1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, it is expected that stock index futures will show a strong - biased oscillation, and futures such as alumina, zinc, lithium carbonate, coking coal, rebar, hot - rolled coil, iron ore, glass, soda ash, and PVC will oscillate with a strong bias on July 21, 2025 [1][2]. - Multiple policies are being implemented to support economic development, including promoting the stable growth of key industries, encouraging foreign investment, and regulating market competition [10][11][12]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Outlook - **Stock Index Futures**: On July 21, 2025, stock index futures will be strongly - biased oscillating. For example, IF2509 has resistance levels at 4070 and 4100 points and support levels at 4042 and 4030 points [2]. - **Bond Futures**: On July 21, 2025, the ten - year Treasury bond futures main contract T2509 and the thirty - year Treasury bond futures main contract TL2509 will likely oscillate weakly [3]. - **Commodity Futures**: Many commodity futures, such as gold, silver, copper, alumina, zinc, etc., are expected to oscillate strongly or with a strong bias on July 21, 2025. For instance, the gold futures main contract AU2510 will likely oscillate strongly with resistance levels at 781.8 and 786.8 yuan/gram and support levels at 776.8 and 773.8 yuan/gram [3]. 3.2 Macro - news and Trading Tips - **Domestic News**: The Ministry of Commerce responded to relevant trade issues, and multiple departments launched policies to support industrial development, including promoting the stable growth of key industries and regulating the new energy vehicle industry [10][11][12]. - **International News**: There are various international events, such as the G20 meeting, US - related policies (e.g., defense appropriation bill, Fed's potential interest - rate cut), and EU's sanctions on Russia [14][16][17]. 3.3 Futures Market Analysis and Outlook - **Stock Index Futures**: On July 18, 2025, major stock index futures contracts showed different trends. For example, IF2509 opened slightly higher and oscillated upwards, closing at 4041.8 points, up 0.91% [23]. - **Bond Futures**: On July 18, 2025, most bond futures contracts closed lower. The ten - year Treasury bond futures main contract T2509 opened slightly lower, oscillated downwards, and closed at 108.790 yuan, down 0.08% [46]. - **Commodity Futures**: Different commodity futures had their own trends on July 18, 2025. For example, the silver futures main contract AG2510 opened slightly lower, oscillated upwards, and closed at 9273 yuan/kilogram, up 1.36% [61].

Core Viewpoint - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project is significantly boosting the A-share infrastructure sector, leading to a surge in stock prices of related companies. Group 1: Market Reaction - The A-share infrastructure sector experienced a "limit-up" trend, with companies like Wuxin Tunnel Equipment (835174.BJ) hitting a 30% limit-up and others like Jikang Technology (830879.BJ) opening up by 24.29% [1][2] - The Yarlung Tsangpo hydropower concept index (886105.TI) surged by 12.52% at the opening [1][2] Group 2: Project Details - The Yarlung Tsangpo downstream hydropower project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, officially commenced on July 19 in Linzhi, Tibet [3][4] - The project involves the construction of five tiered power stations, primarily focusing on power transmission while also catering to local demand in Tibet [3] Group 3: Beneficiary Companies - Companies in the explosives sector, such as Gaozheng Mining Explosives and Yipuli, are expected to benefit from increased demand due to the project [4][5] - China Power Construction Corporation, as a leading player in hydropower, is projected to secure annual project contracts worth approximately 21.8 to 29.1 billion yuan from this project, which could represent 1.7% to 2.3% of its new contract value in 2024 [4][5] - The project is anticipated to create significant opportunities for companies involved in construction, tunneling equipment, and materials, including China Energy Engineering, Iron Construction Heavy Industry, and Tibet Tianlu [5][6]

智通财经7月18日讯（编辑 胡家荣）受超级水电利好消息提振相关个股表现。截至发稿，东方电气(01072.HK)涨48.46%、华新水泥(06655.HK)涨28.34%、华 润建材科技(01313.HK)涨9.04%、中国建材(03323.HK)涨5.96%。 国家级水电工程正式拉开帷幕 东方财富证券报告则聚焦雅鲁藏布江下游丰富的水能资源。报告称，该区域特别是大拐弯段被誉为"世界水能富集之最"，技术可开发资源量近7000万千瓦 (约70吉瓦)，相当于三峡电站装机规模的3倍。目前，雅鲁藏布江中游已规划建设的多个水电站(如藏木、加查等)总装机约400万千瓦(4吉瓦)，平均单位投资 额约为250亿元/吉瓦。 注：东方电气 注：华新水泥 机构看好巨大产业链拉动效应 1.2万亿投资撬动庞大需求空间。国盛证券研报分析指出，该项巨额投资中，工程建设装备投资占比预计至少达15%(约1800亿元)。该行强调，水电工程尤其 依赖中大吨位工程机械，此类设备盈利能力优于小型设备。按设备净利率10%估算，工程机械环节潜在利润空间或超180亿元。 消息面上，雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程开工仪式于7月19日上午在西藏林芝举行。国务院总理李强出席 ...

