税收入。 3.央行公布8月各项工具流动性投放情况,中央银行贷款方面,中期借贷便利净投放3000亿元,抵押补充贷款净回笼1608亿元;公开市场业务方面 买断式逆回购净投放3000亿元,未进行公开市场国债买卖。 行业新闻: 1.9月2日,宇树科技宣布,预计将在2025年10月至12月期间向证券交易所提交上市申请文件,届时公司的相关运营数据将正式披露。宇树科技表 示,以2024年为例,四足机器人、人形机器人和组件产品的销售额分别占约65%、30%和5%。其中,约80%的四足机器人被应用于研究、教育和 消费领域,而剩余的20%则 ...
早报|金正恩时隔6年再访华;绍兴酒店办席达一定桌数金额给补贴;中国对俄罗斯试行免签;宇树科技将在四季度提交IPO申请
虎嗅APP· 2025-09-03 00:23
大家早上好!这里是今天的早报,每天早上,我都会在这里跟你聊聊昨夜今晨发生了哪些大事儿。 昨夜今晨 【朝鲜劳动党总书记、国务委员长金正恩抵达北京】 据新华社,9月2日,来华出席纪念中国人民抗日战争暨世界反法西斯战争胜利80周年活动的朝鲜劳动党总书 记、国务委员长金正恩抵达北京。 【谷歌在线搜索垄断案裁定出炉,无需剥离Chrome和安卓系统】 【中国石油:中国石油集团拟将5.41亿股公司A股股份划转给中国移动集团】 据财联社,9月2日,中国石油(601857.SH)公告称,为进一步深化中国石油集团与中国移动集团的战略合作, 公司控股股东中国石油集团拟通过国有股份划转方式将其持有的5.41亿股A股股份(占公司总股本的0.30%) 划转给中国移动通信集团有限公司。本次划转不会导致公司控股股东及实际控制人发生变更,且需取得国务院 国有资产监督管理委员会的批准并办理股份过户登记手续。 据财联社9月3日电,谷歌盘后涨2.6%,苹果盘后涨1.7%。消息面上,美国一名法官公布了针对谷歌在网络搜 索领域的反垄断案的裁决。美国法官裁定,谷歌无需出售Chrome,无需剥离安卓操作系统。谷歌无需停止向 苹果及其他公司支付预装谷歌产品的 ...
9月3日投资避雷针:8连板人气股公告 如股价进一步异常上涨将申请停牌核查
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 00:19
1、8连板天普股份:如公司股价进一步异常上涨,公司可能申请停牌核查。 海外预警 1、美股三大指数集体收跌,道琼斯指数跌0.55%,标普500指数跌0.69%,纳斯达克综合指数跌0.82%。大型科技股普跌,英伟达跌近2%,亚马逊、苹果跌 超1%。 2、英伟达表示,近日关于英伟达H100/H200芯片"供应受限"和"售罄"的传言均属不实信息,有足够的H100/H200来满足所有订单。 导读:智通财经9月3日投资避雷针,近日,A股及海外市场潜在风险事件如下。国内经济信息方面包括:1)浙江荣泰回应特斯拉与某机器人龙头供应商会 议一事,称无法确认准确性;2)上市银行半年报显示,个贷和地产不良率仍有上行趋势;公司方面重点关注包括:1)8连板天普股份表示,如公司股价进 一步异常上涨,公司可能申请停牌核查;2)3连板凯迪股份公告,机器人相关业务暂未形成收入;海外市场重点关注包括:1)美股三大指数集体收跌,英 伟达跌近2%;2)英伟达否认H100/H200芯片短缺传闻。 经济信息 1、一则关于特斯拉与某机器人龙头供应商会议的传闻在市场流传。对此,浙江荣泰工作人员表示,已知晓上述传闻,但无法确认该来源与准确性。公司确 实是特斯拉 ...
特斯拉发布“宏图4.0”!未来机器人主导80%价值
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-03 00:14
Core Insights - Tesla's "Master Plan Part IV" emphasizes the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics as the core focus for future growth and sustainability [1][3] - The plan aims to accelerate the transition to "sustainable abundance" through the unification of hardware and software, enhancing safety, cleanliness, and enjoyment in the world [3][4] - Tesla's future value is projected to be significantly derived from the Optimus robot, with approximately 80% of the company's value expected to come from this technology [4] Summary by Sections Master Plan Overview - The fourth chapter of the Master Plan marks a strategic shift from electric vehicles and energy solutions to a focus on AI and robotics [8] - The previous plans (1.0, 2.0, and 3.0) laid the groundwork for electric vehicle feasibility, solar energy solutions, and a roadmap for sustainable energy transition, but faced challenges in execution [5][7] Key Principles of Master Plan Part IV - Endless growth is emphasized, where growth in one area does not hinder another, akin to the industrial revolution and the internet [4] - Innovation is seen as a means to eliminate limitations, with Tesla's battery technology disrupting fossil fuel transportation [4] - Technology is aimed at solving real-world problems, enhancing the availability of clean energy and improving safety in transportation [4] - Autonomy must benefit humanity, making daily life safer and better [4] - Broader accessibility will drive stronger growth, promoting social democratization and improving quality of life through advanced products [4] Historical Context - Master Plan 1.0 focused on proving the viability of electric vehicles and expanding the market with models like the Roadster, Model S, Model X, and Model 3 [5] - Master Plan 2.0 aimed at integrating solar solutions with energy storage and developing significantly safer autonomous driving technology, though progress has been limited [6][7] - Master Plan 3.0 targeted the elimination of fossil fuels and outlined a global sustainable energy economy, but Tesla's involvement outside electric vehicles has been minimal [7]
大震荡!关键时间节点上市场行情将如何切换?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-03 00:14
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the stock market, emphasizing that despite recent volatility, the bull market is still ongoing and investors should not panic. It highlights the importance of sector rotation and identifies potential investment opportunities within the technology sector and other low-performing areas [1][2][17]. Market Dynamics - The market has experienced increased volatility since last week, which is a normal reaction following a continuous rise in indices [2]. - There is still an influx of incremental capital into the market, with significant household savings poised to enter [3][5]. - As of July, household deposits reached 160 trillion, indicating a relatively high level compared to past bull markets [8]. Government and Institutional Support - The government currently shows no intention to suppress the stock market, contrasting with the 2015 bull market when strict measures were implemented [15]. - The government has been actively buying to support the market, which has helped maintain index stability [15][17]. Sector Rotation and Investment Opportunities - The article predicts that sector rotation is inevitable, with past trends showing that popular sectors often experience corrections [18]. - Current hot sectors include AI computing and robotics, which are expected to see continued interest despite potential short-term adjustments [19][20]. - Other sectors such as consumer goods and non-bank financials are also highlighted as potential areas for investment, especially with upcoming policy changes and seasonal factors [21]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to focus on core stocks with strong industry logic rather than chasing smaller, less established stocks [21]. - A suggested strategy is to maintain a stable portfolio of key stocks to better manage market fluctuations, as the bull market is expected to continue [22].