Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1120.32 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 5.7% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 92.62 billion yuan, an increase of 24.3% year-on-year [1]. - The significant growth in Q2 net profit by 50% year-on-year was primarily driven by a decrease in fuel costs and an expansion in renewable energy capacity [1][2]. - The company’s coal power generation showed a marginal improvement in growth rate, with a notable decrease in costs, enhancing profitability [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company’s domestic power plants generated 2056.83 billion kWh, a decrease of 2.37% year-on-year, with coal power generation down by 7.06% [2]. - The total profit from coal power generation increased by 84% year-on-year, reaching 73.10 billion yuan [2]. Cost and Profitability - The average coal price for the first half of 2025 was 917.05 yuan/ton, down 9.23% year-on-year, which significantly buffered the impact of electricity prices on profitability [3]. - The profit per kWh from coal power generation improved to 0.046 yuan, an increase of 0.023 yuan year-on-year [3]. Renewable Energy Expansion - The company added 1.9 GW of wind power and 4.3 GW of solar power capacity in the first half of 2025, contributing to a total profit of 57.33 billion yuan from renewable energy, a year-on-year increase of 4.58 billion yuan [3]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 has been revised upwards to 122.93 billion yuan, 130.82 billion yuan, and 139.13 billion yuan respectively [4]. - The expected EPS for the same period is projected to be 0.78 yuan, 0.83 yuan, and 0.89 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10, 9, and 9 [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rapid development of China's unified electricity market system, showcasing significant growth in market transactions and the increasing role of renewable energy sources in the power supply [3][9]. Group 1: Market Growth and Structure - In 2024, the national market-based electricity trading volume exceeded 6.18 trillion kilowatt-hours, accounting for 62.7% of total electricity consumption [5][6]. - The total installed power generation capacity surpassed 3.349 billion kilowatts, with an addition of 429 million kilowatts, primarily driven by solar and wind energy, which contributed 83.4% of the new capacity [5][6]. - The total electricity generation reached 10.09 trillion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 6.7%, with wind and solar resources contributing 58.1% of the new generation [5][6]. Group 2: Market Participants and Transactions - The number of market participants rose to 816,000, an increase of 8.9%, including 35,000 power generation companies and 777,000 electricity users [6][12]. - The trading volume of renewable energy reached 956.9 billion kilowatt-hours, representing 52.3% of total renewable generation [6][12]. - Cross-provincial and cross-regional trading saw a significant increase, with long-term trading volume growing by 19.8% to 1.39 trillion kilowatt-hours [6][7]. Group 3: Policy and Regulatory Developments - The inter-provincial electricity spot market officially launched after two years of trial operation, facilitating over 88 billion kilowatt-hours of transactions, with 44% from clean energy [10][11]. - New market mechanisms and regional collaboration have emerged, enhancing resource allocation and supporting renewable energy consumption [10][11]. - The regulatory framework is evolving, with updates to the Energy Law and the Electricity Market Supervision Measures, ensuring a robust market environment [12].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the current economic conditions in China, focusing on various sectors such as electricity generation, industrial production, infrastructure, real estate, and consumer goods, indicating a mixed recovery with some areas showing growth while others are experiencing declines. Group 1: Electricity Generation and Industrial Production - As of July 24, the cumulative electricity generation from coal-fired power plants increased by 3.3% year-on-year, reaching a high for the year, influenced by high temperatures and increased air conditioning usage [1][5]. - The operating rates of upstream industrial raw materials are generally better than previous values, with the operating rate of blast furnaces increasing by 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [6][7]. Group 2: Infrastructure and Construction - There has been a slight improvement in infrastructure physical workload, with the national cement shipment rate recorded at 39.9%, up 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [8]. - However, the funding availability rate for construction sites remains a concern, with a national average of 58.7%, showing a month-on-month decline of 0.4 percentage points [8]. Group 3: Real Estate Market - Real estate sales continue to show weakness, with the average daily transaction area in 30 major cities down 18.3% year-on-year [11][12]. - The number of second-hand housing transactions in 82 cities decreased by 18.7% year-on-year, indicating a significant slowdown in the market [12]. Group 4: Consumer Goods and Retail - Retail sales of passenger cars grew by 9% year-on-year from July 1 to 27, a slowdown compared to the previous month's 15% growth [12][14]. - Sales growth for major home appliances remains relatively high, although there is a noted slowdown in the latter half of July [14]. Group 5: Export and Shipping - Container throughput at domestic ports increased by 5.6% year-on-year, indicating a slight recovery in export activities [16][17]. - The data shows a gradual normalization of exports to the U.S., with container shipping numbers showing a small positive increase compared to previous months [16][17].

