Core Viewpoint - Indian stocks are experiencing increased volatility, leading to skepticism among investors and a significant outflow of foreign capital [1][5]. Market Volatility - The India NSE Volatility Index has risen by 4.5 points from a record low in December, indicating heightened hedging demand, and reached its highest level since June [2]. - The Nifty 50 Index is currently around a three-month low, with daily derivatives turnover averaging over 300 trillion rupees ($3.3 trillion), the highest since regulatory curbs began in November 2024 [4]. Investor Sentiment - Some investors believe the current turbulence is due to global portfolio rebalancing rather than a fundamental shift in India's market narrative [3]. - Foreign investors have withdrawn approximately $3.5 billion from the Indian market this month, following a record outflow of $18.8 billion last year [5]. Economic Factors - Rising oil prices and a weakening rupee, which has reached a record low, are contributing to market pressures [4]. - The upcoming annual budget is anticipated to address defense spending and state-run company share sales, which could influence market sentiment [5]. Performance Trends - The Nifty 50 has declined over 3% this year, making Indian shares some of the worst performers globally [5]. - Historically, January has been a challenging month for Indian stocks, with the Nifty 50 logging its worst start to a year in a decade, although it has not recorded an annual loss since 2015 [8]. Investment Perspectives - Some investors view Indian stocks as a diversification strategy, particularly as a hedge against AI-related trades, suggesting potential for future inflows if sentiment improves [9]. - The absence of AI-related stocks and high valuations, with Nifty 50 shares trading at 19.5 times estimated earnings compared to 13.5 times for MSCI Emerging Markets Index, are significant concerns for many investors [10]. Market Dynamics - The rise in Japanese government bond yields may lead to a capital shift back to Japan, as Japanese investors hold about $28 billion in Indian equities [7]. - Incremental capital is being directed towards markets with AI earnings, which raises the bar for Indian stocks in the near term, despite not negating India's structural story [11].

"见证历史""惊掉下巴""这也跌太多了吧"，一夜醒来，朋友圈被黄金白银暴跌的感慨刷屏了，有投资者 感叹"一下吞掉了五天的涨幅"。 南华期货贵金属新能源研究组负责人夏莹莹告诉记者，相较于另两位热门人选贝莱德公司高管里德以及 白宫经济顾问哈塞特，沃什的立场相对偏鹰派，且更倾向于维护美联储的独立性，这一预期弱化了市场 对美联储宽松货币政策的预期，对金银价格形成了一定压制。 关于沃什真正的货币政策立场，市场也有颇多不同声音。公开信息显示，沃什曾公开批评量化宽松政策 的副作用，认为美联储需要与美国财政部在政策上更紧密地协作。在美联储任职期间，沃什一直对通胀 保持警惕，并经常支持加息。然而，2025年他却赞同特朗普的观点，认为利率可以大幅降低，也因此被 市场质疑或向政治妥协。 国联民生证券研究所宏观首席分析师林彦指出，在本次美联储主席提名竞选中，沃什明确表示支持降 息，并直言当前利率水平"应当更低"。这一表态正好符合特朗普政府的政策诉求，也在一定程度上缓解 了特朗普团队对其"鹰派"立场的担忧。 沃什同时强调，美联储与财政部应各司其职，前者负责利率调控，后者管理财政账户，双方需扭转以往 职责界限不清的局面，并通过达成新协议 ...

