近日，在2025年彭博创新经济论坛期间，彭博全球首席经济学家欧乐鹰（Tom Orlik）远程接受21世纪 经济报道专访时指出，美国关税政策的升级正在深刻改变全球贸易结构与经济增长路径。据其分析，特 朗普政府已将美国平均关税从约2%大幅提高至约15%，这一政策变动导致"美国在全球贸易体系中的角 色正在缩水"。 欧乐鹰表示，根据可计算一般均衡模型（CGE）测算，平均15%的关税水平预计将使未来几年对美出口 规模较无关税情形下降约20%。随着对美国出口壁垒上升，各国正积极寻求替代市场，全球贸易中"绕 过美国"的部分将逐步增长，而与美相关的贸易流则趋于收缩。 自美国总统特朗普今年1月入主白宫以来，美国对主要贸易伙伴频频挥舞关税"大棒"，给全球贸易格局 带来了巨大干扰。世界贸易组织（WTO）警告称，特朗普政府关税正在对国际贸易体系造成80年来"前 所未见"的破坏，预计2026年全球货物贸易增长仅为0.5%。 彭博经济研究预测，2026年全球经济增长率可能进一步放缓至2.9%，低于2025年的3.2%。欧乐鹰指 出，企业为规避关税而进行的超前进口行为已进入库存消化阶段，其滞后影响将持续至2026年。尽管美 国目前未出现滞 ...

Core Insights - The 7th China-Switzerland Business Awards were held in Beijing, celebrating Swiss companies' achievements in China and commemorating the 75th anniversary of diplomatic relations between China and Switzerland [1] - The awards focused on innovation, sustainable development, digital transformation, talent cultivation, and China-Switzerland business cooperation, recognizing companies like Bühler Group, Bien-Air, Nestlé, and Cellcosmet [1] Group 1: Swiss Companies in China - Swiss companies have achieved remarkable success in the Chinese market, leveraging their strengths in quality, innovation, and sustainable development [3] - The reputation of Swiss brands in China is bolstered by their commitment to excellence in sectors such as finance, precision manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, and high-end consumer goods [3] - Increasing numbers of Swiss SMEs are entering the Chinese market, while established companies are expanding local operations and R&D centers [4] Group 2: Business Environment and Growth Potential - China has made significant progress in improving its business environment, particularly in market access, foreign investment treatment, intellectual property protection, and overall business convenience [4] - The growth potential in China is substantial, driven by strong demand in areas like green transformation, digitalization, and health aging [4] - Understanding China's modernization path and policy direction will enable Swiss companies to play a more active role in the next growth phase [4] Group 3: Free Trade Agreement and Cooperation - The second round of upgrades to the China-Switzerland Free Trade Agreement is expected to optimize trade terms and expand the scope of cooperation, enhancing bilateral trade and investment [5] - There are emerging cooperation opportunities in green technology, life sciences, digitalization, and carbon neutrality, leveraging Switzerland's innovation strengths and China's market potential [6] - Successful projects in AI-enabled medical devices, sustainable energy solutions, and biopharmaceuticals highlight the potential for deeper collaboration between Swiss and Chinese entities [6] Group 4: Challenges and Resilience - Swiss companies face challenges from global geopolitical tensions, supply chain restructuring, and regulatory changes, which complicate risk management [7] - Despite these challenges, Swiss firms demonstrate resilience and flexibility through established distributed supply chains and risk management mechanisms [7] - Continuous investment in China, along with digital transformation and local R&D, enhances their responsiveness to market changes, showcasing their core competitive advantage [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company has entered into a memorandum of understanding with Mile Green Company Limited to explore potential opportunities in the physical asset sector [1] Group 1: Partnership Details - The memorandum outlines the intention of both parties to jointly invest in a physical asset ecosystem [1] - The collaboration aims to explore, assess, and define potential opportunities within the physical asset domain [1] Group 2: About Mile Green - Mile Green is a sustainable energy solutions company with headquarters in Hong Kong and Thailand [1] - The company possesses extensive experience and expertise in sustainable technology, green energy, real estate, private credit, telecommunications, and Web2/Web3 projects, including physical assets [1] - Mile Green and its ultimate beneficial owners are not related parties to the company [1]