智通财经APP获悉，美银证券发布研报称，华能国际电力股份(00902)在派息率维持58%下，2025年股息 率将达8.3%，为该行覆盖的同行股份中最高，且公司的自由现金流显著改善; 重申"买入"评级，料未来 数月热电盈利持续改善将推动估值重评，将公司港股目标价由5.5港元升至6港元，A股(600011.SH) 目标 价则基于AH股溢价调整，由9.7元人民币下调至8.4元人民币。 投资者关注华能国际电力股份的煤电电价韧性。由于业绩好过预期，该行分别上调华能国电2025及26年 盈利预测16%及3%，以反映利息支出与其他成本下降，以及2026年火电、风电及光伏电价调整。 ...

Market Performance - On July 31, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.18%, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 1.73%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.66%[2] - A total of 4,133 stocks declined, 68 remained flat, and 1,019 stocks rose, with a trading volume exceeding 1.9 trillion yuan[1] Sector Analysis - Only six sectors closed in the green, including chemical pharmaceuticals, software development, internet, power equipment, biopharmaceuticals, and medical services[1] - The sectors with the largest declines were energy metals, steel, coal, mining, and photovoltaics[1] Investment Insights - The market has shown signs of a pullback after a rebound of nearly 600 points since the low on April 7, indicating a completed technical move[1] - Investors are advised to focus on sectors at relatively low levels for investment opportunities and prioritize high-performing stocks in the short term[1] Fund Flow - On July 31, net outflows from the Shanghai Stock Exchange amounted to 17.249 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange saw net outflows of 9.606 billion yuan[4] - The top three sectors for capital inflow were IT services, software development, and communication equipment, while the largest outflows were from liquor, real estate development, and electricity sectors[4] Economic Indicators - The manufacturing PMI for July was reported at 49.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight contraction in manufacturing activity[7] - The non-manufacturing business activity index was at 50.1%, still above the critical point, suggesting overall expansion in the service sector[7] Global Trends - In Q2 2025, global gold demand reached 1,249 tons, a year-on-year increase of 3%, driven by significant inflows into gold ETFs, which totaled 170 tons[11] - The first half of 2025 saw a record high for global gold ETF demand at 397 tons, the highest since 2020[11] Fund Dynamics - Public funds have seen nearly 5 billion yuan in self-purchases this year, with passive index funds being particularly favored, accounting for 20.65% of total self-purchases[12] - The second quarter report indicated a continued expansion in public fund asset sizes, with active equity funds increasing their stock positions in sectors like communication and finance[14]

人民财讯8月1日电，8月1日，国家发展改革委体制改革综合司司长王任飞在新闻发布会上回答证券时报 记者提问。王任飞表示，建设全国统一电力市场，是深化电力体制改革的关键任务，也是构建新型电力 系统的重要支撑。今年以来，全国统一电力市场体系建设取得一系列成就，电力资源在更大范围优化配 置的市场机制实现突破，国网、南网建立跨电网经营区常态化交易机制，实现了联网电力交易的软联 通；电力现货市场即将实现基本全覆盖，现货市场有助于实时反应和调节供需，这既是电力市场体系建 设的关键环节，也是重点难点所在。目前全国已有25个省内市场均已开展现货交易，其中有6个省份已 经实现正式运行。同时，统一的电力市场技术规则体系基本建立，目前已经形成以电力市场运行基本规 则为基础，中长期现货普通交易规则为主干，市场注册、计量结算、信息披露为支撑的"1+6"规则体 系。下一步，国家发展改革委还会根据市场的发展，不断丰富完善，持续完善全国统一电力市场体系， 进一步统一规则，破除壁垒，拓展功能，扩大规模，为保证能源安全、低碳转型和经济增长提供更加有 力的支持。 ...