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, with an investment exceeding 1.2 trillion yuan, marks a significant step towards carbon neutrality and green economic investment in China [1][2]. Group 1: Project Overview - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has a capacity of 70 to 81 million kilowatts, equivalent to five Three Gorges projects, and is expected to generate nearly 300 billion kilowatt-hours of zero-carbon electricity annually, meeting the electricity needs of approximately 300 million households [1]. - The project is seen as a "super aircraft carrier" in the energy sector, significantly contributing to energy structure transformation and the achievement of carbon neutrality goals [1]. Group 2: Market Impact - Huatai Securities estimates that the total value of turbine and generator business related to the project is between 53.5 billion and 95.4 billion yuan, which could become a new growth point for hydropower equipment after 2030 [2]. - The national carbon market is set to expand significantly in 2025, with major industries like steel, cement, and aluminum smelting joining, increasing the covered emissions to approximately 8 billion tons [2]. Group 3: Carbon Neutrality ETF - The Taikang Carbon Neutrality ETF (560560) closely tracks the CSI Mainland Low Carbon Economy Theme Index, which includes companies in clean energy generation, energy conversion and storage, and waste treatment [3]. - The index comprises 50 core enterprises in the low-carbon economy, with leading companies like Yangtze Power and CATL, indicating strong industry representation [3]. - The ETF serves as a bridge for ordinary investors to participate in the carbon neutrality market, allowing them to contribute to climate change efforts while potentially benefiting from the growth of the green economy [3][4]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - In the face of market volatility, investing in the carbon neutrality sector is increasingly seen as a key strategy due to its policy certainty, technological innovation, and market potential [4]. - The Taikang Carbon Neutrality ETF is positioned as an effective investment tool, offering a diversified portfolio that mitigates individual stock risks while capturing leading companies' returns [4].

消息面上，7月19日，雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程在西藏林芝正式开工。据了解，该工程采用截弯取直、隧洞引水模式，规划建设5座梯级电站，总投资约1.2 万亿元，电力以对外输送为主、兼顾西藏本地需求。作为国家级超级工程，其开工将推动西藏经济发展与能源结构优化，同时带动民爆、掘进等细分行业需 求增长。 中信证券认为，随着雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程的持续建设，将长期利好水电配套设备、电网外送工程核心设备等头部供应商。中信建投证券称，去年下半年 以来，中央层面多次强调整治"内卷式"竞争，治理企业低价无序竞争，推动落后产能有序退出。而目前光伏、锂电均处于盈利底部，其中光伏亏损更为明 显，"反内卷"有望成为推动新能源行业中长期盈利修复的关键推动力。 截至7月18日，央企现代能源ETF近6月净值上涨2.16%。从收益能力看，截至2025年7月18日，央企现代能源ETF自成立以来，最高单月回报为10.03%，最长 连涨月数为7个月，最长连涨涨幅为23.43%，涨跌月数比为13/10，上涨月份平均收益率为3.05%，年盈利百分比为100.00%，历史持有1年盈利概率为 66.10%。截至2025年7月18日，央企现代能源ETF近3个月超越 ...

Group 1 - A-shares opened higher on July 21, driven by significant events, with sectors like water conservancy, infrastructure, and cement manufacturing showing strong performance [1] - The A500 ETF (512050) saw a 0.30% increase, with major holdings such as China Power Construction, Yahua Group, and Jinfa Technology hitting the daily limit [1] - As of July 18, the A500 ETF had an average daily trading volume of 3.631 billion yuan over the past week, ranking first among comparable funds [1] Group 2 - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project commenced on July 19 in Nyingchi, Tibet, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan for the construction of five cascade power stations [1] - The project primarily focuses on power transmission outside the region while also addressing local consumption needs [1] - Citic Securities indicated that the current A-share market is experiencing deep structural differentiation, with macro structural divergence and ongoing overseas pressures likely to sustain this trend [1] Group 3 - The A500 ETF (512050) enables investors to easily allocate to leading companies across various sectors, tracking the CSI A500 Index with a balanced industry allocation and leading company selection strategy [2] - The ETF covers all 35 sub-sectors, integrating value and growth attributes, and is overweight in new productivity sectors such as AI, pharmaceuticals, and renewable energy compared to the CSI 300 [2]

