公司报告 | 半年报点评 科前生物（688526） 证券研究报告 需求延续&产品推陈出新，25H1 业绩亮眼 事件： 公司 25 年半年度实现营收 4.87 亿元，同比+21.7%；实现归母净利润 2.2 亿元，同比+44.1%。 其中，单 Q2 实现营业收入 2.42 亿元，同比+23.8%；实现归母净利润 1.1 亿元，同比+70.8%。 我们的分析和判断： 1、下游养殖企业盈利持续动保需求有所增量 25H1 养殖端盈利改善，同比实现扭亏为盈，带动动保需求保持良好态势。批签发方面，25H1 同比增长 17%，其中 25Q2 与 Q1 基本持平，25Q2 较 24Q4 增长 9%。从产品结构看，25H1 圆环、腹泻苗批签发量同比增超 50%，伪狂、猪瘟苗增速介于 35%-45%。单 Q2 来看，圆环、 伪狂苗环比保持超 10%增长，而口蹄疫疫苗因季节性因素环比下降超 40%。 2、25H1 公司疫苗产品销售情况持续改善 25H1 公司疫苗签发量同比增长 43%，其中猪瘟、腹泻和圆环疫苗增速显著，分别达到 50%、 85%和 153%，主要受益于行业需求旺盛以及猪丁型冠状病毒灭活疫苗、圆支二联苗等新产品 的迭 ...

农林牧渔/动物保健Ⅱ 科前生物（688526.SH） 归母净利润同比高增，新品持续推出创新驱动成长 2025 年 08 月 26 日 投资评级：买入（维持） 日期 2025/8/26 当前股价(元) 19.33 一年最高最低(元) 20.39/11.00 总市值(亿元) 90.10 流通市值(亿元) 90.10 总股本(亿股) 4.66 流通股本(亿股) 4.66 近 3 个月换手率(%) 48.32 股价走势图 -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 科前生物 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《经营韧性十足，创新驱动成长—公 司信息更新报告》-2025.4.30 《后周期业绩有望修复向上，新品持 续发力持续成长—公司信息更新报 告》-2024.11.3 《经营短期承压，静待 2024H2 业绩修 复—公司信息更新报告》-2024.9.1 陈雪丽（分析师） 王高展（分析师） chenxueli@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790520030001 wanggaozhan@kysec.cn 证书编号：S079052507000 ...

农林牧渔/动物保健Ⅱ 生物股份（600201.SH） 非瘟疫苗研发加速，新品多点开花成长动能强劲 2025 年 08 月 20 日 投资评级：买入（维持） 日期 2025/8/20 当前股价(元) 9.19 一年最高最低(元) 9.55/5.62 总市值(亿元) 102.17 流通市值(亿元) 102.17 总股本(亿股) 11.12 流通股本(亿股) 11.12 近 3 个月换手率(%) 226.05 股价走势图 -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 生物股份 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《非瘟亚单位疫苗临床试验获批，创 新龙头成长动能强劲—公司信息更新 报告》-2025.7.18 《业绩短期承压，持续创新厚积薄发 —公司信息更新报告》-2025.4.27 《业绩短期承压，新品储备充足持续 成长—公司信息更新报告》-2024.11.3 公司猪用疫苗营收保持稳健增长态势，其中猪用非口蹄疫产品营收增长超过 20%，产品结构不断优化。反刍疫苗，牛二联、布病（Rev.1 株）及小反刍兽疫 活疫苗等核心单品放量增长。禽用疫苗，公司组建专属 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has received approval for clinical trials of its ASFV subunit vaccine, marking it as the only one in China to achieve this milestone, showcasing its strong R&D capabilities [3][5] - Despite short-term performance pressure due to increased R&D expenses and intensified industry competition, the company is expected to benefit from its innovative pipeline, particularly the ASF vaccine, which opens new growth opportunities [3][4] - The company has adjusted its 2025 profit forecast downwards while increasing projections for 2026-2027, with expected net profits of 188 million, 352 million, and 508 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][4] Financial Summary - The company's total market capitalization is 10.68 billion yuan, with a current stock price of 9.53 yuan [1] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.17, 0.31, and 0.45 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 56.7, 30.3, and 21.0 [3][4] - The company anticipates a significant decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, with estimates ranging from 57 million to 70 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 43.05% to 53.63% [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][20]. Core Viewpoints - The company reported a significant increase in Q1 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders, which rose by 512% year-on-year, driven by the release of raw material production capacity and rising market prices [1][8]. - The company's Q1 2025 revenue reached 399 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 92.96%, attributed to the recovery of cash flow in the downstream breeding industry and improved demand for animal health products [1][8]. - The company is undergoing technical upgrades to expand raw material production capacity, which is expected to strengthen its market position and support long-term revenue growth in the raw material segment [3][20]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 44 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 61.79% and a year-on-year increase of 371.23% [1][8]. - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 24.28%, up 1.81 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin improved to 11.22%, an increase of 19.15 percentage points year-on-year [2][12]. - The operating cash flow for Q1 2025 accounted for 14.52% of revenue, reflecting a year-on-year improvement of 36.90 percentage points [18]. Production Capacity and Market Position - The company is currently implementing technical upgrades to increase the annual production capacity of Tylosin from 2,000 tons to 3,000 tons and Tiamulin from 840 tons to 2,000 tons [3][20]. - The recovery in the breeding industry has led to a restoration of cash flow, which has positively impacted the sales volume and pricing of the company's products [1][8]. Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 147 million yuan for 2025, 188 million yuan for 2026, and 214 million yuan for 2027, with corresponding earnings per share of 0.89 yuan, 1.13 yuan, and 1.29 yuan respectively [20][22].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company demonstrates strong operational resilience and growth driven by innovation. Despite a competitive industry landscape, the company reported a revenue of 942 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 11.48% year-on-year, but showed a recovery in Q1 2025 with a revenue of 245 million yuan, an increase of 19.65% year-on-year. The net profit for 2024 was 382 million yuan, down 3.43%, while Q1 2025 net profit rose by 24.08% to 108 million yuan. The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted upwards, with expected net profits of 467 million, 578 million, and 694 million yuan respectively, corresponding to EPS of 1.00, 1.24, and 1.49 yuan [3][4][5]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company's core products saw significant revenue contributions: pseudorabies vaccine accounted for 25%, diarrhea vaccine 30%, and circovirus vaccine approximately 25%. Direct sales contributed over 60% of revenue, while distribution accounted for over 30%. The gross margin and net margin for Q1 2025 were 65.88% and 43.96%, respectively, with a year-on-year change of -0.76% and +1.47 percentage points. The company has effectively reduced costs, leading to improved net margins [4][5]. - The company maintained a high level of R&D investment, totaling 86 million yuan in 2024, which is 9.14% of revenue, an increase of 0.82 percentage points year-on-year. New vaccine registrations for pigs and poultry have been achieved, and the company is expanding its product line for ruminant vaccines [5][6]. Financial Forecasts - The financial forecasts indicate a recovery trajectory with projected revenues of 1.131 billion yuan in 2025, 1.358 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.567 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 20.1%, 20.1%, and 15.4% respectively. The net profit is expected to grow at rates of 22.0%, 23.9%, and 20.0% for the same years [6][8]. - Key financial ratios include a gross margin of 68.0% in 2025, improving to 71.4% by 2027, and a net margin projected to reach 44.3% by 2027 [6][8]. Valuation Metrics - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected at 16.2 for 2025, 13.1 for 2026, and 10.9 for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend as earnings grow [6][8]. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratios are expected to decline from 1.7 in 2025 to 1.4 in 2027, suggesting an attractive investment opportunity as the company continues to enhance its profitability [6][8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure due to intensified industry competition, declining product prices, and reduced gross margins, alongside continued high R&D investment. However, the company has a strong pipeline of new products that are expected to contribute positively to future growth [4][5][6] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.255 billion yuan, a decrease of 21.45% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 109 million yuan, down 61.58% year-on-year. The decline in net profit is attributed to increased competition in the industry [4][7] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 352 million yuan, an increase of 1.06% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 76 million yuan, a decrease of 27.57% year-on-year [4] - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2026 downwards and introduced a new forecast for 2027, expecting net profits of 251 million yuan, 348 million yuan, and 448 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][7] Market Position and Product Pipeline - The company maintains a solid market share for its major products, with a 23% market share for its pig circovirus vaccine and a 40% market share for its brucellosis vaccine. Several major products are expected to be launched in 2024, contributing to revenue growth in 2025 [5][6] - The company has a strong focus on R&D, with 179 million yuan invested in 2024, representing 14.25% of its revenue. It has obtained production licenses for several important vaccines and is progressing with the development of a novel mRNA vaccine for cats [6] Financial Metrics and Valuation - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 53.86%, and the net margin was 8.30%, reflecting a decline of 5.33 percentage points and 9.04 percentage points respectively. For Q1 2025, the gross margin was 54.53% and the net margin was 21.96% [5] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 0.22 yuan, 0.31 yuan, and 0.40 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 31.4, 22.6, and 17.5 [4][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure due to intensified industry competition, declining product prices, and reduced gross margins, alongside continued high R&D investment. However, the company has a strong pipeline of new products that are expected to contribute positively to future growth [4][5] - Revenue for 2024 is reported at 1.255 billion yuan, a decrease of 21.45% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 109 million yuan, down 61.58% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue is 352 million yuan, an increase of 1.06%, while net profit is 76 million yuan, a decrease of 27.57% [4][5] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2026 and introduced a new forecast for 2027, expecting net profits of 251 million, 348 million, and 448 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - The company's gross margin and net margin for 2024 are 53.86% and 8.30%, respectively, showing declines of 5.33 percentage points and 9.04 percentage points. For Q1 2025, the gross margin is 54.53% and the net margin is 21.96% [5] - The company maintains a solid market share in key products, with a 23% market share in pig circovirus vaccines and a 40% market share in brucellosis vaccines. Several major products are expected to be launched in 2024, contributing to revenue growth in 2025 [5][6] R&D and Innovation - In 2024, the company invested 179 million yuan in R&D, accounting for 14.25% of its revenue. The company has secured production licenses for several important vaccines and is progressing with the development of the world's first mRNA vaccine for feline infectious peritonitis [6] - The company emphasizes continuous innovation and has a robust pipeline of new products, indicating strong long-term growth potential [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.043 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 16.77% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 93 million yuan, down 46.82% [5] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 279 million yuan, an increase of 18.32% year-on-year, and a net profit of 53 million yuan, up 93.75% [5] - The company is facing short-term pressure in its piglet business due to intensified industry competition, but is focusing on growth in poultry vaccines and pharmaceuticals, as well as increasing sales in ruminant and pet vaccines [5][6] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2026 downwards and added a forecast for 2027, expecting net profits of 171 million, 207 million, and 249 million yuan for 2025-2027 respectively [5] Financial Summary - The company's revenue for 2025 is estimated at 1.211 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 16.1% [9] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 is reported at 59.71%, a decrease of 4.70 percentage points, while the net margin is 18.99%, an increase of 7.39 percentage points [7] - R&D expenses for 2024 amounted to 106 million yuan, representing 10.17% of total revenue [7] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 0.49 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 27.7 [9]