Report Information - Report Type: Coke and Coking Coal Daily Review [1] - Date: August 1, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Black Metal Research Team [3] - Researchers: Zhai Hepan, Nie Jiayi, Feng Zeren [3] 1. Market Performance Summary 1.1 Futures Contracts Performance - On July 31, the main contract 2509 of coke futures significantly declined, erasing the gains from the previous two trading days or since July 22. The main contract 2509 of coking coal futures oscillated downward and hit the daily limit in the afternoon, erasing all gains since July 23. The closing price of J2509 was 1601 yuan/ton, down 4.93%, with a trading volume of 42,135 lots and a position volume of 28,705 lots, a decrease of 653 lots. The closing price of JM2509 was 1045.5 yuan/ton, down 7.97%, with a trading volume of 987,871 lots and a position volume of 284,647 lots, a decrease of 23,096 lots [5]. 1.2 Black - Series Futures Position - The position data of the top 20 long and short positions in black - series futures on July 31 showed different changes in various contracts. For example, in the RB2510 contract, the top 20 long positions decreased by 174,240 lots, and the top 20 short positions decreased by 122,370 lots, with a long - short difference of - 51,870 lots and a deviation of - 4.51% [6]. 2. Spot Market and Technical Analysis 2.1 Spot Market Prices - On July 31, the quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke flat - price index in Rizhao Port, Qingdao Port, and Tianjin Port was 1420 yuan/ton, with no change. The low - sulfur main coking coal aggregate price in different regions had different performances, with the price in Lvliang increasing by 80 yuan/ton [8]. 2.2 Technical Indicators - On July 31, the daily KDJ indicators of the 2509 contracts of coke and coking coal both declined. The daily MACD red bars of the 2509 contracts of coke and coking coal narrowed for 4 consecutive trading days, and the daily MACD of the coke 2509 contract was nearly a death cross [8]. 3. Market Outlook 3.1 Coke Market - The coke production of independent coking plants has been rising for two consecutive weeks, reaching a new low since early April. The coke production of steel mills has slightly increased from the low point since late February. The coke inventories of ports and steel mills are hovering at low levels since early March and late December last year respectively, while the coking plant inventory has declined for 7 consecutive weeks, reaching a new low since early January. The profit per ton of coke has been in the red for 10 consecutive weeks, and the third round of coke spot price increases was implemented on July 25 [10]. 3.2 Coking Coal Market - From January to June, China's coking coal imports still maintained a large year - on - year decline of - 7.4%. In the past 6 weeks, the raw coal and clean coal inventories of coal washing plants have significantly declined, with decreases of 13.0% and 30.2% respectively. The inventory of independent coking plants has been rising significantly for 5 consecutive weeks, reaching a new high since early February. The port inventory has returned to the previous low - level range, and the steel mill inventory has increased for 2 consecutive weeks. With the continuous increase in steel mill inventory, coking plants have actively and significantly replenished their stocks, and the coking coal spot price has generally increased by 130 - 280 yuan/ton compared with late June [10]. 3.3 Overall Outlook - Checking coal mine production is beneficial for stabilizing coal supply and effectively managing the low - price and disorderly competition in the coal industry. The supply - demand expectation in the coal market has changed from oversupply before June to a contraction in domestic supply. After the recent significant rebound and subsequent decline in coke and coking coal futures prices, in the short term, their prices may follow steel futures. Attention should be paid to the changes in the supply - demand relationship in the coke market after the implementation of the third round of coke spot price increases and the increase or decrease in coking plants' coking coal inventory. If the demand weakens after the third round of coke price increases or the coking plants' coking coal inventory starts to decline significantly, the future market for coking products may not be optimistic. If the demand remains good or even increases after the third round of price increases, or the coking plants' coking coal inventory remains stable or continues to be replenished, there is still a possibility of a further increase in the future market for coking products [11]. 