截至发稿，基康技术、五新隧装、苏博特、中国电建、西藏天路、保利联合、高争民爆等20股涨停。 7月21日，雅下水电概念盘初冲高，个股掀涨停潮。截至发稿，基康技术、五新隧装、苏博特、中国电 建、西藏天路、保利联合、高争民爆等20股涨停。 第一财经记者注意到，国资委更新后的央企名录中，共有99家央企。其中中国雅江集团位列第22位，位 于中国长江三峡集团之后，国家能源投资集团之前。 此外，据新华社消息，当日上午，雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程开工仪式在西藏自治区林芝市举行。 雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程位于西藏自治区林芝市。工程主要采取截弯取直、隧洞引水的开发方式，建设 5座梯级电站，总投资约1.2万亿元。工程电力以外送消纳为主，兼顾西藏本地自用需求。 中信证券表示，随着雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程的持续建设，将长期利好水电配套设备、电网外送工程核 心设备等头部供应商。 华泰证券表示，保守估计相关投资中水轮机与发电机业务总量价值约535亿元—954亿元，或在2030年后 接棒抽蓄成为水电设备新的增长点，有效保障行业产能利用率饱满。相关行业龙头估值已经反映了市场 对订单可持续性的担忧，未来有望随着订单不断超预期而逐渐修复。 | 代码 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed positive performance with major indices rising, driven by strong sectors such as hydropower, steel, and robotics, while financial sectors faced declines [1][2]. Group 1: Sector Performance - The hydropower sector experienced significant gains, with multiple stocks including China Power Construction and Tibet Tianlu hitting the daily limit [2]. - The steel sector also saw upward movement, with stocks like Xining Special Steel and Bayi Steel reaching the daily limit [1]. - The building materials and cement stocks continued their strong performance, with Huaxin Cement showing notable strength [1]. - The robotics sector was active, with stocks such as Jingxing Paper and Jinfat Technology hitting the daily limit [1]. - In contrast, the financial sector, including insurance and banking, faced declines, contributing to the overall market volatility [1]. Group 2: Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities highlighted that the new growth sectors are crucial for breaking through key index levels, suggesting a focus on mainline logic rather than worrying about index fluctuations [4]. - Zhongyin Securities pointed out that overseas expansion remains a strong performance driver, with expectations of a sector-wide rally post mid-year reporting season [5]. - Dongfang Securities noted that the market's logic of relying on dividends will continue, with long-term funds supporting sectors like banking and insurance, while tech stocks serve as supplementary opportunities [6].

水泥、工程机械、水利板块活跃，AI智能体、医药板块低开。 09:34 钢铁板块走高 西宁特钢、八一钢铁涨停，重庆钢铁、柳钢股份、酒钢宏兴、盛德鑫泰涨超5%。消息面上，中钢协7月15日在成都组织 召开钢铁工业规划部长会，会议要求坚持严控增量与畅通退出，防范钢铁行业产能过剩风险持续加剧，着力破除"内卷 式"竞争。 09:34 恒指突破25000点整数关口，为2022年2月以来首次，较4月低点上涨超25%。 三大股指集体高开，上证指数开盘报3542.82点，涨0.24%，深成指开盘报10937.6点，涨0.22%，创业板指开盘报2285.41 点，涨0.36%。水泥、工程机械、水利板块活跃，AI智能体、医药板块低开。 09:24 港股建材水泥股走强，华新水泥涨14.97%、西部水泥涨7.39%、中国建材涨7.34%、海螺水泥涨7.19%。 09:21 港股开盘丨恒生科技指数涨1.18% 恒生指数开盘涨0.67%，恒生科技指数涨1.18%。华检医疗涨近15%，美国稳定币牌照申请及 IVDNewCo Exchange生态落 地正式开启。胜利证券涨近11%，预计半年度业绩同比扭亏。迪生创建复牌跌超29%，私有化计划失效。 ...

A股雅下水电概念股盘初冲高，基康技术、五新隧装、苏博特、中国电建、西藏天路、保利联合、高争 民爆等多股涨停。消息面上，新央企中国雅江集团有限公司成立，同日，雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程开 工。 ...