Market Performance - The general equipment sector increased by 1.13% on September 1, with Rongyi Precision leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3875.53, up 0.46%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12828.95, up 1.05% [1] Top Gainers - Rongyi Precision (code: 873223) closed at 28.31, up 29.98% with a trading volume of 289,900 shares [1] - Lio Co., Ltd. (code: 002131) closed at 5.79, up 10.08% with a trading volume of 11,722,900 shares [1] - Lande Co., Ltd. (code: 605060) closed at 28.22, up 10.02% with a trading volume of 49,700 shares [1] Top Losers - Huaguang New Materials (code: 688379) closed at 56.50, down 10.60% with a trading volume of 94,700 shares [2] - Weilon Co., Ltd. (code: 002871) closed at 17.90, down 9.91% with a trading volume of 3,377,000 shares [2] - Tongfei Co., Ltd. (code: 300990) closed at 77.96, down 5.08% with a trading volume of 113,800 shares [2] Capital Flow - The general equipment sector saw a net inflow of 315 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 465 million yuan [2][3] - The sector experienced a net outflow of 781 million yuan from speculative funds [2][3] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Lio Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of 1.851 billion yuan from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 845 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - Hanzhong Precision (code: 002158) had a net inflow of 254 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 94.35 million yuan from speculative funds [3]

Group 1 - The manufacturing PMI for August is 49.4%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points from July, indicating a modest recovery in the manufacturing sector [1] - The non-manufacturing business activity index rose to 50.3%, up 0.2 percentage points from July, reflecting an overall positive trend in the economy [1] - The comprehensive PMI output index increased to 50.5%, a rise of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, suggesting improved economic conditions [1] Group 2 - The production index for manufacturing reached 50.8%, up 0.3 percentage points, indicating accelerated production expansion [1] - The new orders index for manufacturing is at 49.5%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points, showing a gradual improvement in market demand [1] - High-tech manufacturing PMI significantly improved by 1.3 percentage points to 51.6%, indicating strong growth and resilience in this sector [2] Group 3 - The basic raw materials industry PMI rose to 48.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points, showing signs of recovery in this sector [2] - The production and business activity expectation index is at 53.7%, up 1.1 percentage points, reflecting increased confidence among manufacturing enterprises [2] Group 4 - The service industry business activity index reached 50.5%, a rise of 0.5 percentage points, marking the highest level this year [3] - The business activity expectation index for the service sector is at 57.0%, up 0.4 percentage points, indicating optimism about future market developments [3] - The upcoming "Golden September and Silver October" period is expected to further improve economic indicators as seasonal demand increases [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][21]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 835 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.57%, and a net profit of 76 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 32.86% [1][8]. - The company is actively expanding into new product areas, particularly in low-altitude and humanoid robotics, with significant growth in its precision component business and strong performance in the new energy and wind power sectors [2][3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's gross margin was 28.84%, and net margin was 9.10%, showing slight declines of 1.72 and 0.60 percentage points year-on-year, respectively [1]. - The company’s precision component business generated revenue of 340 million yuan, up 41.67% year-on-year, while the revenue from bearing retainers and accessories reached 427 million yuan, growing by 43.86% [2]. - The company forecasts net profits of 161 million yuan, 236 million yuan, and 302 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 37, 25, and 20 times [3][4]. Product Development - The company is focusing on developing new products such as electric motor rotors for low-altitude flying vehicles and humanoid robots, currently in the sample verification stage [2]. - The revenue from the new energy electric drive rotor series products surged by 330.98% year-on-year, indicating strong market demand [2]. Market Position - The company is recognized as a champion in the bearing retainer manufacturing industry, with a stable growth trajectory in its core business [3]. - The company’s self-developed eVTOL motor assembly has passed customer testing, positioning it well to benefit from trends in humanoid robot mass production and the low-altitude economy [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][12] Core Views - The company is expected to show resilience in the first half of 2025, with revenue growth driven by improved gross margins and effective cost control. The relocation of production capacity is anticipated to enhance performance certainty [5][6] - Despite cautious customer orders in Q3 2025, the company is projected to benefit from a stable gross margin and strict expense management, leading to resilient profit performance [7] - The company’s revenue for H1 2025 reached USD 910 million, a year-on-year increase of 11.9%, with a notable contribution from the core brand EGO [6] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to USD 140 million, USD 160 million, and USD 220 million respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.9%, 18.7%, and 35.3% [5] - The company’s financial metrics indicate a projected revenue of USD 1.85 billion in 2025, with a net profit of USD 138.2 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.9% [8] - The estimated P/E ratios for 2025-2027 are 10.6, 9.0, and 6.6 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [8]