4. Industry News 4.1 Government Policies and Market Conditions - In June 2025, the national issuance of new bonds was 628.1 billion yuan, including 101 billion yuan of general bonds and 527.1 billion yuan of special bonds. The issuance of refinancing bonds was 547.2 billion yuan, including 267.4 billion yuan of general bonds and 279.8 billion yuan of special bonds. As of the end of June 2025, the national local government debt balance was 51.9503 trillion yuan [12]. - The deputy director of the General Affairs Department of the National Energy Administration, Zhang Xing, stated on July 31 that since this year, the coal market in China has been generally balanced with a slight oversupply. Since July, the daily scheduled coal production has remained above 12 million tons. Currently, the coal inventory of national unified - dispatch power plants exceeds 200 million tons, which can be used for 30 days. The National Energy Administration will guide coal - producing provinces and enterprises to continue to organize production, scientifically formulate production plans, and ensure coal supply [12][13]. - In the first half of 2025, the national power market operated smoothly, with the scale of market - traded electricity and the number of market players continuing to grow steadily. The total market - traded electricity of all power trading centers was 2.95 trillion kWh, a year - on - year increase of 4.8%. As of the end of June, the number of national power market business entities was 973,000, a year - on - year increase of 23.8% [13]. - In the first half of this year, China's energy infrastructure construction maintained a good momentum. The investment in key energy projects under construction and planned to start this year exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 21.6%. The investment growth rates in the eastern, central, and western regions all exceeded 20%, and private enterprise investment maintained rapid growth [13]. 4.2 Company Announcements - In the first half of 2025, China Energy Investment Corporation completed coal production and sales of 374 million tons, power generation of 580.6 billion kWh, railway freight volume of 276 million tons, and chemical product output of 13.55 million tons [13]. - In the second quarter of 2025, Jiantou Energy completed power generation of 11.615 billion kWh, a year - on - year increase of 0.67%, and completed on - grid electricity of 10.764 billion kWh, a year - on - year increase of 1%. The company expects its operating performance in the first half of 2025 to increase significantly year - on - year [13]. - Gansu Energy Chemical Industry's Wangjiashan Coal Mine No. 1 Well has been approved to resume production [14]. - Wanneng Electric Power's coal procurement cost in the second quarter decreased more significantly year - on - year compared with the first quarter. The company's total installed capacity exceeds 17 million kilowatts, and it is currently not considering absorbing and merging its affiliated power plants, while its new energy projects are progressing as expected [14]. - In the first half of 2025, Pingdingshan Tianan Coal Mining Co., Ltd. produced 14.5297 million tons of raw coal, a year - on - year increase of 2.26%. The sales volume of commercial coal was 11.7369 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 12.98% [14]. 4.3 International Market Forecast - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that global electricity demand will increase by 3.3% and 3.7% in 2025 and 2026 respectively, more than twice the growth rate of total energy demand in the same period [14]. 5. Data Overview - The report provides various data charts, including the spot price index of metallurgical coke in major markets, the aggregate price of main coking coal in major markets, the production and capacity utilization rate of coking plants and steel mills, national average daily pig iron production, coke inventories of ports/steel mills/coking plants, independent coking plant's profit per ton of coke, production and operating rate of coal washing plants, raw coal and clean coal inventories of coal washing plants, coking coal inventories of ports/coking plants/steel mills, and the basis between Rizhao Port's quasi - first - grade coke and the September contract, as well as the basis between Linfen's low - sulfur main coking coal and the September contract [15][17][21][29][30][33]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant progress in China's energy sector in the first half of the year, showcasing a robust increase in renewable energy generation, improved energy security, and the acceleration of green energy consumption initiatives [1][2][3] Group 1: Energy Supply and Production - Renewable energy generation reached nearly 1.8 trillion kilowatt-hours, accounting for almost 40% of the total national power generation [1] - The production of raw coal, crude oil, and natural gas increased by 5.4%, 1.3%, and 5.8% year-on-year, respectively [1] - Daily average industrial power generation increased by 1.3% year-on-year, with the maximum national power load reaching a historical high of 1.508 billion kilowatts [1] Group 2: Power Generation Capacity - Over 200 million kilowatts of new power generation capacity was added in the first half of the year, including 30 million kilowatts from renewable sources [2] - Renewable energy generation accounted for nearly 40% of total power generation, surpassing the combined electricity consumption of the tertiary industry and urban-rural residents [2] - By the end of June, the total installed capacity of renewable energy reached 2.159 billion kilowatts, representing 59.2% of the total installed capacity [2] Group 3: Green Certificate Market - A total of 348 million green certificates were traded in the first half of the year, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 118% [3] - The average price of green certificates rose to 5 yuan per certificate, with June's average reaching 6.5 yuan, a 4.4-fold increase from the lowest price this year [3] - The establishment of a unified national electricity market has progressed, with new mechanisms for cross-regional electricity trading and the launch of continuous settlement trials in the southern region [3]

Core Viewpoint - The reliability of electricity supply remains stable despite extreme weather events, with the National Energy Administration actively monitoring and managing the situation to ensure safety and reliability [1][2][3] Group 1: Electricity Supply Reliability - The National Energy Administration reported that the overall electricity supply in the country has remained stable in the first half of the year, with effective measures taken to mitigate the impact of extreme weather on the power system [1] - The average electricity reliability rate nationwide was 99.948%, with a reduction in average outage time and frequency for users [3] Group 2: Generation and Transmission Performance - In terms of generation, the equivalent availability factor for coal-fired units was 92.12%, an increase of 0.68 percentage points year-on-year, while the average utilization hours decreased by 166.29 hours to 1961.31 hours [2] - The equivalent availability factor for conventional hydropower units was 92.93%, a decrease of 0.27 percentage points, with average utilization hours down by 7.84 hours to 1631.61 hours [2] - The transmission and transformation systems showed improvements, with the availability factor for 220 kV and above transformers at 99.6%, an increase of 0.29 percentage points, and the energy availability rate for DC transmission systems at 97.09%, an increase of 2.22 percentage points [2]

Group 1 - The article highlights that on July 31, several listed companies received target price upgrades from brokerages, with notable increases for Ningde Times, Su Shi Testing, and Yonghui Supermarket, showing target price increases of 66.28%, 48.13%, and 47.99% respectively [1][3] - Ningde Times received a "Buy" rating from Dongwu Securities with a target price of 440.00 yuan, indicating a significant potential upside [3] - Su Shi Testing was rated "Strong Buy" by Huachuang Securities with a target price of 24.22 yuan, reflecting a robust growth outlook [3] Group 2 - A total of 26 listed companies were recommended by brokerages on July 31, with Hisense Home Appliances receiving the most recommendations at four, followed by Su Shi Testing with three, and Yonghui Supermarket with two [4][5] - Hisense Home Appliances closed at 25.69 yuan and was recommended by four brokerages, indicating strong market interest in the white goods sector [5] - The article also mentions that Hunan Haili received its first coverage with a "Buy" rating from Great Wall Securities, indicating a positive outlook for the agricultural chemical products industry [7]