每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——不到20万元，就能买特斯拉了？"廉价版"Model 3或进入中国市场，续航里 程480公里！关于自动驾驶，美国市场也有大调整 （记者 王晓波） 每经AI快讯，兰州银行1月15日晚间发布公告称，公司限售股份约375.08万股将于2026年1月19日解禁并 上市流通，占公司总股本比例为0.0659%。 ...

新华社北京1月15日电（记者吴雨、任军）中国人民银行副行长邹澜1月15日在国新办举行的新闻发布会 上介绍，根据当前经济金融形势需要，中国人民银行将推出八项政策措施，提高银行重点领域信贷投放 的积极性，加大结构性货币政策工具支持力度，进一步助力经济结构转型优化。 一是下调各类结构性货币政策工具利率0.25个百分点。各类再贷款一年期利率从目前的1.5%下调到 1.25%，其他期限档次利率同步调整。 二是合并使用支农支小再贷款与再贴现额度，增加支农支小再贷款额度5000亿元，总额度中单设一项民 营企业再贷款，额度1万亿元，重点支持中小民营企业。 三是增加科技创新和技术改造再贷款额度并扩大支持范围，将科技创新和技术改造再贷款额度从8000亿 元，增加4000亿元至1.2万亿元，并将研发投入水平较高的民营中小企业等纳入支持领域。 四是合并设立科技创新与民营企业债券风险分担工具，将此前已经设立的民营企业债券融资支持工具、 科技创新债券风险分担工具合并管理，合计提供再贷款额度2000亿元。 五是拓展碳减排支持工具的支持领域，纳入节能改造、绿色升级、能源绿色低碳转型等更多具有碳减排 效应的项目，引导银行支持全面绿色转型。 【 ...

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Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need for China to transition from an investment and export-driven growth model to one focused on innovation and consumption during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, highlighting structural changes in the economy [6][45]. Consumption Structure - China is not yet a consumption powerhouse, with consumption accounting for 20 percentage points less of GDP compared to the global average [8][11]. - To become a consumption-driven economy, China must correct this structural deviation and enhance both domestic and international consumption [11]. - The focus on consumption is shifting from investment-driven growth to consumer-driven growth, particularly in sectors like education, healthcare, and cultural services [11]. Industrial Structure - The manufacturing sector's share of GDP may decline, but this does not indicate a lack of transformation; rather, it reflects a shift towards high-tech, knowledge-intensive service industries [12]. - The development of related productive services is crucial for supporting innovation and enhancing human capital [12][14]. - The government must foster a fair competitive environment to address the complexities of industrial transformation and reduce excess capacity in heavy industries [14]. Foreign Trade - Despite a challenging international environment, China's exports have remained strong, indicating improved technological and industrial competitiveness [17]. - A significant trade deficit suggests a reduction in domestic consumption, which is unsustainable in the long term [17][20]. - The strategy should shift towards balancing imports and exports, with an emphasis on using the RMB for international transactions [20]. Financial Structure - As industries evolve, the importance of capital markets is increasing, with a projected annual increase of at least 30 trillion yuan in social net assets if GDP grows at 4%-5% [23]. - The capital market should support the growth of large, innovative enterprises and increase the proportion of institutional investors to address the challenges of an aging society [24]. Urban-Rural Structure - Urbanization will slow as the population approaches 70%, leading to more internal migration within urban areas rather than from rural to urban [26][30]. - Addressing disparities in public services between urban and rural populations is essential for achieving balanced urban-rural development [31][32]. Income Distribution - To avoid the middle-income trap, China should aim to reduce the Gini coefficient to around 0.4, doubling the middle-income population from 400 million to 800-900 million [33][36]. - Policies should focus on increasing labor compensation's share of GDP and improving social security for low- and middle-income groups [36][38]. Macroeconomic Policy - While macroeconomic policies can provide short-term stability, they cannot replace the need for structural reforms to drive long-term growth [39][41]. - The reliance on macroeconomic policies may increase as the economy transitions to a lower growth phase, necessitating a clear understanding of the limits of such policies [41][45].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the evolution of Jilin Bank over the past 30 years, emphasizing its transformation into a key regional financial institution in Jilin Province, reflecting both the bank's growth and the broader challenges and future directions of urban commercial banks in China [1]. Group 1: Historical Development - Jilin Bank, originally Changchun City Commercial Bank, was renamed in 2007 and has since expanded its network across Jilin Province and into Dalian and Shenyang, with 369 institutions and 11,856 employees by the end of 2024 [2]. - The bank has undergone three rounds of capital increase since 2024, raising a total of 8.06 billion yuan, with the total share capital increasing from 11.15 billion shares to 12.09 billion shares, primarily supported by local government and state-owned enterprises [2]. - The bank has experienced governance challenges, with several past chairmen facing disciplinary issues, indicating a need for improved governance and internal control mechanisms [2]. Group 2: Regional Economic Impact - Jilin Bank plays a crucial role in supporting local economic development, maintaining a symbiotic relationship where the bank empowers the region while being nourished by it [3]. - The bank's market share in deposits increased from 12.42% to 14.46% and in loans from 12.64% to 15.37% from the end of 2022 to the end of 2024, solidifying its position as a core participant in the regional financial market [3]. - The bank aims to become the "first retail bank in Jilin" and the "best service company bank," focusing on digital transformation and rural revitalization [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Jilin Bank's total assets grew from 561.41 billion yuan at the end of 2022 to 745.84 billion yuan by the end of 2024, marking a 32.85% increase over two years [6]. - By the end of 2024, customer deposits reached 572.17 billion yuan, with the proportion of savings deposits rising from 53.21% in 2022 to 56.16% [6]. - The bank's non-performing loan ratio was stable at 1.5% by the end of 2024, with a slight increase from 1.39% at the end of 2023, while the provision coverage ratio improved from 124.79% in 2022 to 136.05% in 2024 [7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - As 2025 approaches, Jilin Bank is positioned at a critical juncture for governance restructuring and strategic deepening, aiming to align closely with the regional economic recovery [9]. - The bank's future growth will depend on effective governance optimization, risk management, and business transformation, with aspirations to become a leading urban commercial bank in China [9].