"见证历史""惊掉下巴""这也跌太多了吧"，一夜醒来，朋友圈被黄金白银暴跌的感慨刷屏了， 有投资者感叹"一下吞掉了五天的涨幅"。 记者丨 唐婧 实习生 曹莹博 编辑丨方海平 视频丨许婷婷 关于沃什真正的货币政策立场，市场也有颇多不同声音。公开信息显示，沃什曾公开批评量化 宽松政策的副作用，认为美联储需要与美国财政部在政策上更紧密地协作。在美联储任职期 间，沃什一直对通胀保持警惕，并经常支持加息。然而，2025年他却赞同特朗普的观点，认为 利率可以大幅降低，也因此被市场质疑或向政治妥协。 资料图 国联民生证券研究所宏观首席分析师林彦指出，在本次美联储主席提名竞选中，沃什明确表示 支持降息，并直言当前利率水平"应当更低"。这一表态正好符合特朗普政府的政策诉求，也在 一定程度上缓解了特朗普团队对其"鹰派"立场的担忧。 南华期货贵金属新能源研究组负责人夏莹莹告诉记者，相较于另两位热门人选贝莱德公司高管 里德以及白宫经济顾问哈塞特， 沃什的立场相对偏鹰派，且更倾向于维护美联储的独立性， 这一预期弱化了市场对美联储宽松货币政策的预期，对金银价格形成了一定压制。 21世纪经济报道记者注意到，1月30日晚间，国际黄金、白银又 ...

经济观察网证监会网站显示，浙江孔辉汽车科技股份有限公司2026年1月31日向浙江证监局办理辅导备 案登记，辅导机构为中信建投（601066）证券股份有限公司。 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Hilltop reported net income of approximately $42 million for Q4 2025, equating to $0.69 per diluted share, with a return on average assets of 1.1% and return on average equity of 7.6% [7] - For the full year 2025, consolidated income attributable to common stockholders was $165.6 million, representing a 46% increase compared to the prior year [15] - Total revenues for 2025 increased by 8% to approximately $1.3 billion, while expenses grew by only 2%, resulting in positive operating leverage of 6% [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - PlainsCapital Bank experienced an expansion in net interest margin, increasing by 12 basis points year-over-year, and generated $43.5 million in pre-tax income [4][7] - PrimeLending reported a pre-tax loss of $5 million in Q4 2025, with origination volume of $2.4 billion, indicating a seasonal rebound despite ongoing industry challenges [9][10] - Hilltop Securities achieved a pre-tax margin of 18% on net revenues of $138 million, with public finance services seeing a 20% year-over-year increase in net revenues [10][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average total deposits for Q4 2025 were approximately $10.7 billion, a decline of $233 million compared to Q4 2024, driven by the return of sweep deposits [19] - The interest-bearing deposit cost decreased to 269 basis points, down 44 basis points from the prior year [20] - Mortgage-related income and fees increased by $2.5 million compared to Q4 2024, driven by improvements in lock and originated volumes [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Hilltop aims to be a full solution provider to clients, focusing on executing strategic initiatives while maintaining solid capital levels with a Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio of 19.7% [12] - The company is actively evaluating acquisition opportunities while also focusing on organic growth amidst a competitive market environment [47][48] - Management emphasized the importance of operational cost reductions and efficiency improvements to navigate the challenging mortgage industry landscape [10][25] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a positive interest rate environment supporting expanded net interest margins, despite increasing competition [8] - The outlook for 2026 anticipates average bank loan growth of 4%-6%, excluding the impact of loans retained from PrimeLending [26] - There is uncertainty regarding interest rates and inflation, but management remains optimistic about the company's positioning for long-term success [28] Other Important Information - Hilltop returned $229 million to stockholders through share repurchases and dividends in 2025 [6] - The allowance for credit losses decreased by $3.6 million to $91.5 million, with net charge-offs of $11.5 million recorded in Q4 2025 [15][17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expectations for broker-dealer fees and pre-tax margin for 2026 - Management expressed confidence in the stability of broker-dealer fees and indicated that a pre-tax margin of 13.5% is a reasonable baseline for 2026 [33][38] Question: Sensitivity of NII to potential Fed rate cuts - Management noted that every 25 basis points reduction in rates could impact NII by approximately $4.5 million, with broker fee income being more variable [39][41] Question: Discussion on capital priorities and M&A opportunities - Management highlighted the increase in dividends and standard share repurchase authorization, while also evaluating acquisition opportunities amidst a competitive landscape [46][48] Question: Loan growth pipeline and pricing competition - The loan pipeline entering 2026 is approximately $2.6 billion, with management noting increased competition in loan pricing due to the current rate environment [58] Question: Expectations for gain on sale margins in the mortgage sector - Management expects stable revenue from gain on sale margins and mortgage origination fees, with a projected range of 350-360 basis points [59][60]

