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中共中央、国务院发布关于推动城市高质量发展的意见,股市强势反弹,债市承压走弱
Dong Fang Jin Cheng· 2025-08-29 03:12
Report Summary 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View - On August 28, the overall capital market showed a complex trend with the stock market strongly rebounding, the bond market under pressure and weakening, the convertible bond market's main indexes rising collectively but most individual convertible bonds falling, and the yields of U.S. Treasury bonds at different maturities diverging while the 10 - year Treasury bond yields of major European economies generally declining [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market News - **Domestic News** - The "Opinions of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council on Promoting High - quality Development of Cities" was released, aiming to establish a sustainable urban construction and operation investment and financing system by 2030 and basically build a modern people - centered city by 2035 [3]. - In July 2025, the total issuance of local government bonds was 1.2135 trillion yuan, and the balance of local government debt at the end of July was 52.7627 trillion yuan [4]. - The State Administration for Market Regulation promoted the return of market competition to a benign and orderly track [5]. - From January to July 2025, the total social logistics volume exceeded 200 trillion yuan, with a year - on - year increase of 5.2% [6]. - **International News** - The annualized quarterly - on - quarterly growth rate of the U.S. real GDP in the second quarter was revised up to 3.3%, mainly driven by business investment [7]. - **Commodities** - On August 28, international crude oil futures prices turned up, and international natural gas prices continued to rise [8]. 3.2 Capital Market - **Open Market Operations** - On August 28, the central bank conducted 416.1 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net capital injection of 163.1 billion yuan [9]. - **Funding Rates** - On August 28, the capital market was generally balanced and loose. DR001 decreased by 0.11bp to 1.313%, and DR007 increased by 2.72bp to 1.540% [10]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics - **Interest - rate Bonds** - On August 28, the bond market was under pressure and weakened. The yield of the 10 - year Treasury bond active bond 250011 rose by 2.50bp to 1.7900%, and the yield of the 10 - year CDB bond active bond 250215 rose by 3.35bp to 1.8875% [13]. - Information on bond tenders is provided, including the issuance scale, winning bid yield, and other data of multiple bonds [15]. - **Credit Bonds** - One industrial bond's trading price deviated by more than 10%, with "H1 Bidi 03" rising by more than 104% [15]. - Multiple companies, including Qingdao Beer Group, Weihai Thermal Power Group, and HeSteel Group, cancelled bond issuances due to market fluctuations [16]. - Huaxia Bank's operating income in the first half of the year was 45.522 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 5.86%, and its net profit was 11.47 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 7.95% [16]. - **Convertible Bonds** - On August 28, the three major A - share stock indexes rose collectively, and the main indexes of the convertible bond market also rose. The convertible bond market's trading volume was 122.512 billion yuan, an increase of 3.217 billion yuan from the previous trading day [17]. - Jinchengxin's convertible bond issuance obtained the CSRC's registration approval [18]. - **Overseas Bond Markets** - On August 28, the yields of U.S. Treasury bonds at different maturities diverged, with the 2 - year yield rising by 2bp to 3.62% and the 10 - year yield falling by 2bp to 4.22% [20]. - The 10 - year Treasury bond yields of major European economies generally declined, except for Germany's which rose by 1bp to 2.70% [23]. - Information on the daily price changes of Chinese - funded US dollar bonds is provided, including the price changes of bonds of multiple companies [25].