国家外汇管理局2026年1月15日发布的数据显示，2025年12月，银行结汇22446亿元人民币，售汇15382 亿元人民币。2025年，银行累计结汇185227亿元人民币，累计售汇171314亿元人民币。 按美元计值，2025年12月，银行代客涉外收入8244亿美元，对外付款7109亿美元。2025年，银行代客累 计涉外收入79725亿美元，累计对外付款76704亿美元。 数据显示，2025年12月，银行代客涉外收入58197亿元人民币，对外付款50186亿元人民币。2025年，银 行代客累计涉外收入569405亿元人民币，累计对外付款547906亿元人民币。 按美元计值，2025年12月，银行结汇3180亿美元，售汇2179亿美元。2025年，银行累计结汇25949亿美 元，累计售汇23983亿美元。 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index rose by 0.41% and 0.56% respectively [3] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets approached 3 trillion yuan, significantly decreasing by over 1 trillion yuan compared to the previous day [3] Policy Implications - The regulatory intent is clear, aiming to cool down the market due to rapid index increases and high trading volumes, particularly in speculative sectors, by adjusting margin financing ratios [4] - The market's response was evident, with the Shanghai Composite Index declining as expected, and the Shenzhen market showing a higher number of declining stocks compared to advancing ones, approximately 1700 to 1200 [4] Market Sentiment - The trading volume dropped to 2.9 trillion yuan, reflecting a cooling market sentiment and reduced willingness to buy, while selling pressure remained moderate [4] - Notably, previously popular sectors such as commercial aerospace and AI applications experienced significant corrections, with 71 stocks hitting the daily limit down compared to only 63 stocks hitting the limit up [4] Stock Performance - The targeted regulatory approach is evident, with specific stocks under investigation and others suspended for review, avoiding a blanket policy [5] - At the close, the trading volumes for major ETFs like the CSI 500 ETF and the CSI 300 ETF surged to historical highs of 25.6 billion yuan and 26.3 billion yuan respectively, indicating a clear intent to stabilize the market [5] Future Outlook - The market is expected to continue cooling, particularly in overhyped sectors, as the current state of speculative trading is deemed unhealthy [5] - Large-cap stocks remain undervalued and have not completed their valuation recovery, while speculative stocks are experiencing intense trading, increasing the risk of market pullbacks [6] Monetary Policy - The new spokesperson for the central bank announced a targeted interest rate cut of 0.25 percentage points on various credit tools to enhance liquidity and reduce financing costs for enterprises [6] - However, this policy does not include a reduction in deposit rates, which negatively impacts bank stocks, reflecting a policy direction that prioritizes broader economic benefits over individual sector performance [6]

