证券代码：002468 证券简称：申通快递 申通快递股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-006 | | □特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 投资者关系 | □媒体采访 业绩说明会 | | 活动类别 | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | | | □其他 （电话会议） | | | 中信证券、富国基金、博时基金、鹏华基金、华安基金、海富通 | | 参与单位名 | 基金、长信基金、国联安基金、高毅资产、东方资管、兴业证券、 | | 称及人员姓 | 申万宏源、长江证券、中金公司、中信建投、财通证券、富瑞证 | | 名 | 券、花旗、高盛、摩根大通、摩根士丹利等 105 家机构 125 位投 | | | 资者 | | 时间 | 2025 年 10 月 28 日 15:30-16:30 | | 地点 | 电话会议 | | 上市公司接 | 1、 副总经理兼财务负责人梁波 | | | 2、 董事会秘书郭林 | | 待人员姓名 | 3、 IR 负责人何敏 | | | 一、公司管理层介绍 2025 年前三季度经营情况 | | | 今年以来，消费市场规模稳步扩大，线上 ...

10月28日，据央视新闻，国家邮政局约谈中通快递股份有限公司，指出中通快递经营行为不规范，随意 调整运营规则，存在服务质量不高、快递员合法权益保障措施落实不到位等问题。 27日，抖音电商安全与信任中心发文宣布清退恶意转单违规物流商。提到为阻断违规链条、保障履约真 实性，平台将依据相关规则于10月29日对以下物流商做清退处理：中通冷链（中通子公司）、吉时达、 水趣到家、铁中快运。 企查查显示，中通快递股份有限公司成立于2013年1月，注册资本6亿元，赖梅松担任法定代表人、大股 东等。值得注意的是，该公司名下涉多起机动车交通事故责任纠纷、服务合同纠纷、劳动争议等，并于 10月22日因一则1.16万案件被列为被执行人，执行法院为湖南省长沙市芙蓉区人民法院。 来源：九派新闻 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the express delivery industry [4]. Core Viewpoints - The price decline in the express delivery sector has narrowed, and the "anti-involution" efforts are stronger than expected, leading to a temporary easing of competitive pressure. The report remains optimistic about the performance growth of leading express delivery companies and the valuation recovery opportunities in e-commerce logistics [2][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Overview - In September 2025, the national express delivery volume reached 16.88 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 12.7%. The industry revenue was 127.37 billion yuan, up 7.2% year-on-year, with a single ticket revenue of 7.55 yuan, down 4.9% year-on-year [7][36]. Company Performance - SF Express showed remarkable growth with a business volume increase of 31.81% year-on-year in September 2025. For the first nine months of 2025, its business volume grew by 28.3% [4][28]. Other major players like YTO, Yunda, and Shentong also reported year-on-year increases in business volume of 13.6%, 3.6%, and 9.5%, respectively [4][28]. Market Concentration - The market concentration in the express delivery industry continues to rise, with the CR8 index reaching 86.9 in the first nine months of 2025, an increase of 1.7 compared to the previous year [24][4]. The market shares of leading companies such as SF Express, YTO, Yunda, and Shentong have shown a steady increase in Q3 2025 [29][4]. Pricing Trends - The report indicates that the price decline in the express delivery sector has slowed down, with the industry revenue growth outpacing the decline in single ticket revenue. The single ticket revenue for the industry decreased by 4.9% year-on-year in September 2025, reflecting a moderation in price competition [4][12]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the leading express delivery companies with confirmed performance growth and the potential for valuation recovery in e-commerce logistics. It maintains an "Overweight" rating for SF Express and recommends monitoring regulatory efforts from the postal administration [4][51].

中通快递成立于2002年，总部位于上海，是以快递为核心业务的综合物流服务企业。中通快递2024年全 年业务量达340亿件，市场份额19.4%，媒体称其业务规模已连续九年稳居国内市场行业第一。(完) 国家邮政局要求该公司严格落实中通快递服务网络管理主体责任，改进快递服务质量，强化合规经营体 系建设，保障快递员合法权益，自觉维护公平竞争市场秩序。 中新社北京10月28日电 (记者 刘育英)10月28日，中国国家邮政局约谈中通快递股份有限公司，指出中 通快递经营行为不规范，随意调整运营规则，存在服务质量不高、快递员合法权益保障措施落实不到位 等问题。 中通快递股份有限公司表示，认真落实监管要求，切实整改问题。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Shentong Express (002468) [1][9][27] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 38.57 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.2%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 756 million yuan, up 15.8% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 13.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.6%, and a net profit of 300 million yuan, which is a significant year-on-year increase of 40.3% [1][9] - The report highlights the company's ability to release elasticity in a competitive market environment, indicating a potential turning point for the business [1][9] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company completed 18.86 billion parcels, a year-on-year increase of 17.1%, maintaining a market share of 13.0% [2] - The average revenue per parcel for the first three quarters of 2025 was 2.02 yuan, down 2.0% year-on-year, while in Q3 2025, it increased to 2.05 yuan, up 2.1% year-on-year [2][3] - The gross profit per parcel for the first three quarters of 2025 was 0.116 yuan, down 0.005 yuan year-on-year, while in Q3 2025, it increased to 0.129 yuan, up 0.018 yuan year-on-year [3] Financial Forecasts - The report forecasts total revenue for 2025 to be 51.95 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.1% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to reach 1.39 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 33.8% [5] - The report sets a target price of 24.5 yuan for the stock, indicating a potential upside of 54% from the current price of 15.97 yuan [5][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for YTO Express (圆通速递) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights a recovery in performance growth, with expectations for profit growth and market share improvement amid industry changes [1][6] - The company reported a Q3 2025 revenue of 18.272 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.73%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.046 billion yuan, up 10.97% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [6] - The report maintains profit forecasts for 2025E-2027E, predicting net profits of 4.255 billion yuan, 5.069 billion yuan, and 5.990 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.0%, 19.1%, and 18.2% [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025E is projected at 78.009 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 13.0% [5] - The net profit for 2025E is estimated at 4.255 billion yuan, with a corresponding PE ratio of 14x [5] - The company’s gross margin is expected to be 8.5% in 2025E, with a return on equity (ROE) of 12.1% [5]

