Group 1: Investment Outlook - Domestic fixed asset investment is expected to slow down, while overseas markets will be the focus of capital expenditure, with plans to establish factories in various countries as the business teams mature [2] - The company has been developing its overseas shrimp seed business for the past two to three years, particularly in Indonesia [3] Group 2: Regional Profitability - The South American region has a favorable natural resource endowment, leading to globally competitive shrimp farming costs, with rapid increases in farming volume expected to continue [4] Group 3: Risk Management - The company adopts a strict approach to controlling foreign exchange risks by carefully selecting settlement currencies and balancing regional cash flows through structural arrangements [5] Group 4: Production Capacity - Overall overseas production capacity is tight, prompting the company to actively expand its capacity in relevant regions through various means [6] Group 5: Industry Competition - The domestic feed industry is shifting from single-dimensional competition to multi-dimensional competition, focusing on seedling, animal health, feed product quality, and technical service capabilities, leading to increased industry concentration [7] Group 6: Customized Services - The company provides personalized R&D services to large clients to address their specific aquaculture challenges and needs, requiring cross-disciplinary and cross-functional support [8] Group 7: Expansion Strategy - The company primarily focuses on self-built overseas capacity expansion, considering leasing and light asset expansion methods, while remaining attentive to acquisition opportunities [9] Group 8: Investor Participation - A total of 36 investors from various institutions participated in the recent broker strategy meeting in Shanghai, including notable firms such as China International Capital Corporation and Harvest Fund Management [10]

Core Points - The company held its 8th temporary meeting of the 9th Board of Directors on June 13, 2025, where several key resolutions were passed [1][2] Group 1: Project Approvals - The Board approved the transfer of multi-dimensional production capacity from Beijing Hualuo Feed Additive Plant, with an investment of 59.6241 million yuan to establish a feed additive plant in Linyi, Shandong Province [1] - The resolution received unanimous support with 7 votes in favor and no opposition or abstentions [1] Group 2: Capital Increase - The Board approved an increase in registered capital for its wholly-owned subsidiary, Zhongmu Hualuo Animal Husbandry Technology (Shandong) Co., Ltd., by 50 million yuan, raising its registered capital accordingly [2] - This decision was also unanimously supported with 7 votes in favor and no opposition or abstentions [2]

Market Overview - On June 11, A-shares saw a collective rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.52% to close at 3402.32 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 0.83% to 10246.02 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.21% to 2061.87 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 12,555 billion yuan, a decrease of 1,599 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - The market was driven by positive news, with 3,415 stocks rising and 72 hitting the daily limit up, while 1,738 stocks fell and 6 hit the daily limit down [1] Automotive Sector - The automotive sector showed strong performance, with several car manufacturers, including BYD, FAW, Dongfeng, and others, committing to a payment term of no more than 60 days [2] - Shortening payment terms allows suppliers to receive payments faster, enhancing cash flow for procurement of raw materials and equipment, thereby improving production stability and reducing risks of production halts due to cash flow issues [2] Securities Sector - The securities sector experienced a sudden surge, influenced by the release of a policy document from the central government supporting insurance funds to invest in private equity and venture capital funds in Shenzhen [2] - The policy also allows companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area to list on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, which is favorable for the securities market [2] Local Stocks Performance - Compared to the overall market, local stocks in Hunan performed poorly, with only 88 out of 146 stocks rising, led by Zhenghong Technology, which increased by 9.96% [3] - Zhenghong Technology, a leading company in the feed production industry, reported a net profit of -9.02 million yuan for Q1 2025, with a year-on-year decline of 5.27% [3] - The company is transferring 100% equity of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Hunan Zhenghong Haiyuan Green Food Company, for 30.42 million yuan, which is expected to enhance asset management and operational efficiency [3]

