Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a strong upward trend as it enters the first week of 2026, with significant increases in major indices and trading volumes, indicating a potential bullish market phase driven by various factors [1][3][10]. Market Performance - As of January 9, all three major indices closed higher, with the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.15%, the ChiNext Index up 0.77%, and the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.92%, reaching 4120.43 points, marking its first return to this level since July 2015 [3]. - The total trading volume for the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 3.12 trillion yuan, a significant increase of 322.4 billion yuan from the previous trading day, marking the fifth occurrence in A-share history of daily trading volume exceeding 3 trillion yuan [3]. - Over the first five trading days of the year, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 3.82%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 4.40%, and the ChiNext Index by 3.89%, with the STAR 50 Index increasing by 9.80% [3]. Sector Performance - The metals and satellite sectors have attracted significant capital inflows, with 598 industry-themed ETFs collectively receiving a net inflow of 13.827 billion yuan over five trading days [4][5]. - The Southern CSI Nonferrous Metals ETF led the inflows with 3.721 billion yuan, followed by the Yongying National Satellite Communication Industry ETF with 3.589 billion yuan [4]. - The chemical sector also saw high interest, with related ETFs experiencing a net inflow of 3.853 billion yuan [5]. Fund Flows - The nonferrous metals sector saw a total net inflow of 8.983 billion yuan across 10 related ETFs, while the satellite industry attracted 8.821 billion yuan across 6 ETFs [5]. - Conversely, the robotics and battery sectors experienced significant net outflows, with 1.348 billion yuan and 1.077 billion yuan, respectively [6]. - Other sectors with notable outflows included military and pharmaceutical industries, with net outflows of 785 million yuan and 679 million yuan, respectively [6]. ETF Scale Growth - The total scale of 598 industry-themed ETFs reached 1.178127 trillion yuan, with a cumulative growth of 83.468 billion yuan in the first five trading days of the year [7]. - The Southern CSI Nonferrous Metals ETF saw the largest scale increase of 5.555 billion yuan, followed by the Yongying National Satellite Communication Industry ETF with 5.109 billion yuan [7]. - Despite some ETFs experiencing net outflows, significant increases in net asset values have driven overall scale growth in various sectors, including semiconductors and military [8]. Future Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that 2026 may witness a "Bull Market 2.0," driven by improvements in fundamentals, technological trends, asset migration, and policy easing [10]. - The focus is expected to shift towards technology growth as the main line, with cyclical resources as a supporting factor, both showing potential for sustained excess returns [10]. - Key areas of interest include AI infrastructure, commercial aerospace, and strategic metals, with a particular emphasis on sectors benefiting from policy support and improving supply-demand dynamics [11].

格隆汇1月12日｜宁德时代成交额达100亿元，现跌4.07%。 ...

华泰证券认为，本次电池出口退税下调为阶梯式下调，给予了锂电产业缓冲期，该行认为电池企业将在 26年4月1日前/26年12月31日前出现两轮抢出口。此外，该行认为出口退税率下调有望抬升对应商品的 海外价格，海外产能不受出口退税率下调影响，有望受益于海外价格的提升，增厚公司盈利。看好已有 海外产能布局的头部电池厂。 宁德时代(03750)跌超4%，截至发稿，跌4.06%，报477.2港元，成交额6.75亿港元。 消息面上，自12月初以来，碳酸锂价格势如破竹，短短一个月内接连突破10万元、11万元、12万元、13 万元、14万元及15万元关卡。今早，碳酸锂期货主力合约封住涨停，涨幅9%，报156060元/吨，较去年 六月低点反弹逾150%。财政部、税务总局1月9日发布《关于调整光伏等产品出口退税政策的公告》。 其中指出，自2026年4月1日起至2026年12月31日，将电池产品的增值税出口退税率由9%下调至6%； 2027年1月1日起，取消电池产品增值税出口退税。 来源：智通财经网 ...

川观新闻记者 彭瑀珩 来源：川观新闻 【未经授权，严禁转载！联系电话028-86968276】 1月12日，国内商品期货市场开盘迎来强势表现，碳酸锂主力合约直接封死涨停，涨幅9%，报156060 元/吨，两年来首次突破15万元关口。市场观点认为，这一行情与出口退税政策调整引发的下游抢装需 求密切相关。 | 碳酸锂2605 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Ic2605 | | | | | | 高 156060 振幅 2.84% 156060 152000 | 昨结 143180 | | 量 65780 持仓 50.88万 | | | 12880 9.00% 开 156060 | 今结 | | 日增 -2076 | | | 相关ETF(?) | 有色ETF大成 2.120 1.63% | | | | | 同在顺 异动解读:取消出口退税,一季度抢出 ... ● × | | | | | | 博诺 | | | | | | 日 日 K 周K 月K 五日 更多 ▼ 分时 | | | | (0) | | 均价:156034 最新:156060 12880 +9% | | ...