Core Viewpoint - ShaanGu Power experienced a decline of 0.71% on August 29, with a trading volume of 123 million yuan, indicating a challenging market environment for the company [1] Financing Summary - On August 29, ShaanGu Power had a financing buy-in amount of 13.27 million yuan and a financing repayment of 19.48 million yuan, resulting in a net financing outflow of 6.21 million yuan [1] - The total financing and securities balance for ShaanGu Power reached 315 million yuan, with the financing balance accounting for 2.18% of the circulating market value, indicating a high level compared to the past year [1] - In terms of securities lending, the company repaid 5,200 shares and sold 1,800 shares on August 29, with a selling amount of 15,200 yuan, while the securities lending balance was 902,900 yuan, also at a high level compared to the past year [1] Business Performance - As of June 30, ShaanGu Power reported a total revenue of 4.869 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.70%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 414 million yuan, down 9.75% year-on-year [2] - The company's main business revenue composition includes energy conversion equipment (46.04%), energy infrastructure operation (45.34%), industrial services (8.42%), and other minor segments [1] Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for ShaanGu Power was 30,100, a decrease of 0.43% from the previous period, with an average of 56,738 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 1.29% [2] - The company has cumulatively distributed 7.284 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.054 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3] - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 13.7081 million shares, an increase of 1.1211 million shares from the previous period, while other notable changes include a decrease in holdings by Invesco Great Wall CSI Dividend Low Volatility 100 ETF [3]

企业加大预防性"备采"力度 证券研究报告 宏观点评 / 2025.09.01 分析师 张伟 SAC 证书编号：S0160525060002 zhangwei04@ctsec.com 联系人 连桐杉 liants@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《特朗普降息再施压——全球经济观察 第 10 期》 2025-08-30 2. 《以价换量结束了吗？》 2025-08-27 3. 《 美 国 就 业， 到 底是 好还 是 坏 ？ 》 2025-08-25 ❖ "备采"来源于"反内卷"涨价预期而非经济基本面大幅改善： 从历史经验来看，2024 年下半年经济上行，GDP 读数从三季度的 4.6%上升 至四季度的 5.4%，同期 BCI 企业投资前瞻指数自 53.0 点上升至 54.9 点，同 期企业采购量（PMI）自 50.6%上升至 51.0%，规上工业企业利润滞后一个 月同比上升，由此可以看出，经济基本面修复情境下的企业采购量（PMI）短 期回升，常伴随 BCI 企业投资前瞻指数的同期回升和工业企业利润滞后回升。 而 2025 年二季度 GDP 同比 5.2%，仍然处于下行区间，一是考虑到经济的 惯性和年度目标， ...

Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) in China for August 2025 is reported at 49.4%, indicating a slight improvement from the previous month, suggesting a modest recovery in manufacturing activity [1][5]. Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Overview - The manufacturing PMI increased by 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, reflecting an overall improvement in the manufacturing sector's economic conditions [1][5]. - The production index stands at 50.8%, up 0.3 percentage points, indicating accelerated production expansion for the fourth consecutive month [3][6]. - The new orders index is at 49.5%, showing a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points, suggesting a minor improvement in market demand [5][6]. Group 2: Sector Performance - High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing PMIs are reported at 51.9% and 50.5%, respectively, both showing increases and indicating strong performance in these sectors [9]. - The consumer goods industry PMI is at 49.2%, down 0.3 percentage points, indicating weak terminal demand [9]. - The high-energy-consuming industries PMI is at 48.2%, reflecting a continuous recovery trend [9]. Group 3: Price Indices and Market Expectations - The main raw material purchase price index is at 53.3%, up 1.8 percentage points, while the factory price index is at 49.1%, up 0.8 percentage points, indicating an overall improvement in manufacturing market prices [9][10]. - The production and business activity expectation index is at 53.7%, up 1.1 percentage points, suggesting increased confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding future market conditions [10].

