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GlC Private Limited减持中国建筑国际(03311)47万股 每股作价约11.64港元
智通财经网· 2025-08-07 13:00
智通财经APP获悉,香港联交所最新资料显示,8月5日,GlC Private Limited减持中国建筑国际 (03311)47万股,每股作价11.6414港元,总金额约为547.15万港元。减持后最新持股数目约为3.69亿股, 持股比例为6.99%。 ...
【UNFX课堂】美PMI预警滞涨风险:美联储政策面临严峻考验
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 07:05
Economic Overview - The latest data indicates that the US economy is facing increasing risks of stagflation, with the services PMI almost stagnating and the manufacturing PMI dropping to a near one-year low, suggesting a complex situation of slowing economic activity and persistent inflation pressures [1][4] Services Sector - In July, the services PMI fell from 50.8 in June to 50.1, significantly below the market expectation of 51.5, indicating that the expansion pace of the services sector has nearly halted [2] - The services price index rose from 67.5 in June to 69.9 in July, approaching levels seen at the end of 2022, reflecting ongoing inflation pressures in the services sector due to tariffs and immigration policies [2] - The employment index decreased from 47.2 to 46.4, indicating a contraction in hiring levels and a weakening job market [2] Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI declined from 49 in June to 48 in July, falling short of the market expectation of 49.5, further exacerbating the contraction trend [3] - Although the output index showed an acceleration in expansion, the new orders index slightly rebounded but remained in the contraction zone, with employment contraction reaching a near one-year high [3] - The price index decreased from 69.7 to 64.8, indicating a slowdown in inflation pressure, yet it remains significantly above the post-pandemic average [3] Federal Reserve Policy - The PMI data reveals stagflation risks, presenting the Federal Reserve with a challenging policy decision in the third quarter, balancing a weakening job market against rising inflation due to tariffs [4] - Market expectations suggest that the Federal Reserve may maintain interest rates in September but could lower rates in October and December, with year-end policy rates projected to drop to 3.75%-4% [4] - The current economic conditions, characterized by slowing growth and a pressured job market alongside persistent inflation, complicate the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path [4]
国新证券每日晨报-20250807
Guoxin Securities Co., Ltd· 2025-08-07 02:32
Domestic Market Overview - The domestic market experienced a rise in both volume and price, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3633.99 points, up 0.45%, and the Shenzhen Component Index closing at 11177.78 points, up 0.64% [1][4][9] - A total of 22 out of 30 sectors in the CITIC first-level industry index saw gains, with significant increases in machinery, defense, and coal sectors, while pharmaceuticals, comprehensive, and construction sectors faced declines [1][4][9] - The total trading volume of the A-share market reached 175.92 billion yuan, showing an increase compared to the previous day [1][4][9] Overseas Market Overview - All three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.18%, the S&P 500 up 0.73%, and the Nasdaq up 1.21%, driven by a more than 5% increase in Apple shares [2][4] - The index tracking seven major U.S. technology stocks rose by 1.74%, and most Chinese concept stocks also saw gains, with "Quantum Song" rising over 9% [2][4] Industry Insights - The retail sales of passenger cars in China for July reached 1.834 million units, a year-on-year increase of 7%, while wholesale figures also showed a 12% increase compared to the same month last year [3][15] - In the steel industry, key enterprises reported a daily crude steel production of 1.982 million tons in late July, marking a year-on-year increase of 0.43% [3][16] - The global manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) for July was reported at 49.3%, indicating a slight decline, suggesting a weakening recovery in global manufacturing [20]