Group 1 - Battery concept stocks weakened, with major players like Sunshine Power and CATL dropping over 4%, while companies such as Yiwei Lithium Energy, Xianlead Intelligent, Guoxuan High-Tech, and Xinwanda fell more than 3% [1] - Several battery-related ETFs declined by over 2% due to the impact of heavy-weight stock declines [1] Group 2 - Recent analysis indicates that policy support has injected strong momentum into the battery industry, with the government continuously launching encouraging policies for new energy vehicles, including trade-in programs, charging infrastructure development, and promoting new energy in rural areas, which further releases consumer potential [2] - The gradual implementation of "anti-involution" policies is leading to more rational competition within the industry, suggesting an improvement in the overall profitability environment [2]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a volatile rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.25% and the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.49%, while the ChiNext Index fell 0.15% [1][2] - Hong Kong stocks also saw gains, with the Hang Seng Index up 0.24% and the Hang Seng Tech Index up 0.91% [3][12] - The bond market showed an upward trend, with government bond futures rising across the board [3][4] Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace sector remained active, and AI applications continued to strengthen, with notable gains in tech stocks [1][10] - The battery sector faced declines, with companies like Defu Technology dropping over 10% [9][10] - The metal futures market saw significant increases, particularly in silver, which surged over 11%, and other metals like platinum and palladium also rose [1][15] Notable Stocks - "Global Large Model First Stock" Zhihui surged nearly 20% in early trading [6][12] - AI programming concept stocks experienced a rally, with companies like Zhuoyi Information hitting the daily limit up [8][10] Commodity Market - Domestic commodity futures showed widespread gains, with silver up 11.5%, lithium carbonate up 9%, and platinum up 5% [4][5] - Other commodities like nickel, copper, and aluminum also saw increases, while some commodities like glass and fuel experienced declines [5][15]

Core Viewpoint - The Finnish startup Donut Lab has announced the release of a solid-state battery, claiming it has a cycle life of up to 100,000 times, an energy density of 400 Wh/kg, and a rapid charging capability of 5 minutes, which has surprised the market and raised questions about the competitive landscape in solid-state battery technology [1][3][5]. Group 1: Donut Lab's Solid-State Battery - Donut Lab's solid-state battery is claimed to have a cycle life of 100,000 times and an energy density of 400 Wh/kg, with a charging time of just 5 minutes [3][5]. - The company asserts it has the capability for gigawatt-hour level mass production and can supply globally [3]. - The announcement has caused concern among investors, questioning whether the solid-state battery's "D-Day" has arrived while others remain passive [5]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Competitor Responses - Despite the significant announcement, the response from global battery and automotive manufacturers, particularly Chinese companies, has been muted [5][6]. - Chinese companies may not be worried due to previous announcements of breakthroughs in solid-state battery technology by other firms like Nissan and Toyota, which have not yet materialized into market-ready products [6][10]. - The lack of immediate reaction from Chinese firms suggests confidence in their existing technology and market position [21][29]. Group 3: Challenges and Skepticism - There are doubts about the feasibility of Donut Lab's claims, particularly regarding the cycle life and cost of solid-state batteries, which are traditionally much higher than lithium-ion batteries [14][16]. - The solid-state battery industry faces significant challenges, including interface resistance, slow ion transport, high manufacturing costs, and low yield rates [18][20]. - The skepticism is further fueled by the lack of detailed specifications and pricing information from Donut Lab [20]. Group 4: China's Position in Solid-State Battery Development - China has a comprehensive and robust supply chain for electric vehicle batteries, with significant advancements in solid-state battery technology expected in the coming years [27][29]. - Major Chinese companies like CATL and BYD are planning to launch solid-state batteries with competitive energy densities and production timelines, indicating a strong domestic market focus [25][26]. - The Chinese market's scale and the established supply chain provide a competitive advantage, making it less likely for Chinese firms to be intimidated by new entrants like Donut Lab [22][29].

南方财经1月12日电，南财投研通数据显示，1月5日至1月11日，券商给予上市公司目标价共66次，按最 新收盘价计算，目标价涨幅排名居前的公司有天赐材料、固德威、安徽建工，目标价涨幅分别为 81.16%、52.28%、50.11%，分别属于电池、光伏设备、基础建设行业。评级调低方面，1月5日至1月11 日，券商调低上市公司评级达到5家次，最新数据包括了天风证券对海峡股份的评级从"买入"调低至"增 持"，东北证券对均胜电子、三花智控的评级从"买入"调低至"增持"。查看原文：天赐材料目标价涨幅 超81%，均胜电子、三花智控评级被调低丨券商评级观察刚刚 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the A-share market continues to rise with increased trading volume, driven by heightened risk appetite and the ongoing spring rally [1] - The strong momentum effect suggests that there may still be room for the spring market to grow, but the trading structure is becoming concentrated, indicating a potential shift towards rotation in the market [1] - As the earnings forecast window approaches, it is recommended to focus on high cost-performance sectors, particularly those benefiting from improvements in external demand and themes with relatively low crowding [1] Group 2 - Specific industries to watch include gaming, duty-free, batteries, construction machinery, and agrochemicals [1] - The mid-term allocation strategy remains unchanged, with a focus on accumulating upstream resource stocks in the power chain during dips [1]

中信证券研报指出，墨西哥宣布从2026年1月1日开始，对没有和墨西哥签署自由贸易协定的国家加征关 税。我们认为此次墨西哥加征关税主要受影响国家为中国和韩国为代表的亚洲经济体。我们测算墨西哥 加征关税覆盖的商品约占中国对墨西哥出口的45%左右，大约影响中国整体出口约1%的商品。墨西哥 此次关税调整可以看作是向美国纳"投名状"，提示关注其他发达经济体尤其是加拿大受美国影响跟进调 整对华关税的可能性。从行业层面看，综合考虑对墨西哥出口敞口和加征关税税率，我们预计我国汽车 产业链、贱金属制品、机械设备出口可能相对受影响较大。财政部、国家税务总局1月9日发布公告调整 光伏、电池产品出口退税政策，我们认为这是出于减少贸易摩擦以及产业升级需要，或对2026年一季度 相关商品出口增速构成一定支撑，预计化学品、塑料制品、服装、机械和电气产品等在未来可能会有跟 进调整出口退税的措施。宏观经济运行方面，2025年12月PPI表现略超市场预期，CPI同比连续4个月回 升至+0.8%，核心CPI同比维持在+1.2%的高位，基本符合市场预期。本周市场关注12月中国物价数据， 下周建议关注中国12月金融数据和进出口数据。 ...