Core Viewpoint - The recovery of the PMI manufacturing index in August, along with improvements in production, new orders, and prices, indicates the initial effects of policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and countering excessive competition. The stock market's recovery is boosting economic confidence, which may lead to a rebound in consumer spending. Future policies to expand domestic demand are expected to strengthen the positive economic trend, especially in the service consumption sector as the impact of durable goods policies diminishes [1][7]. Group 1: Economic Resilience - The production index in August rose to 50.8%, while the new orders index was at 49.5%, indicating a strong resilience in the economy despite a widening supply-demand gap of 1.3 percentage points [2]. - The increase in production is attributed to stable domestic demand and a recovering stock market, alongside exporters rushing to ship goods due to new tax regulations [2]. Group 2: Price Index Trends - The PMI output price index and raw material purchase price index increased by 0.8 percentage points and 1.8 percentage points to 49.1% and 53.3%, respectively, marking three consecutive months of price increases [3]. - The rise in prices is linked to the initial success of measures to curb excessive competition, with 11 out of 16 industries showing price increases [3]. Group 3: Inventory and Procurement Dynamics - The finished goods inventory index fell by 0.6 percentage points to 46.8%, while raw material inventory and procurement levels rose, indicating a shift towards passive inventory reduction [4]. - Companies are adjusting procurement levels in response to new orders, maintaining low inventory levels as demand and exports increase [4]. Group 4: Performance of Enterprises - Large enterprises saw a significant increase in their index to 50.8%, while small enterprises slightly rose to 46.6%, and medium enterprises fell to 48.9% [5]. - The service sector, particularly transportation and entertainment, benefited from summer consumption, with business activity indices for rail and air transport exceeding 55% [6]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The PMI manufacturing index remains in contraction for five consecutive months, highlighting ongoing economic pressures, particularly for small and medium enterprises [7]. - Continued policy support is necessary to sustain economic recovery, especially in demand, with upcoming measures to stimulate service consumption and digital economy initiatives [7].

Group 1: PMI and Economic Indicators - The manufacturing PMI for August 2025 is 49.4%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a modest improvement in manufacturing sentiment[1] - The production index rose to 50.8% in August, up from 50.5% in July, while the new orders index increased to 49.5% from 49.4%[2] - The gap between supply and demand widened to 1.3 percentage points, suggesting production still exceeds demand[2] Group 2: Price and Inventory Trends - The PMI for factory prices and raw material purchase prices increased by 0.8 percentage points and 1.8 percentage points, reaching 49.1% and 53.3% respectively, marking three consecutive months of price increases[3] - Finished goods inventory index decreased by 0.6 percentage points to 46.8%, while raw material inventory and procurement volume rose to 48% and 50.4% respectively[4] Group 3: Sector Performance - Large enterprises saw a PMI increase of 0.5 percentage points to 50.8%, while small enterprises rose slightly by 0.2 percentage points to 46.6%, and medium enterprises fell by 0.6 percentage points to 48.9%[5] - The service sector's business activity index improved to 50.5%, driven by summer consumption in transportation and entertainment[5] Group 4: Future Outlook - The PMI's recovery reflects initial effects of policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and countering excessive competition, but the manufacturing sector remains under pressure with five consecutive months in contraction territory[7] - Continued policy support is necessary, especially for demand-side measures, to sustain economic improvement as export pressures may increase in October[7]

Core Viewpoint - Mingzhi Technology (688355) has experienced a decline in stock price and revenue, while showing a slight increase in net profit for the first half of 2025 [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of August 29, 2025, Mingzhi Technology's stock closed at 18.9 yuan, down 6.34% from the previous week [1]. - The stock reached a peak of 20.73 yuan on August 26, 2025, and a low of 18.4 yuan on August 28, 2025 [1]. - The current market capitalization is 2.343 billion yuan, ranking 200th out of 216 in the general equipment sector and 4891st out of 5152 in the A-share market [1]. Group 2: Shareholder Changes - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders is 5084, a decrease of 8 from March 31, 2025, representing a reduction of 0.16% [2]. - The average number of shares held per shareholder has increased to 24,400 shares, with an average holding value of 428,400 yuan [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Mingzhi Technology reported a main revenue of 252 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.76% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 43.607 million yuan, an increase of 2.2% year-on-year [3][5]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 26.005 million yuan, up 25.63% year-on-year [3]. - The gross margin stands at 31.16%, with a debt ratio of 16.04% [3]. Group 4: Company Announcements - The board has approved the semi-annual report and plans to engage in foreign exchange derivative trading not exceeding 20 million USD to mitigate exchange rate risks [4][5]. - The company has initiated legal proceedings against Kunming Yunnei Power for a debt of 30.9655 million yuan, with a counterclaim of 40.1629 million yuan from the other party, scheduled for court on November 12, 2025 [4]. - As of June 30, 2025, the net amount raised from fundraising is 489.3652 million yuan, with 375.5961 million yuan utilized and 146.3246 million yuan remaining to supplement working capital [4].