债券策略月报:2025年8月中债市场月度展望及配置策略-20250807
Zhe Shang Guo Ji· 2025-08-07 01:20
Group 1: Market Overview - The economic data for July showed a stable performance, with policy stimulus expectations driving market trends, particularly following the announcement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower station project, which has an investment scale of over 1 trillion yuan, leading to significant increases in equity and commodity markets [3][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index recorded increases of 3.74% and 5.32% respectively, reflecting improved market risk appetite [3][4] - The bond market underperformed due to negative factors such as the "stock-bond seesaw" effect and unexpected tightening of liquidity around tax periods, resulting in rising yields across different maturities [4][11] Group 2: Macroeconomic Environment - The macroeconomic environment remains mixed, with GDP growth around 5.35% year-on-year, but nominal growth lagging at 3.9%, indicating a strong aggregate but weak microeconomic structure [5][34] - Manufacturing PMI for June was recorded at 49.7%, showing a slight recovery but still indicating contraction, while consumer demand showed signs of divergence with retail sales exceeding expectations [5][34] - The monetary policy stance has shifted towards a more hawkish tone, reducing expectations for further rate cuts in the near term [5][34] Group 3: Bond Market Outlook - Looking ahead to Q3, demand remains weak, and short-term policy stimulus expectations are retracting; however, the cooling of commodity and stock markets may provide support for the bond market [6][34] - There is potential for a 10-12 basis point downward adjustment in the yields of 10-year and 30-year government bonds, indicating attractive potential returns [3][6] - The bond issuance pressure is expected to increase in August, with net issuance projected to rise to 1.47 trillion yuan, although it may ease in September [21][34]
港股概念追踪 | 新一轮农村公路提升行动方案印发 基建股有望继续发力(附概念股)
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 23:44
(原标题:港股概念追踪 | 新一轮农村公路提升行动方案印发 基建股有望继续发力(附概念股)) 智通财经APP获悉,8月6日,交通运输部、财政部、自然资源部印发《新一轮农村公路提升行动方 案》,到2027年,全国完成新改建农村公路30万公里,便捷高效、普惠公平的农村公路网络基本建成; 实施修复性养护工程30万公里,技术状况优良路率保持在70%以上,实施安全生命防护工程15万公里, 改造危旧桥梁(含生命通道渡改桥、漫水桥)9000座,农村公路安全和服务保障能力进一步提升;建制 村通公交率达到55%以上。相关概念股:中国交通建设(01800)、中国中铁(00390)、中国铁建(01186)。 2025 年上半年,全国范围内基建投资呈现"多点开花"态势,为经济发展持续提供动能,全国工程机械 平均开工率为 44.81%。其中,第二季度开工率为 47.1%,环比一季度上涨 4.62%。 15 个省份平均开工率超过 50%。其中,安徽、福建、河南、江西、浙江和重庆六个省份连续 6 个月综 合开工率超过 50%。表明全国范围内基建投资呈现"多点开花"态势,尤其以华东、华南地区领跑。 根据统计局数据,2025 上半年狭义/广义 ...
新一轮农村公路提升行动方案印发 基建股有望继续发力(附概念股)
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 23:36
国泰基金表示,展望下半年,随专项债逐步落实到项目,《中央城市工作会议》部署方向的相关政策逐 渐落地,预计增量的财政政策支持、融资端的改善对投资端和实物量的效果将逐渐显现;同时扩内需预 期增强,基建投资和重点区域建设有望政策加码。 财通证券(601108)发布研报称,当前国家在韧性城市、城中村改造等方面的投资有望加大力度,同时 战略布局下中西部区域投资较为景气,结合保险资金长周期考核制度加强,基本面稳健的建筑高股息标 的配置价值继续凸显,该行认为一方面应重视低估值高股息央国企;另一方面建议关注受益新疆煤化工 项目落地标的;具备核心竞争力企业也有望从周期底部中脱颖而出。 天风证券(601162)认为,继续强调基建改善+破净价值提升的投资主线,以及此前证监会对破净股松 绑,叠加化债资金对于建筑企业报表改善,持续看好建筑企业中长期的基本面及估值回归。 8月6日,交通运输部、财政部、自然资源部印发《新一轮农村公路提升行动方案》,到2027年,全国完 成新改建农村公路30万公里,便捷高效、普惠公平的农村公路网络基本建成;实施修复性养护工程30万 公里,技术状况优良路率保持在70%以上,实施安全生命防护工程15万公里,改造 ...