据贵州茅台官微消息，1月30日，茅台集团党委书记、董事长陈华与到访的中信证券党委书记、董事长 张佑君在茅台会议中心举行座谈，双方就进一步深化合作进行了沟通交流。陈华表示，希望双方进一步 深化合作，借助中信证券的资源优势，以市场化投资运作方式，在培育发展战略性新兴产业和未来产业 方面积极探索布局，培育新的经济增长点，不断增强企业抗周期能力，努力为贵州经济发展作出更大贡 献。 ...

证券日报网讯1月30日，广发证券在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至目前，公司没有应披露而未 披露的信息。 ...

南财智讯1月30日电，国海证券发布年度业绩预告，预计2025年全年归属于上市公司股东的净利润为 7.66亿元，同比预增78.88%；预计2025年全年归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润为8.53 亿元，同比预增79.92%。业绩变动原因说明：2025年，国内二级市场主要股票指数同比增长，市场活 跃度显著回升，债券市场宽幅震荡，资本市场的"吸引力"和"包容性"进一步增强。公司坚守金融工作的 政治性、人民性，扎实做好金融"五篇大文章"，持续锻造以专业性为核心、以研究为引领的差异化竞争 优势，经营业绩实现稳步提升，财富管理、研究等业务收入同比实现增长，归属于上市公司股东的净利 润同比增加。 ...

报告导读： ONRRP 类工具的影响以及双向隔夜回购的逻辑。 以上内容节选自国泰海通证券已发布的证券研究报告。 报告名称： 如何理解ONRRP类工具与双向隔夜回购；报告日期：2026.01.30；报告作者： 唐元懋（分析师），登记编号：S0880524040002 杜润琛（分析师），登记编号：S0880525110004 重要提醒 本订阅号所载内容仅面向国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户。因本资料暂时无法设置访问限制，根据《证 券期货投资者适当性管理办法》的要求，若您并非国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户，为保证服务质量、 控制投资风险，还请取消关注，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。我们对由此给您造成的 不便表示诚挚歉意，非常感谢您的理解与配合！如有任何疑问，敬请按照文末联系方式与我们联系。 从近两年货币政策迭代的思路看，目标是朝着进一步降低资金利率的波动以及资金分层，如果新设面向非银机构的工具，方向大概率是投放而非回笼。 此前 央行也已经在多个场合表述"特定情景下向非银机构提供流动性的机制安排"。最先是潘行长在 2025 年 10 月的金融街论坛年会上提到"探索在特定情景下向 非银机构提供流动性的机制安排"， ...

以下是本次峰会重磅推出的乾行榜・2025年度卓越创新企业及标杆实践案例： 转型实践案例 百利天恒 iza-bren双抗ADC研发项目: 填补多瘤种治疗空白,引领肿瘤创新药全球突破 1月30日，由经济观察报社举办的2025年度创新峰会成功举办。此次峰会以 "新质领航 创启未来" 为主题，汇聚多名企业家、学者及行业领 袖，围绕人工智能、数字化转型、机器人、生物医药等热点领域，分享前沿动态与创新实践。 随着全球产业竞争进入 "创新竞速、集群突破" 的新阶段，中国正以 "新质生产力" 突破传统增长路径 —— 人工智能重构产业效率、半导 体芯片打破技术壁垒、空天经济开拓新空间、机器人开启智造新阶段、生物医药勇登全球高地…… 这些领域的企业，既是技术创新的 "策 源地"，更是 "十五五" 期间国家战略落地的 "主力军"。 新质生产力的发展，正从技术单点突破走向产业场景深度融合，离不开扎实的创新实践与可落地的发展范式。本届新质100创新企业汇聚 了行业中坚力量，我们从中优中选优，遴选出20家技术领先、深耕产业生态、在创新引领与价值落地方面表现尤为突出的企业，形成标杆 实践样本。 国泰海通证券 链路即业务: 基于业务属性的证 ...