【导读】中通快递回应被约谈：认真落实监管要求 10月28日，国家邮政局对中通快递股份有限公司实施行政约谈。 国家邮政局指出，中通快递经营行为不规范，随意调整运营规则，存在服务质量不高、快递员合法权益保障措施落实不到位等问题，要求该公司严格落 实中通快递服务网络管理主体责任，改进快递服务质量，强化合规经营体系建设，保障快递员合法权益，自觉维护公平竞争市场秩序。 总体来看，前三季度邮政行业延续稳中向好态势，快递服务质量稳步提升。10月27日，国家邮政局发布2025年前三季度邮政行业经济运行情况。数据显 示，行业规模维持高位运行。前三季度，邮政行业业务收入和寄递业务量分别完成1.3万亿元和1582.6亿件，同比分别增长7.7%和15.0%。其中，快递业 务收入和快递业务量分别完成1.1万亿元和1450.8亿件，同比分别增长8.9%和17.2%。 三季度，快递平均价格企稳回升，较二季度上涨0.5%。7～9月，快递整体平均价格分别为7.35元/件、7.36元/件和7.55元/件。 快递服务质量稳步提升。三季度，重点地区72小时妥投率为86.47%，较上年同期提升2.08个百分点。快递服务公众满意度为85.0分，较上年同 ...

据"国家邮政局"微信公号，10月28日，国家邮政局约谈中通快递股份有限公司，指出中通快递经营行为不规范，随意调 整运营规则，存在服务质量不高、快递员合法权益保障措施落实不到位等问题，要求该公司严格落实中通快递服务网络 管理主体责任，改进快递服务质量，强化合规经营体系建设，保障快递员合法权益，自觉维护公平竞争市场秩序。中通 快递股份有限公司表示，认真落实监管要求，切实整改问题。 此前，10月27日晚，中通快递旗下子公司中通冷链被抖音清退。当晚，抖音电商安全与信任中心发文称，部分物流商滥 用平台系统服务，为部分商家提供"虚假物流轨迹""转单拼接轨迹"等违规服务，致使订单轨迹与真实履约不符，侵害消 费者权益，破坏平台经营秩序。为阻断违规链条、保障履约真实性，抖音将依据相关规则将于10月29日对以下物流商做 清退处理，包括中通冷链(中通子公司)、吉时达、水趣到家、铁中快运。 2020年7月，中通冷链正式启动，以直营+加盟为组织模式，不过该公司的业务收入在中通快递集团的占比较小。 8月20日，中通快递发布2025年第二季度及上半年业绩。从经营数据来看，截至2025年6月30日，中通拥有94个分拣中 心，31000余个揽 ...

对此，中通快递官方回应称，公司会严格按照约谈要求，针对涉及的问题全面排查、全面整改、全网落 实，同时进一步提升服务质量，提升合规经营，提升网点和员工的合法权益保障。 据中通快递此前披露的半年报数据，今年上半年，中通快递实现营业收入227.2亿元，同比增长9.8%； 营业成本则同比增长21.5%，达到170.89亿元；归属于普通股东的净利润约40亿元，同比微降1.4%。中 经记者 杨让晨 张家振 上海报道 【经营行为不规范遭国家邮政局约谈 中通快递回应】10月28日，国家邮政局官网发布消息称，该局对 中通快递（02057.HK）进行了约谈。 《中国经营报》记者注意到，国家邮政局方面指出，中通快递经营行为不规范，随意调整运营规则，存 在服务质量不高、快递员合法权益保障措施落实不到位等问题，要求该公司严格落实中通快递服务网络 管理主体责任，改进快递服务质量，强化合规经营体系建设，保障快递员合法权益，自觉维护公平竞争 市场秩序。 ...

北京商报讯（记者 何倩）10月28日晚，韵达发布2025年三季度财报。数据显示，三季度韵达营收为 126.6亿元，同比增长3.29%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润为2亿元，同比下滑45.21%；总资产为364.6 亿元，同比减少7.7%。在前三季度，韵达经营活动产生的现金流量净额为16.7亿元，同比下降48.11%。 ...