澳洲新房现状:建房周期不断延长,建筑成本居高不下
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 12:18
Core Insights - The analysis reveals that approximately 30,000 approved housing units in Australia have not yet commenced construction, while the construction cycle continues to extend and building costs remain high [1][2]. Group 1: Current Housing Market Status - As of Q1 this year, there are 219,000 housing units under construction, comparable to the peak construction period of the 2010s, but the time required for completion has increased significantly [2]. - The average completion time for new apartments has risen from about 6 quarters a decade ago to over 9 quarters now [2]. - The federal government aims to build 1.2 million new homes within five years, with the closest achievement being just over 1 million homes completed in the five years ending December 2019 [2]. Group 2: Housing Ownership and Quality Concerns - Despite an increase in housing supply, home ownership rates have declined from 67.2% in June 2014 to 66.2% in June 2020, with some newly built apartments having serious defects [6]. - The focus should not only be on supply but also on improving home ownership rates and living standards [6]. Group 3: Recommendations for Improvement - The government should prioritize advancing existing projects to enhance productivity, reduce costs, and maintain quality, rather than merely increasing approvals for new housing [6][8]. - Suggestions include focusing on modular construction and facilitating the movement of construction workers across states and countries [8]. - Addressing housing demand through measures such as reducing negative gearing and capital gains tax benefits, implementing land taxes, or including family homes in pension asset tests could also be beneficial [8]. Group 4: Economic Viability and Planning - The housing supply progress is hindered by economic unfeasibility, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne, where high costs and low property prices slow down industry growth [8]. - Improving zoning regulations is essential to enhance the economic viability of building more housing, particularly apartments [8]. - Increasing housing supply is expected to stabilize prices rather than lead to a significant drop in prices, with the goal being to make housing more affordable [9].
英国建筑业“寒意”来袭!PMI暴跌至五年低点 衰退警报拉响
智通财经网· 2025-08-06 11:58
智通财经APP获悉,一项备受关注的调查显示,英国建筑公司产出遭遇了五年来最严重的下滑。英国7 月建筑业采购经理人指数(PMI)从6月份的48.8降至44.3,为2020年5月以来的最低水平,当时该行业正受 到首次新冠疫情封锁的冲击。这一数据远逊于经济学家预期的稳定水平,也远低于50的荣枯分界线。 企业将上个月活动量下降归咎于新业务增长乏力、公共项目工作量减少、工地施工延误以及消费者信心 不足等因素。 英国上月建筑活动大幅下滑 这一调查结果将引起英国工党政府的担忧。工党政府承诺大力推进住房建设,并对公共基础设施进行大 规模投资。工党政府还承诺在五年内建造150万套住房,以解决住房供应不足与需求旺盛之间的矛盾, 不过目前进展较为缓慢。 标普全球市场财智的首席经济学家 Joe Hayes表示:"此次调查中的前瞻性指标表明,英国建筑商正为未 来可能出现的艰难时期做准备。企业报告称,投标机会不足,客户也不愿承接项目。" 标普的房屋建筑指数在6月份增长后大幅回落,土木工程指数也出现萎缩。追踪商业活动的指标略有改 善,但仍显示产出下降。 调查显示,建筑公司的新项目开工率出现了自 2 月以来的最大降幅。建筑材料的采购量已连续 ...
翼辰实业就可能收购电力买卖业务订立谅解备忘录
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 08:52
翼辰实业(01596)公布,于2025年8月6日,该集团(作为潜在买方)与一家于中华人民共和国成立的公司 (目标公司)的若干登记股东(潜在卖方)就可能买卖目标公司股权订立谅解备忘录。目标公司主要于中国 河北省石家庄市藁城区从事电力买卖业务,其附属公司分别主要从事电力供应及建筑业务。潜在卖方包 括身为该公司控股股东的个人。 ...
粤开市场日报-20250806
Yuekai Securities· 2025-08-06 08:39
Market Overview - The A-share market saw all major indices rise today, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.45% closing at 3633.99 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.64% at 11177.78 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.66% at 2358.95 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 17341 billion yuan, an increase of 1380 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Most of the Shenwan first-level industries experienced gains today, with the leading sectors being defense and military, machinery and equipment, coal, textile and apparel, and computer industries, which rose by 3.07%, 1.98%, 1.89%, 1.36%, and 1.30% respectively [1] - Conversely, the pharmaceutical and biological, building materials, commercial retail, social services, and banking sectors saw declines, with decreases of 0.65%, 0.23%, 0.23%, 0.19%, and 0.14% respectively [1] Concept Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today included continuous boards, top ten military industrial groups, aircraft carriers, robots, and military-civilian integration, among others [2] - Notable declines were observed in sectors such as Tibet revitalization, anti-cancer, and CRO [11]