基金分析专题报告(深度) 证券研究报告 2026/1/15 1 2 风险提示：基金相关信息及数据仅作为基金研究使用，不作为募集材料或者宣传材料。本文涉及所有基金历史业绩均不代表未来表现。海外货币政策路径生变、国 际关系及地缘扰动、国内经济复苏进程、刺激政策落实情况。 2026年度港股基金投资策略 港股市场2025年回顾 3 4 图表： 2025 年度全球主要市场指数涨跌 5 图表： 2025 年度恒生指数 & 恒生科技指数涨跌 图表：恒生指数涨跌归因 | 指数/行业 | 2025-01 | 2025-02 | 2025-03 | 2025-04 | 2025-05 | 2025-06 | 2025-07 | 2025-08 | 2025-09 | 2025-10 | 2025-11 | 2025-12 | 2025年度 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生指数 | 0.82 | 13.43 | 0.78 | -4.33 | 5.29 | 3.36 | 2.91 | ...

按美元计值，2025年12月，银行代客涉外收入8244亿美元，对外付款7109亿美元。2025年1-12月，银行 代客累计涉外收入79725亿美元，累计对外付款76704亿美元。 2025年12月，银行代客涉外收入58197亿元人民币，对外付款50186亿元人民币。2025年1-12月，银行代 客累计涉外收入569405亿元人民币，累计对外付款547906亿元人民币。 北京商报讯（记者 董晗萱）1月15日，国家外汇管理局发布统计数据显示，2025年12月，银行结汇 22446亿元人民币，售汇15382亿元人民币。2025年1-12月，银行累计结汇185227亿元人民币，累计售汇 171314亿元人民币。 按美元计值，2025年12月，银行结汇3180亿美元，售汇2179亿美元。2025年1-12月，银行累计结汇 25949亿美元，累计售汇23983亿美元。 ...

2026 年 1 月 13 日至 14 日，瑞银集团在上海举办第 26 届瑞银大中华研讨会（GCC）。本届研讨会 以"新前沿：识变局,，谋增长"为主题，吸引超过3600名与会者，其中包括2300余位来自全球的机构投 资者、主权财富基金、家族办公室代表及私人投资者。大会期间，超过300家领先的中国企业也参与交 流，相关企业合计市值约为 4.3 万亿美元。 瑞银集团首席执行官安思杰 (Sergio P. Ermotti) 在上海为今年的研讨会致欢迎辞。他表示："中国是瑞银 集团的战略市场之一。中国经济展现出的韧性，在先进制造、人工智能等领域不断释放的创新动能，以 及其稳步提升的资本市场全球影响力都为全球投资者带来了新的机遇。大中华研讨会为客户提供了洞察 中国未来增长趋势的前瞻性窗口——这也体现了瑞银持续推动全球资本与中国发展机遇深度连接的长期 承诺。" 2025 年，中国跨境资本市场活动明显回暖，国际机构投资者持续加码配置中国股票。与此同时，中国 内地企业赴港上市步伐加快，截至2025年12月底，中国香港市场共有111家中国内地企业完成首次公开 发行（IPO），发行后合计市值达5623亿美元。 瑞银集团中国区总裁 ...