Group 1: Capital Expenditure Cycle Analysis - The capital expenditure (CAPEX) cycle is a dominant driver of industry cycles in China, influencing the relationship between CAPEX, price-to-book (PB) ratio, and return on equity (ROE) [4] - The CAPEX cycle is divided into three stages: Stage 1 (oversupply leads to declining ROE and poor market performance), Stage 2 (declining CAPEX results in rising free cash flow and market rebound), and Stage 3 (supply-side clearing leads to improved ROE and better market performance) [4][14][15] - The PB-ROE model indicates significant investment value in Stage 2 (low PB and improving ROE) and Stage 3 (reasonable PB and steadily rising ROE) [16] Group 2: Market and Industry Comparisons - In Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, the overall capital expenditure of A-share companies (excluding finance and real estate) is contracting, while free cash flow is improving [20] - The median CAPEX/depreciation ratio for secondary industries decreased from 1.35 to 1.29, while the median free cash flow/equity ratio increased from 4.4% to 4.8% [21] - The proportion of secondary industries with free cash flow greater than 0 has significantly increased, indicating a positive trend in cash flow [21][24] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - The consumer sector shows overall CAPEX contraction and slight decline in free cash flow, with CAPEX levels below market averages and free cash flow above market averages [26] - The advanced manufacturing sector also experiences CAPEX contraction, while free cash flow shows slight improvement [4][26] - Eight industries within the consumer sector are highlighted as potential investment opportunities based on supply-side improvements [4][26]

Market Overview - The domestic market indices showed a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,384.82, down 0.44%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 10,162.18, down 0.86% [4] Non-Bank Financial Sector - The report highlights an increase in share buybacks among brokerages, with six firms having repurchased a total of 129 million shares for 1.31 billion yuan as of June 5. This reflects management's confidence in their company's value and aims to optimize capital structure [7] - The average price-to-book ratio for the securities industry is currently at 1.33x, which is at the 38.20% percentile since 2018, indicating a certain level of value in the sector [7] - The report suggests that the ongoing reforms in the capital market will clarify the development paths for the industry, with brokerages focusing on mergers and acquisitions to enhance capital quality [7] Chemical Raw Materials Sector - The new materials sector saw a slight increase, with the New Materials Index rising by 0.77%, although it underperformed compared to the ChiNext Index [8] - The report notes that the National Development and Reform Commission has issued guidelines to encourage the use of green electricity, which is expected to drive the wind power installation market [10] - The wind power sector is projected to see new installations of approximately 105-115 GW in 2025, with a significant portion coming from onshore wind [10] Agriculture Sector - The report indicates a decline in pig prices, with average prices in key provinces dropping by 3.15% to 3.46% as of June 6. The average pork price fell by 1.11% [11] - The report expresses optimism about the operational outlook for Haida Group, citing potential growth from its overseas feed business and a recovery in the feed industry due to lower raw material prices [11] - The report emphasizes that the current cycle in the pig farming industry may lead to a prolonged profitability period, contrary to market pessimism [11]

