每日经济新闻 WEEKLY国际财经 2026 | 02 | 21 美最高法院6:3裁定 特朗普关税违法 1.4万亿美元收入"落空" 或撕开美国财政黑洞 周 焦点 ◆ 当地时间2月20日，美国最高法院以6:3裁定特朗普政府依据《国际紧急经济权力法》实施的大规模 关税违法。这场司法终槌直接让美国未来十年超1.4万亿美元关税预期收入"落空"，还留下1750亿美元 的退税悬案。千亿财政窟窿亟待填补，美债收益率应声上涨。面对裁决，特朗普政府紧急唤醒沉睡52年 的法律条款，宣布开征10%的"全球进口关税"。 ◆ 美媒：哈梅内伊及其子成为美国考虑的打击目标，多国敦促在伊朗公民尽快撤离；OpenAI毛利率下 滑，大幅下调"烧钱"目标至6000亿美元；印度AI峰会连爆名场面：两掌门拒绝握手，Anthropic CEO拿 手机念演讲稿；"末日博士"彼得·希夫：金价飙升预示着美国将面临远超2008年的复合型危机；金价重 返5100美元，白银、美油双双涨超9%。 美最高法院6:3裁定特朗普关税违法 1.4万亿美元收入"落空" 或撕开美国财政千亿黑洞 特朗普 图片来源：新华社发（李源清摄） 当地时间2026年2月20日，美国最高法院以 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent pullback in Hong Kong's tech sector is sensitive to changes in risk appetite, but there are still revaluation opportunities as liquidity conditions improve [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - The Hong Kong tech sector has experienced significant recent pullbacks, with a decreased sensitivity to positive catalysts due to a decline in risk appetite [1] - The peak of liquidity suppression factors may have passed, indicating a potential for recovery in the tech sector [1] Group 2: AI Narrative and Industry Focus - Companies in the Hong Kong tech sector are primarily focused on domestic computing power, models, and applications, with their prospects closely tied to China's technological development [1] - The current progress in the sector differs from the continuous development cycle in the U.S. since 2023 [1] Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The "14th Five-Year Plan" supports the theme of technological self-sufficiency, which is crucial for the sector's long-term growth [1] - Despite short-term market sentiment being fully released, the Hong Kong tech sector is entering a phase for potential investment [1] Group 4: ETF and Index Information - The Hong Kong tech ETF (513020) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (931573), which focuses on technology companies traded through the Stock Connect [1] - The index consists of 30 constituent stocks and is weighted by market capitalization, reflecting the core performance of China's tech industry, particularly in hardware manufacturing and high-end technology [1]

Core Viewpoint - Short-term risk factors for Hong Kong stocks are decreasing, but a rebound confirmation requires catalysts. The current position is attractive for medium to long-term allocation [1]. Group 1: Economic Factors - The expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December is fluctuating, leading to relatively weak performance in overseas markets represented by U.S. stocks. An increase in rate cut expectations could benefit Hong Kong stocks [1]. - The market is likely to refocus on policy ahead of the Central Economic Work Conference in December, which has not yet been priced in [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The narrative surrounding the AI technology bubble in U.S. stocks has weakened, resulting in significant corrections in Hong Kong technology stocks, which currently present an attractive allocation opportunity [1]. - Short-term, macroeconomic and geopolitical risks remain unresolved, suggesting a balanced allocation strategy, with relative strength in dividends still present [1]. Group 3: Investment Products - The Hong Kong Technology ETF (513020) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (931573), which selects listed companies involved in information technology, electronic components, and interactive media, focusing on high-end manufacturing, hardware infrastructure, and the entire AI industry chain [1].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that a slow bull market is anticipated, with short-term fluctuations expected as the market awaits renewed expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the resolution of uncertainties surrounding AI's long-term narrative [1] - In the medium to long term, economic growth is shifting from traditional demand-side stimulation to supply-side innovation, driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan" promoting the transformation of old and new growth drivers [1] - Investment focus should shift from chasing demand fluctuations to paying attention to supply-side variables such as technological breakthroughs, resource scarcity, and industry clearing, in order to seize structural industrial upgrade opportunities [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Stock Technology ETF (513020) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (931573), which selects listed companies involved in information technology, electronic components, and interactive media from the Hong Kong Stock Connect range [1] - This index focuses on high-end manufacturing, hardware infrastructure, and the entire AI industry chain, reflecting the overall performance of technology-related listed companies in the Hong Kong market [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock technology sector has experienced significant recent pullbacks, with sensitivity to positive catalysts declining amid reduced risk appetite, yet there remains a revaluation opportunity as liquidity conditions improve [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - The technology sector in Hong Kong is primarily focused on domestic computing power, models, and applications, with its prospects closely tied to China's technological development, differing from the ongoing cycles in the U.S. [1] - Under the support of the "14th Five-Year Plan," the theme of technological self-sufficiency is emphasized for the medium to long term [1] - Although short-term market sentiment has been largely released, Hong Kong stocks are entering a phase of positioning, with current valuations beginning to show cost-effectiveness [1] Group 2: Investment Products - The Hong Kong Technology ETF (513020) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (931573), which selects listed companies involved in information technology, electronic components, and interactive media from the Stock Connect range [1] - This index focuses on high-end manufacturing, hardware infrastructure, and the entire AI industry chain, aiming to reflect the overall performance of technology-related listed companies in the Hong Kong market [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the strong performance of the Hong Kong stock technology sector in Q3 2025, driven primarily by advancements in artificial intelligence hard technology [1] - The technology stocks are benefiting from the ongoing development of the AI industry, with internet giants shifting their narrative from stock competition to AI-enabled business growth [1] - Upgrades in self-developed chips and core models by major companies are becoming new catalysts for growth in the sector [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong technology ETF (513020) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (931573), which selects securities from technology-related industries among Hong Kong-listed companies [1] - This index focuses on TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) and internet sectors, reflecting the overall performance of technology sector securities in the Hong Kong market, characterized by high technological content and growth potential [1] - The index comprises the top 30 constituents based on market capitalization, emphasizing the importance of large-cap technology firms in the sector [1]