Company Overview - Shandong Bangji Technology Co., Ltd. is planning to acquire 100% equity of six companies, including Shandong Beixi Agricultural Co., Ltd. and Ruidong Agricultural (Shandong) Co., Ltd., along with 80% of the equity of Paistong Livestock Technology Consulting (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. through a combination of share issuance and cash payment [1] - The company was established in April 2007 and is based in Zibo High-tech Zone, specializing in providing professional products for modern breeding farms, including pig premix, concentrated feed, and complete feed [1] Financial Performance - In the years 2022 to 2024, the company reported revenues of 1.658 billion, 1.647 billion, and 2.542 billion respectively, while net profits were 120 million, 83.89 million, and 50.13 million respectively [1] - The company has experienced a situation of "increased revenue but decreased profit" in recent years, attributed to low capacity utilization rates and increased fixed costs due to the gradual production of fundraising projects [1] Industry Context - The feed industry is maturing, with large feed companies extending their industrial chains through alliances and mergers, while some companies are penetrating downstream into the breeding industry [2] - The company is adapting to industry changes by adjusting its business strategy and expanding into new areas, including the acquisition of other feed companies [2] Strategic Moves - The planned acquisition marks the company's entry into the pig fattening industry, with the target company, Ruidong Agricultural, aiming to build modern American-style breeding bases with significant investment [3] - The company has also adjusted its fundraising projects to acquire stakes in other feed companies, indicating a strategic shift towards vertical integration [2] Recent Performance - In the first quarter of this year, the company achieved revenues of 1.076 billion, a year-on-year increase of 160.84%, and a net profit of 28 million, up 37.71%, indicating a recovery in performance [3] - The success of the upcoming acquisition, especially following the recovery of pig prices, will be crucial for the company's revenue growth [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Increase" for the agricultural sector [6] Core Viewpoints - The agricultural sector outperformed the market by 0.03 percentage points during the week of June 3-6, 2025, with the index closing at 2,682.22, reflecting a weekly increase of 0.91% [1][15] - The pig farming sector is experiencing a downward trend in prices, with the average price of pigs at 14.05 yuan/kg, a week-on-week decrease of 2.43% and a year-on-year decrease of 23.89% [2] - The poultry sector is seeing stable chick prices but weak adjustments in meat chicken prices due to high inventory levels in downstream slaughtering [2] - In the agricultural products segment, wheat and soybean meal prices are weak, while japonica rice prices have increased [3] Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The agricultural sector index rose by 0.91% and ranked 20th among 31 sectors [1][15] - The fishery sector showed the best performance with a 1.34% increase, followed by planting, feed, agricultural product processing, and breeding sectors [1][17] 2. Industry Key Data 2.1 Pig Farming - The average price of pigs is 14.05 yuan/kg, down 2.43% week-on-week and down 23.89% year-on-year [2] - Self-breeding profits are at 33.83 yuan/head, a decrease of 1.82 yuan/head week-on-week, while profits from purchased piglets are at -120.80 yuan/head, down 36.43% week-on-week [2] 2.2 Poultry - The average price of meat chicken chicks is 2.84 yuan/chick, down 1.05% week-on-week, and the price of white feather meat chickens is 7.32 yuan/kg, down 0.68% week-on-week [2] 2.3 Agricultural Products - The average price of wheat is 2,433.61 yuan/ton, down 0.82% week-on-week; japonica rice is at 2,876.00 yuan/ton, up 0.42% week-on-week; and soybean meal is at 2,940.00 yuan/ton, down 0.54% week-on-week [3] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the aquaculture feed industry due to the upcoming sales peak in summer and rising prices of certain fish species [4] - In pig farming, companies with strong cost control or clear cost reduction paths are recommended, including Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [4] - For poultry, attention is drawn to integrated industry leaders like Shengnong Development and Lihua Stock for their stable expansion and cost advantages [4] - In the feed sector, companies like Haida Group and Hefeng Stock are highlighted for benefiting from the recovery in livestock inventory [4] - For agricultural products, companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang are recommended for their focus on food security [4]

Core Insights - The poultry feed industry in China is experiencing significant growth, driven by the African swine fever's impact, increased penetration of large-scale farming, and advancements in feed formulation technology [1][11] - By 2024, poultry feed production is projected to reach 97.54 million tons, accounting for 75.1% of total poultry feed, indicating strong demand from the consumption side [1][11] Group 1: Industry Overview - Poultry feed is specifically designed to provide essential nutrients for the growth, development, reproduction, and health of meat poultry [2] - The industry focuses on high-energy and high-protein formulations, utilizing pelletized feed for continuous feeding and relying on antibiotics and growth promoters to shorten feed-to-meat ratios [2][4] - The production cycle for meat poultry is typically 42-47 days, while egg-laying poultry has a longer cycle of over 72 weeks [2][4] Group 2: Policy Background - China's poultry feed policies emphasize reducing soybean meal usage, enhancing quality, and optimizing layout, promoting low-protein diets and diversified formulation standards [5] - The government supports local supply chains and high-value transformation through subsidies and technological research, particularly in major soybean-producing regions [5][6] Group 3: Industry Chain - The upstream of the poultry feed industry relies on energy and protein raw materials like corn and soybean meal, with a focus on optimizing raw material structures through reduction technologies [7] - The midstream production is shifting towards functional and customized products, while the downstream sector is accelerating standardization and integration with processing enterprises [7][9] Group 4: Current Industry Status - Since 2012, the poultry feed production has maintained an average annual growth rate of approximately 4.5%, with a notable increase from 2019 to 2024 due to various market dynamics [11] - The concentration of production is primarily in Shandong, Henan, and Guangdong provinces, benefiting from established logistics networks and industrial clusters [11] Group 5: Competitive Landscape - The poultry feed market is characterized by leading enterprises like New Hope, Haida Group, and Wen's Group, which leverage full industry chain integration to enhance competitive advantages [13][15] - New Hope, as a major player, achieved a total feed sales volume of 25.96 million tons in 2024, maintaining a leading position in the domestic market [15] Group 6: Future Trends - The poultry feed industry is moving towards deep integration of biotechnology and automation, focusing on improving feed conversion rates and reducing environmental impacts [17] - The implementation of antibiotic bans is driving the development of alternative products, while smart production technologies are enhancing operational efficiency [17] - Market concentration is expected to continue rising, with leading companies expanding through mergers and acquisitions and focusing on customized services for large-scale farms [17]

Group 1: Investor Relations Activity - The company participated in a broker strategy meeting in Chengdu with 17 investors from various institutions [2] - The meeting was hosted by the Securities Department Manager, Li Tanhang [2] Group 2: Sales and Market Performance - In 2024, the company's overseas feed sales reached 2.36 million tons, a year-on-year increase of approximately 40%, accounting for about 10% of total feed exports [2][4] - The company aims to achieve a short-term target of 3 million tons in feed sales by 2025, with cumulative external sales exceeding 2 million tons to date [4] Group 3: Industry Insights - The poultry inventory remains stable, while pig prices are consistently above cost, with an increase in inventory [3] - Most special fish species have seen price increases year-on-year, with some at historical highs; common fish have stabilized after a loss period [3] Group 4: Future Development Plans - The company plans to accelerate overseas feed business expansion, targeting 7.2 million tons in sales by 2030, focusing on Southeast Asia, Africa, and South America [5] - In Southeast Asia, Vietnam is the core market, with expansions planned in Indonesia, Bangladesh, and Malaysia; in Africa, Egypt serves as a hub for further market penetration [5] Group 5: Research and Development - The company has a research team of nearly 4,000 people, with cumulative R&D investment exceeding 5 billion yuan [7] - A comprehensive three-tier R&D system supports the company's rapid development, with a large database for animal nutrition needs and raw material formulation technology [7][8] Group 6: Competitive Landscape - The pig feed market has seen significant changes, with competition easing compared to the previous year, but remains intense overall [8] Group 7: Capital Expenditure - Capital expenditure will focus on overseas markets, while domestic spending will prioritize upgrading and renovating existing capacities [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural sector, particularly highlighting the potential for valuation recovery among leading companies in the industry [4]. Core Insights - The report is optimistic about the reversal of the beef cycle, recommending investments in the pet industry and Hai Da Group, while also focusing on undervalued leaders in the pig and poultry sectors [3]. - Key observations include a stable supply of live pigs, a potential upward trend in beef prices by 2025, and a gradual shift in chicken consumption patterns [3][4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of agricultural asset allocation, suggesting that high-quality agricultural assets are likely to see valuation recovery [1]. Summary by Sections Weekly Agricultural Price Tracking - Live pig prices were reported at 14.06 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 2.29% [1]. - Chicken prices showed a decline, with broiler prices at 7.14 CNY/kg, down 2.19% week-on-week [1]. - Beef prices remained stable at 59.38 CNY/kg, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 28.39% [1][3]. Key Product Insights - **Beef**: Anticipated upward cycle by 2025 due to domestic supply reduction and import contraction [3]. - **Poultry**: White chicken consumption is expected to gradually increase, while yellow chicken may benefit from improved domestic demand [3]. - **Eggs**: Supply pressures are expected to persist, with prices at 2.83 CNY/jin, down 4.07% week-on-week [1][3]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended investments include: - Beef: Guangming Meat Industry, among others [3]. - Pets: Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Ruip Bio [3]. - Feed: Hai Da Group [3]. - Swine: Muyuan Foods, Huazhong Foods, and others [3]. - Poultry: Lihua Co., Yisheng Co., and others [3].