Core Insights - The overseas Sora2's popularity and major companies accelerating their computing power layout continue to strengthen the leading role of the technology sector, highlighting the value of allocating Hong Kong stock technology-weighted assets [1] - Significant advancements in AI video model technology have notably lowered content production barriers, driving an increase in copyright protection demand and enhancing efficiency in advertising materials, short videos, mid-to-long videos, and gaming sectors [1] - Domestic self-developed video models are rapidly iterating, with Alibaba Cloud leveraging its "full-stack AI capabilities" in computing power, models, and applications to form a closed-loop advantage, while Tencent's mixed Yuan visual model leads domestically [1] - The gaming sector's third-quarter report shows high prosperity, and although the film industry performed flat during the National Day holiday, a clear supply turning point is evident, with quality content reserves expected to drive recovery [1] - The evolution of AI applications is ongoing, with three development stages comprising the reshaping of public cloud value, B-end SaaS empowerment, and C-end scenario implementation [1] Index and Fund Insights - The Hong Kong Technology ETF (513020) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (931573), which selects securities from technology-related industries among companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, focusing on the top 30 constituents by market capitalization [1] - This index emphasizes TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) and internet sectors to reflect the overall performance of technology sector listed companies in the Hong Kong market, characterized by high technological content and growth potential [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that leading Chinese technology companies are entering a phase of large-scale expansion in AI investments, with clearer AI strategies [1] - By 2032, Alibaba Cloud's global data center energy consumption is expected to increase tenfold compared to 2022, accelerating the entire cloud computing and AI industry chain [1] - The cloud services and AI infrastructure are anticipated to enter a new high-certainty growth cycle [1] Group 2 - Compared to overseas technology companies, the overall valuation level of leading Chinese technology firms listed in Hong Kong remains relatively low, indicating potential for value reassessment driven by AI [1] - The Hong Kong Technology ETF (513020) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (931573), which selects securities from technology-related industries among companies traded via Hong Kong Stock Connect [1] - This index focuses on TMT and internet sectors, reflecting the overall performance of technology sector listed companies in the Hong Kong market, characterized by high technological content and growth potential [1]

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong's technology stocks are experiencing a strong performance, supported by market confidence recovery and positive industry trends [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The overall Hong Kong stock market has shown limited pullback pressure, allowing for a recovery in market confidence [1] - The Hong Kong technology sector has seen a significant weekly increase, driven by the performance of internet platforms [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The Hong Kong Technology ETF (513020) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (931573), which selects securities from technology-related industries [1] - The index focuses on the top 30 companies by market capitalization in the TMT and internet sectors, reflecting the overall performance of technology stocks in the Hong Kong market [1] Group 3: Fund Options - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Cathay CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF Initiated Link C (015740) and Link A (015739) [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to continue its structural rise in the short term, supported by the progress of the US-China summit and the recovery of sentiment in the A-share market [1] - The technology sector in Hong Kong is highlighted as a promising area due to improving AI demand and a favorable liquidity environment, including a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve [1] - The Hong Kong Technology ETF (513020) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (931573), which selects securities from technology-related industries, focusing on the top 30 companies by market capitalization [1] Group 2 - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Cathay CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF Initiated Link C (015740) and Initiated Link A (015739) [1]